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2022-08-03 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2426
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 13.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8362-7.87%1.569-21.27%0.2531✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.3168-3.85%10.61-1.12%0.0392✓1.38334k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.450979-3.15%0.48951+5.13%0.0448✗0.7668k2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.3929-3.12%2.59+4.86%0.0267✓1.08398k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.153868-3.11%0.1861+17.19%0.1298✗1.24508k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.79112-3.05%0.88+7.84%0.0219✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.5981-3.02%4.199+13.18%0.0698✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7173-2.84%4.079+6.61%0.0643✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3159.6082-2.78%62.92+2.63%0.0030✓1.17379k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.843-2.77%6.395+28.39%0.2523✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,429.73-2.75%11,510.60+7.32%0.0294✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097262-2.71%0.00009856-1.41%0.0858✓2.04536k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.0904-2.69%38.83+7.68%0.0330✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036489-2.67%0.03296-12.08%0.1717✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.377-2.61%47.24+33.82%0.2245✗1.92251k2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.976579-2.61%0.9791-2.35%0.0808✓1.72211k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0075-2.59%1.1615+12.30%0.0996✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.075301-2.59%0.0827+6.99%0.0400✗1.11952k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.4688-2.58%126.64+20.40%0.1637✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.760075-2.55%0.79+1.28%0.0321✓1.453,6872022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9505-2.55%4.92-3.15%0.0402✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.7345-2.54%18.55+8.04%0.0394✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0902-2.52%3.02-4.73%0.0470✓0.49102k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079171-2.51%0.10427+28.40%0.2031✗1.49786k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3666-2.49%4.752+6.12%0.0571✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040274-2.48%0.0441+6.78%0.0311✗1.2376k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.0354-2.46%16.17-1.64%0.0600✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008467-2.45%0.00896+3.23%0.0056✓1.28375k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9744-2.45%2.049+1.24%0.0315✓1.41255k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.225451-2.44%0.2326+0.65%0.0403✓1.4789k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001663-2.42%0.001757+3.11%0.0049✓1.039,4962022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.672-2.42%3.0285+10.61%0.0492✗1.5612k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31158.8673-2.39%62.292+3.28%0.0160✓0.83330k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.340975-2.36%0.36767+5.28%0.0119✓1.3113k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8961-2.36%8.306+2.71%0.0002✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9499-2.36%2.075+3.91%0.0004✓1.27626k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0129-2.34%1.1836+14.12%0.1046✗1.0513k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.6783-2.32%8.348+6.20%0.0243✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.4694-2.32%21.15-3.78%0.0563✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.115267-2.32%0.1462+23.90%0.1710✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054452-2.29%0.057508+3.19%0.0264✗0.5824k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0596-2.20%1.133+4.58%0.0002✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2888-2.20%5.43-15.55%0.1765✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6359-2.19%2.856+5.97%0.0107✓1.4349k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.9955-2.19%1.4709+44.52%0.3346✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.529325-2.18%0.537-0.76%0.0538✓1.40222k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.430405-2.16%0.4553+3.50%0.0156✓1.48278k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048227-2.16%0.052134+5.77%0.0197✓1.2035k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.086112-2.16%0.08979+2.02%0.0291✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.772966-2.16%0.976+23.54%0.1748✗1.20225k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.715-2.16%9.22+3.51%0.0112✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.0446-2.15%38.68+39.94%0.2919✗1.36773k2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015446-2.15%0.015766-0.12%0.0230✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6529-2.14%1.849+9.47%0.0426✗1.43341k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.42e-7-2.12%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0707✓0.99170k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057261-2.12%0.0686+17.26%0.1182✗1.28799k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.8634-2.11%5.97-0.33%0.0150✓0.68725k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.885942-2.11%0.98+8.29%0.0149✓1.77513k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.131045-2.06%0.1532+14.50%0.1034✗1.09779k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1983-2.06%3.2108-1.67%0.0331✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.671924-2.05%0.766+11.66%0.0593✗1.47106k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4888-2.05%1.52+0.00%0.0059✓0.30221k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3311-2.05%1.444+6.25%0.0193✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3069-2.03%1.3894+4.15%0.0115✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2004-2.03%2.452+9.17%0.0410✗1.38177k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017323-2.02%0.01893+7.07%0.0486✗0.82207k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1325-1.99%2.3862+9.66%0.0540✗1.2032k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.3609-1.98%8.75-8.38%0.0911✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.725506-1.96%0.77+4.05%0.0306✗0.5983k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1032-1.93%1.046-7.02%0.0850✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9067-1.93%3.098+4.52%0.0096✓1.11597k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.0295-1.93%7.116-0.73%0.0721✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3069-1.91%6.71+4.35%0.0056✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7562-1.91%3.04+8.19%0.0242✗1.52198k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.636646-1.90%0.71796+10.63%0.0467✗1.5188k2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2942-1.89%3.3964+1.15%0.0126✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.108804-1.89%0.1219+9.92%0.0527✗1.25505k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.196126-1.89%0.2383+19.21%0.1268✗1.401,1742022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7131.1826-1.88%142.18+6.34%0.0223✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9039-1.86%4.046+1.71%0.0020✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.312396-1.85%0.3078-3.30%0.0688✓1.11294k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.942268-1.85%1.072+11.67%0.0658✗1.30532k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019586-1.82%0.020275+1.63%0.0141✓0.42165k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057241-1.82%0.0635+8.92%0.0361✗1.39167k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.7969-1.81%2.9592+3.89%0.0087✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.625-1.80%12.16+12.38%0.0766✗1.20259k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.8595-1.79%9.529+19.07%0.1333✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.329881-1.79%0.369005+9.86%0.0503✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.7629-1.79%65.2+16.93%0.1068✗1.3934k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022644-1.79%0.024212+5.01%0.0201✗0.9611k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7163-1.78%5.68-2.41%0.0351✓0.59873k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.3623-1.78%17.7+21.05%0.1531✗1.1563k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4048-1.77%1.58+10.49%0.0490✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.621946-1.75%0.697+10.11%0.0459✗1.4088k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.30393-1.74%0.37799+22.20%0.1633✗1.13398k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.326245-1.73%0.34+2.41%0.0091✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8377-1.72%4.198+7.50%0.0481✗0.86922k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8316-1.72%4.1947+7.59%0.0378✗1.0945k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030733-1.72%0.03518+12.50%0.0752✗1.2314k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.508121-1.72%0.532+2.90%0.0099✓1.1513k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.086204-1.72%0.08743-0.32%0.0522✓1.3629k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004482-1.71%0.00485+6.36%0.0154✓1.31112k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.203468-1.71%0.2472+19.42%0.1312✗1.311,6972022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084634-1.70%0.0919+6.74%0.0264✗1.15128k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1613-1.70%9.062+24.39%0.1746✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.45839-1.70%0.4979+6.78%0.0224✗1.24892k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.466359-1.69%0.5471+15.32%0.1052✗1.1246k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4333-1.69%2.734+10.46%0.0732✗0.89110k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.142364-1.68%0.1704+17.68%0.1337✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.6549-1.67%29.18+26.65%0.1762✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.076973-1.67%0.08525+8.90%0.0666✗0.731,0202022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256853-1.66%0.2616+0.15%0.0178✗0.0129k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042727-1.66%0.04665+7.36%0.0421✗0.942,3002022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6277-1.66%2.928+9.58%0.0230✗1.75109k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.312943-1.65%0.4951+55.59%0.4038✗1.1377k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.593675-1.64%0.6574+8.91%0.0465✗1.14690k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047548-1.64%0.05257+8.75%0.0573✗0.8915k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006589-1.63%0.006078-9.26%0.1058✓0.5239k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0877-1.63%1.145+3.56%0.0024✓1.1111k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.586346-1.62%0.6261+5.05%0.0081✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030303-1.61%0.03249+5.49%0.0064✓1.301,3502022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.152707-1.61%0.1652+6.44%0.0188✗1.23102k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.168072-1.60%0.1819+6.50%0.0197✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5746-1.59%1.82+13.75%0.0806✗1.32122k2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001069-1.59%0.001521+39.94%0.2918✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.399627-1.55%0.41642+2.59%0.0260✓1.38583k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.11421-1.54%0.1265+9.05%0.0500✗1.07370k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7713-1.54%2.108+17.18%0.1431✗0.64189k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.812-1.52%3.057+66.14%0.4609✗1.28430k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053771-1.52%0.0548+0.37%0.0433✓1.28284k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.160573-1.51%0.17975+10.25%0.0382✗1.53212k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.388341-1.49%0.46429+17.77%0.1207✗1.19118k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095751-1.49%0.1008+3.70%0.0072✓1.206,5342022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.185288-1.46%0.19756+5.06%0.0484✓2.311,1512022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2409-1.44%1.348+7.07%0.0223✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.242633-1.41%0.2649+7.64%0.0284✗1.22110k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.66e-7-1.39%0.00000103+5.10%0.0151✗1.0025k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003097-1.39%0.003961+26.11%0.1979✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.756369-1.39%0.883+15.12%0.1054✗1.02377k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0103-1.37%1.0722+4.67%0.0138✗0.9460k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0263-1.36%11.986+17.91%0.1126✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.00368-1.35%0.00383+2.68%0.0229✓1.29551k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041873-1.34%0.00004643+9.40%0.0471✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.256366-1.32%0.2716+4.54%0.0034✓1.1265k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6978-1.31%1.8733+8.89%0.0367✗1.27530k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.322438-1.30%0.3644+11.54%0.0676✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,597.71-1.30%1,854.12+14.54%0.0868✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.734373-1.29%0.884+18.82%0.1263✗1.22895k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057944-1.29%0.0607+3.41%0.0229✓1.43350k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9793.7513-1.28%111.17+17.06%0.0899✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.13319-1.27%0.1428+5.86%0.0079✓1.2761k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,555.01-1.27%23,919.30+4.71%0.0111✓0.9814k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011684-1.24%0.0000124+4.82%0.0011✓1.25986k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002228-1.22%0.002157-4.35%0.0808✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.906-1.22%10.779+7.49%0.0308✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.9416-1.21%21.93+27.87%0.1914✗1.37116k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.210534-1.16%0.229+7.51%0.0105✓1.51786k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127314-1.15%0.1324+2.80%0.0092✓1.004,9522022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1254-1.15%1.2251+7.61%0.0338✗1.0547k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045283-1.13%0.0495+8.08%0.0257✗1.309,0132022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.1321-1.12%61.61+6.63%0.0193✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.112913-1.11%0.125982+10.33%0.0614✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4427-1.11%1.6203+11.06%0.0481✗1.40675k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.246726-1.11%0.266+6.61%0.0186✗1.17768k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.495445-1.09%0.5376+7.33%0.0232✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.398044-1.03%0.4648+15.56%0.0911✗1.32127k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9639-1.02%4.7-6.28%0.0630✓0.17219k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.2224-1.01%78.7+27.24%0.1903✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.1635-1.00%42.5+10.25%0.0411✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067518-1.00%0.0739+8.36%0.0446✗0.94229k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.8157-0.98%31.37+7.80%0.0388✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.51e-7-0.93%0.00000101+5.21%0.0194✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.3206-0.92%54.6+11.95%0.0689✗1.10574k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4679-0.92%4.9377+9.50%0.0637✗0.75920k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.317071-0.92%0.3479+8.72%0.0361✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.540667-0.85%0.6134+12.49%0.0710✗1.14335k2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061523-0.77%0.1362+119.68%0.7589✗0.74159k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067286-0.76%0.070307+3.70%0.0106✗0.69364k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009686-0.75%0.01031+5.64%0.0196✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.9268-0.75%167.53+6.63%0.0181✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021148-0.71%0.02661+24.93%0.1803✗1.02159k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065755-0.67%0.071244+7.62%0.0232✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008144-0.56%0.00837+2.20%0.0165✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006177-0.51%0.006634+6.87%0.0306✗0.848,9962022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,760.77-0.28%23,962.18+4.98%0.0028✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.