8=======>

2022-06-17 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0496
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.5%
in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.082801+3.63%0.0898+12.39%0.0294✓1.394,6642022-06-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.580247+3.62%0.54-3.57%0.1153✗1.1771k2022-06-24
XMRMoneroMonero114.16118.2087+3.55%126.48+10.79%0.0252✓1.141.7M2022-06-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,123.17+3.45%1,224.47+12.78%0.0443✓1.13386.3M2022-06-24
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624912.0106+3.32%12.8216+10.29%0.0160✓1.32194k2022-06-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006255+3.29%0.006458+6.66%0.0075✓1.062,5622022-06-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.9734+3.28%10.51+36.14%0.2318✓1.19468k2022-06-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.719874+3.28%0.686-1.58%0.1124✗1.73303k2022-06-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.666958+3.24%0.686+6.19%0.0157✓1.18977k2022-06-24
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.8616+3.22%4.483+19.83%0.0788✓1.8915.8M2022-06-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002837+3.17%0.00279+1.45%0.0589✗1.132.1M2022-06-24
XVGVergenative0.002910.003002+3.17%0.00332+14.09%0.0459✓1.47645k2022-06-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.505517+3.17%0.56+14.29%0.0581✓1.1956k2022-06-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8621,086.09+3.12%21,223.72+3.79%0.0307✓1.00582.4M2022-06-24
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.833386+3.09%0.870963+7.74%0.0024✓1.12119k2022-06-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.3225+3.08%1.352+5.38%0.0363✗1.57223k2022-06-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0021,086.73+3.08%21,181.80+3.54%0.0324✗0.9929k2022-06-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.169444+3.07%0.2136+29.93%0.1766✓1.48191k2022-06-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.2017+3.06%1.56+33.79%0.2054✓1.4979k2022-06-24
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3159.0622+3.06%71.02+23.92%0.1218✓1.687.6M2022-06-24
STXStacksnative0.38170.393336+3.05%0.4119+7.91%0.0036✓1.33195k2022-06-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.2741+3.04%9.14+13.82%0.0617✓1.02267k2022-06-24
FLOWFlownative1.3921.4341+3.03%1.701+22.20%0.1334✓1.00541k2022-06-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.132453+2.98%0.14633+13.77%0.0399✓1.60246k2022-06-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008399+2.93%0.00001082+32.60%0.2067✓1.25813k2022-06-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.244752+2.92%0.2632+10.68%0.0258✓1.2631k2022-06-24
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.82e-7+2.92%8.80e-7+15.79%0.0849✓0.885.3M2022-06-24
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.824+2.92%3.1049+13.16%0.0504✓1.1939k2022-06-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.002988+2.91%0.00291+0.21%0.0675✗1.104,6932022-06-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.679105+2.89%0.841+27.42%0.1621✓1.394.6M2022-06-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.874767+2.87%0.8599+1.12%0.0478✗0.828792022-06-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.05843+2.87%0.0625+10.04%0.0083✓1.59142k2022-06-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,926.96+2.87%7,085.93+47.95%0.3148✓1.303.6M2022-06-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036717+2.85%0.0423+18.49%0.0891✓1.41364k2022-06-24
ZECZcashZcash62.5264.2985+2.84%69.14+10.59%0.0222✓1.353.3M2022-06-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4816+2.84%2.635+9.20%0.0227✓1.0075k2022-06-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.058479+2.82%0.066862+17.56%0.0868✓1.271.3M2022-06-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.091708+2.81%0.1001+12.22%0.0313✓1.511.1M2022-06-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000798791+2.80%0.000841+8.24%0.0002✓1.382.0M2022-06-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36124.7609+2.80%114.43-5.71%0.1316✗1.214.5M2022-06-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.763+2.80%3.029+76.62%0.4766✓1.732.4M2022-06-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003639+2.80%0.00423+19.49%0.0935✓1.53239k2022-06-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.152743+2.79%0.1671+12.45%0.0359✓1.45917k2022-06-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.275344+2.79%0.301756+12.65%0.0390✓1.412.4M2022-06-24
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.7446+2.79%46.89+42.83%0.2741✓1.4726k2022-06-24
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.4049+2.78%10.928-1.51%0.0830✗1.085.0M2022-06-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.894652+2.78%1.0063+15.61%0.0714✓1.246,0082022-06-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.4228+2.77%20.46+28.04%0.1652✓1.4649.3M2022-06-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.060219+2.76%0.0548-6.48%0.1237✗0.79313k2022-06-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.453144+2.75%0.543+23.13%0.1269✓1.45108k2022-06-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.386348+2.75%0.4251+13.06%0.0398✓1.50146k2022-06-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7744+2.74%2.291+32.66%0.1965✓1.5992k2022-06-24
TRXTRONTron0.05980.061439+2.74%0.065776+9.99%0.0316✓0.98887k2022-06-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.27325+2.73%0.287+7.89%0.0090✓1.08847k2022-06-24
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.532093+2.72%0.589+13.71%0.0644✓1.006.4M2022-06-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.627576+2.71%0.67+9.66%0.0138✓1.38531k2022-06-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.101068+2.71%0.1157+17.58%0.0806✓1.475.0M2022-06-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.047235+2.71%0.0566+23.07%0.1309✓1.3470k2022-06-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3762+2.70%1.486+10.90%0.0208✓1.504.9M2022-06-24
QNTQuantEthereum46.5647.8173+2.70%58.51+25.67%0.1642✓1.011.9M2022-06-24
HIVEHivenative0.36270.372493+2.70%0.4157+14.61%0.0566✓1.431.1M2022-06-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.06316+2.70%0.0603-1.95%0.0907✗1.19147k2022-06-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0372+2.70%1.28+26.73%0.1512✓1.591.1M2022-06-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.049077+2.69%0.0552+15.51%0.0580✓1.601.6M2022-06-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.43e-7+2.69%3.57e-7+6.74%0.0060✓0.88951k2022-06-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.395311+2.68%0.533+38.44%0.2407✓1.563,5232022-06-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.047817+2.68%0.04889+4.98%0.0161✓1.0315k2022-06-24
DASHDashDash43.5344.6947+2.68%51.61+18.56%0.1018✓1.13810k2022-06-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.298774+2.67%0.45+54.64%0.3516✓1.56376k2022-06-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.9750.272+2.66%57.36+17.13%0.0853✓1.25986k2022-06-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.270331+2.65%0.2966+12.63%0.0450✓1.28453k2022-06-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.4743+2.65%6.109+14.55%0.0602✓1.332.5M2022-06-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.057607+2.65%0.06239+11.17%0.0425✓1.001,5532022-06-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.879695+2.65%1.1+28.35%0.1862✓1.001.5M2022-06-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.4131+2.63%1.462+6.18%0.0136✓1.281.5M2022-06-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.11473+2.62%0.1222+9.30%0.0102✓1.4250k2022-06-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.5398+2.62%8.25+29.45%0.1824✓1.3413.7M2022-06-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009369+2.61%0.01027+12.49%0.0556✓0.9711.3M2022-06-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7805+2.60%2.94+8.49%0.0141✓1.12663k2022-06-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.35498+2.60%0.359+3.76%0.0318✗1.1616k2022-06-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.9092+2.59%2.017+8.38%0.0049✓1.3455k2022-06-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.094786+2.58%0.103+11.47%0.0394✓1.17686k2022-06-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3437+2.57%1.56+19.08%0.0889✓1.62596k2022-06-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.4549+2.56%8.182+12.56%0.0428✓1.3513.8M2022-06-24
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.4234+2.56%1.5327+10.43%0.0248✓1.32914k2022-06-24
LSKLiskEthereum0.987831.013+2.55%1.1037+11.73%0.0413✓1.1949k2022-06-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.735+2.54%16.42+14.27%0.0603✓1.292.1M2022-06-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.053314+2.53%0.0573+10.19%0.0177✓1.461.7M2022-06-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027424+2.52%0.03156+17.98%0.0893✓1.3719k2022-06-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.4065+2.52%1.505+9.69%0.0094✓1.56407k2022-06-24
GTGateEthereum3.95984.0591+2.51%4.2842+8.19%0.0283✓0.691.7M2022-06-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000059997+2.51%0.00005899+0.79%0.0976✗2.171.6M2022-06-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.567396+2.51%0.54988-0.66%0.0986✗1.803.6M2022-06-24
SOLSolanaSolana30.6931.4556+2.49%41.88+36.46%0.2337✓1.41109.1M2022-06-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.096649+2.49%0.1012+7.32%0.0000✓1.24803k2022-06-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.272627+2.49%0.3052+14.74%0.0653✓1.285.1M2022-06-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020906+2.48%0.02005-1.72%0.0822✗1.08137k2022-06-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9924+2.48%3.174+8.70%0.0270✓0.861.8M2022-06-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0885+2.48%2.726+33.76%0.2097✓1.5288k2022-06-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.4422+2.45%9.91+20.27%0.0977✓1.682.4M2022-06-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.631087+2.45%0.834+35.39%0.2124✓1.781.6M2022-06-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.4176+2.44%2.8+18.64%0.0851✓1.66311k2022-06-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009189+2.44%0.00941+4.91%0.0153✓1.051.4M2022-06-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.047327+2.44%0.049+6.06%0.0230✓1.5516k2022-06-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.133556+2.42%0.1149-11.89%0.1882✗1.01255k2022-06-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.2088+2.40%4.75+15.57%0.0937✓0.731.4M2022-06-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5548.6883+2.39%55.79+17.33%0.0912✓1.2117.5M2022-06-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8944+2.39%5.32+11.30%0.0331✓1.35400k2022-06-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.225973+2.39%0.2537+14.95%0.0721✓1.17100k2022-06-24
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.9313+2.39%26.72+9.73%0.0349✓0.929.9M2022-06-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.3063+2.38%1.714+34.33%0.2153✓1.51891k2022-06-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8414.1689+2.38%17.12+23.70%0.1349✓1.462.2M2022-06-24
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.205871+2.37%0.2308+14.77%0.0677✓1.25656k2022-06-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.081897+2.37%0.0791-1.12%0.0874✗1.41334k2022-06-24
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.4138+2.37%15.65+11.15%0.0275✓1.4755k2022-06-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.5066+2.37%7.256+14.16%0.0599✓1.3241.5M2022-06-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.114435+2.35%0.127732+14.25%0.0693✓1.0911.1M2022-06-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.041043+2.35%0.0437+8.98%0.0217✓1.102,9602022-06-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.654963+2.34%0.79+23.44%0.1333✓1.46182k2022-06-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.5639+2.33%6.116+12.49%0.0416✓1.4211.1M2022-06-24
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.127297+2.33%0.131+5.31%0.0244✗1.434.4M2022-06-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.218148+2.32%0.2295+7.65%0.0016✓1.41462k2022-06-24
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9314.0222+2.32%5.467+39.07%0.2564✓1.363.3M2022-06-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4899+2.31%2.64+8.48%0.0177✓1.102.9M2022-06-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.603651+2.31%0.755+27.97%0.1853✓1.03365k2022-06-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.7643+2.29%3.93+6.79%0.0205✓0.611.9M2022-06-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5852+2.27%1.65+6.45%0.0044✓1.19270k2022-06-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.317019+2.26%0.3499+12.87%0.0524✓1.2414.4M2022-06-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012321+2.26%0.012119+0.59%0.0490✗0.872.0M2022-06-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.133957+2.26%0.1463+11.68%0.0367✓1.38166k2022-06-24
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038815+2.25%0.00004299+13.25%0.0525✓1.332.8M2022-06-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.124117+2.24%0.1499+23.48%0.1514✓1.003.3M2022-06-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.6983+2.19%3.826+5.72%0.0084✓0.686.3M2022-06-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.299476+2.18%0.31756+8.35%0.0029✓1.5012k2022-06-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.020218+2.17%0.022291+12.65%0.0528✓1.208,7652022-06-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.9106+2.16%3.55+24.61%0.1777✓0.564.3M2022-06-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006855+2.16%0.00701+4.47%0.0161✓1.03540k2022-06-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.515872+2.15%0.558+10.50%0.0290✓1.33767k2022-06-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0111.2441+2.13%12.71+15.44%0.0599✓1.68322k2022-06-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.775108+2.12%0.875+15.28%0.0622✓1.583.3M2022-06-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.007092+2.12%0.007033+1.27%0.0366✗0.76167k2022-06-24
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040743+2.12%0.0431+8.02%0.0072✓1.3226k2022-06-24
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.497058+2.11%0.4979+2.28%0.0509✗1.4171.0M2022-06-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.964.0429+2.09%4.14+4.55%0.0023✓0.701.5M2022-06-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028789+2.09%0.0404+43.26%0.2893✓1.33197k2022-06-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.108815+2.08%0.1087+1.97%0.0411✗1.085,8092022-06-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.018138+2.07%0.01697-4.50%0.0926✗0.70608k2022-06-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7764+2.03%1.8858+8.32%0.0260✓0.912.8M2022-06-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.48227+2.03%0.98085+107.51%0.6576✓1.4163k2022-06-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.062512+1.98%0.0652+6.36%0.0160✓1.56409k2022-06-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.3735+1.98%6.85+9.60%0.0529✓0.512.0M2022-06-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1806+1.94%3.34+7.05%0.0191✓0.801.5M2022-06-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1867+1.90%2.2352+4.16%0.0118✓0.903.1M2022-06-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.4618+1.87%2.721+12.60%0.0343✓1.7717k2022-06-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.15197+1.86%0.225+50.80%0.3468✓1.223,2772022-06-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.2369+1.85%5.17+24.28%0.1365✓1.681.6M2022-06-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6979+1.85%2.833+6.95%0.0021✓1.251.1M2022-06-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.774543+1.78%0.858+12.75%0.0672✓0.941.7M2022-06-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.344212+1.76%0.43995+30.06%0.1970✓1.30105k2022-06-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.015662+1.75%0.016005+3.98%0.0006✓0.60469k2022-06-24
PROPropyEthereum0.90.915036+1.67%0.87-3.33%0.0783✗0.75186k2022-06-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.24391+1.63%0.261+8.75%0.0070✓1.631.2M2022-06-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.851736+1.61%0.93721+11.80%0.0437✓1.39725k2022-06-24
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.391498+1.54%0.40622+5.36%0.0113✓0.69256k2022-06-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0555.1299+1.48%5.8361+15.45%0.1199✓0.24226k2022-06-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.051217+1.42%0.056+10.89%0.0638✓0.6965k2022-06-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.506376+1.42%0.5437+8.89%0.0339✓1.00161k2022-06-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43255.1126+1.25%64.278+18.09%0.1209✓0.891.2M2022-06-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.022083+0.56%0.02871+30.74%0.1906✓1.9340.1M2022-06-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.1484+0.49%3.276+4.56%0.0130✓0.724.9M2022-06-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.724602+0.12%0.8689+20.06%0.1373✓1.192.8M2022-06-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4849-0.34%1.7+14.09%0.1098✗0.69166k2022-06-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.845927-4.74%0.928+4.50%0.0170✓2.0329.5M2022-06-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.