PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0932

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0199

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.614399	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.606202	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.619137	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.615535	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.599501	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.632956	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.577239	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.569366	-2.60%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0909	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.604726	-2.99%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0254	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.597231	-3.16%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0593	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.652898	-3.66%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0220	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.653174	-3.87%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0504	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.635326	-3.90%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0350	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.616183	-3.89%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0428	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.631742	-4.05%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0664	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.632967	-3.77%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0003	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.710278	-4.15%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1155	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.769752	-5.42%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1108	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.688619	-4.13%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0036	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.713611	-4.47%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0662	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.672761	-4.17%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0313	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.682439	-4.81%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0343	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.651625	-4.19%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0009	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.639352	-4.67%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1355	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.62489	-4.76%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2517	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.59652	-3.42%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1837	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.631826	-4.49%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1649	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.597616	-3.42%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1581	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.561152	-3.23%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2502	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.562714	-2.71%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2067	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.556832	-2.97%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2093	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.501093	-2.24%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2478	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.524255	-2.64%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1434	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.523294	-2.82%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2135	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.500472	-2.88%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1615	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.499898	-3.01%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0981	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.473675	-2.77%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1473	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.482061	-2.96%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1338	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.462436	-2.56%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0813	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.467886	-2.67%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1210	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.474054	-3.26%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1100	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.471188	-4.29%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0904	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.461789	-3.44%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1205	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.431482	-1.51%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1337	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.441186	-1.63%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1224	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423354	+0.08%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1314	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416118	+0.17%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1569	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412541	+0.20%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1836	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.411314	+0.64%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.2024	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405031	-0.26%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1626	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.412157	-0.42%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0573	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.411768	-0.19%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0837	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.414872	-0.52%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0094	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.42227	-0.65%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0219	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.417377	-0.65%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0200	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415356	-0.15%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0197	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407425	-0.24%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0030	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.417769	-0.54%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0051	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.442579	-1.10%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0689	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405468	-0.30%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0283	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392497	-0.03%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0765	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.41964	-0.23%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.395276	-0.53%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0421	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.393324	-1.10%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0225	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.382535	-1.38%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0810	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.365033	-0.94%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1848	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.363954	-0.98%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0923	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.372597	-0.98%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0314	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.366215	-0.81%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1140	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.374509	-0.94%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0477	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.375377	-0.93%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0483	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.387216	-1.13%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.395651	-1.27%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0727	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403065	-1.43%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0860	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.388205	-1.18%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0250	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388523	-1.19%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0468	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.389995	-1.25%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0287	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.389629	-1.21%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0236	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.396241	-1.29%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0097	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.408413	-1.54%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0207	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.432202	-1.82%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0607	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.436659	-1.87%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1132	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.427933	-1.76%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0919	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.442515	-1.94%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1123	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.425983	-1.90%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0783	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.418161	-2.00%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0412	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.394399	-1.02%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0508	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.37552	-0.68%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1632	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.38254	-0.87%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1551	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382039	-0.88%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1343	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.376724	-0.88%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1814	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363335	-0.22%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1849	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341811	+0.15%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2304	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.325295	+0.29%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2067	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350052	+0.04%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0752	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366066	-0.13%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0542	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.393131	-0.42%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0204	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392139	-0.37%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0358	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386103	-0.30%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0635	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.382953	-0.30%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1207	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389349	-0.36%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1950	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.412912	-0.67%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1690	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.414004	-0.74%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1254	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.410887	-0.80%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0391	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.390596	-0.61%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0059	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.397105	-0.60%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0328	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410907	-0.87%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0722	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401931	-0.90%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0229	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389005	-0.51%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0659	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417868	-0.53%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0040	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.422093	-0.54%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0241	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.414745	-0.39%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0588	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415018	-0.24%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0445	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417094	-0.10%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0193	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.45131	-0.77%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1123	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.455325	-0.99%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1583	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457254	-0.56%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0894	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.42858	+0.18%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0131	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.435579	+0.23%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0475	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458242	-0.14%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0959	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.498205	-0.77%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1794	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.534583	-1.29%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1675	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.543501	-1.36%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1727	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.549753	-1.57%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1852	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.555395	-1.55%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2664	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.588971	-2.33%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3069	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.544734	-1.30%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1687	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.549666	-1.45%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0882	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.573779	-1.88%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0565	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.572931	-1.64%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0379	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.582917	-1.68%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0427	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.60374	-2.12%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0678	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.549911	-0.67%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0927	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.582351	-0.69%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0614	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.578978	-0.54%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0473	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.596515	-1.03%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0267	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.625666	-1.64%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0767	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.635387	-1.35%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0789	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.63642	-1.60%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0381	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.608019	-0.88%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0923	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.604615	-0.82%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0144	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.597542	-1.31%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0125	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.614241	-2.76%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0442	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.607143	-2.94%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1517	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.600256	-2.89%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2064	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.592269	-2.76%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2131	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.606253	-3.22%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1077	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.616241	-3.56%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1380	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.58984	-3.10%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.596954	-3.31%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1365	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.596574	-3.36%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.62708	-3.88%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.614177	-3.84%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.631959	-4.28%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0446	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.606763	-3.93%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.554851	-3.49%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.609385	-3.99%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.688275	-4.70%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1032	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.723471	-5.18%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.682503	-4.12%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.711072	-3.95%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.67601	-3.76%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.736618	-3.95%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2006	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.769079	-3.91%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.861404	-5.42%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.921859	-8.11%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1570	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.804502	-7.13%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1082	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.619228	-2.05%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1652	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.