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2022-07-26 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0841
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.1%
in alpha space · 5.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.5033-5.54%2.46-7.17%0.1030✓1.10157k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.789781-4.38%1.635+97.94%0.5882✗1.781.1M2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000088904-3.43%0.00010013+8.77%0.0282✓1.88715k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4558-3.35%6.51+41.21%0.3328✗0.59713k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.143874-3.25%0.1596+7.33%0.0032✓1.29379k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.442964-3.24%0.381-16.78%0.2489✓1.263902022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.38548-3.20%0.45527+14.33%0.1071✗0.7651k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.9052-3.10%5.05+25.31%0.2004✗0.73612k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.657115-3.08%0.823+21.39%0.0874✗1.765.2M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0724-3.08%3.18+0.32%0.0069✓0.5377k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.0837-2.97%3.883+22.18%0.1830✗0.611.5M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration58.1356.4362-2.91%60.95+4.85%0.0174✓1.21231k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.730609-2.84%0.816+8.51%0.0100✓1.543,6872022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0184-2.82%2.285+10.01%0.0105✓1.45132k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.9690.4567-2.69%103.43+11.26%0.0533✗1.033.7M2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.925582-2.52%0.9732+2.50%0.0240✓0.953.5M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.2333-2.51%27.79+27.59%0.1493✗1.53454k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.5576-2.39%36.59+45.43%0.2974✗1.301.3M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.088236-2.39%0.08996-0.49%0.0588✓1.00722k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.1008-2.37%33.21+19.63%0.1252✗1.00164k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6038-2.36%5.16+39.80%0.3173✗0.531.9M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.5004-2.34%14.94+16.72%0.0678✗1.411.3M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58553.3325-2.29%60.953+11.67%0.0678✗0.84369k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.7425-2.22%21.17+31.49%0.2266✗0.892.2M2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.219-2.22%2.7482+21.10%0.0910✗1.579,1162022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.051286-2.20%0.05605+6.88%0.0403✗0.6218k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.8258-2.18%3.951+1.02%0.0422✓0.95638k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3698-2.16%1.55+10.71%0.1051✗0.24319k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.406633-2.11%0.4462+7.41%0.0246✓1.50220k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.284071-2.08%0.3039+4.76%0.0270✓1.21337k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.286785-2.07%0.34832+18.94%0.0890✗1.359,6072022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0696-2.05%3.3336+57.78%0.4070✗0.89971k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018226-2.04%0.021484+15.47%0.1267✗0.48163k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.064471-2.02%0.08676+31.85%0.1960✗1.2927k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.196-1.99%3.985+22.20%0.1666✗0.69488k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.886481-1.98%1.0569+16.86%0.0981✗0.9910k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.25668-1.96%0.2618+0.00%0.0187✓0.0131k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.883454-1.95%0.908+0.78%0.1123✓1.79551k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.4608-1.92%8+21.45%0.1134✗1.285.3M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043464-1.91%0.04946+11.62%0.0566✗0.9315k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.638637-1.90%0.709+8.91%0.0148✓1.5372k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.36e-7-1.90%3.39e-7-1.10%0.0689✓0.99229k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.414645-1.86%0.5474+29.56%0.1996✗1.00224k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8092-1.85%6.03+23.06%0.1754✗0.65514k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.019782-1.84%0.024372+20.94%0.1306✗1.006,9032022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.064111-1.82%0.0745+14.09%0.0656✗1.08264k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.0414-1.79%9.54+33.05%0.2671✗0.47704k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.6222-1.79%3.9681+7.59%0.0072✓1.0826k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2837-1.75%5.73+31.42%0.2433✗0.61555k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.396928-1.75%0.3926-2.82%0.1268✓1.48592k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.024638-1.72%0.03854+53.73%0.3231✗1.5912.6M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.177131-1.70%0.202+12.10%0.0215✗1.411,0652022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.55e-7-1.69%0.00000101+16.09%0.0882✗1.0025k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001408-1.66%0.001664+16.20%0.0845✗1.0520k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.760.747418-1.66%0.76+0.00%0.0304✓0.6083k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.205051-1.65%0.2308+10.70%0.0008✓1.5099k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.464324-1.63%0.519+9.96%0.0189✗1.1811k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043805-1.57%0.048695+9.42%0.0118✓1.2022k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2521-1.57%1.364+7.23%0.0175✓1.322.4M2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.9133-1.56%17.22+13.66%0.0356✗1.381.3M2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6925-1.56%4.526+20.66%0.1563✗0.601.1M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.6686-1.55%6.638+15.28%0.0239✗1.7111.5M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006788-1.54%0.006716-2.58%0.0545✓0.5642k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.160003-1.50%0.18917+16.46%0.0242✓2.451,1272022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.182228-1.50%0.225+21.62%0.0987✗1.431,6202022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017153-1.48%0.01794+3.04%0.0150✓0.77324k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.652329-1.46%0.774+16.92%0.0731✗1.25149k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.836699-1.44%0.9992+17.71%0.0830✗1.211.2M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.038855-1.38%0.044+11.68%0.0476✗0.981,9372022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.59895-1.37%0.65971+8.63%0.0259✓1.5780k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.313081-1.36%0.30205-4.83%0.1306✓1.21400k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.140883-1.34%0.1716+20.17%0.0961✗1.292.8M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.013999-1.34%0.015628+10.14%0.0395✗0.901.2M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.027647-1.33%0.0314+12.06%0.0211✗1.361,2882022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.867189-1.32%0.95943+9.18%0.0052✓1.36392k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1702-1.29%3.0467+38.57%0.2786✗0.78884k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8393-1.26%2.1689+16.44%0.0688✗1.2324k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5626-1.25%2.934+13.06%0.0477✗1.12597k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.095995-1.24%0.1168+20.16%0.0898✗1.362.4M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.429716-1.24%0.4841+11.26%0.0316✗1.1242k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.840495-1.23%1.218+43.13%0.3125✗0.751.1M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.9343-1.20%3.801+27.98%0.1269✗1.693.7M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.03271-1.18%0.0396+19.64%0.0947✗1.2368k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.361885-1.16%0.39795+8.68%0.0015✓1.24113k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1784-1.16%2.716+23.23%0.1097✗1.4237k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.093811-1.15%0.1134+19.49%0.0851✗1.34491k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.50060.494941-1.13%0.5942+18.70%0.0897✗1.191.5M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94117.636-1.10%133.77+12.47%0.0381✗1.164.0M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.3926-1.09%1.635+16.12%0.0468✗1.45303k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.106481-1.04%0.1155+7.34%0.0042✓1.09362k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.08225-1.02%0.073-12.15%0.1861✓0.85148k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.954819-1.02%1.126+16.73%0.0763✗1.139,1202022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.5877-1.01%8.248+23.94%0.1194✗1.355.7M2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5294-1.01%1.796+16.25%0.1106✗0.64223k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.067997-1.01%0.0777+13.12%0.0763✗0.731,5492022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002974-1.00%0.003157+5.09%0.0196✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,793.33-1.00%10,752.27+56.70%0.3529✗1.364.0M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.531895-0.99%0.6132+14.15%0.0490✗1.19642k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.133091-0.97%0.1674+24.55%0.1304✗1.2784k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.2925-0.97%2.8083+21.31%0.1253✗0.99806k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3765-0.97%1.57+12.95%0.0206✗1.42122k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.547743-0.95%0.608+9.95%0.0081✓1.4483k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.2838-0.95%7.179+13.16%0.0333✗1.2816.2M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046158-0.95%0.0581+24.68%0.1255✗1.34765k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.5179-0.93%22.85+10.33%0.0176✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003923-0.93%0.00462+16.67%0.0583✗1.35106k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.286797-0.92%0.34061+17.68%0.0706✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.158-0.90%1.3359+14.32%0.0275✗1.485.1M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.0804-0.90%14.5774+19.58%0.0941✗1.2073k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2396-0.90%2.72+20.35%0.0758✗1.52184k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2586-0.90%1.36+7.09%0.0363✓1.46912k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.808497-0.90%1.0451+28.11%0.1441✗1.441.4M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5669-0.89%1.966+24.35%0.1264✗1.29619k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.7134-0.89%56.33+17.01%0.0578✗1.3932k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.308265-0.88%0.3267+5.05%0.0343✓1.187.5M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.048619-0.88%0.08648+76.31%0.4616✗1.46747k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.143139-0.87%0.1626+12.60%0.0037✓1.58176k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.723-0.87%7.928+16.90%0.0674✗1.258.7M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.805188-0.86%1.0822+33.24%0.1692✗1.62209k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2812-0.86%2.419+5.13%0.0135✓0.92105k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000038865-0.86%0.00004282+9.23%0.0042✓1.191.8M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.39480.39143-0.85%0.4398+11.40%0.0165✗1.28606k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.5081-0.85%2.017+32.61%0.1775✗1.45212k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000964231-0.85%0.001085+11.56%0.0160✗1.301.7M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3096-0.83%2.6+11.64%0.0182✓1.7592k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1732-0.83%1.27+7.35%0.0179✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.222653-0.82%0.2502+11.45%0.0179✗1.26119k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.27374-0.82%0.328+18.84%0.0983✗1.06620k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078159-0.81%0.0857+8.76%0.0045✓1.24162k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006239-0.81%0.00928+47.54%0.3180✗1.01352k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.5866-0.80%9.938+2.84%0.0513✓1.122.1M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.195425-0.80%0.212+7.61%0.0399✓1.55834k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047322-0.79%0.0595+24.74%0.1133✗1.48109k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058146-0.78%0.0612+4.44%0.0617✓1.44342k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.235064-0.77%0.2636+11.27%0.0277✗1.1162k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9418-0.77%6.57+31.93%0.1726✗1.44939k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.1568-0.76%9.92+7.51%0.0268✓1.3713.2M2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.02663-0.75%0.03144+17.18%0.0667✗1.2715k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3411-0.74%1.4894+10.23%0.0085✓1.45540k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5448-0.73%1.7139+10.14%0.0037✓1.28492k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.102762-0.71%0.1359+31.30%0.1936✗1.10617k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8584-0.70%8.1+37.29%0.2210✗1.32248k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.0636-0.70%17.17+13.18%0.0224✗1.3997k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.104848-0.69%0.115136+9.05%0.0148✗1.016.7M2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.54-0.67%58.09+7.77%0.0085✓1.1513.5M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003420.003397-0.67%0.00371+8.48%0.0172✓1.35539k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.231968-0.66%0.2502+7.15%0.0158✓1.17768k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.119715-0.65%0.1435+19.09%0.1026✗1.013.1M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.465256-0.65%0.4966+6.04%0.0343✓1.2741.4M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5859-0.64%1.874+17.42%0.0683✗1.26379k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.0653-0.62%39.81+9.70%0.0079✓1.3781.1M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.2881-0.62%8.196+54.03%0.3513✗1.111.9M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0504-0.61%1.163+10.05%0.0162✗1.1045k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.645128-0.60%0.742+14.33%0.0453✗1.21758k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.891745-0.59%1.0235+14.10%0.0611✗0.9857k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.63231-0.58%0.744+16.98%0.0869✗0.97360k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.04703-0.57%0.0531+12.26%0.0255✗1.23256k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.4322-0.57%61.49+10.30%0.0031✓1.291.4M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0657-0.57%5.0698-0.49%0.0146✓0.20219k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040374-0.56%0.0463+14.04%0.0299✗1.377,5232022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,019.66-0.54%23,023.60+8.94%0.0148✗0.9819k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,442.09-0.52%1,631.28+12.53%0.0259✗1.25354.3M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065004-0.51%0.06831+4.55%0.0128✓0.80382k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.66e-7-0.51%9.70e-7+11.49%0.0481✗0.845.9M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.364945-0.51%0.4029+9.84%0.0071✓1.3673k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.278404-0.50%0.318+13.65%0.0428✗1.1570k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.112039-0.50%0.1238+9.95%0.0209✗1.015,4502022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.01663.9969-0.49%4.3491+8.28%0.0280✗0.72919k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.118933-0.47%0.1378+15.31%0.0433✗1.3354k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.486509-0.45%0.5396+10.42%0.0142✗1.14350k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010821-0.45%0.00001175+8.10%0.0166✓1.271.0M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2680.9036-0.44%93.42+14.96%0.0144✗1.668.1M2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.9513-0.44%29.4+8.61%0.0126✗0.9510.5M2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008335-0.42%0.00839+0.24%0.0661✓0.931.4M2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2459-0.41%11.02+33.09%0.1998✗1.15241k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero151.3150.696-0.40%156.99+3.76%0.0463✓1.121.2M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.075997-0.40%0.0936+22.67%0.1125✗1.236,3652022-08-02
DASHDashDash43.9943.8328-0.36%48.53+10.32%0.0153✗1.11517k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019819-0.36%0.02154+8.30%0.0007✓1.06136k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005849-0.31%0.006204+5.75%0.0120✓0.913,1552022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062386-0.29%0.066529+6.33%0.0263✓1.161.8M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.275562-0.27%0.3198+15.74%0.0549✗1.202.7M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008664-0.19%0.00965+11.18%0.0305✗0.994.2M2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.062018-0.13%0.068+9.50%0.0146✗0.99156k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,262.87+0.01%22,989.40+8.13%0.0001✓1.00395.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.