8=======>

WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
57.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0777
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002724-0.39%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002709-0.40%0.002735+0.55%0.0124✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.00271-0.55%0.00272-0.18%0.0099✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003038-1.20%0.002725-11.38%0.1067✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002686-0.32%0.003075+14.10%0.1276✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002686-0.33%0.002695+0.00%0.0047✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002735-0.36%0.002695-1.82%0.0074✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002755-0.34%0.002745-0.72%0.0104✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002827-0.28%0.002765-2.47%0.0039✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002743-0.26%0.002835+3.09%0.0177✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002817-0.29%0.00275-2.65%0.0058✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002832-0.29%0.002825-0.53%0.0096✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002783-0.24%0.00284+1.79%0.0167✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002739-0.20%0.00279+1.64%0.0100✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.00288-0.33%0.002745-5.02%0.0340✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002932-0.28%0.00289-1.70%0.0064✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.00323-0.62%0.00294-9.54%0.0918✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003118-0.38%0.00325+3.83%0.0499✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003017-0.41%0.00313+3.30%0.0172✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002914-0.55%0.00303+3.41%0.0364✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003-0.33%0.00293-2.66%0.0198✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002952-0.27%0.00301+1.69%0.0053✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002908-0.24%0.00296+1.54%0.0187✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002989-0.38%0.002915-2.83%0.0269✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003127-0.43%0.003-4.46%0.0303✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003386-1.00%0.00314-8.19%0.0759✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002888-0.25%0.00342+18.13%0.1654✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002795-0.18%0.002895+3.39%0.0386✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002834-0.22%0.0028-1.41%0.0121✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002935-0.32%0.00284-3.57%0.0125✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002883-0.41%0.002945+1.73%0.0259✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002518-0.07%0.002895+14.88%0.0838✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002627-0.12%0.00252-4.18%0.0407✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002883-0.41%0.00263-9.15%0.0959✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002653-0.27%0.002895+8.83%0.0394✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002399-0.04%0.00266+10.83%0.1010✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002452-0.11%0.0024-2.24%0.0281✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002543-0.07%0.002455-3.54%0.0050✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002577-0.11%0.002545-1.36%0.0281✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002696-0.17%0.00258-4.44%0.0384✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002739-0.21%0.0027-1.64%0.0150✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002599-0.23%0.002745+5.37%0.0467✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002842-0.61%0.002605-8.92%0.0679✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002715-0.18%0.00286+5.15%0.0538✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002623-0.09%0.00272+3.62%0.0431✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002673-0.09%0.002625-1.87%0.0043✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002745-0.01%0.002675-2.55%0.0313✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002634-0.03%0.002745+4.17%0.0396✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002877-0.12%0.002635-8.51%0.0722✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002921-0.32%0.00288-1.71%0.0606✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003183-0.84%0.00293-8.72%0.0818✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003003-0.73%0.00321+6.12%0.0815✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002557-0.12%0.003025+18.16%0.1539✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002542-0.14%0.00256+0.59%0.0143✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.00278-0.20%0.002545-8.62%0.0931✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002836-0.16%0.002785-1.94%0.0120✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002681-0.14%0.00284+5.77%0.0431✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002701-0.17%0.002685-0.74%0.0116✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002861-0.15%0.002705-5.58%0.0507✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003048-0.24%0.002865-6.22%0.0777✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002948-0.24%0.003055+3.38%0.0272✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003031-0.29%0.002955-2.80%0.0095✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003023-0.55%0.00304+0.00%0.0662✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003083-0.55%0.00304-1.94%0.0755✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003019-0.68%0.0031+1.97%0.0633✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003202-0.86%0.00304-5.88%0.0558✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003018-0.73%0.00323+6.25%0.0383✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003058-0.73%0.00304-1.30%0.0025✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002905-0.68%0.00308+5.30%0.0577✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002903-0.74%0.002925+0.00%0.0159✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003161-0.91%0.002925-8.31%0.0778✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002922-0.78%0.00319+8.32%0.0891✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003384-1.20%0.002945-14.01%0.1377✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003014-0.87%0.003425+12.66%0.1289✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003062-0.91%0.00304-1.62%0.0071✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003276-1.04%0.00309-6.65%0.0584✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003667-1.56%0.00331-11.14%0.1030✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004814-3.34%0.003725-25.20%0.2562✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002976-0.46%0.00498+66.56%0.5160✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003162-0.56%0.00299-5.97%0.0547✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003265-0.75%0.00318-3.34%0.0265✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003233-0.51%0.00329+1.23%0.0192✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003118-0.37%0.00325+3.83%0.0412✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.0032-0.45%0.00313-2.64%0.0278✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003435-0.45%0.003215-6.81%0.0631✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003612-0.48%0.00345-4.96%0.0458✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003633-0.46%0.00363-0.55%0.0003✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003758-0.57%0.00365-3.44%0.0358✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003679-0.44%0.00378+2.30%0.0310✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003676-0.39%0.003695+0.14%0.0058✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003818-0.45%0.00369-3.78%0.0373✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003978-0.54%0.003835-4.13%0.0404✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003959-0.53%0.004+0.50%0.0089✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003867-0.33%0.00398+2.58%0.0328✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004095-0.37%0.00388-5.60%0.0522✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004053-0.30%0.00411+1.11%0.0137✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004204-0.26%0.004065-3.56%0.0309✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004309-0.26%0.004215-2.43%0.0217✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004513-0.37%0.00432-4.64%0.0478✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003697+0.19%0.00453+22.76%0.2021✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004111+0.28%0.00369-10.00%0.1040✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004254+0.21%0.0041-3.42%0.0398✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004365+0.22%0.004245-2.53%0.0280✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004727+0.15%0.004355-7.73%0.0836✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005334+0.07%0.00472-11.44%0.1186✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004936+0.32%0.00533+8.33%0.0806✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006232-0.13%0.00492-21.15%0.2431✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.0074-0.40%0.00624-16.02%0.1749✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008065-0.55%0.00743-8.38%0.0807✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007764-0.46%0.00811+3.97%0.0451✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008218-0.56%0.0078-5.63%0.0504✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008507-0.62%0.008265-3.45%0.0258✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007872-0.48%0.00856+8.22%0.0899✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008547-0.61%0.00791-8.02%0.0736✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008983-1.18%0.0086-5.39%0.0494✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007104-0.08%0.00909+27.85%0.2498✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007793-0.34%0.00711-9.08%0.0941✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008061-0.48%0.00782-3.46%0.0307✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007964-0.39%0.0081+1.31%0.0184✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00785-0.38%0.007995+1.46%0.0138✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008558-0.60%0.00788-8.48%0.0899✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008908-0.91%0.00861-4.23%0.0405✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008625-0.74%0.00899+3.45%0.0450✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009431-1.03%0.00869-8.81%0.0870✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009071-0.81%0.00953+4.21%0.0532✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008859-0.79%0.009145+2.41%0.0346✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009617-0.96%0.00893-8.03%0.0831✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010052-1.25%0.00971-4.62%0.0406✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009432-1.34%0.01018+6.49%0.0736✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008333-0.79%0.00956+13.81%0.1400✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009329-1.49%0.0084-11.30%0.1001✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007453-0.49%0.00947+26.44%0.2441✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.00737-0.40%0.00749+1.22%0.0160✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007511-0.38%0.0074-1.86%0.0040✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006524-0.09%0.00754+15.47%0.1435✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007172-0.39%0.00653-9.31%0.1022✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007784-0.59%0.0072-8.05%0.0797✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008038-0.52%0.00783-3.09%0.0074✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007854-0.46%0.00808+2.41%0.0272✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008773-0.76%0.00789-10.75%0.1311✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009013-0.85%0.00884-2.75%0.0207✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009645-1.08%0.00909-6.77%0.0710✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012156-2.99%0.00975-22.19%0.2995✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009242-1.52%0.01253+33.51%0.2762✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008779-1.47%0.009385+5.33%0.0644✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010638-3.29%0.00891-19.00%0.1730✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007227-0.86%0.011+50.89%0.4187✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007443-1.08%0.00729-3.12%0.0279✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007595-0.98%0.007525-1.89%0.0230✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008809-1.36%0.00767-14.11%0.1443✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009795-1.71%0.00893-10.39%0.0915✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010462-1.77%0.009965-6.43%0.0481✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011886-2.37%0.01065-12.53%0.1086✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013379-3.26%0.012175-11.97%0.0987✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.0128-3.10%0.01383+4.69%0.0775✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017069-3.59%0.01321-25.39%0.2555✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019569-4.77%0.017705-13.84%0.0998✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016683-4.34%0.02055+17.83%0.2103✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017413-4.43%0.01744-4.28%0.0042✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.0215-5.24%0.01822-19.70%0.1627✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016374-4.74%0.02269+32.00%0.3367✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020595-5.61%0.01719-21.22%0.1904✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006505-4.13%0.02182+221.59%1.2273✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004271-2.92%0.006785+54.20%0.4832✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002434-0.24%0.0044+80.33%0.6006✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002424-0.26%0.00244+0.41%0.0211✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002372-0.35%0.00243+2.10%0.0154✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002265-0.21%0.00238+4.85%0.0460✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002234-0.25%0.00227+1.34%0.0440✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002348-0.30%0.00224-4.88%0.0534✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002292-0.34%0.002355+2.39%0.0144✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002402-0.34%0.0023-4.56%0.0591✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002469-0.42%0.00241-2.82%0.0229✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002412-0.35%0.00248+2.48%0.0225✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002633-0.45%0.00242-8.51%0.1090✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002729-0.58%0.002645-3.64%0.0384✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002933-0.59%0.002745-6.95%0.0588✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002901-0.66%0.00295+1.03%0.0304✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003084-1.14%0.00292-6.41%0.0381✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002723-0.96%0.00312+13.45%0.1233✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003245-0.75%0.00275-15.90%0.1680✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003328-0.95%0.00327-2.68%0.0073✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003419-0.77%0.00336-2.47%0.0182✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003244-0.79%0.003445+5.35%0.0372✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003528-0.89%0.00327-8.15%0.0821✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003506-1.11%0.00356+0.42%0.0105✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003446-0.85%0.003545+2.01%0.0535✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003488-1.20%0.003475-1.56%0.0140✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003788-1.37%0.00353-8.07%0.0961✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003575-0.84%0.00384+6.52%0.0672✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003549-0.87%0.003605+0.70%0.0069✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003498-1.18%0.00358+1.13%0.0267✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.00398-0.87%0.00354-11.83%0.1729✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.004073-1.01%0.004015-2.43%0.0219✗1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.004005-0.99%0.004115+1.73%0.0257✗1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.00382-0.79%0.004045+5.06%0.0390✗1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003998-0.78%0.00385-4.47%0.0488✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004303-1.19%0.00403-7.46%0.0529✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003767-0.49%0.004355+15.06%0.1013✗1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.004071-0.46%0.003785-7.46%0.0707✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.004187-0.32%0.00409-2.62%0.0488✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.004119-0.15%0.0042+1.82%0.0146✗1.00
2026-04-02oos0.0040950.004092-0.07%0.004125+0.73%0.0070✗1.00
2026-04-01oos0.004180.004174-0.13%0.004095-2.03%0.0009✓1.01
2026-03-31oos0.004240.004234-0.13%0.00418-1.42%0.0113✓1.01
2026-03-30oos0.00410.004105+0.11%0.00424+3.41%0.0106✓0.99
2026-03-29oos0.004090.004099+0.22%0.0041+0.24%0.0113✗0.98
2026-03-28oos0.004270.004277+0.16%0.00409-4.22%0.0393✗0.98
2026-03-27oos0.00450.004504+0.09%0.00427-5.11%0.0528✗0.98
2026-03-26oos0.004830.004821-0.19%0.0045-6.83%0.0334✓0.99
2026-03-25oos0.004820.004805-0.30%0.00483+0.21%0.0429✗1.05
2026-03-24oos0.004920.004909-0.21%0.00482-2.03%0.0297✓1.04
2026-03-23oos0.005190.005175-0.29%0.00492-5.20%0.0455✓1.04
2026-03-22oos0.005110.005108-0.04%0.00519+1.57%0.0287✓1.02
2026-03-21oos0.005290.005283-0.14%0.00511-3.40%0.0171✓1.03
2026-03-20oos0.005440.005426-0.26%0.00529-2.76%0.0015✓1.05
2026-03-19oos0.00530.005292-0.16%0.00544+2.64%0.0191✗1.04
2026-03-18oos0.005910.005885-0.42%0.0053-10.32%0.0854✓1.03
2026-03-17oos0.006090.006052-0.62%0.00591-2.96%0.0161✗1.08
2026-03-16oos0.00590.005866-0.58%0.00609+3.22%0.0516✗1.10
2026-03-15oos0.005870.005843-0.46%0.0059+0.51%0.0204✓1.08
2026-03-14oos0.005840.005821-0.33%0.00587+0.51%0.0151✓1.06
2026-03-13oos0.005930.005912-0.30%0.00584-1.52%0.0165✓1.06
2026-03-12oos0.005840.005826-0.24%0.00593+1.54%0.0116✗1.05
2026-03-11oos0.005870.005859-0.18%0.00584-0.51%0.0081✓1.04
2026-03-10oos0.006180.006169-0.17%0.00587-5.02%0.0534✓1.04
2026-03-09oos0.00710.007102+0.03%0.00618-12.96%0.1628✗1.07
2026-03-08oos0.007380.0074+0.28%0.0071-3.79%0.0809✗1.08
2026-03-07oos0.008070.008088+0.23%0.00738-8.55%0.0708✗1.08
2026-03-06oos0.008660.008676+0.18%0.00807-6.81%0.0588✗1.08
2026-03-05oos0.010240.010247+0.07%0.00866-15.43%0.1283✗1.00
2026-03-04oos0.012950.012933-0.13%0.01024-20.93%0.2085✓1.00
2026-03-03oos0.016320.01629-0.18%0.01295-20.65%0.2911✓1.00
2026-03-02oos0.018640.01856-0.43%0.01632-12.45%0.1214✓1.00
2026-03-01oos0.018920.018875-0.24%0.01864-1.48%0.0580✓1.00
2026-02-28oos0.021070.020965-0.50%0.01892-10.20%0.0846✓1.00
2026-02-27oos0.019730.019676-0.27%0.02107+6.79%0.0518✗1.00
2026-02-26oos0.021360.021245-0.54%0.01973-7.63%0.0495✓1.00
2026-02-25oos0.019490.019446-0.23%0.02136+9.59%0.1013✗1.00
2026-02-24oos0.014960.015004+0.29%0.01949+30.28%0.2021✓1.00
2026-02-23oos0.01740.017445+0.26%0.01496-14.02%0.1450✗1.00
2026-02-22oos0.019720.019731+0.06%0.0174-11.76%0.0805✗1.00
2026-02-21oos0.020690.020685-0.03%0.01972-4.69%0.0428✓1.00
2026-02-20oos0.019840.019817-0.11%0.02069+4.28%0.0435✗1.00
2026-02-19oos0.018650.018605-0.24%0.01984+6.38%0.0493✗1.00
2026-02-18oos0.018040.017965-0.41%0.01865+3.38%0.0291✗1.00
2026-02-17oos0.031660.031599-0.19%0.01804-43.02%0.5449✓1.00
2026-02-16oos0.041390.041248-0.34%0.03166-23.51%0.2441✓1.00
2026-02-15oos0.044530.044397-0.30%0.04139-7.05%0.0711✓1.00
2026-02-14oos0.046550.046406-0.31%0.04453-4.34%0.0269✓1.00
2026-02-13oos0.048740.048619-0.25%0.04655-4.49%0.0576✓1.00