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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s8

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
71.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2349
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0288
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002694-1.51%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002679-1.50%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002674-1.89%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.00297-3.42%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002661-1.26%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002661-1.26%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002707-1.37%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002729-1.31%0.002735-1.08%0.0110✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002803-1.11%0.00272-4.06%0.0283✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002721-1.06%0.002725-0.91%0.0005✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002791-1.19%0.003075+8.85%0.1125✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002804-1.28%0.002695-5.11%0.0249✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002758-1.15%0.002695-3.41%0.0131✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002717-1.02%0.002745+0.00%0.0060✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002851-1.34%0.002765-4.33%0.0153✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002907-1.13%0.002835-3.57%0.0026✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003181-2.11%0.00275-15.38%0.1034✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003086-1.41%0.002825-9.74%0.0563✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002985-1.48%0.00284-6.27%0.0292✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002882-1.65%0.00279-4.78%0.0101✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002971-1.30%0.002745-8.80%0.0435✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002926-1.15%0.00289-2.36%0.0093✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002887-0.97%0.00294+0.86%0.0035✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.00296-1.33%0.00325+8.33%0.0686✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003093-1.49%0.00313-0.32%0.0102✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003324-2.82%0.00303-11.40%0.0962✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002875-0.69%0.00293+1.21%0.0142✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002788-0.41%0.00301+7.50%0.0710✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002826-0.50%0.00296+4.23%0.0562✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002926-0.63%0.002915-1.02%0.0252✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002879-0.56%0.003+3.63%0.0785✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002521+0.03%0.00314+24.60%0.1854✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002626-0.13%0.00342+30.04%0.2307✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002868-0.94%0.002895+0.00%0.0257✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.00264-0.74%0.0028+5.26%0.0246✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.0024-0.00%0.00284+18.33%0.0823✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002449-0.23%0.002945+19.96%0.0690✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002544-0.03%0.002895+13.75%0.0373✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002573-0.25%0.00252-2.33%0.0692✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002688-0.44%0.00263-2.59%0.0667✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.00273-0.56%0.002895+5.46%0.0204✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002591-0.52%0.00266+2.11%0.0284✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00283-1.07%0.0024-16.08%0.1410✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002717-0.13%0.002455-9.74%0.0703✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002629+0.15%0.002545-3.05%0.0230✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002682+0.28%0.00258-3.55%0.0003✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002759+0.51%0.0027-1.64%0.0073✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002644+0.34%0.002745+4.17%0.0636✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.00289+0.35%0.002605-9.55%0.0568✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002908-0.74%0.00286-2.39%0.0285✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003155-1.72%0.00272-15.26%0.1608✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002989-1.19%0.002625-13.22%0.1365✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002553-0.26%0.002675+4.49%0.0048✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002538-0.29%0.002745+7.86%0.0588✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002769-0.58%0.002635-5.39%0.0723✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002834-0.21%0.00288+1.41%0.0042✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002677-0.31%0.00293+9.12%0.1107✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002695-0.38%0.00321+18.67%0.1884✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002855-0.35%0.003025+5.58%0.0627✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003032-0.75%0.00256-16.20%0.1684✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.00293-0.84%0.002545-13.87%0.1558✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003018-0.72%0.002785-8.39%0.0743✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002979-2.02%0.00284-6.58%0.1445✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003026-2.39%0.002685-13.39%0.2743✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002945-3.12%0.002705-11.02%0.3374✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003112-3.64%0.002865-11.30%0.3257✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002938-3.35%0.003055+0.49%0.2058✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002974-3.44%0.002955-4.06%0.2327✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002825-3.42%0.00304+3.93%0.1713✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002816-3.73%0.00304+3.93%0.0911✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003051-4.35%0.0031-2.82%0.0676✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002827-4.01%0.00304+3.23%0.0596✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003242-5.35%0.00323-5.69%0.0054✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002908-4.33%0.00304+0.00%0.0464✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002948-4.58%0.00308-0.32%0.0438✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003145-4.98%0.002925-11.63%0.0723✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003491-6.29%0.002925-21.48%0.1760✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004507-9.50%0.00319-35.94%0.3447✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002916-2.47%0.002945-1.51%0.0086✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003089-2.87%0.003425+7.70%0.1043✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003176-3.46%0.00304-7.60%0.0412✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003166-2.58%0.00309-4.92%0.0189✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003069-1.95%0.00331+5.75%0.0809✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003141-2.30%0.003725+15.86%0.1691✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003372-2.26%0.00498+44.35%0.3925✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003544-2.36%0.00299-17.63%0.1693✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003564-2.35%0.00318-12.88%0.1149✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003676-2.75%0.00329-12.96%0.1184✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003613-2.22%0.00325-12.04%0.1116✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003617-1.98%0.00313-15.18%0.1481✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00375-2.22%0.003215-16.17%0.1550✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003897-2.58%0.00345-13.75%0.1296✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00388-2.51%0.00363-8.79%0.0762✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003813-1.72%0.00365-5.93%0.0485✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004034-1.84%0.00378-8.03%0.0630✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004004-1.51%0.003695-9.10%0.0818✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004161-1.29%0.00369-12.46%0.1195✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004268-1.20%0.003835-11.23%0.1034✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004462-1.51%0.004-11.70%0.1035✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.00372+0.82%0.00398+7.86%0.0731✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004158+1.41%0.00388-5.37%0.0647✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004287+0.99%0.00411-3.18%0.0403✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004401+1.06%0.004065-6.66%0.0743✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00475+0.64%0.004215-10.70%0.1206✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00534+0.19%0.00432-18.95%0.2098✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004992+1.47%0.00453-7.93%0.0874✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006182-0.93%0.00369-40.87%0.5060✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007278-2.05%0.0041-44.82%0.5851✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007895-2.65%0.004245-47.66%0.6200✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007618-2.34%0.004355-44.17%0.5570✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008038-2.75%0.00472-42.89%0.5272✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00831-2.92%0.00533-37.73%0.4392✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007718-2.43%0.00492-37.80%0.4413✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008352-2.88%0.00624-27.44%0.2789✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00869-4.40%0.00743-18.26%0.1434✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.00706-0.70%0.00811+14.06%0.1576✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007676-1.84%0.0078-0.26%0.0317✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.0079-2.47%0.008265+2.04%0.0575✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007822-2.16%0.00856+7.07%0.0990✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007708-2.19%0.00791+0.38%0.0223✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008346-3.06%0.0086-0.12%0.0113✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008606-4.27%0.00909+1.11%0.0356✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008365-3.74%0.00711-18.18%0.1820✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009078-4.74%0.00782-17.94%0.1720✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008776-4.04%0.0081-11.43%0.0984✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008561-4.13%0.007995-10.47%0.0843✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009259-4.65%0.00788-18.85%0.1814✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009629-5.41%0.00861-15.42%0.1272✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009055-5.28%0.00899-5.96%0.0170✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008076-3.85%0.00869+3.45%0.0612✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008913-5.88%0.00953+0.63%0.0662✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.00728-2.81%0.009145+22.10%0.2278✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007219-2.44%0.00893+20.68%0.2090✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007366-2.31%0.00971+28.78%0.2917✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006449-1.24%0.01018+55.90%0.4759✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007006-2.69%0.00956+32.78%0.3297✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007551-3.56%0.0084+7.28%0.1240✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007806-3.39%0.00947+17.20%0.2204✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007618-3.45%0.00749-5.07%0.0003✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.00843-4.64%0.0074-16.29%0.1325✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008631-5.05%0.00754-17.05%0.1503✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009167-5.98%0.00653-33.03%0.3621✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.01126-10.13%0.0072-42.54%0.5910✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008724-7.05%0.00783-16.57%0.2436✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008283-7.04%0.00808-9.32%0.1894✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009828-10.65%0.00789-28.27%0.3616✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006915-5.15%0.00884+21.26%0.1466✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.00708-5.91%0.00909+20.80%0.1531✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007235-5.67%0.00975+27.12%0.2101✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008313-6.91%0.01253+40.31%0.3851✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009182-7.85%0.009385-5.82%0.0095✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009788-8.10%0.00891-16.34%0.0986✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011017-9.51%0.011-9.65%0.0035✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012297-11.09%0.00729-47.29%0.5315✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011787-10.77%0.007525-43.04%0.4545✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015644-11.64%0.00767-56.68%0.7138✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.017794-13.41%0.00893-56.55%0.6900✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015221-12.72%0.009965-42.86%0.4219✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.015892-12.78%0.01065-41.55%0.3948✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.019545-13.86%0.012175-46.34%0.4622✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.014956-13.00%0.01383-19.55%0.0598✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018716-14.23%0.01321-39.46%0.3384✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006098-10.13%0.017705+160.94%1.1195✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004148-5.72%0.02055+367.05%1.6806✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002429-0.46%0.01744+614.75%2.0607✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002412-0.73%0.01822+649.79%2.0691✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002355-1.04%0.02269+853.36%2.2871✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002251-0.82%0.01719+657.27%2.0125✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002219-0.94%0.02182+874.11%2.3282✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002326-1.22%0.006785+188.11%1.0755✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002267-1.42%0.0044+91.30%0.6407✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002371-1.60%0.00244+1.24%0.0152✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002434-1.87%0.00243-2.02%0.0254✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002378-1.73%0.00238-1.65%0.0230✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002587-2.20%0.00227-14.18%0.1772✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002673-2.61%0.00224-18.40%0.2480✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002868-2.79%0.002355-20.17%0.2543✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002835-2.90%0.0023-21.23%0.2406✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002997-3.96%0.00241-22.76%0.2164✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002654-3.51%0.00248-9.82%0.0804✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003157-3.47%0.00242-25.99%0.2753✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003229-3.90%0.002645-21.28%0.1746✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003319-3.64%0.002745-20.32%0.1590✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003147-3.76%0.00295-9.79%0.0643✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003407-4.30%0.00292-17.98%0.1729✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003372-4.87%0.00312-11.99%0.1381✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003332-4.12%0.00275-20.86%0.2163✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003358-4.86%0.00327-7.37%0.0313✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003625-5.59%0.00336-12.50%0.1171✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003455-4.17%0.003445-4.44%0.0471✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003424-4.35%0.00327-8.66%0.0750✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003365-4.93%0.00356+0.56%0.0373✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003834-4.52%0.003545-11.71%0.1248✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003902-5.17%0.003475-15.55%0.1559✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003839-5.09%0.00353-12.73%0.1452✓1.12
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2026-03-28oos0.004270.004275+0.13%0.0042-1.64%0.0321✗0.98
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2026-03-07oos0.008070.008091+0.27%0.00584-27.63%0.3880✗1.08
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