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2022-08-01 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1366
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 20.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4308-5.37%1.899+25.60%0.2374✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,180.63-3.71%11,448.81-1.40%0.0084✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.77450.745872-3.70%0.6064-21.70%0.2338✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0989-3.59%0.9875-13.36%0.1448✓1.65205k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144206-3.48%0.1526+2.14%0.0311✓1.11698k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.4823-3.35%8.73-0.52%0.0043✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.472262-3.05%0.48293-0.86%0.0043✓0.7863k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.83508-3.01%0.898+4.30%0.0329✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.806429-2.96%0.841+1.20%0.0078✓1.493,6872022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035722-2.93%0.03513-4.54%0.0518✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.078221-2.83%0.11272+40.02%0.3308✗1.50773k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3244-2.75%2.74+14.64%0.1399✗1.07301k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.167286-2.74%0.1759+2.27%0.0215✓1.25491k2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000101933-2.73%0.00009929-5.25%0.0710✓1.94592k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7456-2.69%4.125+7.17%0.0828✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7871-2.68%6.031+22.61%0.2183✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3518-2.66%2.498+3.39%0.0278✗1.41177k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063089-2.64%0.062-4.32%0.0505✓1.44154k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2428-2.62%3.05-8.41%0.0726✓0.4994k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.7092-2.57%30.04+5.63%0.0487✗1.39641k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.5842-2.56%64.6+0.58%0.0044✓1.18354k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.1277-2.55%38.06+8.68%0.0766✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5132-2.55%4.095+13.59%0.1135✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6628-2.53%5.71-1.72%0.0058✓0.61732k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46100.8696-2.50%128.79+24.48%0.2210✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9437-2.49%5.02-0.99%0.0010✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009147-2.48%0.00911-2.88%0.0331✓1.26359k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.337099-2.43%0.36941+6.92%0.0613✗1.3112k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040297-2.43%0.0454+9.93%0.0910✗1.2371k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.4524-2.39%18.67+4.42%0.0364✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3758-2.36%5.62-13.94%0.1404✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.932537-2.35%0.944-1.15%0.0286✓1.77513k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2082-2.35%3.4773+5.85%0.0600✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.7523-2.33%21.84+13.75%0.1326✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.8362-2.33%45.63+35.72%0.2843✗1.94229k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.8506-2.32%16.74+18.05%0.1571✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1471-2.31%8.259-0.97%0.0150✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.120748-2.31%0.1491+20.63%0.1791✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059842-2.22%0.068+11.11%0.0978✗1.30799k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9656-2.20%6.04-0.98%0.0029✓0.66623k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.00166-2.20%0.001764+3.95%0.0375✗1.0211k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7962-2.20%3.0082+5.22%0.0371✗1.5612k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2682-2.19%4.707+7.86%0.0845✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.695959-2.19%0.69895-1.77%0.0305✓1.5188k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9777-2.19%2.141+5.89%0.0499✗1.28637k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.3465-2.19%62.317+2.70%0.0294✗0.85345k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.05599-2.17%0.05725+0.03%0.0085✓0.6022k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.460849-2.16%0.4659-1.08%0.0229✓1.47273k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0094-2.14%1.0662+3.36%0.0279✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8845-2.12%2.9-1.59%0.0275✓1.4349k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050358-2.11%0.052476+2.00%0.0139✓1.1938k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.225837-2.11%0.2285-0.95%0.0224✓1.4897k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.528727-2.11%0.561+3.87%0.0267✗1.41234k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.069042-2.07%0.0826+17.16%0.1545✗1.08567k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.919505-2.06%1.1662+24.22%0.2171✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8848-2.05%3.2115+9.05%0.0895✗0.77978k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5281-2.04%1.55-0.64%0.0092✓0.22268k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.777004-2.02%0.894+12.74%0.1119✗1.23218k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3944-2.01%1.438+1.05%0.0016✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.355476-2.01%0.363104+0.09%0.0086✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0574-1.99%1.2133+12.46%0.1050✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.1995-1.98%8.791+5.09%0.0374✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.113914-1.97%0.1199+3.18%0.0213✗1.30472k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6843-1.96%1.875+9.14%0.0739✗1.45327k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2238-1.95%2.385+5.15%0.0416✗1.2329k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9854-1.95%3.023+49.28%0.3911✗1.27415k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004687-1.95%0.00474-0.84%0.0190✓1.32112k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090567-1.94%0.08629-6.57%0.0540✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2811-1.92%1.4281+9.33%0.0740✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0573-1.92%1.1739+8.90%0.0810✗1.0313k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8538-1.92%2.058+8.89%0.0717✗1.42234k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.765098-1.91%0.79+1.28%0.0181✓0.6179k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.161565-1.90%0.163-1.03%0.0197✓1.2494k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0595-1.90%1.084+0.37%0.0067✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.997074-1.89%1.0855+6.81%0.0546✗1.32525k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.387-1.89%6.92+6.30%0.0479✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.6639-1.89%8.84-10.25%0.1012✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.7885-1.89%62.01+5.28%0.0385✗1.3932k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0382-1.88%11.72+4.18%0.0320✗1.21243k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8497-1.88%10.19+27.37%0.2295✗1.37263k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.328713-1.88%0.339+1.19%0.0071✓1.03959k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.717341-1.87%0.767+4.92%0.0326✗1.4980k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1768-1.86%1.1648-2.87%0.0355✓1.1010k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.151251-1.85%0.1674+8.63%0.0787✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045338-1.82%0.04665+1.02%0.0064✓0.962,3002022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8624-1.82%4.04+2.69%0.0284✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.05076-1.80%0.05269+1.93%0.0166✓0.9015k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.141213-1.80%0.1447+0.63%0.0052✓1.2859k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014747-1.80%0.016131+7.42%0.0694✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8092-1.78%3.02+5.59%0.0374✗1.52192k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9077-1.77%3.052+3.11%0.0227✗1.12619k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87135.4355-1.77%143.54+4.11%0.0307✗1.194.3M2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.488039-1.72%0.5796+16.71%0.1462✗1.1247k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.207013-1.70%0.2677+27.11%0.2258✗1.361,6972022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.318328-1.69%0.5111+57.84%0.4471✗1.1576k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.635096-1.69%0.697+7.89%0.0607✗1.4088k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7501-1.67%2.9975+7.18%0.0637✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031507-1.66%0.0332+3.62%0.0238✗1.2414k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019665-1.66%0.018974-5.12%0.0476✓0.51165k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017603-1.66%0.01763-1.51%0.0164✓0.78229k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0443-1.66%9.276+13.40%0.1139✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.603-1.66%1.85+13.50%0.1118✗1.37114k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5342-1.65%7.314+10.08%0.0729✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.174679-1.64%0.1804+1.58%0.0033✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.2021-1.64%27.92+18.36%0.1484✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0784-1.63%4.1656+0.47%0.0040✓1.0939k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2257-1.63%1.2304-1.25%0.0206✓1.0643k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.510539-1.63%0.553+6.55%0.0535✗1.1513k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.118733-1.63%0.1267+4.97%0.0403✗1.07352k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.609551-1.62%0.6657+7.44%0.0615✗1.16642k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023238-1.62%0.023579-0.18%0.0079✓0.989,6292022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.397-1.62%1.56+9.86%0.0772✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.8905-1.61%19.4666+28.63%0.2409✗1.1868k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.258871-1.61%0.2624-0.27%0.0147✓1.23101k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4532-1.60%8.607+13.64%0.1148✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.082849-1.59%0.08557+1.64%0.0014✓1.3429k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.301061-1.58%0.3126+2.19%0.0117✓1.12300k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.412759-1.58%0.42996+2.52%0.0129✓1.21118k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.25767-1.58%0.2614-0.15%0.0141✓0.0128k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203743-1.57%0.2282+10.24%0.0812✗1.401,1792022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.24e-7-1.57%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0162✗0.96178k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.189509-1.55%0.19653+2.09%0.0169✓2.311,2222022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.406448-1.54%0.42203+2.24%0.0055✓1.39583k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.00004447-1.48%0.00004589+1.66%0.0047✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3035-1.48%1.351+2.12%0.0073✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8198-1.48%3.99+2.91%0.0232✗0.88754k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077844-1.44%0.08965+13.51%0.1244✗0.731,1722022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.047607-1.43%0.0517+7.04%0.0515✗1.347,6872022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.08457-1.43%0.0896+4.43%0.0307✗1.18137k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.273067-1.42%0.2733-1.34%0.0239✓1.0867k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7695-1.42%2.06+14.76%0.1373✗0.64189k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.30474-1.42%0.33107+7.10%0.0560✗1.17398k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7942-1.41%1.894+4.07%0.0251✗1.26492k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00321-1.40%0.003433+5.44%0.0436✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.163105-1.39%0.17585+6.31%0.0397✗1.54212k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.262035-1.38%0.2624-1.24%0.0246✓1.13768k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.454967-1.37%0.5085+10.23%0.0826✗1.25778k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001081-1.37%0.001192+8.77%0.0683✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5534-1.35%1.6087+2.16%0.0019✓1.44589k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.337825-1.34%0.3629+5.99%0.0454✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2611-1.33%11.817+13.64%0.1096✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.9206-1.32%19.15+5.45%0.0348✗1.37116k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5315-1.31%2.889+12.63%0.0917✗1.7595k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.48e-7-1.28%0.000001+4.17%0.0307✗1.0025k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052522-1.28%0.0543+2.07%0.0045✓1.25269k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4041-1.27%2.626+7.84%0.0671✗0.92105k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.3848-1.24%102.58+6.21%0.0345✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,610.80-1.23%1,777.36+8.99%0.0695✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.093935-1.23%0.1038+9.15%0.0721✗1.216,7862022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.762597-1.22%0.835+8.16%0.0680✗0.99377k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0062-1.21%1.0843+6.46%0.0527✗0.9660k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029656-1.18%0.03333+11.06%0.0867✗1.311,2932022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002401-1.17%0.00224-7.78%0.0922✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006573-1.16%0.0063-5.26%0.0548✓0.5438k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.1886-1.16%42.2+1.27%0.0070✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003707-1.15%0.00377+0.53%0.0132✓1.31559k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059515-1.14%0.0607+0.83%0.0126✓1.40339k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.332273-1.11%0.3474+3.39%0.0173✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117006-1.10%0.130156+10.02%0.0836✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.00001184-1.08%0.00001229+2.67%0.0089✓1.23986k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.4178-1.08%31.49+2.41%0.0127✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.8309-1.07%62.61+5.28%0.0357✗1.1613.6M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.21863-1.07%0.23+4.07%0.0158✗1.51821k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.063445-1.02%0.1545+141.03%0.8714✗0.81155k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.419566-1.02%0.4704+10.97%0.0838✗1.33127k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.8624-1.01%10.767+8.07%0.0628✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.2749-0.95%77.53+23.32%0.1903✗1.251.5M2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,953.89-0.94%23,846.60+2.91%0.0156✗0.9814k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.720185-0.94%0.774+6.46%0.0441✗1.21806k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.61e-7-0.93%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0106✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.508047-0.93%0.5372+4.76%0.0270✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010119-0.89%0.01044+2.25%0.0090✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69159.327-0.85%167.1+3.99%0.0221✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.3341-0.84%56.22+13.01%0.1052✗1.11574k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124469-0.82%0.1317+4.94%0.0337✗0.994,9522022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.3832-0.75%4.9055+11.07%0.0958✗0.73916k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.553418-0.71%0.6088+9.22%0.0691✗1.14341k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021413-0.68%0.029+34.51%0.2796✗1.03159k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1547-0.68%4.8-7.51%0.0761✓0.21210k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066947-0.67%0.0737+9.35%0.0741✗0.96229k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069505-0.67%0.070047+0.11%0.0101✓0.78373k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068267-0.66%0.070056+1.94%0.0005✓1.151.7M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008381-0.46%0.00837-0.59%0.0223✓0.911.6M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006298-0.36%0.006716+6.25%0.0435✗0.909,1592022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,212.43-0.26%23,815.65+2.33%0.0026✓1.00414.2M2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.