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2022-08-06 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2735
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.8%
in alpha space · 22.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,862.12-0.43%24,456.49+6.51%0.0043✗1.00427.9M2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006282-0.66%0.006994+10.59%0.0530✗0.864,5222022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008278-0.74%0.00828-0.72%0.0574✓0.911.6M2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51159.0887-0.89%168.13+4.75%0.0157✓1.121.1M2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.068833-0.97%0.069903+0.57%0.0294✓0.71327k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009961-0.98%0.01031+2.49%0.0213✓0.885.2M2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.067946-1.01%0.072906+6.21%0.0039✓1.181.6M2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.8982-1.05%4.8922-1.17%0.0122✓0.17228k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022753-1.16%0.02741+19.07%0.1224✗1.01159k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.566026-1.20%0.6153+7.40%0.0110✓1.15318k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.505234-1.21%0.5598+9.46%0.0264✗1.2140.5M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7186-1.23%5.1095+6.95%0.0322✗0.75908k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,931.83-1.25%24,547.20+5.71%0.0064✓0.9812k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.58e-7-1.27%0.00000102+5.15%0.0099✓0.846.1M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.128147-1.27%0.1341+3.31%0.0175✓1.004,7012022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.254484-1.29%0.2759+7.02%0.0067✓1.17768k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.9934-1.31%31.33+3.09%0.0166✓0.959.4M2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.336638-1.31%0.3595+5.39%0.0079✓1.173.6M2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.739177-1.31%1.038+38.58%0.2624✗1.22963k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.070048-1.34%0.0716+0.85%0.0367✓0.93158k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.5268-1.36%46.63+16.37%0.0789✗1.3780.8M2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5376-1.36%1.7029+9.24%0.0146✗1.39619k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.00218-1.37%0.002197-0.59%0.0552✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5751.8389-1.39%57.07+8.56%0.0262✗1.11574k2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.56e-7-1.41%0.00000101+4.12%0.0094✓0.7225k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.429132-1.42%0.4939+13.46%0.0576✗1.31134k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4149-1.43%4.135+68.78%0.4815✗0.8992k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059528-1.44%0.0784+29.80%0.1865✗1.41350k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.003646-1.46%0.00389+5.14%0.0169✓1.30551k2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011775-1.47%0.00001262+5.61%0.0090✓1.24934k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006364-1.47%0.006824+5.65%0.0386✗0.4944k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.030904-1.48%0.03326+6.02%0.0081✓1.291,3502022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1759-1.49%1.2916+8.20%0.0273✗1.0543k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6566.6176-1.53%76.21+12.65%0.0545✗1.271.7M2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.219595-1.53%0.235+5.38%0.0271✓1.50716k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.053862-1.53%0.0554+1.28%0.0527✓1.28269k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.575116-1.54%0.6334+8.44%0.0222✗1.182.1M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8459.8907-1.56%63.86+4.96%0.0095✓1.1713.5M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049707-1.57%0.0501-0.79%0.0737✓1.2910k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.119967-1.59%0.126836+4.05%0.0068✓0.997.0M2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,663.88-1.59%1,984.75+17.38%0.0951✗1.29407.7M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.3333-1.60%10.697+1.87%0.0350✓1.102.0M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0897.4814-1.61%110.5+11.53%0.0205✗1.6610.0M2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.076149-1.62%0.1176+51.94%0.3885✗0.73159k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.136256-1.62%0.1512+9.17%0.0245✗1.2661k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.266391-1.63%0.2886+6.57%0.0102✓1.1165k2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0292-1.64%1.0828+3.48%0.0087✓0.9458k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.4563-1.65%11.906+11.98%0.0442✗1.3613.0M2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.405246-1.66%0.41477+0.65%0.0635✓1.38507k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.9001-1.66%4.065+2.50%0.0123✓0.85976k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000043994-1.67%0.0000474+5.95%0.0009✓1.171.9M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.794364-1.69%0.872+7.92%0.0281✗1.03390k2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.158-1.70%0.991-15.87%0.1957✓0.632.1M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003186-1.70%0.004633+42.95%0.3112✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.099662-1.71%0.1028+1.38%0.0450✓1.205,6912022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.194933-1.73%0.20197+1.82%0.1092✓2.291,1202022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.343127-1.74%0.3686+5.56%0.0011✓1.158.2M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.084589-1.74%0.09127+6.02%0.0094✓1.3529k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.254057-1.76%0.2745+6.15%0.0003✓1.2299k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.307476-1.76%0.3084-1.47%0.0662✓1.10300k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.177297-1.77%0.1759-2.55%0.0861✓1.243.3M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6498-1.79%2.902+7.56%0.0200✓1.76118k2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.6467-1.80%6.12+6.43%0.0432✗0.59878k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022784-1.81%0.025853+11.42%0.0658✗0.9612k2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1377-1.82%1.2311+6.24%0.0096✓1.1012k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019869-1.82%0.020481+1.20%0.0052✓0.40173k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8435-1.82%1.9104+1.74%0.0451✓1.28530k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.166181-1.84%0.18116+7.01%0.0115✓1.55212k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.118962-1.85%0.1296+6.93%0.0174✓1.08370k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2955-1.85%1.326+0.45%0.0551✓1.241.1M2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045645-1.86%0.04922+5.83%0.0164✓0.932,3002022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001096-1.86%0.001473+31.89%0.2171✗1.241.3M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.1281-1.87%6.66-8.31%0.1761✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.3832-1.87%3.4312-0.48%0.0411✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.159488-1.91%0.1743+7.20%0.0102✓1.25102k2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.538389-1.93%0.558+1.64%0.0365✓1.1516k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004589-1.94%0.00504+7.69%0.0110✓1.31112k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.918-1.94%2.999+0.78%0.0342✓0.981.2M2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.6426-1.94%9.149+17.39%0.1004✗1.2616.9M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.085201-1.96%0.0916+5.41%0.0010✓1.16126k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.664512-1.99%0.702+3.54%0.0333✓1.4090k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.0445-2.01%4.2917+3.98%0.0089✓1.0853k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.211159-2.01%0.2195+1.86%0.0506✓1.421,2762022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.30e-7-2.01%3.22e-7-4.51%0.0869✓0.97153k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.8816-2.02%20.82+8.04%0.0116✓1.36118k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.1455-2.02%3.4228+6.62%0.0367✗0.761.2M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.031989-2.02%0.04514+38.25%0.2665✗1.2314k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4989-2.03%1.55+1.31%0.0151✓0.29242k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4792-2.04%1.54+1.99%0.0488✓1.411.2M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.332067-2.05%0.333-1.77%0.0621✓1.031.1M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.443524-2.05%0.462+2.03%0.0526✓1.48242k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255889-2.07%0.261-0.11%0.0190✓0.0131k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9711-2.07%3.746+23.47%0.1606✗1.13572k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.111721-2.08%0.1229+7.71%0.0158✓1.26505k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.877-2.12%4.086+3.16%0.0089✓0.691.5M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.309527-2.13%0.3817+20.69%0.1394✗1.11366k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.4779-2.15%6.65+0.45%0.0609✓1.381.4M2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.964-2.18%3.24+6.93%0.0069✓1.52234k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.058785-2.19%0.0672+11.81%0.0458✗1.39179k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7898-2.19%1.85+1.09%0.0506✓1.33129k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.473862-2.20%0.5095+5.16%0.0057✓1.24808k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.421282-2.20%0.46097+7.01%0.0146✓1.20124k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3984-2.21%1.485+3.85%0.0198✓1.272.5M2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.142971-2.21%0.1616+10.53%0.0545✗1.081.0M2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3429-2.21%1.4348+4.48%0.0304✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.554287-2.22%0.5216-7.99%0.1441✓1.32234k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.154867-2.23%0.1717+8.40%0.0425✗0.963.6M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0237-2.24%1.0614+1.35%0.0466✓1.31532k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015534-2.24%0.01624+2.20%0.0126✓0.902.1M2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.08446-2.25%0.08755+1.33%0.0188✓0.271.1M2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.3617-2.25%10.46-1.32%0.0795✓1.41358k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.1421-2.26%21.34-1.34%0.0428✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.3672-2.26%12.18+4.73%0.0072✓1.21290k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.5801-2.28%8.987+2.36%0.0415✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.637127-2.28%0.6271-3.82%0.0889✓1.16755k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.345396-2.28%0.387693+9.68%0.0355✗1.271.0M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.072696-2.29%0.0823+10.62%0.0547✗1.101.1M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9468-2.32%1.994+0.05%0.0643✓1.40253k2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001669-2.32%0.001748+2.28%0.0190✓1.039,0932022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2852-2.32%2.4159+3.26%0.0210✓1.2137k2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017298-2.33%0.01788+0.96%0.0190✓0.83176k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.815546-2.33%0.917+9.82%0.0406✗1.21241k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.9672-2.34%6.06-0.82%0.0269✓0.67754k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6952-2.35%2.867+3.88%0.0289✓1.4447k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.3231-2.36%9.31+9.22%0.0342✗1.2311.0M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.90122-2.36%0.974+5.53%0.0356✓1.80469k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.053925-2.36%0.05467-1.01%0.0417✓0.8816k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34137.9882-2.37%144.43+2.19%0.0306✓1.214.7M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.2203-2.38%8.374-11.34%0.1619✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.5254-2.39%15.39-9.10%0.1601✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.053316-2.40%0.056988+4.32%0.0309✗0.5725k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1019-2.41%1.138+0.79%0.0544✓1.371.5M2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.6643-2.43%8.81-0.79%0.0135✓0.481.8M2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0244-2.44%3.03-2.26%0.0298✓0.50116k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7834-2.44%1.823-0.27%0.0686✓1.43371k2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.9877-2.45%29.19+9.57%0.0166✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.050535-2.45%0.054466+5.14%0.0005✓1.2037k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0812-2.45%1.243+12.15%0.0738✗1.0413k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3078-2.46%2.328-1.61%0.0815✓1.43169k2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.964059-2.47%1.0121+2.39%0.0574✓1.68296k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42459.9022-2.48%63.346+3.13%0.0029✓0.84321k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.351306-2.49%0.37115+3.02%0.0264✓1.2913k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1375-2.51%1.1627-0.35%0.0323✓0.864.1M2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.836.8465-2.52%43.58+15.29%0.0781✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.674208-2.54%0.72052+4.16%0.0289✓1.5178k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075814-2.54%0.08281+6.45%0.0423✗0.739072022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.229301-2.55%0.2699+14.70%0.0703✗1.4789k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.749299-2.56%0.733-4.68%0.1148✓1.47135k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.1698-2.57%47.76+15.84%0.0553✗1.87293k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.063035-2.57%0.0714+10.36%0.0430✗1.29803k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9255-2.58%3.2141+7.03%0.0043✓1.5613k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.0714-2.58%8.197-1.06%0.0622✓1.236.9M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.083625-2.59%0.09698+12.96%0.0545✗1.481.1M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043246-2.60%0.0442-0.45%0.0561✓1.2376k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.554555-2.61%0.5584-1.93%0.0639✓1.1246k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.5338-2.62%4.814+3.39%0.0250✓0.551.3M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.420786-2.66%0.4375+1.20%0.0357✓1.1880k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.780607-2.67%0.792-1.25%0.0777✓1.462,7912022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0621-2.68%2.408+13.64%0.0747✗1.27619k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008608-2.73%0.00886+0.11%0.0513✓1.27392k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000097217-2.80%0.00009674-3.28%0.1371✓2.10480k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.4244-2.84%6.38+14.28%0.1296✗0.522.6M2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.4893-2.84%5.4-4.42%0.0547✓0.611.5M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.8249-2.85%40.15+26.54%0.1767✗1.39949k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.4271-2.86%19.24+7.25%0.0147✓1.341.3M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.124137-2.87%0.1441+12.75%0.0605✗1.402.9M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034238-2.87%0.03126-11.32%0.1826✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,385.84-2.88%11,424.48-2.55%0.0882✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.8839-2.90%4.96-1.39%0.0288✓0.701.3M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0563.1565-2.91%65.44+0.60%0.0534✓1.4138k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14116.6258-2.93%126.57+5.35%0.0203✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.169191-2.93%0.1908+9.47%0.0409✗1.26529k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.9187-3.03%4.099+1.44%0.0087✓0.571.9M2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0611-3.05%1.419+29.65%0.2182✗1.151.0M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4164.3821-3.05%61.18-7.88%0.1245✓1.16419k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.844282-3.07%0.912+4.71%0.0329✓1.744.4M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.4898-3.12%2.923+13.74%0.0804✗1.27466k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1406-3.12%3.972-7.07%0.1518✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.457173-3.24%0.53395+13.01%0.1075✗0.7670k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4249-3.39%2.66+5.98%0.0250✓1.07507k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.255388-3.44%0.2265-14.37%0.2025✓1.311,5612022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.1963-3.63%2.107-7.55%0.1127✓1.13219k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.876009-4.78%0.82-10.87%0.1024✓0.5878k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.6157-4.81%17.0389-7.93%0.1045✓1.1353k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.801-5.26%1.542-18.88%0.2785✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.