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2021-12-24 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0537
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.5%
in alpha space · 85.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,423.05-0.47%33,038.28+1.41%0.0685✗0.527.0M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023129-0.56%0.021822-6.18%0.0570✗1.202.2M2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,402.80-0.61%46,060.20-9.18%0.0041✓0.989,2792021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.134981-0.68%0.1227-9.71%0.0095✗1.10202k2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9701-0.85%4.018+0.35%0.0804✗0.71473k2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57197.6735-0.95%179.22-10.20%0.0082✓0.9412.0M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.08011-0.97%0.075477-6.69%0.0326✗0.96659k2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.244-0.97%2.058-9.18%0.0195✗1.113.4M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58128.236-1.04%121.02-6.61%0.0367✗0.993.2M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.679-1.04%7.06-9.02%0.0233✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44202.3029-1.05%228.93+11.98%0.2184✗0.992.7M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6008-1.13%3.4015-6.61%0.0448✗1.06819k2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.9472-1.14%8.8-2.76%0.0483✗0.681.0M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.908-1.15%8.873-11.47%0.0502✓0.63455k2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.087775-1.15%0.0823-7.32%0.0401✗1.0921k2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9561-1.15%4.6064-8.13%0.0568✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.6427-1.18%15.14-4.36%0.0761✗1.145.0M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,230.06-1.22%46,211.24-9.12%0.0123✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4351-1.23%4.3404-3.33%0.1019✗1.295.4M2021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.183996-1.24%0.170222-8.64%0.0285✗1.116.1M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.198-1.27%19.51-9.13%0.0421✗1.3169.7M2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2327-1.27%6.5555+3.84%0.1270✗0.804.6M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.536-1.27%3.7613+5.02%0.0535✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5727-1.27%1.542-3.20%0.1052✗1.315.2M2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2227.1902-1.31%199.58-13.30%0.0245✓1.10239k2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1021-1.32%4.508+8.44%0.1740✗0.83714k2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.2658-1.34%16.98-2.97%0.1087✗1.3114.6M2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.7916-1.34%26.67-5.32%0.0784✗1.2577.3M2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.201-1.40%5.023-4.78%0.0273✗0.65846k2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,992.07-1.42%3,675.80-9.23%0.0176✗1.05768.5M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091211-1.47%0.08767-5.29%0.1017✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.274526-1.47%0.266478-4.36%0.0665✗1.0136.2M2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.213016-1.47%0.1984-8.23%0.0120✓0.87776k2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9695-1.48%1.634-18.26%0.0610✓1.317.9M2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1413-1.49%4.7425-9.13%0.0090✓0.7529k2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.120069-1.50%0.11271-7.54%0.0420✗1.1030k2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.4512-1.56%32.43+20.69%0.2862✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0318-1.57%2.93-4.87%0.0891✗1.293.2M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88284.3453-1.57%276.22-4.38%0.0754✗1.091.5M2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4739-1.59%3.21-9.07%0.0155✓0.991.3M2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0879-1.63%2.882-8.19%0.0122✓0.85100k2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65187.5272-1.64%169.88-10.89%0.0013✓1.02257.1M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2659-1.64%1.259-2.18%0.0870✗0.974.1M2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.240484-1.64%0.1945-20.45%0.1672✓0.47410k2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.5384-1.64%8.1-6.69%0.0749✗1.33511k2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.9191-1.66%24.41-3.67%0.0821✗1.072.7M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.1331-1.68%11.78-4.54%0.0566✓-0.284.9M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.685284-1.68%0.6421-7.88%0.0575✗1.2814.0M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057004-1.68%0.05331-8.05%0.0398✗1.1217k2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4735.854-1.69%34.24-6.11%0.0512✗1.0223.1M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6253-1.70%8.736-10.79%0.0413✗1.44349k2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7003-1.81%2.39-13.09%0.0249✓1.024.7M2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9058-1.81%8.41-7.28%0.0170✓0.78836k2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.4347-1.82%15.07-9.98%0.0206✓0.691.4M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27443.9766-1.83%430.15-4.89%0.0667✗1.0313.7M2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.361114-1.87%0.426+15.76%0.2375✗0.7645k2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6841.8672-1.90%38.25-10.38%0.0110✓1.0621.8M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.358-1.92%31.4-7.67%0.0037✓0.67649k2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000115031-1.93%0.00010819-7.77%0.0334✗0.9911.7M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5255-1.96%2.397-6.95%0.0610✗1.18152k2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62102.5521-1.98%93.21-10.91%0.0034✓0.968.8M2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5185-1.98%5.01-11.01%0.0175✓1.193.0M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.3529-2.00%21.376-6.29%0.1164✗1.6821.0M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8584-2.02%1.62-14.59%0.0741✓0.668.1M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3569-2.07%1.2796-7.65%0.0442✗1.081.4M2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6007-2.09%5.48-4.20%0.0847✗1.115.0M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.374566-2.10%0.3655-4.47%0.0975✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.0438-2.12%24.42-11.62%0.0321✗1.4024.1M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.6255-2.12%34.06-8.98%0.0278✗1.056.1M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49146.3065-2.13%133.78-10.51%0.0318✗1.272.2M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3362-2.14%3.1464-7.71%0.0613✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048372-2.16%0.04828-2.35%0.0856✗0.9112.1M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6631-2.17%1.62-4.71%0.1372✗1.711.5M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.212362-2.18%0.2023-6.82%0.0688✗1.236.5M2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.363-2.19%1.3082-6.12%0.0611✗1.07124.4M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.8374-2.19%10.11-8.75%0.0046✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.1348-2.25%33.06-5.33%0.1136✗1.521.3M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.7178-2.32%4.22-12.63%0.0158✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35157.4777-2.40%146.15-9.42%0.0583✗1.3958.6M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.455-2.40%3.54+0.00%0.1217✗1.02807k2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019246-2.40%0.01908-3.25%0.0479✗0.5960k2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.538-2.41%1.6589+5.26%0.1783✗1.0734.9M2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.830013-2.42%0.802611-5.64%0.0699✗1.083.7M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.107477-2.44%0.1009-8.41%0.0084✓0.57143k2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5368.7964-2.46%60.57-14.12%0.0173✓1.511.4M2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2533-2.46%1.3658+6.30%0.1856✗1.0422.8M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7441-2.47%9.42+18.64%0.3277✗1.3814.9M2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.080785-2.48%0.08513+2.76%0.1679✗1.2121.7M2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018291-2.50%0.01579-15.83%0.0275✓1.253.2M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.776571-2.51%0.7078-11.15%0.0271✗1.257.7M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.885946-2.54%0.843-7.26%0.0907✗1.479.3M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016089-2.55%0.01518-8.06%0.0314✗0.941.4M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1983-2.58%1.13-8.13%0.0370✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.13421-2.68%0.1283-6.96%0.0562✗1.06445k2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035166-2.69%0.00003342-7.53%0.0448✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18160.7234-2.70%146.46-11.33%0.0333✗1.3213.6M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.5037-2.73%4.91+6.05%0.1821✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748183.0177-2.74%181.8528-3.36%0.1024✗1.14720k2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.197162-2.78%0.1752-13.61%0.0087✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.017469-2.84%0.01703-5.28%0.0881✗1.192.8M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.2865-2.86%9.11-4.71%0.0840✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5313-2.94%10.85+0.00%0.1211✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.889-2.98%1.7428-10.48%0.0134✓0.701.3M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.060339-3.02%0.063529+2.11%0.1918✗1.479.5M2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1521-3.11%0.9088-23.57%0.1415✓1.00190k2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.3358-3.16%4.34-21.23%0.1109✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.7197-3.22%12.22+0.91%0.0929✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.651226-3.24%0.612-9.06%0.0567✗1.243.0M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.393025-3.24%0.3547-12.68%0.0431✗1.524.4M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2712-3.24%1.2039-8.36%0.1144✗1.761.6M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93111.1285-3.31%109.4-4.81%0.0926✗1.13142.8M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.6675-3.31%3.496-7.83%0.0478✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.018-3.31%5.32+2.50%0.1845✗1.3228.7M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.4555-3.37%5.8862-11.89%0.0217✓1.19876k2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33261.117-3.41%253.92-6.07%0.0744✗1.0711.4M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.075432-3.42%0.0763-2.30%0.1369✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0798-3.44%1.2282+9.83%0.2709✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.6966-3.45%2.574-7.84%0.0471✗0.982.2M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.036924-3.46%0.033825-11.56%0.0101✓1.0212.1M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.6386-3.49%4.55+20.69%0.3192✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.446451-3.55%0.4139-10.59%0.0609✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.207102-3.60%0.19688-8.36%0.1045✗1.6224k2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.10466-3.63%0.0971-10.59%0.0557✗1.373.0M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.731405-3.71%0.6864-9.64%0.0591✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.347444-3.78%0.3279-9.19%0.0290✓0.91388k2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.289645-3.96%0.2833-6.07%0.1004✗1.286.2M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1246-3.99%2.0908-5.52%0.1702✗1.952.1M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.3557-4.12%3.2677-6.64%0.0576✗0.889.0M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7243.7718-4.26%38.92-14.87%0.0593✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5236-4.36%1.4896-6.49%0.1037✗1.3210.4M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.8938-4.59%12.734-18.43%0.1644✓-0.08133k2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1541.9648-4.95%39.69-10.10%0.1083✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.6627-5.04%1.5666-10.53%0.0359✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.7884-5.81%12.7-19.11%0.1542✓-0.024.8M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.020625-5.87%0.02346+7.07%0.2245✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.700545-8.09%0.9356+22.75%0.4576✗1.7614.6M2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.