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2022-08-05 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2847
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 21.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,320.8123,226.91-0.40%24,415.18+4.69%0.0040✗1.00455.4M2022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063340.006298-0.57%0.006893+8.83%0.0514✗0.854,9752022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008430.008373-0.68%0.00838-0.59%0.0406✓0.901.6M2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0698370.069307-0.76%0.070487+0.93%0.0148✓0.69345k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero161.87160.4812-0.86%166.92+3.12%0.0111✓1.101.1M2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.95194.909-0.87%4.7972-3.12%0.0308✓0.17225k2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022410.022216-0.87%0.02664+18.88%0.1346✗1.03159k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697990.069157-0.92%0.072322+3.62%0.0090✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,205.3022,978.28-0.98%24,153.80+4.09%0.0049✓0.9813k2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01030.010199-0.98%0.01039+0.87%0.0220✓0.885.2M2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06890.06818-1.04%0.0727+5.52%0.0209✗0.94170k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum4.73754.6855-1.10%5.044+6.47%0.0393✗0.75916k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51760.511642-1.15%0.5407+4.46%0.0002✓1.2040.5M2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.68e-7-1.18%0.00000103+5.10%0.0233✗0.846.4M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34030.336217-1.20%0.3631+6.70%0.0236✗1.163.6M2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12960.128044-1.20%0.139+7.25%0.0365✗1.004,9522022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.58360.576498-1.22%0.6074+4.08%0.0003✓1.15329k2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7530.743594-1.25%0.942+25.10%0.1809✗1.21968k2022-08-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022270.002199-1.26%0.002191-1.62%0.0495✓1.001.2M2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.26230.258997-1.26%0.2777+5.87%0.0163✗1.16768k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana40.5440.0275-1.26%45.5+12.23%0.0655✗1.3780.8M2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.7630.3681-1.27%31.22+1.50%0.0161✓0.9510.0M2022-08-12
DASHDashDash52.451.7316-1.28%56.16+7.18%0.0317✗1.10574k2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06240.061572-1.33%0.0739+18.43%0.1174✗1.42350k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185410.116964-1.33%0.126413+6.64%0.0322✗0.996.9M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.1961.1799-1.35%1.2878+7.68%0.0394✗1.0542k2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.59080.582729-1.37%0.6348+7.45%0.0316✗1.182.1M2022-08-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.90e-79.76e-7-1.39%0.00000103+4.04%0.0078✓1.0025k2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61.5776-1.40%1.6851+5.32%0.0019✓1.39619k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048807-1.40%0.0502+1.41%0.0313✓1.309,0132022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031110.030674-1.40%0.03363+8.10%0.0326✗1.301,4012022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012120.000011949-1.41%0.0000127+4.79%0.0040✓1.24951k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.472.4351-1.41%4.051+64.01%0.4681✗0.89110k2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.4410.2891-1.45%10.654+2.05%0.0159✓1.112.0M2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07390.072829-1.45%0.127+71.85%0.5228✗0.73155k2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4380.431654-1.45%0.476+8.68%0.0375✗1.32147k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase1.05271.0371-1.49%1.1083+5.28%0.0230✗0.9560k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22461-1.49%0.236+3.51%0.0197✓1.51755k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05590.055069-1.49%0.0569+1.79%0.0259✓1.28284k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13830.136215-1.51%0.1535+10.99%0.0615✗1.2761k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032130.003164-1.53%0.004523+40.77%0.3119✗0.991.0M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.27130.267113-1.54%0.2956+8.96%0.0504✗1.1165k2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.003850.00379-1.56%0.00392+1.82%0.0254✓1.29551k2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.4961.5163-1.56%62.95+0.74%0.0300✓1.1613.5M2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash69.1568.0668-1.57%77.34+11.84%0.0703✗1.251.7M2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30540.300511-1.60%0.3094+1.31%0.0218✓1.11300k2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10050.098888-1.60%0.104+3.48%0.0049✓1.216,5342022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006641-1.60%0.006832+1.23%0.0049✓0.5140k2022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078140.076863-1.63%0.08331+6.62%0.0471✗0.739072022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051010.050174-1.64%0.05396+5.78%0.0320✗0.8915k2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26120.256911-1.64%0.2787+6.70%0.0253✗1.2299k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196020.192788-1.65%0.19851+1.27%0.0762✓2.301,1512022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase18.4318.1238-1.66%21.35+15.84%0.1002✗1.39118k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6053-1.66%6.32+10.88%0.0928✗0.59878k2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08660.085155-1.67%0.0916+5.77%0.0109✓1.3530k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.15321.134-1.67%1.2318+6.81%0.0321✗1.1012k2022-08-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045330.044573-1.67%0.04953+9.27%0.0624✗0.942,0262022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230380.022653-1.67%0.025466+10.54%0.0729✗0.9612k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1591.1395-1.68%1.013-12.60%0.1466✓0.631.9M2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.86651.8351-1.68%1.9249+3.13%0.0102✓1.26530k2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,736.791,707.49-1.69%1,959.91+12.85%0.0790✗1.28418.9M2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000045530.000044761-1.69%0.00004784+5.07%0.0133✓1.161.9M2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427950.420707-1.69%0.42697-0.23%0.0483✓1.37545k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.96610.7803-1.69%12.061+9.99%0.0501✗1.3513.0M2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202880.019942-1.71%0.020089-0.98%0.0114✓0.41172k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011250.001106-1.72%0.001509+34.12%0.2541✗1.241.3M2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum103.27101.4771-1.74%114.79+11.16%0.0473✗1.6610.2M2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35890.352554-1.77%0.3656+1.87%0.0162✓1.158.3M2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.181121-1.78%0.1809-1.90%0.0574✓1.233.4M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7522.703-1.78%2.964+7.70%0.0119✓1.75118k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1640.161073-1.78%0.1752+6.83%0.0277✗1.23107k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1544.0795-1.79%4.17+0.39%0.0172✓0.85976k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.3978-1.80%3.4443-0.46%0.0267✓0.881.5M2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8330.817967-1.80%0.88+5.64%0.0263✗1.02389k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00470.004614-1.82%0.00511+8.72%0.0422✗1.30126k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15070.147921-1.84%0.1745+15.79%0.1214✗0.963.6M2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8787.7318-1.86%9.333+18.47%0.1307✗1.2517.9M2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.351.3249-1.86%1.334-1.19%0.0501✓1.241.1M2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5737.4318-1.87%7.035-7.10%0.1337✓1.7211.9M2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.7368-1.87%1.9+7.34%0.0294✗1.32127k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.740.726059-1.88%0.83+12.16%0.1066✗0.5978k2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3370.330574-1.91%0.329-2.37%0.0523✓1.041.1M2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.07944.0013-1.92%4.2925+5.22%0.0206✗1.0851k2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23793.1752-1.93%3.3109+2.25%0.0070✓0.761.2M2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9463.8693-1.94%4.151+5.20%0.0383✗0.701.5M2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.426760.418433-1.95%0.46635+9.28%0.0537✗1.19118k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11390.111677-1.95%0.1237+8.60%0.0449✗1.25505k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12550.123046-1.96%0.1304+3.90%0.0083✓1.08380k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.0472.9871-1.97%3.223+5.78%0.0249✗1.11587k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.316615.0121-1.99%17.1241+11.80%0.0790✗1.1553k2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5485-1.99%1.59+0.63%0.0129✓0.30242k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4799-2.00%1.56+3.31%0.0116✓1.401.2M2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.44951-2.00%0.4764+3.86%0.0098✓1.48263k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.516-2.01%6.66+0.15%0.0417✓1.391.4M2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22010.21566-2.02%0.2224+1.04%0.0341✓1.421,2802022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00962.9487-2.02%3.0168+0.24%0.0223✓0.981.2M2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7080.693633-2.03%0.7-1.13%0.0547✓1.3990k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.9724.4587-2.05%29.35+17.54%0.1096✗1.5826.1M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.072972-2.05%0.0827+11.01%0.0746✗1.101.1M2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.23060.225853-2.06%0.2434+5.55%0.0148✓1.311,5612022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09070.088832-2.06%0.0919+1.32%0.0192✓1.16126k2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.48e-73.41e-7-2.06%3.20e-7-7.98%0.1070✓0.97157k2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4321.4023-2.08%1.496+4.47%0.0066✓1.272.6M2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033580.03288-2.08%0.04843+44.22%0.3308✗1.2314k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.325660.318821-2.10%0.39278+20.61%0.1571✗1.12383k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0610.059718-2.10%0.066+8.20%0.0363✗1.39179k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.67180.657644-2.11%0.644-4.14%0.0741✓1.16690k2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3588590.351215-2.13%0.388363+8.22%0.0423✗1.271.0M2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.49180.481318-2.13%0.5099+3.68%0.0010✓1.24808k2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3418.1629-2.13%8.751+4.92%0.0218✗1.042.9M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.0178-2.14%0.01781-2.09%0.0373✓0.82182k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177770.173961-2.14%0.18299+2.94%0.0203✓1.55222k2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.255888-2.15%0.2614-0.04%0.0207✓0.0130k2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086430.084571-2.15%0.08726+0.96%0.0187✓0.281.1M2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.44171.4107-2.15%1.4231-1.29%0.0600✓1.506.4M2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.9295-2.15%6.13+1.16%0.0017✓0.69746k2022-08-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016770.001641-2.16%0.001706+1.73%0.0084✓1.039,0502022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3520.8876-2.17%21.15-0.94%0.0258✓0.832.4M2022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9728.7773-2.17%9.21+2.65%0.0152✓1.389.9M2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.14590.142709-2.19%0.164+12.41%0.0898✗1.08986k2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.173.1003-2.20%3.25+2.52%0.0220✓1.51234k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163240.015965-2.20%0.01628-0.27%0.0216✓0.902.1M2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8452.7822-2.21%2.947+3.59%0.0079✓1.4349k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0251.9801-2.22%2.034+0.44%0.0377✓1.41266k2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3332.2812-2.22%2.341+0.34%0.0377✓1.39169k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.98.7017-2.23%8.86-0.45%0.0043✓0.491.8M2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.570.557254-2.24%0.554-2.81%0.0582✓1.1416k2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.93138.7548-2.24%143.1+0.82%0.0243✓1.204.6M2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9390.917937-2.24%0.983+4.69%0.0124✓1.76476k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8480.828877-2.26%0.938+10.61%0.0681✗1.21233k2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.695140.679459-2.26%0.72656+4.52%0.0021✓1.5188k2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0552560.054004-2.27%0.056411+2.09%0.0171✓0.5825k2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07561.0512-2.27%1.0686-0.65%0.0434✓1.30532k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56940.556474-2.27%0.5531-2.86%0.0669✓1.33245k2022-08-12
FISStafiEthereum0.39030.381418-2.28%–pending––0.941722022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7580.740624-2.29%0.741-2.24%0.0669✓1.47121k2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98690.96424-2.30%1.0248+3.84%0.0165✓1.69281k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.36770.359211-2.31%0.37096+0.89%0.0271✓1.2913k2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.35132.2969-2.31%2.3981+1.99%0.0123✓1.2134k2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.0560.6033-2.33%63.536+2.39%0.0091✓0.83321k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.096-2.33%3-5.36%0.0544✓0.50116k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum61.3159.8774-2.34%65.12+6.21%0.0197✓1.4035k2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2216.8145-2.35%16.03-6.91%0.1126✓1.412.6M2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8311.7878-2.36%1.801-1.64%0.0581✓1.43354k2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0311.7419-2.40%12.4+3.08%0.0011✓1.21290k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.818.5982-2.40%9.484+7.65%0.0417✗1.2311.0M2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0528150.051543-2.41%0.055699+5.46%0.0226✓1.2035k2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0312-2.43%1.2293+16.31%0.1278✗1.0413k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.18641.1574-2.44%1.1467-3.35%0.0721✓1.371.4M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3828.1763-2.45%8.394+0.14%0.0297✓1.227.0M2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum107.26104.5901-2.49%128.24+19.56%0.1586✗0.994.2M2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.724.6013-2.52%4.875+3.28%0.0321✗0.561.4M2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.083360.081258-2.52%0.10047+20.53%0.1443✗1.481.0M2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04510.043959-2.53%0.0445-1.33%0.0441✓1.2377k2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.14253.0627-2.54%3.2354+2.96%0.0161✓1.5513k2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.695.545-2.55%5.53-2.81%0.0307✓0.611.5M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8240.80296-2.55%0.792-3.88%0.0803✓1.452,9182022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24190.235685-2.57%0.2537+4.88%0.0061✓1.4789k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.2737.2695-2.61%43.41+13.43%0.0877✗1.4112.8M2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration63.561.824-2.64%61.14-3.72%0.0648✓1.17379k2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100970.000098301-2.64%0.00009809-2.85%0.0969✓2.07498k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009040.008799-2.67%0.00892-1.33%0.0446✓1.27390k2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.036280.035311-2.67%0.03262-10.09%0.1450✓1.4313.9M2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.07481.0459-2.69%1.4259+32.67%0.2574✗1.141.0M2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1575-2.69%1.1564-2.78%0.0404✓0.864.4M2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.1952.1355-2.71%2.426+10.52%0.0700✗1.26619k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06740.065563-2.73%0.0733+8.75%0.0525✗1.29803k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.8815-2.76%5.08+1.20%0.0076✓0.701.3M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3415.1937-2.76%6.594+23.46%0.2146✗0.532.4M2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.6310.3359-2.77%10.7+0.66%0.0299✓1.41338k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9113.8012-2.81%4.176+6.78%0.0674✗0.581.9M2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1310.127257-2.86%0.1472+12.37%0.0822✗1.382.9M2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4317.9028-2.86%18.66+1.25%0.0185✓1.311.3M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43790.425095-2.92%0.4449+1.60%0.0090✓1.1979k2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17870.17344-2.94%0.196+9.68%0.0649✗1.25529k2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.848152-3.07%0.944+7.89%0.0277✓1.734.6M2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0613.9353-3.10%4.15+2.19%0.0268✓1.745.1M2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4322-3.10%2.59+3.19%0.0138✓1.07507k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.478650.46341-3.18%0.48246+0.80%0.0051✓0.7770k2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,281.3011,878.32-3.28%11,508.57-6.29%0.0980✓1.454.7M2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.5931.4906-3.37%39.38+20.83%0.1605✗1.381.1M2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum47.6545.9532-3.56%49.07+2.98%0.0166✓1.79277k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.59660.574998-3.62%0.5574-6.57%0.0824✓1.1246k2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative2.7322.6133-4.35%2.945+7.80%0.0616✗1.26456k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism1.9461.8309-5.92%1.651-15.16%0.1929✓1.952.9M2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum3.0732.8472-7.35%2.075-32.48%0.3615✓0.99206k2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.