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2022-08-21 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0912
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.7%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73811.6426-8.60%12.382-2.79%0.1036✗0.441.6M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.69e-7-6.08%7.78e-7+9.19%0.2234✗0.76170k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.795-5.87%4.106-19.40%0.0625✓0.97133k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.6364-4.79%5.5537-6.18%0.0012✓0.172.4M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009033-4.62%0.00825-12.88%0.0183✓1.14456k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2457-4.32%1.201-7.75%0.0547✗0.951.2M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.7656-4.09%5.4352+9.39%0.1492✗0.192.1M2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1014.9105-3.73%4.096-19.70%0.1738✓0.082.2M2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3642.7052-3.73%37.2-16.14%0.0526✓0.891.8M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.2931-3.65%2.08-12.61%0.0171✓0.84833k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.087825-3.55%0.08638-5.14%0.0084✓0.09972k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.7413-3.35%5.16-13.13%0.0711✓0.373.1M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.097243-3.34%0.0981-2.49%0.0749✗0.69234k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.016787-3.30%0.01478-14.86%0.0633✓0.67159k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.359239-3.30%–pending––0.911922022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.066274-3.24%0.06229-9.05%0.0448✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.222409-3.22%0.2134-7.14%0.0876✗1.35111k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.0024-3.21%4.3886+6.13%0.1879✗1.00171k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.3898-3.10%5.809-11.90%0.0697✓0.274.9M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037001-3.09%0.03552-6.97%0.0538✗0.9923k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003627-3.09%0.002987-20.18%0.1128✓0.851.0M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative2.1632.097-3.05%1.692-21.78%0.0895✓1.311.2M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.044.8875-3.03%4.34-13.89%0.0780✓0.431.3M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.181608-2.99%0.2102+12.29%0.2243✗0.821.5M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.6636-2.98%8.09-9.41%0.0271✓0.432.4M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001473-2.96%0.001346-11.35%0.0167✓0.771.6M2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1422-2.87%1.054-10.37%0.0839✗1.723.6M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.151157-2.86%0.1337-14.07%0.0294✓0.97616k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.6449.2006-2.84%45.4-10.35%0.0147✓0.99543k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013113-2.72%0.00001177-12.69%0.0206✓0.91827k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.000087924-2.72%0.0001251+38.42%0.4318✗0.83327k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.618742-2.71%0.525-17.45%0.0571✓1.1296k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.3894-2.60%6.04-7.93%0.0200✓0.381.5M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.703229-2.60%0.645-10.66%0.0440✗1.364.8M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum34.7633.8639-2.58%29.26-15.82%0.0327✗1.87365k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum110.77107.9476-2.55%92.31-16.67%0.0757✓0.843.4M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7632.9035-2.54%30.93-8.38%0.0763✗1.4416.5M2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95853.5699-2.53%51.793-5.76%0.0379✗0.75340k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.052661-2.48%0.0493-8.70%0.0300✗1.00253k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.896322-2.47%0.916-0.33%0.1377✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.403196-2.45%0.36304-12.17%0.0159✓0.9370k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.065863-2.43%0.0604-10.52%0.0297✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.5112-2.42%16.67-12.12%0.0374✓0.701.7M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107113.7694-2.39%12.062-14.50%0.0404✓0.9644k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.312379-2.38%0.36389+13.71%0.2408✗0.92353k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.8685-2.38%1.6-16.41%0.0687✓0.90657k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.5946-2.35%3.6555-0.70%0.0690✗0.551.8M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.022877-2.35%0.022963-1.98%0.0141✓0.11240k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.2013-2.34%5.87-7.56%0.0185✓0.382.1M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036847-2.26%0.0345-8.49%0.0253✗0.9581k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.8488-2.24%2.607-10.54%0.0084✓0.84749k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.3792-2.23%3.998-10.74%0.0604✓0.321.6M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714078-2.18%0.73+0.00%0.0586✗0.38105k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.135118-2.16%0.1202-12.96%0.0619✓0.584.4M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0297-2.05%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006633-2.04%0.006708-0.93%0.0541✗0.4555k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.01436-2.04%0.013002-11.30%0.0370✓0.651.8M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.146848-2.04%0.1396-6.87%0.0452✗1.00149k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0567-1.97%0.9334-13.41%0.0711✓0.553.9M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.840023-1.97%0.7842-8.48%0.0721✗1.47214k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.256038-1.94%0.261-0.04%0.0201✗0.0187k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.173398-1.92%0.1381-21.89%0.1272✓1.051,7442022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.7968-1.92%4.82-18.44%0.1039✓0.841.6M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7072-1.91%2.33-15.58%0.1025✓0.5093k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.757-1.89%1.6656-6.99%0.0494✗1.07698k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.714485-1.86%0.645-11.40%0.0174✓0.89263k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.050102-1.85%0.044396-13.03%0.0703✓0.5330k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001474-1.83%0.001503+0.13%0.0883✗0.729,7092022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.330471-1.82%0.3044-9.57%0.0275✗1.15110k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1812.942-1.81%11.33-14.04%0.0250✓1.132.4M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.004134-1.80%0.00393-6.65%0.0446✗0.99152k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,589.14-1.77%1,426.63-11.82%0.0195✗1.33548.6M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.0279-1.77%5.175+1.10%0.0427✗0.14171k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.258175-1.76%0.2362-10.12%0.0018✓0.9584k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021525-1.76%0.020386-6.96%0.0237✗0.8213k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.3008-1.75%5.639-12.07%0.0295✓0.8510.1M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.28.0575-1.74%7.2-12.20%0.0054✓1.12638k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.578674-1.73%0.52437-10.95%0.0245✗1.2945k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.29682-1.71%0.29294-3.00%0.0865✗1.0413k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.086.9588-1.71%6.251-11.71%0.0051✓1.0719.5M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.064289-1.70%0.0582-11.01%0.0102✓1.15289k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.039522-1.69%0.03732-7.16%0.0217✗0.832,6252022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.2359-1.67%9.51-8.65%0.0386✗1.17318k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,603.09-1.67%8,473.37-3.15%0.1149✗1.367.3M2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.85e-7-1.64%8.50e-7-5.56%0.0361✗0.803.0M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.2228-1.62%1.129-9.17%0.0141✓0.982.2M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3577-1.62%1.39+0.72%0.0185✗-0.05105k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.861974-1.60%0.84-4.11%0.0154✓0.434.4M2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.06818-1.59%0.06175-10.87%0.0013✓1.021.9M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.283461-1.58%0.275-4.51%0.0397✗0.73878k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.304169-1.51%0.291277-5.68%0.0603✗1.08843k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67117.8865-1.49%112.59-5.92%0.0606✗1.114.9M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.069523-1.48%0.06712-4.89%0.0429✗0.829772022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9198-1.47%1.7152-11.97%0.0110✓1.0636k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.088491-1.46%0.0792-11.80%0.0169✓0.989,9252022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.173378-1.43%0.1592-9.49%0.0438✗1.351,5232022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4426-1.43%2.0034-19.15%0.0822✓1.2113k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.792581-1.42%0.6463-19.61%0.0675✓1.43373k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4452-1.40%1.95-21.37%0.1094✓1.22281k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.106499-1.39%0.0992-8.15%0.0314✗1.073.7M2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.386432-1.37%0.3261-16.77%0.0498✓1.25239k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,335.37-1.37%19,646.40-9.18%0.0085✓0.957,5932022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.56380.556152-1.36%0.5282-6.31%0.0335✗0.891.9M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.099729-1.36%0.0854-15.53%0.0648✓0.94414k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.5007-1.35%10.559-0.80%0.1114✗1.1110.4M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.065051-1.32%0.061392-6.87%0.0015✓0.59179k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.110037-1.31%0.1013-9.15%0.0001✓0.86259k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3719-1.30%1.23-11.51%0.0178✓0.95182k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.267003-1.29%0.2638-2.48%0.0820✗0.98132k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.18e-7-1.29%8.60e-7-7.53%0.0131✗0.8218k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.366001-1.29%0.31363-15.41%0.0563✓1.02418k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.2004-1.28%1.944-12.79%0.0138✓1.1560k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.5059-1.27%8.816-8.43%0.0155✗0.951.9M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.045648-1.27%0.042995-7.00%0.0199✗0.8333k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.464073-1.26%0.412-12.34%0.0230✓1.009,5622022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.8527-1.24%1.733-7.62%0.0245✗0.95151k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.022293-1.23%0.02214-1.91%0.0760✗0.87444k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.3435-1.22%6.861-7.71%0.0301✗1.0214.0M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.074314-1.20%0.06897-8.31%0.0389✗1.1929k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash64.6263.8574-1.18%61.17-5.34%0.0643✗1.122.0M2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.05902-1.14%0.0554-7.20%0.0247✗0.92112k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.109767-1.09%0.102736-7.43%0.0163✗0.867.4M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.7212-1.08%18.53-19.33%0.0802✓1.2924.5M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.122968-1.07%0.1184-4.75%0.0589✗1.0139k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.026811-1.07%0.0242-10.70%0.0189✗1.273,2032022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.91789-1.06%0.862501-7.03%0.0130✗0.7970k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.6154-1.06%1.426-12.66%0.0182✓1.11494k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000039131-1.06%0.00004676+18.23%0.2633✗0.891.8M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.0916-1.06%53.38-4.13%0.0638✗1.0013.1M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.366956-1.05%0.32806-11.54%0.0197✓0.9690k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.4346-1.00%2.9825-14.03%0.0463✓0.9943k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.844288-0.97%0.74832-12.23%0.0327✓0.92524k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.221847-0.96%0.2024-9.64%0.0044✓1.0067k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0808-0.95%1.0384-4.84%0.0426✗0.8655k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.424539-0.95%0.3673-14.30%0.0386✓1.1175k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.3033-0.95%0.2823-7.81%0.0163✗0.928.2M2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.566593-0.95%0.488-14.69%0.0412✓1.1390k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003260.00323-0.92%0.00289-11.35%0.0118✓1.04537k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.5765-0.92%14.8-11.54%0.0075✓1.11125k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.235333-0.91%0.2183-8.08%0.0106✗0.90528k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.449-0.91%43.85-13.87%0.0222✓1.2315k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0625-0.89%0.9332-12.95%0.0139✓1.211.1M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5291-0.88%4.3228-5.39%0.0275✗0.77827k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero154.56153.2137-0.87%146.4-5.28%0.0504✗1.001.1M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.046342-0.85%0.04418-5.48%0.0170✗0.6816k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.18543-0.84%0.164-12.30%0.0204✓1.07608k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.4058-0.82%6.275-2.85%0.0682✗0.935.3M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.16274-0.82%0.15977-2.63%0.1843✗2.126362022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana36.4836.184-0.81%30.45-16.53%0.0618✓1.1675.2M2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.4958-0.81%25.35-8.55%0.0101✗0.958.5M2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.694362-0.81%0.631-9.86%0.0076✓0.92324k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.381766-0.79%0.34-11.64%0.0102✓1.10175k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046928-0.79%0.0419-11.42%0.0198✓0.98192k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.0871-0.77%2.966-4.66%0.1106✗1.575.0M2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005872-0.74%0.005519-6.69%0.0027✓0.672,6422022-08-28
DASHDashDash46.846.461-0.72%44.14-5.68%0.0421✗0.98493k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.4862-0.69%0.4349-11.17%0.0049✓1.11400k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.45919-0.69%0.4291-7.20%0.0322✗1.0442.0M2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.510042-0.63%0.4996-2.67%0.0574✗0.82694k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.108382-0.57%0.0996-8.62%0.0162✓0.713,8252022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.040967-0.56%0.0357-13.35%0.0517✓0.9011k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8985.4152-0.55%78.57-8.52%0.0647✗1.556.3M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.3950.392846-0.55%0.3529-10.66%0.0026✓1.15492k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007142-0.53%0.00642-10.58%0.0445✓0.651.3M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.051126-0.53%0.0455-11.48%0.0235✓0.97798k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.0094-0.53%0.00848-10.26%0.0309✓0.756.4M2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001769-0.52%0.001587-10.74%0.0234✓0.89790k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.069244-0.51%0.0619-11.06%0.0247✓0.91121k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.293507-0.47%0.2731-7.39%0.0188✗0.953.5M2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.143208-0.45%0.13172-8.43%0.0349✗1.24246k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.95981-0.42%0.84626-12.20%0.0334✓0.9712k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4132-0.39%13.16-9.05%0.0265✗1.231.4M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5568-0.33%1.36-12.93%0.0213✓1.19156k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.1886-0.31%5.739-20.41%0.1012✓1.2910.7M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.138895-0.29%0.1182-15.15%0.0651✓1.002.1M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,468.67-0.23%19,554.03-9.13%0.0023✓1.00463.8M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.2087-0.10%1.0043-17.00%0.0653✓1.251.0M2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.872803-0.10%0.7744-11.37%0.0165✓1.082.2M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1785+0.14%3.876+22.12%0.2589✓0.63803k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.7304+0.37%1.511-12.35%0.0208✗1.20121k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3575+0.41%1.192-11.83%0.0121✗1.23518k2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.212777+0.41%0.1903-10.19%0.0159✗1.00149k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.02273+0.44%0.02162-4.46%0.0342✓0.8813.4M2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.386191+0.54%0.32-16.69%0.0657✗1.28182k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1826+0.58%1.828-15.76%0.0130✗1.72115k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.615641+0.76%0.489-19.97%0.1133✗1.223,1462022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0356+1.06%0.9934-3.06%0.0994✓1.474.7M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.253+1.21%4.649-10.42%0.0074✓1.3510.9M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.