PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2031

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0408

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.588553	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.582699	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.593608	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.589765	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.57281	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.605283	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.551147	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.541855	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.578427	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.56856	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.622521	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.621114	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.602751	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.583135	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.599968	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.603427	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.676636	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.733164	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.655497	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.678311	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.641306	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.648993	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.621329	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.610725	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.600258	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.57463	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.608212	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.57793	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.545571	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.549146	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.545867	-4.88%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1713	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.488447	-4.70%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2259	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.509285	-5.42%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2153	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.507584	-5.74%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2121	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.481614	-6.54%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2118	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.480266	-6.82%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2745	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.455593	-6.48%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2288	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.466597	-6.07%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2086	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.446939	-5.83%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.3019	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.452298	-5.91%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2881	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.458233	-6.49%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3610	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.455507	-7.47%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3709	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.452334	-5.42%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3591	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.425959	-2.77%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3953	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.436494	-2.68%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3943	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.420183	-0.67%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4243	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.413743	-0.40%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5551	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.410498	-0.29%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6544	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412395	+0.90%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5390	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.401673	-1.09%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5953	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.408215	-1.37%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5165	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.410439	-0.51%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5419	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.412873	-1.00%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4773	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.420517	-1.07%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4491	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.417223	-0.68%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4306	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.421866	+1.41%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3666	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.414124	+1.40%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4507	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.424491	+1.06%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3559	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.450003	+0.56%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2368	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.412471	+1.42%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3155	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.398671	+1.55%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3396	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.426237	+1.34%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1780	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.394947	-0.62%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2998	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.388601	-2.29%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3084	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.373495	-3.71%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3111	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.357129	-3.09%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3514	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.354599	-3.52%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3013	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.363849	-3.31%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2889	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.358567	-2.88%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2581	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.366979	-2.93%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2536	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.36784	-2.92%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2660	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.378973	-3.24%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2327	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.387373	-3.34%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1728	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.394948	-3.41%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0661	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.38081	-3.06%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1226	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.381399	-3.00%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0734	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.382329	-3.20%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0434	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.382638	-2.98%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0240	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.388735	-3.16%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0072	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.399255	-3.75%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0336	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.421806	-4.18%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0691	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.425212	-4.45%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0805	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.417736	-4.10%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0491	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.433207	-4.00%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0571	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.418461	-3.64%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0188	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.412102	-3.42%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0088	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.390263	-2.05%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0242	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.374209	-1.03%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0880	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380243	-1.47%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1303	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380648	-1.25%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0360	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.377378	-0.70%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0111	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.365546	+0.38%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1071	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.344676	+0.99%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1229	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.327833	+1.07%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1833	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.351494	+0.46%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.0986	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.367121	+0.16%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0047	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.392026	-0.70%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0607	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.391577	-0.51%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0371	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386582	-0.17%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0395	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383667	-0.11%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0089	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.388733	-0.52%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0305	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.411372	-1.04%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0484	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412412	-1.12%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0292	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.40942	-1.15%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0039	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390001	-0.76%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0021	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396619	-0.72%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0168	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.409985	-1.09%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0401	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.40151	-1.01%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0197	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389565	-0.37%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0286	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.416722	-0.80%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0058	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.420828	-0.84%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0418	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.41396	-0.57%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0686	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414249	-0.42%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0423	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415861	-0.39%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0650	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.448507	-1.38%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0377	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.451858	-1.75%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0636	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.45297	-1.50%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1338	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424691	-0.73%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1230	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.43069	-0.90%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1159	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.451622	-1.59%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1608	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.488656	-2.67%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2499	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.522005	-3.61%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3569	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.530009	-3.81%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4355	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.53544	-4.13%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4998	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.540811	-4.14%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4336	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.570776	-5.34%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4411	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.529959	-3.98%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2940	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.53391	-4.27%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3034	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.556186	-4.88%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3611	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.55433	-4.84%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3665	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.562755	-5.08%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3634	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.580927	-5.82%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3349	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.530016	-4.26%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2397	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.55857	-4.75%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3059	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.554046	-4.82%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3473	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.569015	-5.59%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3519	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.594455	-6.55%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3606	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.601234	-6.66%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4022	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.600884	-7.10%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4366	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.573452	-6.51%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3067	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.569095	-6.64%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2840	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.562279	-7.14%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2602	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.57904	-8.34%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2416	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.572647	-8.46%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1560	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.566139	-8.41%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0751	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.558021	-8.38%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0508	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.570287	-8.96%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0769	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.579259	-9.35%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.555263	-8.78%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.56296	-8.82%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.562012	-8.96%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.589825	-9.59%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0957	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.575236	-9.94%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1335	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.593414	-10.12%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1279	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.568137	-10.05%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1923	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.516292	-10.19%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3548	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.568113	-10.49%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1483	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.641164	-11.22%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.674496	-11.60%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.642419	-9.75%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0871	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.67684	-8.57%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0974	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.639275	-8.99%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1857	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.698692	-8.89%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.733716	-8.33%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0611	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.817308	-10.26%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.861798	-14.10%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1115	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.766183	-11.56%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.600695	-4.98%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3434	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.