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2022-09-10 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2502
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.5%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000403857-7.12%0.00030987-28.73%0.2279✓0.501.8M2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.48e-7-5.38%6.21e-7-9.31%0.0187✓0.832.3M2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.062372-5.32%0.06229-5.45%0.0793✗1.091.4M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.0778-4.42%5.909-7.08%0.0337✓0.846.2M2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum32.5531.1362-4.34%25.23-22.49%0.0845✓1.71178k2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4253-4.34%1.33-10.74%0.0034✓0.8981k2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2677-4.32%1.2443-6.09%0.0483✗0.911.1M2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.5454-4.31%1.403-13.13%0.0165✓1.0943k2022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.166572-4.16%0.1447-16.74%0.0797✓0.8324k2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,029.06-3.95%9,343.58-10.51%0.0318✓1.394.2M2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3325-3.93%1.133-18.31%0.0454✓1.582.8M2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.7481-3.81%11.72-4.04%0.0298✓0.4416.0M2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.378148-3.80%0.3548-9.74%0.0146✓1.067402022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.448084-3.64%0.40106-13.76%0.0424✓0.93392k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5154-3.63%2.19-16.09%0.0902✓0.66262k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.84032-3.62%0.8104-7.05%0.0367✓0.99988k2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.112.0351-3.55%1.839-12.84%0.0068✓1.281.1M2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.723055-3.48%0.6797-9.26%0.0384✗1.36210k2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.19479-3.38%0.2252+11.71%0.2064✗0.833.2M2022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.730.705891-3.30%0.7-4.11%0.0195✓0.3850k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.38460.372087-3.25%0.3564-7.33%0.0372✗1.09335k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.113485-3.25%0.1088-7.25%0.0338✗1.032.5M2022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.550012-3.17%0.516-9.15%0.0150✓1.0763k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9834-3.15%1.805-11.87%0.0254✓1.6260k2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.2584-3.14%13.21-10.26%0.0009✓1.02925k2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.275387-3.03%0.266-6.34%0.0181✓0.72563k2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.123545-3.03%0.1045-17.97%0.1165✓0.69195k2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.5464-3.00%6.96-10.54%0.0050✓1.03237k2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.4476-2.85%16.36-8.91%0.0193✓0.61384k2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.148938-2.85%0.1591+3.78%0.1398✗1.00361k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.667038-2.76%0.621-9.48%0.0138✓0.78116k2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.1607-2.73%34.42-12.26%0.0032✓1.4411.7M2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.877579-2.71%0.8495-5.82%0.0679✗1.3694k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.356624-2.69%0.3309-9.71%0.0006✓1.0271k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0009-2.63%0.947-7.88%0.0230✓0.442.8M2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0651.6747-2.61%54.2+2.15%0.1360✗1.209,0502022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.0178-2.59%17.07-2.29%0.0531✗0.681.6M2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.502735-2.57%0.464-10.08%0.0072✓0.997,7812022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.8679-2.54%5.727-4.88%0.0067✓0.423.3M2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.065305-2.53%0.0594-11.34%0.0059✓1.21608k2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4759-2.51%1.46-3.57%0.0703✗1.1071k2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.2304-2.49%6.1857-16.58%0.1395✓0.229.9M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.4571-2.45%4.009-12.26%0.0398✓0.90289k2022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3386-2.43%1.293-5.76%0.0458✗1.09385k2022-09-17
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018485-2.43%0.01789-5.57%0.0410✗1.006792022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.345509-2.42%0.32877-7.15%0.0202✓0.9534k2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.6103-2.41%16.412+2.61%0.1342✗1.1418.7M2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.2845-2.37%1.99-14.96%0.0538✓1.14229k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.070265-2.37%0.06385-11.28%0.0860✓0.13389k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.050968-2.36%0.0492-5.75%0.0280✗0.86204k2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.2963-2.34%3.0761-8.87%0.0017✓0.9619k2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037306-2.34%0.03442-9.90%0.0081✓0.9859k2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.394249-2.33%0.38033-5.78%0.0330✗0.9431k2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.4673-2.31%3.732-18.39%0.1423✓0.517.3M2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.512849-2.30%0.4808-8.40%0.0157✓0.66444k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.175476-2.29%0.1593-11.30%0.0283✓0.93268k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.305566-2.27%0.291502-6.77%0.0259✗0.99514k2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1736-2.27%2.022-9.08%0.0087✓1.1033k2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.2182-2.26%14.56-6.49%0.0200✓0.871.7M2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.5239-2.25%6.014-9.89%0.0101✓1.246.9M2022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.9561-2.24%2.735-9.56%0.0275✗1.433.0M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.00135-2.23%0.001205-12.75%0.0648✓0.672.3M2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.826-2.18%5.798-16.91%0.1520✓0.158.6M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.112024-2.16%0.1051-8.21%0.0068✓0.77169k2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0001-2.15%4.54-11.15%0.0366✓0.81943k2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.10e-7-2.14%8.40e-7-9.68%0.0237✓0.771.7M2022-09-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8405-2.12%4.9846+0.79%0.0363✗0.09115k2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1965-2.09%1.179-3.52%0.0549✗0.941.1M2022-09-17
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7129-2.08%4.38-9.00%0.0004✓1.001.2M2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.6157-2.07%7.059-9.23%0.0034✓0.9810.0M2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.1909-2.05%11.819-12.24%0.0446✓0.8822k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022582-2.03%0.02103-8.76%0.0102✓0.839.2M2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2064-2.00%3.155-3.58%0.0204✗0.50653k2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.276174-2.00%0.304+7.88%0.1540✗0.7984k2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.333372-1.98%0.3183-6.41%0.0311✗1.0582k2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.159299-1.97%0.1487-8.49%0.0014✓0.921,0012022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.7377-1.94%9.64-11.96%0.0181✓1.22298k2022-09-17
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,638.21-1.93%1,396.39-16.41%0.0860✓1.003.4M2022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.284894-1.88%0.27068-6.77%0.0199✗0.9614k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.57790.567091-1.87%0.5649-2.25%0.0505✗0.74826k2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3102-1.86%1.1798-11.63%0.0233✓1.111.1M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3097-1.85%5.4-0.18%0.0473✗0.412.0M2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64130.1979-1.84%122.08-7.96%0.0176✓1.114.4M2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6361-1.82%1.5518-6.88%0.0235✗1.04241k2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.146391-1.82%0.1415-5.10%0.0362✗0.95117k2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7568-1.80%1.609-10.06%0.0252✓0.85627k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0157-1.78%0.9979-3.50%0.0198✗0.512.7M2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2859-1.78%1.9947-14.29%0.0557✓1.0913k2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.3733-1.75%4.9164+10.45%0.2290✗1.52129k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.905-1.75%1.8165-6.31%0.0297✗1.0523k2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.549-1.75%4.45-3.89%0.0149✓0.501.3M2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.041792-1.75%0.040142-5.63%0.0025✓0.5123k2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.799506-1.74%0.7528-7.48%0.0011✓0.83584k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000043795-1.72%0.00004289-3.75%0.0370✗0.792.5M2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration52.3251.4288-1.70%44.64-14.68%0.0734✓0.93363k2022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012843-1.70%0.012503-4.31%0.0181✗0.61929k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.0076-1.70%6.285-11.84%0.0468✓0.844.3M2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001574-1.70%0.001493-6.75%0.0044✓0.666,5532022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7597-1.69%2.603-7.27%0.0007✓0.80630k2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007729-1.67%0.00773-1.65%0.0762✗1.03389k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0136-1.66%1.9045-6.99%0.0084✓0.871.2M2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.5715-1.65%14.92-11.45%0.0255✓1.0885k2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.1141-1.64%18.48-9.63%0.0016✓1.1718.5M2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8727-1.63%8.49-5.88%0.0114✓0.442.2M2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004063-1.63%0.00378-8.47%0.0058✓0.90103k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.20817-1.62%0.201-5.01%0.0507✗1.16139k2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2835-1.62%3.983-8.52%0.0489✓0.322.2M2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038763-1.62%0.0359-8.88%0.0144✓0.8584k2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.141405-1.61%0.13742-4.38%0.0537✗1.12157k2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.6217-1.58%9.254-5.34%0.0287✗0.921.2M2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.317229-1.57%0.3108-3.57%0.0429✗0.865.9M2022-09-17
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010802-1.56%0.012891+17.47%0.2505✗1.006082022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.097955-1.55%0.0897-9.85%0.0250✓0.8613k2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6353-1.55%1.489-10.36%0.0386✓0.7544k2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013076-1.53%0.00001197-9.86%0.0223✓0.90951k2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.309198-1.53%0.2713-13.60%0.0556✓1.0292k2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash65.3364.336-1.52%58.71-10.13%0.0050✓1.171.2M2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.963233-1.51%0.932-4.70%0.0561✗1.211.5M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.023827-1.50%0.025798+6.64%0.0827✗0.04454k2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0536-1.50%1.0116-5.43%0.0182✗0.8034k2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.414154-1.49%0.357-15.08%0.0725✓1.03209k2022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.06483-1.47%0.0666+1.22%0.0862✗0.8081k2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.7895-1.47%8.09+2.33%0.1088✗0.9618.0M2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5233-1.46%6.35-4.08%0.0045✓0.432.1M2022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.973087-1.46%0.9111-7.74%0.0177✗1.13899k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.548345-1.45%0.50943-8.44%0.0165✗1.2239k2022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006141-1.40%0.006354+2.02%0.0666✗0.4433k2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.41-1.40%1.45+1.40%0.0243✗-0.05124k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012878-1.40%0.01249-4.36%0.0224✗0.72228k2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009249-1.40%0.00859-8.42%0.0207✓0.723.3M2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045103-1.38%0.042628-6.80%0.0018✓0.7928k2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047239-1.38%0.0461-3.76%0.0408✗0.88132k2022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.217771-1.37%0.21-4.89%0.0318✗0.9257k2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.063845-1.37%0.062199-3.91%0.0477✗1.001.3M2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9833-1.36%5.627+11.38%0.2132✗1.246.2M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.595-1.35%33.69-3.93%0.0500✗1.0458.3M2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.544651-1.33%0.515-6.70%0.0239✗1.0877k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050329-1.31%0.042-17.65%0.1115✓0.94546k2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002873-1.30%0.002846-2.23%0.0529✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.207272-1.30%0.191-9.05%0.0032✓1.15108k2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.131868-1.30%0.1276-4.49%0.0453✗1.061.4M2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.5063-1.28%57.82-8.69%0.0078✓0.9513.5M2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.097635-1.28%0.096-2.93%0.0488✗0.89336k2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.137337-1.27%0.1254-9.85%0.0554✓0.482.9M2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23654.5443-1.25%52.371-5.19%0.0130✗0.73284k2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.99e-7-1.23%8.50e-7-6.59%0.0005✓0.7515k2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.3805-1.23%5.91-8.51%0.0448✓0.432.2M2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006223-1.23%0.005888-6.54%0.0047✓0.692,0442022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050178-1.22%0.0511+0.59%0.0912✗0.99234k2022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.102339-1.22%0.0988-4.63%0.0168✗0.712,6892022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2295-1.22%1.0832-12.97%0.0180✓1.484.4M2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.671756-1.21%0.617-9.26%0.0017✓1.133.7M2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.926943-1.21%0.865587-7.75%0.0109✓0.7849k2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum105.47104.1942-1.21%109.47+3.79%0.1051✗0.763.4M2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.04559-1.19%0.04315-6.48%0.0028✓0.7114k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.438129-1.19%0.4523+2.01%0.1155✗1.1381k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.113347-1.19%0.11336-1.17%0.0614✗0.836.5M2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037452-1.18%0.038+0.26%0.0692✗0.747,8252022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.649244-1.18%0.629-4.26%0.0358✗0.92178k2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.227209-1.17%0.1876-18.40%0.1351✓0.7767k2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.00153-1.16%0.001621+4.72%0.1142✗0.77343k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003220.003183-1.15%0.00337+4.66%0.1264✗0.94481k2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.183984-1.14%0.1664-10.59%0.0017✓1.341,5202022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.169424-1.09%0.16418-4.15%0.0946✗1.712952022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039351-1.08%0.03601-9.48%0.0328✓0.762,2982022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8697-1.07%2.69+42.33%0.4010✗0.5161k2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.06838-1.06%0.0662-4.21%0.0361✗0.936022022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.841254-1.05%0.8328-2.04%0.0555✗0.8913k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash48.7748.2606-1.04%44.59-8.57%0.0091✓0.95328k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2514-1.04%3.989-7.15%0.0316✓0.442.1M2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.510709-1.03%0.443-14.15%0.0576✓1.154,5592022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.500794-1.01%0.4774-5.63%0.0328✗1.09384k2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,757.18-0.99%1,468.97-17.23%0.0831✓1.30591.2M2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.4245-0.96%24.62-11.09%0.0365✓0.976.8M2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.329126-0.96%0.31645-4.77%0.0136✗0.72327k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005873-0.95%0.00543-8.43%0.0323✓0.63911k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7491.8966-0.91%81.44-12.18%0.0160✓1.425.6M2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021395-0.83%0.020559-4.71%0.0156✗0.7512k2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.227471-0.80%0.2267-1.13%0.0589✗0.85503k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.508486-0.76%0.486-5.15%0.0185✗0.8637.9M2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020907-0.73%0.02052-2.56%0.0354✗0.73223k2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.2928-0.71%0.2704-8.31%0.0121✓0.922.7M2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,585.60-0.68%19,985.60-8.04%0.0076✓0.9413k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059401-0.67%0.0563-5.85%0.0109✗0.8881k2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064167-0.65%0.062299-3.54%0.0158✗0.62129k2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075493-0.64%0.06678-12.11%0.0407✓1.1125k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025313-0.61%0.02341-8.09%0.0254✗1.412,9582022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3018-0.51%4.2761-1.11%0.0493✗0.75702k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero157.51156.8081-0.45%147.56-6.32%0.0136✗1.011.3M2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,611.27-0.19%20,113.37-7.10%0.0019✗1.00473.4M2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.132119+1.09%0.1166-10.79%0.1244✗0.0183k2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.