8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
82.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5651
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0928
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002647-3.93%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002669-3.45%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002618-3.75%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002607-4.34%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002876-6.46%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002586-4.05%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002588-3.98%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002636-3.97%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002662-3.73%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002755-2.83%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002668-2.97%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002743-2.90%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002751-3.14%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002711-2.84%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002673-2.61%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002809-2.79%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002875-2.19%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003129-3.71%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003047-2.66%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002944-2.84%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00285-2.73%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002925-2.83%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002883-2.59%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002855-2.04%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002925-2.51%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003051-2.83%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003265-4.54%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002856-1.33%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.00278-0.72%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00282-0.69%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002936-0.32%0.002755-6.45%0.0411✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002911+0.54%0.002765-4.49%0.0209✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002523+0.13%0.00272+7.94%0.0564✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002631+0.02%0.002725+3.61%0.0289✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002857-1.32%0.003075+6.22%0.0610✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002608-1.95%0.002695+1.32%0.0204✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002376-0.98%0.002695+12.29%0.0688✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00242-1.44%0.002745+11.81%0.0533✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002526-0.75%0.002765+8.64%0.0523✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002547-1.29%0.002835+9.88%0.0385✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.00266-1.49%0.00275+1.85%0.0171✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002703-1.53%0.002825+2.91%0.0225✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002575-1.17%0.00284+9.02%0.0259✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002826-1.19%0.00279-2.45%0.0581✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002711-0.33%0.002745+0.92%0.0212✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00263+0.21%0.00289+10.10%0.0520✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002701+0.96%0.00294+9.91%0.0303✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002793+1.74%0.00325+18.40%0.0883✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002678+1.62%0.00313+18.79%0.0877✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002943+2.19%0.00303+5.21%0.0038✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002914-0.55%0.00293+0.00%0.0777✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003161-1.54%0.00301-6.23%0.1342✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003023-0.08%0.00296-2.15%0.0820✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002563+0.14%0.002915+13.87%0.0370✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002557+0.47%0.003+17.88%0.0968✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.00277-0.52%0.00314+12.75%0.0455✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002873+1.16%0.00342+20.42%0.1253✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002712+1.01%0.002895+7.82%0.0079✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002733+1.03%0.0028+3.51%0.0423✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002891+0.92%0.00284-0.87%0.0783✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003047-0.25%0.002945-3.60%0.1372✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002942-0.44%0.002895-2.03%0.1305✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003054+0.45%0.00252-17.11%0.2267✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002934-3.48%0.00263-13.49%0.2184✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002934-5.36%0.002895-6.61%0.1954✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002809-7.60%0.00266-12.50%0.2702✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002958-8.42%0.0024-25.70%0.4081✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002785-8.40%0.002455-19.24%0.3385✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002819-8.46%0.002545-17.37%0.3449✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002673-8.63%0.00258-11.79%0.2579✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002655-9.23%0.0027-7.69%0.2183✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002863-10.27%0.002745-13.95%0.2269✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002649-10.04%0.002605-11.54%0.1529✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003016-11.94%0.00286-16.50%0.0951✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00272-10.53%0.00272-10.53%0.0127✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002744-11.19%0.002625-15.05%0.0451✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.002919-11.82%0.002675-19.18%0.0896✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003215-13.70%0.002745-26.31%0.1722✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004139-16.88%0.002635-47.09%0.4609✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002741-8.33%0.00288-3.68%0.0847✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002892-9.05%0.00293-7.86%0.0403✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.00296-10.02%0.00321-2.43%0.1056✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002949-9.25%0.003025-6.92%0.0611✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002875-8.15%0.00256-18.21%0.0816✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002939-8.60%0.002545-20.84%0.1082✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003161-8.37%0.002785-19.28%0.0811✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00335-7.73%0.00284-21.76%0.1106✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003354-8.12%0.002685-26.44%0.1743✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003479-7.97%0.002705-28.44%0.2040✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003411-7.69%0.002865-22.46%0.1253✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003429-7.08%0.003055-17.21%0.0821✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00356-7.18%0.002955-22.95%0.1492✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003708-7.31%0.00304-24.00%0.1592✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003701-7.00%0.00304-23.62%0.1751✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003627-6.52%0.0031-20.10%0.1445✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003836-6.68%0.00304-26.03%0.2325✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003808-6.33%0.00323-20.54%0.1656✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003955-6.17%0.00304-27.88%0.2664✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004059-6.05%0.00308-28.70%0.2781✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004251-6.16%0.002925-35.43%0.3813✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00352-4.61%0.002925-20.73%0.1910✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003946-3.76%0.00319-22.20%0.2109✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00409-3.66%0.002945-30.62%0.3288✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004204-3.47%0.003425-21.35%0.2043✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004551-3.57%0.00304-35.59%0.4002✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005156-3.26%0.00309-42.03%0.5056✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004778-2.88%0.00331-32.72%0.3567✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005958-4.52%0.003725-40.30%0.4639✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007009-5.67%0.00498-32.97%0.3379✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.00756-6.78%0.00299-63.13%0.9262✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007293-6.49%0.00318-59.23%0.8289✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007665-7.26%0.00329-60.19%0.8426✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007902-7.69%0.00325-62.03%0.8847✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007317-7.50%0.00313-60.43%0.8379✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007874-8.44%0.003215-62.62%0.8796✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008179-10.02%0.00345-62.05%0.8504✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006638-6.63%0.00363-48.95%0.5834✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007244-7.36%0.00365-53.32%0.6669✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.00742-8.39%0.00378-53.33%0.6491✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007342-8.17%0.003695-53.78%0.6643✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007261-7.86%0.00369-53.17%0.6663✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007881-8.46%0.003835-55.46%0.7100✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008064-10.30%0.004-55.51%0.6908✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007839-9.79%0.00398-54.20%0.6618✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008481-11.01%0.00388-59.29%0.7769✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008205-10.28%0.00411-55.06%0.6852✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007963-10.83%0.004065-54.48%0.6631✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008616-11.27%0.004215-56.59%0.7181✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.008947-12.11%0.00432-57.56%0.7376✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008477-11.32%0.00453-52.62%0.6332✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007575-9.82%0.00369-56.07%0.7227✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008252-12.86%0.0041-56.71%0.7078✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006747-9.92%0.004245-43.32%0.4623✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006688-9.62%0.004355-41.15%0.4279✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006777-10.12%0.00472-37.40%0.3480✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005882-9.93%0.00533-18.38%0.0910✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00641-10.98%0.00492-31.67%0.2695✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006903-11.84%0.00624-20.31%0.1008✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007081-12.36%0.00743-8.04%0.0721✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.006882-12.77%0.00811+2.79%0.1816✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007647-13.49%0.0078-11.76%0.0134✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007796-14.23%0.008265-9.08%0.0496✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008243-15.45%0.00856-12.21%0.0138✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010119-19.25%0.00791-36.87%0.4490✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007901-15.81%0.0086-8.36%0.1215✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007477-16.08%0.00909+2.02%0.0209✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.008864-19.42%0.00711-35.36%0.3824✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006266-14.04%0.00782+7.27%0.0786✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.0064-14.96%0.0081+7.64%0.0965✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006534-14.81%0.007995+4.24%0.0380✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007476-16.28%0.00788-11.76%0.0219✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008213-17.58%0.00861-13.60%0.0088✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.00871-18.21%0.00899-15.59%0.0093✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.009732-20.07%0.00869-28.62%0.1262✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.010893-21.23%0.00953-31.09%0.1642✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.010431-21.04%0.009145-30.77%0.1593✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.013805-22.03%0.00893-49.56%0.4517✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.015785-23.19%0.00971-52.75%0.4618✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.013489-22.66%0.01018-41.63%0.2320✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014093-22.65%0.00956-47.53%0.3401✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017406-23.29%0.0084-62.98%0.6846✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013346-22.36%0.00947-44.91%0.2477✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.016717-23.39%0.00749-65.67%0.7073✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00573-15.55%0.0074+9.06%0.5229✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004127-6.19%0.00754+71.36%0.9829✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002481+1.70%0.00653+167.62%1.3945✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002444+0.58%0.0072+196.30%1.4413✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.00238+0.01%0.00783+228.99%1.5542✓1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002269-0.05%0.00808+255.95%1.6857✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002241+0.05%0.00789+252.23%1.7166✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002333-0.91%0.00884+275.37%1.5620✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002266-1.50%0.00909+295.22%1.6014✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002348-2.56%0.00975+304.56%1.5820✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002405-3.01%0.01253+405.24%1.7453✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002346-3.06%0.009385+287.81%1.4455✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002527-4.48%0.00891+236.86%1.2935✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002602-5.22%0.011+300.73%1.4732✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002778-5.83%0.00729+147.12%1.0015✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002755-5.64%0.007525+157.71%1.0446✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002908-6.79%0.00767+145.83%1.0064✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002581-6.13%0.00893+224.73%1.2461✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003033-7.24%0.009965+204.74%1.1955✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003108-7.49%0.01065+216.96%1.2520✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003182-7.63%0.012175+253.41%1.3769✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003009-7.98%0.01383+322.94%1.5104✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003228-9.32%0.01321+271.07%1.3890✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.00318-10.29%0.017705+399.44%1.6798✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.00316-9.08%0.02055+491.37%1.8570✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003188-9.68%0.01744+394.05%1.6953✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.0034-11.46%0.01822+374.48%1.6400✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003252-9.79%0.02269+529.40%1.8875✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003213-10.26%0.01719+380.17%1.5883✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003155-10.87%0.02182+516.38%1.8706✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003539-11.86%0.006785+68.99%0.5097✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003591-12.74%0.0044+6.93%0.0780✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003528-12.79%0.00244-39.68%0.5016✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003395-11.82%0.00243-36.88%0.4625✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003528-12.46%0.00238-40.94%0.5265✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003718-14.62%0.00227-47.88%0.6108✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003379-10.73%0.00224-40.82%0.5805✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003619-11.52%0.002355-42.42%0.5902✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003728-11.24%0.0023-45.24%0.6557✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003698-10.35%0.00241-41.58%0.5884✓1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.003684-10.04%0.00248-39.44%0.5582✓1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.003733-10.70%0.00242-42.11%0.5738✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.00378-10.86%0.002645-37.62%0.4705✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.003714-9.42%0.002745-33.05%0.4279✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.003731-8.78%0.00295-27.87%0.3780✓0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.003864-9.51%0.00292-31.62%0.4315✓0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.004028-10.48%0.00312-30.67%0.4228✓0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.004215-12.74%0.00275-43.06%0.5476✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004172-13.44%0.00327-32.16%0.3303✓1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004278-13.05%0.00336-31.71%0.3500✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.004487-13.54%0.003445-33.62%0.3669✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.004489-12.15%0.00327-36.01%0.4373✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.00461-12.86%0.00356-32.70%0.3574✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.004706-13.50%0.003545-34.83%0.3316✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.004611-13.01%0.003475-34.43%0.3657✓1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005063-14.34%0.00353-40.27%0.4420✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.005163-15.22%0.00384-36.95%0.3137✓1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.00502-14.91%0.003605-38.90%0.3304✓1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005028-14.34%0.00358-39.01%0.3595✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005049-13.54%0.00354-39.38%0.4019✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005146-13.21%0.004015-32.29%0.2455✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005103-12.62%0.004115-29.54%0.2525✓1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.00518-11.75%0.004045-31.09%0.2879✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.005471-11.47%0.00385-37.70%0.3783✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.006419-9.59%0.00403-43.24%0.5063✓1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.006881-6.76%0.004355-40.99%0.5503✓1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.007502-7.03%0.003785-53.10%0.7094✓1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008041-7.15%0.00409-52.77%0.6901✓1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.009491-7.32%0.0042-58.98%0.7632✓1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.011827-8.67%0.004125-68.15%0.9713✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.014783-9.42%0.004095-74.91%1.2624✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.016572-11.10%0.00418-77.58%1.3669✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.017008-10.11%0.00424-77.59%1.4257✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.018527-12.07%0.0041-80.54%1.5048✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.017562-10.99%0.00409-79.27%1.4586✓1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.018627-12.79%0.00427-80.01%1.4555✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.017297-11.25%0.0045-76.91%1.3220✓1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.013767-7.97%0.00483-67.71%1.1182✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.015971-8.21%0.00482-72.30%1.2963✓1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.017751-9.99%0.00492-75.05%1.3253✓1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.018457-10.79%0.00519-74.92%1.3108✓1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.01747-11.94%0.00511-74.24%1.2273✓1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.016095-13.70%0.00529-71.64%1.1412✓1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.01524-15.52%0.00544-69.84%1.0897✓1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.027982-11.62%0.0053-83.26%1.6995✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.036796-11.10%0.00591-85.72%1.8628✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.040121-9.90%0.00609-86.32%1.9573✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.042263-9.21%0.0059-87.33%2.0395✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.044676-8.34%0.00587-87.96%2.0863✓1.00