PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s8

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.625834	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.61665	-0.46%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0222	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630946	-0.51%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0272	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.628509	-0.58%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0103	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.611622	-0.52%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0280	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.648542	-0.74%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0525	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589082	-0.50%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1087	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.581695	-0.49%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0131	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619617	-0.60%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0467	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.612944	-0.61%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0066	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.67239	-0.78%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0747	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.673978	-0.81%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0005	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.65606	-0.76%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0326	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.636634	-0.70%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0321	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.653224	-0.79%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0084	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.653083	-0.71%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0226	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.734654	-0.86%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1093	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.801684	-1.49%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0743	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.712212	-0.84%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1241	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.739857	-0.96%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0309	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.695991	-0.86%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0725	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.708824	-1.13%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0167	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674063	-0.89%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0621	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.662845	-1.16%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0247	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.647439	-1.32%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0415	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613208	-0.72%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0673	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.653263	-1.25%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0581	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613764	-0.81%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0768	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575092	-0.83%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0732	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.57465	-0.65%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0213	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.568957	-0.85%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0194	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510073	-0.48%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0825	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535209	-0.60%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0428	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.534935	-0.66%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0042	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.512198	-0.60%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0209	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512194	-0.62%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0047	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484504	-0.54%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0589	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493284	-0.70%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0008	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472077	-0.53%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0440	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477985	-0.56%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0048	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485937	-0.84%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0111	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485398	-1.40%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0064	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.47223	-1.26%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0503	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.435886	-0.51%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0935	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445618	-0.64%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0144	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422882	-0.03%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0648	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415359	-0.01%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0158	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411679	-0.01%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0083	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408985	+0.07%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0141	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405705	-0.10%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0067	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.413339	-0.14%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0173	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412139	-0.10%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0081	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416324	-0.17%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0125	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424139	-0.21%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0149	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.419248	-0.20%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0124	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415264	-0.18%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0205	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407609	-0.19%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0159	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418651	-0.33%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0266	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.444555	-0.66%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0552	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.40566	-0.26%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0947	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392123	-0.12%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0347	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419638	-0.23%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0636	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396622	-0.20%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0520	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396351	-0.34%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0034	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386427	-0.38%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0243	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367572	-0.25%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0535	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366654	-0.24%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0028	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375385	-0.24%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0208	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368466	-0.20%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0210	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377158	-0.24%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0207	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378013	-0.23%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0001	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390531	-0.29%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0299	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399454	-0.32%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0186	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407301	-0.39%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0133	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391637	-0.31%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0433	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391997	-0.31%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0021	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393707	-0.31%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0031	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393236	-0.30%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0056	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400212	-0.30%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0167	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.41336	-0.35%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0317	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.438327	-0.43%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0550	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.443092	-0.43%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0092	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433835	-0.41%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0256	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448984	-0.50%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0243	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.43181	-0.56%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0426	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423766	-0.69%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0244	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397245	-0.30%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0713	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377278	-0.22%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0584	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384857	-0.27%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0203	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384282	-0.30%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0037	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37861	-0.38%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0204	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363661	-0.13%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0472	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341289	-0.00%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0662	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324471	+0.04%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0473	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349791	-0.03%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0770	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366234	-0.09%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0453	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394167	-0.16%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0758	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393038	-0.14%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0040	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386795	-0.12%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0209	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383669	-0.11%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0103	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.39025	-0.13%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0274	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414831	-0.21%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0544	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416159	-0.23%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0010	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413213	-0.24%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0107	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392291	-0.18%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0515	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398786	-0.18%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0175	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.41336	-0.27%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0309	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404322	-0.31%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0269	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.390242	-0.19%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0374	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419396	-0.17%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0717	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423699	-0.17%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0104	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415855	-0.12%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0173	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415675	-0.08%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0027	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417322	-0.04%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0072	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.453751	-0.23%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0808	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.458261	-0.36%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0086	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458993	-0.19%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0027	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427917	+0.03%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0721	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434747	+0.03%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0165	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458711	-0.04%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0530	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501152	-0.18%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0891	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.539927	-0.30%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0747	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.549276	-0.31%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0131	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.556516	-0.36%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0114	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.562279	-0.33%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0056	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.599368	-0.60%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0600	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.550436	-0.27%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0925	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.556136	-0.29%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0067	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.58238	-0.41%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0428	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.580612	-0.32%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0069	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.590954	-0.33%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0152	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.613826	-0.48%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0357	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.553065	-0.10%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1091	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.585764	-0.11%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0620	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.581693	-0.07%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0087	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.601715	-0.16%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0301	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.634206	-0.30%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0504	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.642539	-0.24%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0168	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.644479	-0.36%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0001	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612595	-0.13%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0718	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608918	-0.11%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0088	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.604234	-0.21%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0288	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.628218	-0.55%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0022	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621939	-0.58%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0374	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614771	-0.54%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0193	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.606083	-0.49%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0159	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622553	-0.61%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0206	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.634389	-0.72%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.605151	-0.58%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0745	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.61349	-0.63%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0108	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.613482	-0.62%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.647543	-0.74%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.634209	-0.70%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.654548	-0.86%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.627048	-0.72%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.571869	-0.53%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0902	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.630611	-0.64%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0902	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.716228	-0.83%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1148	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.755199	-1.02%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.706546	-0.74%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0890	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.734117	-0.84%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.697493	-0.70%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.760595	-0.82%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.793173	-0.90%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.896303	-1.59%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1074	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.974968	-2.81%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.842869	-2.70%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1683	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.629328	-0.45%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3173	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.