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2021-12-19 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1343
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.6%
in alpha space · 6.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.6553+0.21%2.196+32.95%0.2417✓0.489.0M2021-12-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0047,070.45-0.19%50,987.30+8.12%0.0039✓0.9915k2021-12-26
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2799.2402-0.42%15.136+63.12%0.5116✗-0.21119k2021-12-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.8234-0.48%12.67+6.65%0.0974✗-0.335.9M2021-12-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.070469-0.61%0.08785+23.91%0.1356✗1.0123.2M2021-12-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023023-0.64%0.024422+5.39%0.0456✓1.241.9M2021-12-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02122.2177-0.65%127.5+3.64%0.0420✓1.002.3M2021-12-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.7035-0.69%5.3426+12.80%0.0117✗1.375.2M2021-12-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.29.1284-0.78%15.17+64.89%0.5214✗-0.163.7M2021-12-26
XEMNEMnative0.12880.127786-0.79%0.1412+9.63%0.0063✓1.11191k2021-12-26
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.1045-0.82%4.8691+17.66%0.0594✗1.324.2M2021-12-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5198-0.85%4.113+15.86%0.0991✗0.67532k2021-12-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.2287-0.90%9.727-5.76%0.1065✓0.67374k2021-12-26
QNTQuantEthereum182.22180.5616-0.91%194.3+6.63%0.0024✓0.9012.3M2021-12-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1097-1.00%2.289+7.41%0.0132✓1.123.4M2021-12-26
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.3212-1.02%3.8689+15.30%0.0644✗1.04781k2021-12-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.8781-1.03%9.64+21.11%0.1461✗0.661.1M2021-12-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7362-1.07%1.942+10.66%0.0025✓1.307.6M2021-12-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4372-1.09%1.668+14.80%0.0370✗1.335.6M2021-12-26
XMRMoneroMonero183.97181.9214-1.11%216.57+17.72%0.0920✗0.982.9M2021-12-26
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.307-1.12%17.11+10.53%0.0136✗1.166.6M2021-12-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.4834-1.13%11.25+31.12%0.2232✗0.701.9M2021-12-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.9893-1.13%3.66+21.06%0.1000✗1.214.7M2021-12-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.083628-1.15%0.0896+5.91%0.0252✓1.1124k2021-12-26
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.078579-1.16%0.081508+2.52%0.0467✓0.99735k2021-12-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.4353-1.21%3.4826+0.15%0.0222✗-0.10372k2021-12-26
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7279-1.21%6.7502+16.42%0.0952✗0.825.2M2021-12-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.167431-1.24%0.190018+12.08%0.0321✗1.125.3M2021-12-26
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9714.7809-1.26%18.67+24.72%0.1249✗1.2914.2M2021-12-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.6386-1.28%22.99+21.77%0.1010✗1.2969.7M2021-12-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.8391-1.28%4.37+12.37%0.0602✗0.82780k2021-12-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.8693-1.30%4.9306-0.06%0.0530✓0.7831k2021-12-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,078.70-1.30%50,801.79+8.81%0.0131✓1.00744.5M2021-12-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.5518-1.33%7.96+19.88%0.1405✗0.641.1M2021-12-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.4498-1.33%31.34+26.47%0.1426✗1.2575.1M2021-12-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.090829-1.34%0.09987+8.48%0.0283✓1.467.0M2021-12-26
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44192.6971-1.40%235.5+20.50%0.1105✗1.07228k2021-12-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.09907-1.40%0.11329+12.75%0.0894✗0.53143k2021-12-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.6556-1.41%5.487+16.20%0.1110✗0.63961k2021-12-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.7955-1.42%9.232+16.74%0.0545✗1.36640k2021-12-26
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.2537-1.43%7.93+48.78%0.3018✗1.3012.7M2021-12-26
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,869.13-1.44%4,065.91+3.57%0.0419✓1.08768.5M2021-12-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.109425-1.45%0.12458+12.19%0.0351✗1.1231k2021-12-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.250176-1.46%0.291987+15.01%0.0712✗0.9939.3M2021-12-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.8522-1.48%32.17+45.04%0.3164✗0.8342.5M2021-12-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.362-1.49%25.82+4.41%0.0320✓1.073.0M2021-12-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1716-1.50%3.61+12.11%0.0457✗0.991.3M2021-12-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.6591-1.52%2.0712+22.94%0.1667✗0.651.4M2021-12-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.069623-1.52%0.084+18.81%0.0710✗1.383.5M2021-12-26
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.9448-1.53%9.8982+8.96%0.0234✓1.48356k2021-12-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.6681-1.55%3.08+13.65%0.0355✗1.282.9M2021-12-26
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44180.5892-1.55%268.05+46.12%0.3124✗0.9810.9M2021-12-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.19803-1.58%0.219+8.85%0.0266✗0.88776k2021-12-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.301473-1.58%0.4225+37.94%0.2131✗1.474.9M2021-12-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9366-1.59%3.279+9.89%0.0377✗0.86105k2021-12-26
KCSKuCoinnative21.2320.8879-1.61%22.898+7.86%0.0541✓1.7324.3M2021-12-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.2042-1.63%9.4+12.71%0.0697✗0.79824k2021-12-26
ZENHorizenBase65.5264.4526-1.63%70.3+7.30%0.0437✓1.552.2M2021-12-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.054724-1.65%0.05866+5.43%0.0265✓1.1422k2021-12-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.610.4235-1.66%13.1+23.58%0.1864✗0.504.2M2021-12-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2928-1.67%2.4928+6.91%0.0169✓1.19191k2021-12-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.356948-1.67%0.494+36.09%0.2618✗0.7554k2021-12-26
KSMKusamaHydration274.31269.6679-1.69%322.4+17.53%0.0847✗1.111.5M2021-12-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.593769-1.69%0.73+20.86%0.1017✗1.243.4M2021-12-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.2841-1.70%26.72+17.87%0.0688✗1.3320.5M2021-12-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.835.1889-1.71%37.29+4.16%0.0294✓1.0320.8M2021-12-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.1981-1.72%1.317+8.04%0.0105✓1.005.1M2021-12-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.2185-1.72%16.92+25.80%0.1899✗0.671.6M2021-12-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.098-1.73%5.75+37.89%0.2267✗1.3328.7M2021-12-26
SOLSolanaSolana179.95176.8078-1.75%198+10.03%0.0266✗1.02281.0M2021-12-26
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.253197-1.75%0.2394-7.10%0.0958✓0.47434k2021-12-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94425.1153-1.81%451.86+4.37%0.0278✓1.0514.2M2021-12-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.376-1.82%2.76+14.05%0.0687✗0.964.9M2021-12-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.678296-1.82%0.7893+14.24%0.0496✗1.218.2M2021-12-26
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000106679-1.83%0.00012144+11.75%0.0448✗1.0014.3M2021-12-26
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.7172-1.85%10.61+7.17%0.0064✓0.971.9M2021-12-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2531.6504-1.86%34.4+6.67%0.0274✗0.66754k2021-12-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.188617-1.86%0.24+24.87%0.1391✗1.218.9M2021-12-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.635988-1.88%0.7354+13.45%0.0409✗1.2414.9M2021-12-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5131,393.56-1.89%31,193.34-2.51%0.0550✓0.575.5M2021-12-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.047093-1.89%0.05082+5.88%0.0048✓0.9615.8M2021-12-26
DASHDashDash129.18126.6408-1.97%149.09+15.41%0.0574✗1.252.2M2021-12-26
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.015068-1.97%0.01668+8.52%0.0241✗0.922.1M2021-12-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.633071-1.97%0.8093+25.32%0.1417✗1.238.7M2021-12-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5193-1.98%2.22+43.23%0.2363✗1.692.1M2021-12-26
BANDBandEthereum5.125.0182-1.99%5.85+14.26%0.0535✗1.182.8M2021-12-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.257851-2.00%0.3303+25.54%0.1407✗1.277.4M2021-12-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.1997-2.01%38.9+22.17%0.0925✗1.521.6M2021-12-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2527-2.02%1.3933+8.98%0.0144✓1.091.6M2021-12-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.318627-2.02%0.371+14.08%0.0777✗0.88775k2021-12-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.104-2.03%6.24+19.77%0.1098✗1.085.5M2021-12-26
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.9045-2.04%10.41+14.52%0.0625✗1.114.1M2021-12-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.754642-2.04%0.879132+14.12%0.0616✗1.084.8M2021-12-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.133711-2.04%0.1438+5.35%0.0202✓1.10648k2021-12-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2993.3422-2.04%107.53+12.84%0.0607✗0.9610.9M2021-12-26
FTTFTXEthereum39.7438.9267-2.05%42.59+7.17%0.0000✓1.0726.1M2021-12-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3284-2.06%1.6079+18.54%0.1017✗1.0638.2M2021-12-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.199468-2.06%0.20968+2.95%0.0893✓1.6537k2021-12-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.1662-2.07%37.92+8.68%0.0147✓1.066.9M2021-12-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.4565-2.08%5.75+62.89%0.4245✗1.0012.1M2021-12-26
ZECZcashZcash157.78154.4583-2.11%167.45+6.13%0.0364✓1.3915.2M2021-12-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.358096-2.11%0.4265+16.59%0.0640✗1.317.0M2021-12-26
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.113-2.11%3.81+19.81%0.1190✗0.98821k2021-12-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.092687-2.13%0.113+19.32%0.0833✗1.363.6M2021-12-26
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.217-2.19%1.4549+16.93%0.0913✗1.03131.8M2021-12-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.2837-2.20%3.19+36.62%0.2566✗0.923.4M2021-12-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0401-2.26%1.3907+30.69%0.2099✗0.9523.6M2021-12-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0525-2.26%1.1705+8.69%0.0225✓1.523.6M2021-12-26
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.807168-2.28%1.002+21.31%0.0920✗1.4712.1M2021-12-26
XVGVergenative0.016740.016349-2.34%0.01937+15.71%0.0696✗1.183.6M2021-12-26
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809178.9012-2.44%187.2077+2.09%0.0516✓1.151.2M2021-12-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31149.5225-2.47%155.96+1.73%0.0791✓1.4463.2M2021-12-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.8076-2.49%6.8179+14.47%0.0601✗1.19876k2021-12-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017159-2.56%0.01869+6.13%0.0208✓1.263.6M2021-12-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.059326-2.58%0.06404+5.16%0.0508✓1.5113.9M2021-12-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029961-2.60%0.00003825+24.35%0.1598✗1.001.8M2021-12-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.24.0874-2.68%4.79+14.05%0.0742✗1.001.7M2021-12-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8339.7149-2.73%45.66+11.83%0.0245✓1.9413.8M2021-12-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.5284-2.74%4.307+18.72%0.1149✗1.003.8M2021-12-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.099-2.84%1.3324+17.78%0.0423✗1.781.6M2021-12-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1362-2.89%1.28+9.40%0.0347✗1.002.4M2021-12-26
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.3695-2.90%4.72+4.89%0.0073✓1.003.1M2021-12-26
HIVEHivenative1.46421.4205-2.98%1.7664+20.64%0.1052✗1.3312.4M2021-12-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1434.0522-3.10%43.55+23.93%0.0976✗1.766.8M2021-12-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.019695-3.22%0.01958-3.78%0.0531✓0.5661k2021-12-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.420944-3.25%0.469+7.79%0.0236✓1.001.8M2021-12-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.5325-3.28%5.23-8.57%0.1407✓1.0011.5M2021-12-26
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.9786-3.57%2.3444+14.26%0.0033✓1.972.3M2021-12-26
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25673.1369-3.68%3.862+18.59%0.1335✗0.8812.2M2021-12-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.4124-3.93%1.6918+15.08%0.0956✗1.017.8M2021-12-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.6103.3059-3.99%115.07+6.94%0.0121✓1.13164.3M2021-12-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.036933-4.06%0.03765-2.20%0.0668✓1.0215.0M2021-12-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.406948-5.14%0.7068+64.76%0.3996✗1.8010.2M2021-12-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.015967-5.47%0.02201+30.31%0.2365✗1.0033.0M2021-12-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.25036-9.55%0.2011-27.35%0.3218✓1.223.7M2021-12-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.