GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s2

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0942

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0148

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.249447	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.253421	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.304879	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.323318	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.249974	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.225205	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.18817	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.192393	-3.61%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2839	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.211498	-4.17%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.2083	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.214432	-4.62%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4001	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.265121	-5.90%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2559	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.176034	-3.01%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4168	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.178408	-3.85%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2957	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.183327	-4.18%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0682	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.200751	-5.21%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0101	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.180869	-4.97%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2175	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.143917	-3.26%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4780	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.177616	-5.19%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5125	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.16577	-5.18%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1276	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111741	-2.62%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5272	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129193	-3.76%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4141	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.137109	-4.72%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4685	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092252	-2.09%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7269	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.08503	-1.46%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5418	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084536	-1.18%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7733	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090129	-0.85%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6430	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090113	-0.98%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2386	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091414	-1.45%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3803	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085974	-0.53%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5105	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082635	-0.44%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1393	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087688	-0.58%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0081	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086555	-0.76%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0181	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.08307	-1.03%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0557	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084685	-1.20%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0389	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080587	-1.59%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1066	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075136	-2.52%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0543	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.07407	-2.28%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0261	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073629	-1.87%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0654	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076886	-0.62%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0358	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077065	-1.05%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0367	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077778	-0.16%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0529	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.076349	+0.37%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0287	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075984	+0.62%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0165	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.07914	+0.91%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0186	✗	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.083136	+0.53%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0680	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080941	+0.97%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0341	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.083041	+0.68%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0216	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082811	+0.72%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0301	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.080148	+1.04%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0235	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.082149	+1.08%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0292	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.07961	+1.10%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0269	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.080336	+0.97%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0160	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.081891	+0.76%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0275	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.080773	+0.85%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0121	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083626	+0.53%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0353	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.085227	+0.38%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0929	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.08853	+0.09%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0966	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.085553	+0.28%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0633	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.08275	+0.38%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0264	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085756	+0.22%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0492	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088685	+0.05%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.1012	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.086986	+0.08%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0582	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091888	+0.33%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0737	✗	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085232	-0.88%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0439	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.08248	-1.85%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0786	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079443	-2.42%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1418	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081246	-2.59%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1370	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082624	-2.94%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1368	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083106	-3.32%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1514	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081276	-4.30%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0951	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078244	-2.96%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.07918	-3.05%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0345	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080498	-3.13%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0069	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.08299	-3.63%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0043	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.084681	-4.47%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0419	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.084904	-4.00%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0447	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081592	-3.33%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0724	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078775	-3.67%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0374	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076908	-2.88%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0802	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.07281	-2.61%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1406	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.075213	-3.14%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1279	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075174	-2.70%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1432	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.07423	-2.66%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1409	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072336	-2.52%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1213	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.071938	-2.08%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1357	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071591	-2.02%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0891	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075064	-2.37%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0075	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069767	-1.93%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1109	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067853	-1.63%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1615	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067689	-1.61%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1451	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064726	-1.42%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1573	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06627	-1.28%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067187	-1.14%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1171	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067584	-1.27%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1697	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066519	-1.19%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0891	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065659	-1.13%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0400	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065548	-1.22%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0557	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065532	-1.31%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0006	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066262	-1.35%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0023	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068292	-1.44%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0209	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.069076	-1.89%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0271	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066485	-1.36%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0231	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.06817	-1.47%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0374	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067484	-1.45%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0307	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068194	-1.76%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0234	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067352	-1.58%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0110	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068071	-1.58%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0166	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.06933	-1.71%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0072	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072839	-2.14%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0540	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073646	-2.17%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0644	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073985	-1.85%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0863	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.07818	-2.71%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1395	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.072094	-2.23%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0733	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.071326	-2.86%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0602	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064976	-1.77%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0237	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066626	-2.23%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0654	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067254	-1.76%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0633	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066503	-2.58%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0873	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066763	-2.69%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1547	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066489	-2.50%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0816	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067733	-3.05%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0924	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.069381	-3.11%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0026	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074194	-2.67%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0421	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.07319	-2.73%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0241	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.07591	-3.11%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0592	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073097	-3.76%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0261	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.07382	-3.13%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0438	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.077484	-3.37%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0680	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.0793	-3.57%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0724	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.077027	-4.81%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0127	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.077232	-5.02%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0012	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.075489	-4.37%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0392	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074717	-2.93%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0170	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.077128	-2.00%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0055	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072175	-0.43%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0807	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.076142	-0.48%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0435	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.074556	+0.32%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0660	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.075002	+1.22%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0166	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.078133	+0.99%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0390	✗	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.081373	-0.41%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0312	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.08679	-2.19%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1558	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087192	-2.70%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0833	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.095601	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.091523	-3.20%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1354	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.090492	-3.19%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1084	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.089389	-3.34%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0535	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090378	-3.32%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0329	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093272	-3.31%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0211	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090112	-3.56%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0589	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095159	-3.36%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0800	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098182	-3.29%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0141	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105824	-3.31%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1033	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.1054	-3.72%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1154	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.104896	-3.37%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0849	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.100702	-3.50%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0195	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.098782	-3.64%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0488	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.09207	-3.59%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0649	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.094501	-3.54%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0749	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.098209	-4.04%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1192	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.099745	-4.47%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1203	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.109871	-4.83%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0116	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.113652	-4.84%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0718	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.127595	-6.52%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.1940	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.165946	-6.64%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5274	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.09847	-2.97%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0263	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.097241	-3.59%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0679	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.090524	-2.46%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2364	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089705	-1.71%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3033	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087276	-1.23%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4511	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.091519	-2.14%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6465	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.090853	-2.22%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0768	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.090952	-2.12%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0846	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091305	-2.27%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0216	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091414	-2.16%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0595	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093656	-2.08%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1062	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.095336	-1.89%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0452	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090421	-1.21%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0285	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093314	-1.42%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0154	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.11323	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106801	-2.40%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1112	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100261	-2.10%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0424	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104302	-2.57%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0863	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110826	-3.06%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1493	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.105963	-3.31%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2053	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.09538	-2.22%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0316	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088387	-1.68%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2701	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.08689	-1.72%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1905	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081266	-1.40%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1881	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078555	-1.30%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2812	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.08221	-1.45%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3114	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074684	-1.20%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3426	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077513	-1.28%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1957	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077001	-1.26%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1025	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077205	-1.29%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0915	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078347	-1.35%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0011	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079275	-1.39%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0260	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078434	-1.42%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0151	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073674	-1.20%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075659	-1.23%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072519	-1.00%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.07364	-1.02%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077459	-1.24%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076596	-1.15%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0048	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075606	-0.96%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0194	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075221	-0.79%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0545	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078485	-0.97%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0390	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078263	-0.88%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0754	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076992	-0.89%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0056	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082644	-1.14%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0054	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084442	-1.18%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0516	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081622	-1.02%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0049	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079762	-0.78%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0214	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078997	-0.75%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0432	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082731	-0.87%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0162	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088081	-1.03%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1083	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089682	-1.07%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0711	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092126	-1.07%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0250	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093168	-1.03%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0631	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093314	-1.14%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0728	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.093502	-1.20%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1253	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094257	-1.30%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1148	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.105591	-2.41%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1613	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.090881	-1.09%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.08273	-0.85%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0589	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081496	-0.81%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0469	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078091	-0.69%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0822	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078018	-0.69%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1305	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080498	-0.72%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1266	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084075	-0.75%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2577	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086662	-0.74%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0963	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086409	-0.77%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0619	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083975	-0.73%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0152	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082904	-0.65%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0563	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086861	-0.71%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1054	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088798	-0.72%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1298	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090535	-0.74%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1235	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090831	-0.73%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1171	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086016	-0.49%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0634	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086596	-0.48%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0965	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089785	-0.63%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0408	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.092949	-0.65%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0436	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092873	-0.62%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0008	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092844	-0.54%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0267	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095146	-0.52%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0665	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100736	-0.65%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0963	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.10387	-0.72%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1075	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102044	-0.67%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1028	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10463	-0.73%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0828	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.10347	-0.61%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0886	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.098179	+0.12%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0629	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095956	+0.34%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0064	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.096044	+0.27%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0754	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098565	+0.16%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0790	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097879	+0.49%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0717	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.101036	+0.82%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0337	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.101854	+0.85%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0490	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.0925	+2.89%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0007	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.105079	+0.80%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0114	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107781	+0.45%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0002	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.11121	+0.01%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0241	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.105591	+0.95%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0236	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.106727	+0.88%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.0920	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.11684	-0.65%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0618	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.118705	-0.75%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0727	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.128335	-1.36%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0225	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.129573	-1.39%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0019	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.12895	-1.34%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0134	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.12329	-1.01%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0268	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.133795	-1.48%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0944	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.129708	-1.29%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0279	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.125141	-1.07%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0190	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.128239	-1.13%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0170	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.125127	-0.93%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0386	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.136306	-1.37%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.136812	-1.36%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0074	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144893	-1.57%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0053	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.13887	-1.37%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0152	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.135077	-1.26%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0060	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.140965	-1.35%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0038	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146379	-1.56%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0624	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.134413	-1.24%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.139448	-1.38%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0376	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.140694	-1.41%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0104	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.142506	-1.45%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0731	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.143001	-1.45%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0982	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143614	-1.43%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0962	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.149219	-1.57%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0301	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.151516	-1.68%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0632	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.147272	-1.62%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0303	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144985	-1.57%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0121	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.142348	-1.49%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0063	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.138789	-1.36%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0059	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.128966	-1.02%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0591	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.132217	-1.11%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0497	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.130337	-1.03%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0540	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131865	-1.08%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0656	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.133215	-1.10%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0542	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.127482	-0.95%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0813	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.124116	-0.87%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0994	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.127511	-0.92%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0235	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.127914	-0.92%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0278	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127414	-0.92%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0576	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.124898	-0.87%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0780	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.126967	-0.88%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0680	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126031	-0.84%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0347	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118624	-0.57%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0243	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.121249	-0.62%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0353	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125108	-0.71%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0387	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.12662	-0.65%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0218	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127451	-0.70%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0196	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.135659	-0.83%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0244	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.137526	-0.85%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0414	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.139419	-0.91%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0329	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.141369	-0.93%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0457	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.15004	-1.09%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0924	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143138	-0.91%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0437	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139692	-0.86%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0470	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.142279	-0.85%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0560	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.13517	-0.76%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0100	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142249	-0.87%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0183	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143549	-0.86%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0174	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141889	-0.78%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0437	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139225	-0.55%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0441	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.151862	-0.81%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0755	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.15265	-0.81%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0339	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.156457	-0.85%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1108	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.159745	-0.90%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1209	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.156488	-0.83%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1307	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.155099	-0.70%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1571	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.158121	-0.74%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0831	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.1593	-0.62%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1090	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.155707	-0.19%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1347	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.154006	+0.00%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0920	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.160194	-0.32%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0879	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.15427	-0.47%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0438	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.158985	-0.63%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1015	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158264	-0.46%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0884	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.161758	-0.64%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1445	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.164583	-0.73%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1762	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.16384	-0.58%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1388	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.168335	-0.92%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2376	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.173559	-1.05%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1015	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.175851	-1.10%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1194	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.188194	-1.37%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1521	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.187181	-1.35%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1047	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.184816	-1.27%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0508	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.187074	-1.33%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0770	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.169819	-0.81%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0381	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.173071	-0.93%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0628	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.165555	-0.39%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0370	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.16191	-0.49%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1777	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.179962	-1.01%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1866	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.181979	-0.99%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2086	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.178917	-0.88%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2033	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.177527	-0.71%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1294	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.186698	-0.85%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0743	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.194375	-0.93%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1073	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.20342	-1.01%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0551	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.21167	-1.09%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0644	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.205075	-0.98%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0731	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.205965	-0.95%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0981	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.204702	-0.87%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0936	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.199323	-0.54%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1137	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.208003	-0.71%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1622	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.215643	-0.90%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1282	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.21853	-0.83%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1540	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213623	-0.46%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1341	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213306	-0.18%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1317	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215736	-0.31%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0884	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.224871	-0.72%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0402	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.233431	-0.92%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0006	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.245823	-1.10%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0159	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.22876	-0.80%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1038	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.213164	+0.55%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.0877	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.203108	+1.12%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2025	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.27487	-1.20%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0049	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.280009	-1.21%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0094	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.268518	-1.13%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0164	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.281298	-1.20%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0408	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.275205	-1.18%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0284	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.27922	-1.23%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0659	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.2844	-1.28%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1822	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.282919	-1.30%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0358	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.274364	-1.24%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0501	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.25327	-0.87%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0624	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.261752	-0.96%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1044	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.275521	-1.03%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2077	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.272832	-0.79%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2190	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.279886	-0.86%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2232	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.270069	-0.49%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1736	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.295618	-1.13%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1671	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.298785	-1.10%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1985	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.302713	-1.14%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1686	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.328951	-1.53%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1060	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.336188	-1.61%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0791	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.331242	-1.53%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0384	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.361664	-1.95%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1261	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.356734	-1.92%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1153	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.344934	-1.74%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0375	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.342626	-1.76%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0597	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.