OPTIM

Optimism · · lstm_s2

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0733

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0108

actual -0.0150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.126417	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.125962	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.126672	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.121392	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.122424	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.126019	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.134546	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.134025	-2.42%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0754	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.137081	-2.61%	0.12882	-8.48%	0.1101	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.153061	-3.37%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1621	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.127743	-2.22%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0293	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.139667	-2.76%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0799	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.135329	-2.75%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0216	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129201	-2.36%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0832	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.116664	-1.92%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1559	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.120479	-2.05%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1843	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.127499	-2.17%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2567	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.135263	-2.35%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0304	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.131187	-2.26%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1368	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.13291	-2.53%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0766	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.124071	-2.46%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0975	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.124846	-2.52%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0050	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.126126	-2.65%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0202	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.125308	-2.68%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0068	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.130469	-2.78%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0216	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.14484	-3.02%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1089	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.139471	-3.04%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0278	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.141587	-3.31%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1139	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.127593	-2.90%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0039	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.119505	-2.72%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0946	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.131199	-3.03%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0214	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.123816	-2.85%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1283	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.120291	-3.87%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1613	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.116906	-3.89%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1542	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.115948	-3.83%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1792	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.099444	-1.44%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1569	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095481	-0.30%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1288	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093961	+0.37%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2112	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.10173	-0.47%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1129	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.095518	+0.85%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2113	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.09676	+1.11%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1754	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.097065	+1.61%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1675	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.0957	+2.04%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0556	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.101393	+1.96%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0279	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.106926	+1.54%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0932	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.111666	+1.10%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0760	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.111992	+1.63%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1199	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.109857	+2.12%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.1035	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.101226	+3.14%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0249	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.104539	+3.31%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0455	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.102431	+3.23%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0448	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.098687	+3.68%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0483	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.09718	+3.88%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1206	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.089877	+4.01%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1673	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.092332	+4.11%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1324	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.093904	+4.26%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0205	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.101357	+4.25%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0137	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.102943	+3.98%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0149	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.105316	+3.77%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0866	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.111201	+3.20%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1675	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.114203	+1.80%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2780	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.110755	+1.68%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2376	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.109704	+2.38%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1908	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096177	-1.86%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0840	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088139	-2.02%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0096	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080201	-2.18%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0635	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082459	-2.03%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0849	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.081658	-2.03%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1239	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083047	-2.09%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0887	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084479	-2.17%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0382	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.086629	-2.30%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0058	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.08401	-2.23%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0149	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089293	-2.41%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1017	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089234	-2.48%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0665	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.08592	-2.36%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0004	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.086358	-2.42%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0102	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.084322	-2.52%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0520	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084353	-2.48%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0622	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085293	-2.52%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0251	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086246	-2.55%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0667	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086214	-2.58%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0528	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.083744	-2.62%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0291	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.080333	-2.63%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0647	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.082935	-2.43%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0112	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.085553	-2.23%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0178	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.087669	-2.05%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0126	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.087782	-1.92%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0051	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086012	-1.70%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0320	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.093523	-2.07%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0577	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.090762	-1.88%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0736	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.090916	-1.71%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0494	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.091045	-1.57%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0351	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.094807	-1.75%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0278	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.096226	-1.81%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0363	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.093003	-1.58%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0414	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093013	-1.57%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0179	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.093979	-1.59%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0094	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.094964	-1.59%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0289	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.096838	-1.69%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0637	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.100513	-1.94%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0592	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.099685	-1.79%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0380	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.096913	-1.61%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0685	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.098812	-1.68%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0584	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.099866	-1.61%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0607	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.101795	-1.65%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0496	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100463	-1.51%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0295	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098307	-1.20%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100637	-1.34%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0182	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105257	-1.63%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0382	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.106663	-1.69%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0622	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.105846	-1.54%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0535	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105462	-1.44%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0456	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098152	-0.86%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0107	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094408	-0.62%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0148	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096371	-0.65%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0266	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099681	-0.82%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0058	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.098767	-0.74%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0226	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.099752	-0.74%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0196	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104117	-0.84%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0170	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105072	-0.88%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0913	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.103487	-0.97%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0669	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.100437	-1.05%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0438	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099263	-1.23%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0838	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.098416	-1.09%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0827	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.101837	-1.61%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0620	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.101945	-1.50%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0912	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.107368	-1.95%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0457	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.106619	-2.18%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0436	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.105984	-2.32%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0112	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.10579	-2.50%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0082	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.105319	-2.48%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0106	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.104118	-2.24%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0020	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.098594	-0.91%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0498	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095787	-0.22%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1471	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.091429	+1.03%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1181	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.097155	+0.68%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0360	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.096698	+0.73%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0543	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.09788	+0.91%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0533	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.095638	+1.74%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0383	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.099635	+1.67%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0499	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111367	-0.57%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1442	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.120262	-2.23%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2388	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.113498	-1.31%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0676	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.119742	-3.43%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0802	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.115105	-2.87%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0118	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.116983	-2.92%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0093	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.11561	-2.44%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0511	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.115797	-2.28%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1333	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.120484	-2.84%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1908	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.12306	-3.10%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0804	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.125423	-3.15%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0786	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.122462	-2.81%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0182	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.126539	-3.04%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0074	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.122661	-2.65%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0043	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.128678	-2.88%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0252	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.125508	-2.71%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0312	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.1222	-2.63%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0510	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.125729	-2.91%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0254	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.124811	-2.87%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0153	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.128749	-2.83%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0331	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.132825	-2.69%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.141147	-2.32%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0169	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.142887	-2.47%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0778	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148567	-2.26%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1199	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.153815	-2.03%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1102	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.160306	-1.95%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1596	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160683	-2.02%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1597	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.168241	-2.19%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1945	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.144792	-2.17%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0156	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.139386	-2.19%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0761	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.125944	-1.99%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1935	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.121228	-2.24%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2353	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.120164	-2.31%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2619	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.123091	-2.31%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2618	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.118132	-2.37%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3507	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.117349	-2.61%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1826	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.116347	-2.64%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1272	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.118562	-2.42%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0179	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.11968	-2.30%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0015	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.122821	-2.13%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0030	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.12259	-2.32%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0131	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.122581	-2.33%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0238	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119013	-2.05%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0404	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.118497	-2.07%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0433	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.120656	-2.30%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0074	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.120631	-2.32%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0063	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.117191	-2.34%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0020	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.122498	-2.39%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0033	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.130647	-2.86%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0454	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.128168	-3.27%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.0983	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.116785	-2.27%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0129	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.109328	-1.95%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0905	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.114048	-2.10%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0593	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.10449	-1.89%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0908	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.112118	-2.08%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0731	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.11304	-2.13%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1131	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.111543	-2.15%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1213	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.111923	-2.25%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0084	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.115608	-2.44%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0707	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.107133	-2.16%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.108031	-2.23%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0416	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.107966	-2.29%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0323	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.108026	-2.24%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0286	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.104431	-1.94%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0094	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.108269	-2.02%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0086	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.10837	-1.93%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0300	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.10397	-1.45%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0169	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.100656	-0.83%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0430	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.101708	-0.77%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0667	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103289	-0.68%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0574	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.107545	-0.88%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0212	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.11244	-0.93%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0340	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.112577	-0.81%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0189	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.11264	-0.76%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0021	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113586	-0.80%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0800	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116504	-0.85%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0840	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.122468	-0.84%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0941	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.120613	-0.73%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0869	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.12552	-0.78%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1016	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.135424	-0.79%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1225	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.136417	-0.79%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1201	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.127491	-0.79%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0265	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.122476	-0.83%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0039	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.121755	-1.01%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0214	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.118339	-0.97%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0363	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.11976	-1.03%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0381	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.117268	-1.04%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0895	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.117367	-0.96%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0560	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114197	-0.70%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0041	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116258	-0.63%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120229	-0.64%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0241	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.124621	-0.70%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0361	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.12807	-0.72%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0164	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125136	-0.69%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0828	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124191	-0.65%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0399	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121128	-0.31%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0557	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122157	-0.28%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0487	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120206	+0.17%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0361	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119879	+0.32%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0172	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124291	+0.23%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0484	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.119534	+1.30%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0313	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.123045	+1.27%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0651	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.12393	+1.17%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0166	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.12986	+1.06%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0390	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.130629	+1.26%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0433	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.141068	+0.76%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1762	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.16491	-0.05%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3175	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.186652	-0.45%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3894	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.189574	-0.49%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3599	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.188833	-0.35%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4096	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196238	-0.39%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3876	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189023	+0.01%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3658	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.183997	+0.82%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2888	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.179512	+1.13%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0722	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.184487	+1.09%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0423	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.190629	+1.13%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0231	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.193172	+1.40%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0096	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.199853	+1.71%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0250	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.201703	+1.87%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0316	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.18732	+3.21%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1050	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.221854	+1.54%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0784	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.216107	+1.70%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0026	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.232258	+1.20%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0050	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.231124	+1.59%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0386	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.237668	+1.57%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0402	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.262835	+0.13%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0373	✓	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268716	-0.29%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1501	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.296591	-1.46%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0539	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.296844	-1.54%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0360	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.293014	-1.51%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0387	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.282932	-1.25%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0061	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.298351	-1.70%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0204	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.298955	-1.66%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0199	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.301776	-1.70%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0118	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.303096	-1.75%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0029	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.294878	-1.54%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0061	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.313622	-1.84%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0332	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.317021	-1.85%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0404	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.339448	-2.04%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0047	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.333307	-1.97%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0243	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.334028	-2.04%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0338	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.344045	-2.12%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0360	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.357321	-2.64%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0357	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.302728	-1.87%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0283	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.309203	-2.00%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0079	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.311124	-2.01%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0193	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.308553	-1.89%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0041	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.307681	-1.86%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0168	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.311091	-1.86%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0063	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.325242	-2.04%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0832	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.323311	-2.03%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0150	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.312632	-2.00%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0238	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.304165	-1.88%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0482	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.299323	-1.86%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0362	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.290971	-1.70%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0200	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.26436	-1.17%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0928	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.268291	-1.18%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0894	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.265987	-1.12%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0592	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.270814	-1.16%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0793	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.274657	-1.20%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0563	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.26484	-0.99%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0797	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.250061	-0.77%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1323	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.261308	-0.83%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0260	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.268171	-0.86%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0101	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.26872	-0.84%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0345	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.270289	-0.81%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0312	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.276186	-0.83%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0186	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.277386	-0.76%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0176	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.258829	-0.45%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0674	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.271502	-0.55%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0630	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.291339	-0.74%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0643	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.290621	-0.64%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1202	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.298316	-0.73%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1015	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.312791	-0.86%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0713	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.305327	-0.71%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0376	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.312141	-0.75%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0164	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.320795	-0.84%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0242	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.33487	-1.07%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0197	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.316013	-0.78%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0216	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.302984	-0.66%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0433	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.312263	-0.71%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0126	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.298726	-0.59%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0073	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.316741	-0.71%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0172	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.324963	-0.77%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0275	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.314387	-0.67%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0423	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.28652	-0.34%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0004	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.316314	-0.69%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0372	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.324138	-0.72%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0067	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.329573	-0.73%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0555	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.330989	-0.75%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0550	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.323452	-0.63%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0560	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323306	-0.37%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1191	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317933	-0.18%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0506	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.303473	+0.65%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0397	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.306086	+1.19%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0942	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.311822	+1.24%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0878	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.360194	-0.08%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1958	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.371588	-0.78%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1068	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.376852	-0.96%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0036	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.362409	-0.57%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0290	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.378159	-1.01%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0356	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.385012	-1.15%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0427	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.374669	-0.88%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0515	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.385504	-1.28%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2839	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.393915	-1.40%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2146	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.399973	-1.48%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2148	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.435124	-2.00%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1861	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.420424	-1.77%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1784	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.416499	-1.77%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1123	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.415985	-1.89%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1329	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.361636	-0.92%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1187	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.369141	-1.03%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1339	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344441	-0.16%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1263	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.35024	-0.64%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2518	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.415715	-1.14%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1707	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.412637	-1.05%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2190	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.395333	-0.79%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2242	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.397598	-0.72%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0906	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.436209	-0.97%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0077	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.432184	-0.88%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0581	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.447213	-0.95%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0569	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.459669	-1.04%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0055	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.442594	-0.87%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0210	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.445075	-0.76%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0747	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.431581	-0.44%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0309	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419817	+0.08%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0117	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.43393	+0.10%	0.436	+0.58%	0.1044	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.4477	+0.04%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0765	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.441567	+0.58%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0902	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.432544	+1.18%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0775	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.427216	+1.72%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0640	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.435253	+1.81%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0513	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.463887	+1.62%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0220	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.491798	+1.30%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0129	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.508634	+1.12%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0166	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.495759	+1.59%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0269	✓	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.465952	+2.18%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0001	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.506093	+1.63%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0318	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.697926	-1.35%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2493	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.721326	-1.39%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2402	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.702127	-1.39%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2209	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.747284	-1.48%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2307	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.708575	-1.38%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2253	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.71428	-1.48%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2400	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.732939	-1.62%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2213	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.737467	-1.87%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0605	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.693447	-1.64%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0286	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.659869	-1.59%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0599	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.66313	-1.61%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0549	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.671499	-1.68%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1499	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.663344	-1.51%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1676	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.66057	-1.41%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1366	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.634492	-1.02%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0684	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.671916	-1.55%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0623	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.6723	-1.49%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0467	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.692212	-1.67%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0609	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.762287	-2.15%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0467	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.790659	-2.27%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0334	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.775576	-2.14%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0204	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.811623	-2.33%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0657	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.