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2022-08-07 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2914
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.0%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.92%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3923,056.16-0.52%24,316.71+4.92%0.0052✓1.00414.2M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006427-0.74%0.006713+3.68%0.0059✓0.784,5222022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008303-0.80%0.00825-1.43%0.0428✓0.761.6M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.068953-1.01%0.070349+0.99%0.0095✓0.61279k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero164.87163.1738-1.03%168.04+1.92%0.0207✓1.041.1M2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.8468-1.07%5.1274+4.66%0.0477✗0.18234k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.068224-1.07%0.0817+18.47%0.1260✗1.131.6M2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.01034-1.15%0.01037-0.86%0.0414✓0.925.1M2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7044-1.17%5.0549+6.19%0.0352✗0.76887k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.256253-1.25%0.2723+4.93%0.0085✓1.09766k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.521069-1.26%0.5701+8.03%0.0345✗1.1539.5M2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.127754-1.27%0.1308+1.08%0.0268✓1.054,5002022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.338623-1.30%0.3467+1.05%0.0308✓1.133.6M2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5538-1.33%1.6481+4.65%0.0081✓1.40619k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.2607-1.33%30.84+0.55%0.0268✓0.959.1M2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.57e-7-1.35%0.00000101+4.12%0.0141✗0.836.0M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.740759-1.36%1.008+34.22%0.2475✗1.26963k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006243-1.39%0.00672+6.14%0.0493✗0.5148k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash53.3552.6024-1.40%55.08+3.24%0.0057✓1.08552k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.66e-7-1.41%0.00000101+3.06%0.0098✓0.7225k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.584314-1.41%0.5947+0.34%0.0379✓1.16303k2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.059644-1.42%0.0765+26.45%0.1810✗1.42339k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4231-1.42%3.944+60.46%0.4445✗0.8992k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053625-1.42%0.0541-0.55%0.0489✓1.20256k2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002252-1.45%0.002102-8.01%0.1168✓1.001.2M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.0262-1.46%44.89+10.51%0.0500✗1.3579.4M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011836-1.53%0.00001688+40.43%0.3007✗1.13926k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003740.003683-1.54%0.00403+7.75%0.0293✗1.27534k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.135271-1.55%0.1477+7.50%0.0302✗1.2061k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.050406-1.55%0.0472-7.81%0.1256✓1.2510k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031224-1.56%0.03229+1.80%0.0284✓1.291,3502022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.19291-1.57%0.1917-2.18%0.1161✓2.291,0642022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1971-1.57%1.2606+3.64%0.0025✓1.0243k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1260.1552-1.58%63.17+3.35%0.0043✓1.1113.5M2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,673.48-1.58%1,935.85+13.85%0.0824✗1.32407.7M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9477-1.60%3.865-3.66%0.0617✓0.85976k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.303023-1.62%0.2996-2.73%0.0639✓1.10300k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.221354-1.62%0.225+0.00%0.0517✓1.42703k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.4282-1.64%10.646+0.42%0.0314✓1.091.9M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.793753-1.64%0.839+3.97%0.0113✓0.92380k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0375-1.65%1.0568+0.18%0.0241✓0.8951k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.59910.58909-1.67%0.6213+3.71%0.0006✓1.122.1M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.121798-1.67%0.125646+1.43%0.0157✓0.977.0M2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.082447-1.68%0.0883+5.29%0.0059✓1.3129k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash70.2669.0684-1.70%73.71+4.91%0.0062✓1.231.8M2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.178808-1.70%0.171-5.99%0.1020✓1.203.3M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.266463-1.71%0.2868+5.79%0.0221✗1.0765k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3199.5593-1.73%107.44+6.05%0.0020✓1.639.9M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019529-1.73%0.019846-0.14%0.0018✓0.30173k2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,709.04-1.74%24,209.70+4.76%0.0170✓0.9812k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044528-1.75%0.00004614+1.81%0.0160✓1.081.8M2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0916-1.75%0.932-16.11%0.1869✓0.602.1M2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.045009-1.75%0.04942+7.88%0.0492✗0.922,3482022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.254947-1.75%0.2693+3.78%0.0007✓1.1698k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.072184-1.79%0.0721-1.90%0.0462✓0.94158k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.078-1.80%6.368-11.65%0.1823✓1.6011.9M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.102807-1.81%0.0995-4.97%0.0872✓1.145,6912022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023066-1.81%0.025582+8.90%0.0580✗0.9512k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8536-1.82%1.8226-3.46%0.0745✓1.20530k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.8474-1.82%10.26+2.29%0.0234✓1.34385k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.349389-1.83%0.3642+2.33%0.0098✓1.078.2M2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2949-1.83%1.341+1.67%0.0245✓1.241.1M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1443-1.83%1.2058+3.45%0.0005✓1.0812k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.419286-1.85%0.40475-5.25%0.0967✓1.28507k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.6624-1.87%6.12+6.07%0.0531✗0.51964k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052772-1.87%0.05538+2.98%0.0067✓0.8616k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.15875-1.89%0.1716+6.06%0.0220✗1.16102k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7392-1.89%2.808+0.57%0.0604✓1.78126k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.210518-1.90%0.2112-1.58%0.0646✓1.411,1742022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.256415-1.91%0.2611-0.11%0.0175✓0.0131k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4072-1.91%3.6932+6.32%0.0452✗0.741.7M2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9311-1.92%3.1608+5.77%0.0350✗0.841.2M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004619-1.93%0.00499+5.94%0.0169✓1.26102k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.668664-1.96%0.699+2.49%0.0203✓1.3590k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9729-1.98%3.446+13.62%0.0985✗1.02585k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0107-1.98%4.1906+2.41%0.0080✓1.0853k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.471052-1.99%0.4837+0.65%0.0357✓1.30155k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.173824-1.99%0.1773-0.03%0.0534✓1.53207k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.540002-2.00%0.534-3.09%0.0647✓1.1114k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.47-2.00%1.48-1.33%0.0597✓1.391.2M2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.146-2.00%11.588+1.88%0.0238✓1.3113.7M2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.123857-2.01%0.1284+1.58%0.0120✓1.00398k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087496-2.02%0.0854-4.37%0.0778✓1.12124k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.456581-2.02%0.4793+2.85%0.0247✓1.53207k2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7733-2.03%1.75-3.31%0.0735✓1.26132k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.7794-2.04%20.14+5.06%0.0076✓1.30118k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003353-2.04%0.00419+22.41%0.1769✗0.961.0M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.332049-2.05%0.327-3.54%0.0639✓1.011.1M2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.078052-2.05%0.08115+1.83%0.0039✓0.738502022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.611-2.06%8.235-6.34%0.0920✓0.994.0M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.1517-2.07%3.5378+9.93%0.0850✗0.641.2M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032328-2.10%0.04879+47.76%0.3552✗1.1814k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3951-2.10%1.445+1.40%0.0234✓1.222.5M2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.1648-2.10%8.77+5.16%0.0132✓1.2116.7M2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.9725-2.11%4.154+2.37%0.0169✓0.581.6M2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.551702-2.11%0.5199-7.75%0.1225✓1.32232k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.649862-2.11%0.6094-8.21%0.1160✓1.08726k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5368-2.12%1.5-4.46%0.0356✓0.24207k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.155428-2.12%0.1641+3.34%0.0141✓0.843.6M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.35e-7-2.13%4.26e-7+24.32%0.1967✗0.88150k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.424476-2.15%0.44475+2.52%0.0080✓1.14124k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.994-2.16%3.06+0.00%0.0468✓1.43234k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.310067-2.17%0.37655+18.80%0.1463✗1.00366k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.0156-2.21%0.015677-1.72%0.0350✓0.832.1M2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0362-2.21%1.0735+1.32%0.0245✓1.25532k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.6885-2.22%6.42-6.14%0.1017✓1.271.4M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.08342-2.23%0.08572+0.47%0.0143✓0.271.1M2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3712-2.23%1.3892-0.94%0.0597✓1.526.4M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.346558-2.23%0.374117+5.54%0.0186✓1.211.0M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1921.6928-2.24%21.24-4.28%0.0573✓0.762.6M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.116511-2.26%0.1166-2.18%0.0568✓1.20529k2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.059226-2.27%0.0703+16.01%0.1073✗1.34179k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7136.8552-2.27%41.57+10.24%0.0518✗1.4313.0M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.4738-2.27%11.81+0.60%0.0291✓1.21263k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.147849-2.28%0.1811+19.70%0.1542✗1.011.1M2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.050375-2.28%0.053806+4.37%0.0138✓1.0937k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.49070.479421-2.30%0.4917+0.20%0.0329✓1.21808k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.838166-2.31%0.887+3.38%0.0004✓1.17246k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7332-2.32%2.773-0.89%0.0518✓1.3848k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.053776-2.32%0.056453+2.54%0.0202✓0.5926k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98137.6997-2.33%139.45-1.09%0.0439✓1.184.7M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7669-2.33%1.732-4.26%0.0870✓1.40371k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3147-2.33%2.187-7.72%0.1192✓1.30160k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.574944-2.34%0.5344-9.22%0.1271✓1.1346k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.8987-2.34%6.17+2.15%0.0168✓0.59887k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017461-2.34%0.01762-1.45%0.0281✓0.78175k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.5782-2.34%8.882+1.12%0.0313✓1.389.9M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9508-2.36%1.939-2.95%0.0721✓1.38234k2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001688-2.38%0.001792+3.64%0.0142✓0.958,9342022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.1113-2.40%1.0962-3.73%0.0791✓1.361.7M2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2763-2.42%2.3122-0.87%0.0403✓1.1738k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.4718-2.42%14.53-13.92%0.1909✓1.372.6M2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.908413-2.43%0.981+5.37%0.0004✓1.61462k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.4467-2.43%8.955+3.44%0.0022✓1.1711.0M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1379-2.43%1.1212-3.87%0.0537✓0.814.1M2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87860.3706-2.44%62.391+0.83%0.0051✓0.79306k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.380885-2.44%0.4905+25.64%0.2079✗0.941492022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0853-2.44%1.207+8.50%0.0534✗1.1013k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0439-2.44%2.98-4.49%0.0453✓0.50116k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001163-2.46%0.001432+20.01%0.1506✗1.181.3M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0372-2.48%2.387+14.27%0.1045✗1.12606k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.062706-2.48%0.067+4.20%0.0065✓1.24799k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.740172-2.48%0.7-7.77%0.1251✓1.44135k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.718-2.48%8.97+0.34%0.0119✓0.351.8M2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.963814-2.50%1.0019+1.36%0.0443✓1.73296k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.349159-2.51%0.36752+2.62%0.0087✓1.2513k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.04298-2.54%0.0428-2.95%0.0595✓1.1577k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.0388-2.55%8.001-3.01%0.0622✓1.206.8M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.670885-2.55%0.71015+3.16%0.0137✓1.4769k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum44.2243.089-2.56%43.26-2.17%0.0859✓1.87293k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0172-2.56%1.4588+39.75%0.3083✗1.09933k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.977-2.58%3.077+0.70%0.0379✓1.4813k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5631-2.60%5.932+26.62%0.2417✗0.431.2M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.232973-2.60%0.2555+6.81%0.0199✓1.5189k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8562.1838-2.61%63.04-1.27%0.0521✓1.3738k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.456942-2.63%0.4118-12.25%0.1584✓1.1380k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1252-2.65%2.039-6.60%0.0951✓1.12225k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5544-2.65%2.832+7.93%0.0423✗1.27505k2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.1567-2.66%28.19+1.04%0.0373✓1.5529.2M2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000096871-2.70%0.00010014+0.58%0.0527✓1.79466k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,127.10-2.72%11,226.83-1.85%0.0586✓1.415.2M2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.788795-2.74%0.753-7.15%0.1135✓1.402,7022022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.248021-2.78%0.2284-10.47%0.1431✓1.271,5612022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008809-2.78%0.00865-4.53%0.0765✓1.22421k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.077196-2.78%0.0809+1.89%0.0075✓1.131.3M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4831.565-2.82%39.27+20.91%0.1479✗1.471.1M2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.124679-2.82%0.1393+8.57%0.0457✗1.362.9M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.170825-2.83%0.1842+4.78%0.0196✓1.16529k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration65.4263.562-2.84%58.87-10.01%0.1314✓1.14419k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.033363-2.90%0.02926-14.84%0.1942✓1.3113.9M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9227-2.91%5.06-0.20%0.0017✓0.611.3M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.9512-2.91%18.56+0.38%0.0291✓1.301.4M2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.46122.7346-2.95%118.61-6.21%0.0783✓0.924.5M2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.845314-2.95%0.874+0.34%0.0483✓1.704.3M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.4787-3.03%5.42-4.07%0.0361✓0.532.1M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.9513-3.15%3.821-6.35%0.1146✓1.695.2M2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.0161-3.16%4.102-1.09%0.0016✓0.471.9M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.459951-3.22%0.49265+3.66%0.0365✗0.6770k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3911-3.58%2.55+2.82%0.0127✓1.08507k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.6367-3.61%16.2019-11.45%0.1378✓1.1053k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.103274-3.73%0.09281-13.48%0.1778✓1.481.2M2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.840.808468-3.75%0.81-3.57%0.0258✓0.5878k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.5283-4.40%6.354-6.96%0.0479✓0.432.7M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.8163-5.01%1.44-24.69%0.3257✓1.953.1M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.103344-5.19%0.1275+16.97%0.1733✗0.77163k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.037346-7.95%0.02573-36.58%0.4216✓1.02159k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.