8=======>

2022-09-12 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0794
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.059848-7.56%0.05812-10.23%0.1413✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.0927-7.07%5.478-16.44%0.0261✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.09e-7-5.36%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1211✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9328.3295-5.35%24.04-19.68%0.0634✗1.66159k2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.6605-4.65%30.44-20.83%0.0294✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.0835-4.54%6.52-12.13%0.0669✗1.10224k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3487-4.35%1.19-15.60%0.0198✓1.0668k2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2121-4.34%0.955-24.63%0.0068✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000287137-4.29%0.00031125+3.75%0.1175✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.183558-4.20%0.1112-41.96%0.4822✓0.1483k2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4976-4.18%1.258-19.51%0.0069✓1.2343k2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.207401-4.16%0.1327-38.68%0.3442✓0.7526k2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0997-4.12%1.88-14.16%0.0637✗1.27227k2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.392565-4.09%0.2908-28.95%0.1889✓0.8189k2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.642687-4.08%0.598-10.75%0.0735✗1.07111k2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.6746-3.84%12.27-13.71%0.0537✗1.19925k2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0222-3.80%1.696-19.31%0.0179✓1.42967k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.713926-3.77%0.6251-15.74%0.0776✗1.54210k2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.879-3.74%12.487+1.19%0.1012✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.831558-3.73%0.7721-10.62%0.0864✗1.17946k2022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9069-3.65%4.057-20.34%0.0535✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.9732-3.64%0.893-11.58%0.0302✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049435-3.64%0.0433-15.59%0.0266✓1.16178k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.7523-3.61%5.54-20.91%0.1842✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.322547-3.60%0.3026-9.56%0.0785✗1.0482k2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.494911-3.51%0.4508-12.11%0.0237✓0.86396k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,415.40-3.45%8,481.63-13.02%0.0893✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.1808-3.41%2.9221-11.27%0.0571✗1.0419k2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1351-3.39%2.975-8.32%0.0015✓0.37676k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.124275-3.36%0.1014-21.15%0.0322✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.284436-3.35%0.25224-14.29%0.0034✓0.9015k2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,561.46-3.33%1,331.44-17.57%0.0227✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.0154-3.31%15.618+0.57%0.2144✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.02205-3.29%0.0223-2.19%0.1570✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.768437-3.25%0.72902-8.21%0.1017✗1.13624k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.4179-3.17%5.92-22.72%0.1913✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.466024-3.11%0.437-9.15%0.0783✗1.047,9852022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.110854-3.10%0.0903-21.07%0.1233✓0.60188k2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.6711-3.07%15.52-14.87%0.0569✓0.53396k2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.340682-3.05%0.3113-11.41%0.0699✗1.1772k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4275-2.97%3.5781-21.58%0.1291✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017947-2.93%0.0155-16.17%0.0099✓1.009912022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.721-2.92%5.2403+7.76%0.3084✗1.49122k2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.376597-2.91%0.3301-14.90%0.0144✓1.07314k2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.552479-2.90%0.473-16.87%0.0012✓1.1466k2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.4659-2.90%5.479-17.72%0.0264✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1086-2.88%1.845-15.02%0.0406✗1.2732k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.49-2.87%1.365-11.02%0.0662✗1.1371k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7518-2.84%1.496-17.03%0.0189✓1.02627k2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7301-2.83%6.057-12.55%0.0312✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.150363-2.80%0.1384-10.54%0.0554✗1.01336k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5421-2.78%7.3-5.90%0.1224✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8813-2.78%1.699-12.20%0.1322✗1.7160k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4517-2.77%6.385-16.69%0.0052✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.00302-2.77%0.002524-18.74%0.0546✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.289378-2.76%0.2802-5.85%0.1154✗1.0874k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3925-2.75%2.07-15.85%0.0616✓0.61261k2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.708-2.73%13.68-9.52%0.0644✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3436-2.70%5.865+6.79%0.2842✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.4023-2.69%4.135-8.60%0.0661✗0.94273k2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.02339-2.68%0.027182+13.09%0.1624✗0.09465k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3161-2.66%1.167-13.68%0.0543✗1.28323k2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011686-2.65%0.011007-8.31%0.0768✗1.006492022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0934-2.58%1.8797-12.52%0.0464✗1.1313k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.17279-2.55%0.145-18.22%0.0276✓1.08271k2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.00129-2.50%0.0011-16.90%0.0467✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.832945-2.50%0.77846-8.88%0.0402✗0.7913k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2383-2.46%1.0665-15.99%0.0067✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9149-2.40%1.7159-12.55%0.0437✗1.1223k2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2043-2.36%5.15-3.38%0.0776✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.111422-2.35%0.1003-12.09%0.0150✓0.88188k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041696-2.29%0.039404-7.66%0.0164✓0.5323k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.43023-2.28%0.4068-7.60%0.0782✗0.98379k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046394-2.27%0.04122-13.17%0.0295✓0.6514k2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.003489-2.26%0.00326-8.68%0.0673✗0.99483k2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.26879-2.26%0.256-6.91%0.0567✗0.77563k2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8684-2.24%4.59-7.83%0.0594✗0.87839k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.633552-2.23%0.596-8.02%0.0786✗1.02178k2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006072-2.22%0.00502-19.16%0.1036✓0.63911k2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87126.0539-2.19%112.05-13.05%0.0430✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.0813-2.16%40.04-23.31%0.1030✓1.03363k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2514-2.16%1.092-14.62%0.0086✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.313571-2.14%0.271513-15.27%0.0093✓0.99471k2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036506-2.13%0.03126-16.19%0.0102✓1.0635k2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8809-2.11%2.506-14.85%0.0726✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.197185-2.09%0.2531+25.67%0.3842✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.064033-2.09%0.0563-13.91%0.0376✗1.22563k2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001593-2.06%0.001532-5.78%0.0688✗0.79374k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1195-2.06%0.9829-14.01%0.0810✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065331-2.05%0.0609-8.70%0.0731✗1.0579k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.100596-2.05%0.0944-8.08%0.0751✗1.01336k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.65825-2.05%0.572-14.88%0.0151✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.715144-2.04%0.66-9.59%0.0474✓0.2444k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3692-2.03%1.1772-15.77%0.0032✓1.08922k2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.6305-2.01%52.16-4.70%0.1461✗1.278,6412022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8302-1.98%5.296-10.96%0.0083✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.169178-1.96%0.15899-7.86%0.0420✗0.765152022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.940388-1.95%0.8565-10.70%0.0795✗1.27899k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.9534-1.95%17.28-19.14%0.0046✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.31739-1.95%0.3172-2.01%0.1337✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045808-1.93%0.040881-12.48%0.0082✓0.8928k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.83e-7-1.93%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0026✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.161074-1.90%0.1389-15.41%0.0312✗1.319132022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062762-1.87%0.05866-8.28%0.0705✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048282-1.87%0.0393-20.12%0.0451✓1.18546k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.347754-1.86%0.30629-13.57%0.0205✗1.0833k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.878263-1.85%0.8509-4.91%0.1825✗1.5789k2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.4325-1.84%11.4637-9.49%0.0583✗1.0221k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.435464-1.83%0.3928-11.45%0.0578✗1.1875k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.766-1.83%55.26-12.17%0.0480✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129509-1.81%0.1251-5.16%0.1264✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048407-1.81%0.0432-12.37%0.0024✓0.85145k2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8778-1.81%1.4112-26.20%0.1700✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045147-1.79%0.0000394-14.29%0.0158✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008889-1.78%0.00746-17.57%0.0463✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.9532-1.78%24.19-15.00%0.0057✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099516-1.76%0.0949-6.32%0.0565✗0.762,7302022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4699-1.76%4.26-6.37%0.0350✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.532474-1.76%0.485-10.52%0.0734✗1.2277k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008184-1.76%0.0074-11.16%0.0601✗1.18428k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.230487-1.75%0.1992-15.09%0.0232✓0.9057k2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.139621-1.75%0.12606-11.29%0.0632✗1.21151k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021639-1.72%0.020248-8.04%0.0183✗0.6212k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.821-1.71%107.75+1.03%0.1553✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.595-1.71%6.05-9.84%0.0188✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0724-1.70%0.962594-11.77%0.0028✓0.7736k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.401206-1.67%0.3256-20.20%0.0601✓1.09202k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039242-1.65%0.0357-10.53%0.0268✗0.899,1922022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.8033-1.64%8-10.61%0.0151✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2756-1.64%5.75-9.87%0.0157✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.072789-1.64%0.0621-16.08%0.1404✓0.13378k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.311068-1.63%0.38357+21.29%0.3041✗0.69326k2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,038.06-1.63%19,540.38-12.78%0.0164✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1693-1.62%3.746-11.61%0.0358✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050765-1.62%0.0498-3.49%0.1119✗0.96234k2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.570862-1.61%0.5271-9.15%0.0046✓0.62836k2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.180959-1.60%0.1539-16.31%0.0047✓1.151,7442022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.95453-1.59%0.902-7.01%0.1058✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.2237-1.56%13.84-16.02%0.0123✓1.2579k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.231848-1.55%0.2188-7.09%0.0613✗0.87527k2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149454-1.55%0.1312-13.57%0.0062✓1.00119k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7138-1.53%2.425-12.01%0.0011✓0.83523k2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.22-1.52%3.728-13.00%0.0738✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.070905-1.51%0.06261-13.03%0.0123✓1.0025k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.287318-1.50%0.2595-11.04%0.0369✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004137-1.50%0.00357-15.00%0.0187✓0.94103k2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.222331-1.49%0.1798-20.34%0.1085✓0.7667k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068125-1.48%0.06161-10.90%0.0269✗0.938202022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77161.3535-1.48%140.37-14.29%0.0072✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001627-1.47%0.001428-13.51%0.0375✓0.685,8832022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.4854-1.45%40.74-13.63%0.0143✓1.07312k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.20337-1.42%0.1842-10.71%0.0497✗1.09135k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.112252-1.41%0.111743-1.86%0.1169✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6339-1.36%1.4887-10.13%0.0518✗1.06241k2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.00627-1.35%0.005618-11.61%0.0225✓0.641,9622022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.901966-1.34%0.816606-10.68%0.0181✗0.8649k2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.991138-1.33%0.9446-5.96%0.0298✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.494853-1.31%0.4526-9.73%0.0482✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5892-1.30%9.098-6.35%0.0654✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.358002-1.30%0.3044-16.07%0.0179✓1.061,1592022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.132956-1.29%0.1151-14.55%0.0039✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9808-1.28%4.6593-7.65%0.0580✓0.06119k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.6306-1.27%52.89-13.87%0.0060✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.8808-1.26%9.08-17.60%0.0029✓1.34288k2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,695.24-1.25%1,376.17-19.84%0.0231✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3291-1.25%4.2119-3.92%0.0737✗0.74688k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.01299-1.24%0.011897-9.56%0.0264✗0.84882k2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.556004-1.24%0.47873-14.97%0.0331✗1.3439k2022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.873-1.23%76.38-16.06%0.0464✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.202801-1.22%0.1786-13.01%0.0262✗1.12108k2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039229-1.19%0.034-14.36%0.0039✓1.0289k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.99e-7-1.18%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0029✓0.7415k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039532-1.17%0.03487-12.83%0.0302✓0.702,2982022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012731-1.16%0.00001097-14.83%0.0105✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.0246-1.13%0.02205-11.37%0.0384✗1.082,9582022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.0126-1.09%49.657-9.07%0.0369✗0.88264k2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059359-1.07%0.0547-8.83%0.0341✗0.8590k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.395559-1.05%0.38968-2.52%0.1235✗1.0131k2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4152-1.04%1.44+0.70%0.0013✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.478092-1.02%0.391-19.05%0.0356✓1.214,2692022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.090571-1.01%0.0828-9.51%0.0448✗0.9814k2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006172-1.00%0.006367+2.13%0.0818✗0.3730k2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6071-0.92%1.485-8.45%0.0213✗0.7329k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4637.1544-0.82%32.65-12.84%0.0380✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.490779-0.81%0.4467-9.72%0.0640✗1.16384k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012839-0.78%0.01128-12.83%0.0400✓0.65233k2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,158.72-0.73%19,581.40-12.27%0.0019✓0.9213k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.4647-0.70%14.77-10.92%0.0019✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.063477-0.64%0.060295-5.62%0.0123✗0.47123k2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8318-0.45%2.28+23.91%0.2830✗0.4758k2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020986-0.16%0.01974-6.09%0.0216✗0.61191k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.