8=======>

2022-09-11 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2644
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 96.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.243334-6.80%0.1267-51.47%0.5585✓0.8024k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.9846-6.74%5.265-17.95%0.0151✓0.966.2M2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.060874-6.65%0.05724-12.22%0.0851✗1.251.3M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.90e-7-5.50%5.65e-7-22.56%0.0979✓0.862.3M2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000409399-5.10%0.00027312-36.69%0.3613✓0.372.1M2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum31.9830.3645-5.05%23.19-27.49%0.0699✓1.70168k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5636.7103-4.80%29.61-23.21%0.0292✓1.5910.6M2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.489746-4.53%0.426-16.96%0.0149✓1.067,7812022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3959-4.39%1.17-19.86%0.0511✓1.0779k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3419-4.29%0.929-33.74%0.1654✓1.732.7M2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.3139-4.14%6.16-19.27%0.0424✓1.10230k2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.8532-4.11%5.6084-21.53%0.1882✓0.109.1M2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2351-4.07%1.79-23.18%0.0709✓1.29227k2022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.658082-4.07%0.592-13.70%0.0205✓1.08111k2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.705591-4.01%0.6036-17.89%0.0237✓1.53226k2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.0895-4.01%12.26-2.65%0.0580✗0.3816.0M2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.5836-3.91%1.197-27.37%0.1344✓1.2443k2022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050039-3.77%0.042-19.23%0.0382✓1.17190k2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.013-3.76%12.03-17.38%0.0130✓1.19925k2022-09-18
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.7151-3.69%3.918-19.98%0.0680✓1.001.4M2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1162.038-3.69%1.653-21.88%0.0422✓1.43967k2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.986563-3.66%0.864-15.62%0.0851✓0.412.7M2022-09-18
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,596.47-3.65%1,293.99-21.90%0.0929✓1.003.4M2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.3335-3.63%6.0254-20.82%0.1670✓0.2511.9M2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.003810.003672-3.61%0.00322-15.49%0.0129✓1.01481k2022-09-18
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017623-3.59%0.015-17.94%0.0440✓1.008742022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.497379-3.55%0.4395-14.78%0.0235✓0.85418k2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.835826-3.52%0.7498-13.45%0.0296✓1.18946k2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.1502-3.50%14.707-6.32%0.1222✗1.3018.7M2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.321185-3.49%0.299-10.16%0.0512✗1.0575k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.281373-3.46%0.25124-13.80%0.0082✓0.9015k2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.121171-3.37%0.1002-20.10%0.1173✓0.62191k2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1678-3.36%2.925-10.77%0.0358✓0.38720k2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,855.54-3.33%8,342.07-18.17%0.0020✓1.444.2M2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1976-3.30%2.8489-13.84%0.0070✓1.0419k2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.5273-3.24%3.63-22.42%0.1500✓0.618.1M2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022571-3.21%0.01917-17.80%0.0388✓1.069.7M2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.3252-3.19%15.52-18.01%0.1022✓0.55384k2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.11298-3.19%0.1-14.31%0.0229✓1.242.5M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.778281-3.17%0.70221-12.63%0.0305✓1.14584k2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.6935-3.17%4.9458+2.04%0.2320✗1.53129k2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.57643-3.12%0.473-20.50%0.0620✓1.1664k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.5048-3.12%5.086-10.49%0.0860✗1.416.4M2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5481-3.11%2.09-20.53%0.1253✓0.62262k2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.320529-3.11%0.2724-17.65%0.0733✓0.7684k2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7813-3.08%1.433-22.03%0.0975✓1.02627k2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006409-3.05%0.00503-23.90%0.1672✓0.64911k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.149839-3.02%0.1381-10.61%0.0376✗1.02336k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.9606-2.96%5.851-18.43%0.0553✓1.014.3M2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3285-2.96%1.165-14.90%0.0175✓1.27343k2022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1369-2.95%1.808-17.89%0.0170✓1.2832k2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.7933-2.95%7.523-6.31%0.0971✗1.1317.5M2022-09-18
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010981-2.95%0.011219-0.84%0.1387✗1.006302022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.351247-2.94%0.3025-16.41%0.0110✓1.1872k2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.3686-2.94%3.847-14.53%0.0163✓0.95286k2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9316-2.93%1.646-17.29%0.0414✗1.7260k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39030.378956-2.91%0.3266-16.32%0.0224✓1.08324k2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.483-2.84%6.443-16.35%0.0128✓1.1710.0M2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023302-2.80%0.026132+9.01%0.1232✗0.07455k2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.2636-2.78%12.84-18.22%0.0540✓1.011.8M2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.314-2.73%5.466-15.79%0.0197✓1.406.9M2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2434-2.70%1.7772-22.92%0.0997✓1.1413k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001331-2.68%0.001075-21.36%0.1145✓0.842.2M2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002829-2.59%0.002574-11.36%0.0109✓0.901.2M2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2921-2.54%5.19-4.42%0.0580✗0.662.0M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2698-2.54%1.0284-21.07%0.0761✓1.151.1M2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.285519-2.52%0.2612-10.82%0.0375✗1.0883k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.445311-2.51%0.38485-15.75%0.0281✓1.01379k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.112742-2.47%0.0991-14.27%0.0263✓0.88169k2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.04549-2.47%0.04034-13.51%0.0446✓0.6414k2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.830901-2.45%0.78032-8.39%0.0298✗0.7913k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4799-2.45%1.336-11.93%0.0293✗1.1271k2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.278078-2.43%0.254-10.88%0.0010✓0.78563k2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration51.950.6554-2.40%39.58-23.74%0.1277✓1.02395k2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.173626-2.40%0.14138-20.52%0.0806✓1.07268k2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.203348-2.38%0.2313+11.04%0.2461✗1.003.2M2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.041334-2.33%0.039181-7.42%0.0083✓0.5323k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35127.3144-2.33%111.83-14.21%0.0093✓1.194.4M2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8794-2.32%1.6754-12.93%0.0163✓1.1223k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036949-2.28%0.03069-18.83%0.0602✓1.0745k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.720.703915-2.23%0.69-4.17%0.0072✓0.2346k2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.071444-2.22%0.06413-12.23%0.0060✓0.977022022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1567-2.22%0.935-20.96%0.0300✓1.564.4M2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9872-2.21%4.63-9.22%0.0270✗0.86859k2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2554.03-2.21%47.61-13.83%0.0245✗1.298,9662022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2237-2.18%1.065-14.87%0.0294✓0.931.1M2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2862-2.15%1.2237-6.91%0.0758✗1.071.0M2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.661462-2.15%0.552-18.34%0.0467✓1.153.5M2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.635062-2.15%0.572-11.86%0.0160✓1.03178k2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1396.0096-2.11%5.554-9.53%0.0015✓0.663.1M2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.9007-2.10%2.44-17.65%0.0106✓1.572.9M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9657-2.09%1.4393-28.31%0.2120✓0.851.4M2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045807-2.09%0.039656-15.24%0.0395✓0.8928k2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.954461-2.09%0.8289-14.97%0.0078✓1.27899k2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.063159-2.08%0.0619-4.03%0.1008✗1.0379k2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.4336-2.08%5.56-15.37%0.0823✓0.542.1M2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.064827-2.07%0.0565-14.65%0.0064✓1.23555k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.5909-2.07%6.01-10.70%0.0334✓0.502.1M2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.164573-2.04%0.1415-15.77%0.0042✓1.321,0012022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.31977-2.03%0.293-10.23%0.0282✗0.995.9M2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009249-2.03%0.00752-20.34%0.0939✓0.963.2M2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008271-2.01%0.00744-11.85%0.0324✗1.18406k2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.92e-7-2.01%7.90e-7-13.19%0.0338✓0.741.7M2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.062427-2.00%0.0573-10.05%0.0327✗1.011.3M2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.100651-1.99%0.0931-9.35%0.0121✓0.772,6892022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048715-1.98%0.0427-14.08%0.0321✓0.85138k2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.307642-1.96%0.266614-15.03%0.0276✓0.99471k2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097753-1.95%0.0912-8.53%0.0487✗1.01336k2022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.417216-1.95%0.3151-25.95%0.1510✓1.11202k2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3194-1.94%3.699-16.03%0.0917✓0.542.3M2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000044736-1.94%0.00003918-14.12%0.0290✓0.882.5M2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049137-1.92%0.037-26.15%0.1471✓1.17536k2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.551-1.92%4.22-9.05%0.0030✓0.621.4M2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.170814-1.91%0.16044-7.87%0.0291✗0.783512022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.436021-1.91%0.3859-13.18%0.0150✓1.1781k2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021474-1.89%0.020014-8.56%0.0023✓0.6212k2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.345059-1.89%0.30461-13.39%0.0017✓1.0834k2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum108.82106.7751-1.88%104.08-4.36%0.0861✗0.953.5M2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001529-1.88%0.001548-0.64%0.1025✗0.77353k2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.87182-1.88%0.8499-4.34%0.1583✗1.5794k2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash64.2763.065-1.87%53.33-17.02%0.0295✓1.181.2M2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.6488-1.85%11.3049-12.27%0.0075✓1.0222k2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0662-1.84%0.954978-12.09%0.0200✓0.7734k2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.343667-1.84%0.3429-2.06%0.1210✗1.057782022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.230709-1.83%0.2197-6.51%0.0529✗0.87503k2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130888-1.81%0.1208-9.38%0.0588✗1.191.4M2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.141273-1.77%0.12379-13.93%0.0100✓1.21151k2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.3246-1.77%16.72-19.19%0.0346✓1.3718.0M2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149136-1.76%0.129-15.02%0.0274✓1.00110k2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.8225-1.75%7.93-11.69%0.0363✓0.602.4M2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.957022-1.74%0.879-9.75%0.0557✗1.201.5M2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.4058-1.74%23.45-15.92%0.0365✓1.026.8M2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006423-1.73%0.005544-15.18%0.0686✓0.672,0442022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.533602-1.73%0.468-13.81%0.0123✓1.2274k2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.57920.569308-1.71%0.512-11.60%0.0332✓0.62826k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,461.00-1.70%19,417.64-11.06%0.0171✗1.00473.4M2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.1904-1.70%13.34-19.00%0.0468✓1.2584k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.325866-1.67%0.43553+31.43%0.3724✗0.70326k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.074203-1.67%0.06225-17.51%0.0568✓1.0124k2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2815-1.67%3.731-14.31%0.0940✓0.372.2M2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.736-1.65%2.396-13.87%0.0406✓0.79586k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.179997-1.64%0.1496-18.25%0.0480✓1.171,7442022-09-18
DASHDashDash48.3547.5629-1.63%40.12-17.02%0.0438✓1.08321k2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.072951-1.60%0.06377-13.99%0.1186✓0.14378k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.210676-1.60%0.1831-14.48%0.0127✓1.09138k2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.00161-1.59%0.001429-12.65%0.0394✓0.686,5532022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero159.22156.6871-1.59%140.49-11.76%0.0060✓0.981.3M2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.226646-1.59%0.1954-15.15%0.0435✓0.8957k2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004124-1.57%0.00356-15.04%0.0363✓0.95103k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050005-1.57%0.0491-3.35%0.0923✗0.94234k2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6592-1.56%1.4386-14.65%0.0181✓1.06241k2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.227629-1.54%0.1846-20.16%0.1196✓0.7766k2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.287789-1.54%0.2517-13.89%0.0150✓1.022.6M2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.913906-1.50%0.785842-15.30%0.0490✓0.8749k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0123-1.48%0.9352-8.98%0.0122✓0.572.6M2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.112697-1.48%0.1072-6.28%0.0537✗0.896.4M2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.502676-1.46%0.4478-12.21%0.0026✓1.0138.3M2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.547073-1.44%0.4662-16.01%0.0028✓1.3439k2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,741.75-1.43%1,334.72-24.46%0.1054✓1.37575.8M2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2311.0707-1.42%8.65-22.97%0.0871✓1.36298k2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.207634-1.41%0.1768-16.05%0.0256✓1.15108k2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.3074-1.40%52.65-15.33%0.0299✓1.0413.5M2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.135908-1.37%0.1145-16.91%0.0402✓1.122.9M2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.6212-1.37%8.956-8.19%0.0296✗0.861.2M2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9938-1.36%4.6704-7.75%0.0596✓0.06117k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025159-1.34%0.02202-13.65%0.0009✓1.132,9142022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6390.4085-1.33%73.06-20.27%0.0333✓1.535.6M2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.399901-1.32%0.37245-8.10%0.0477✗1.0132k2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.03671-1.32%0.0363-2.42%0.0912✗0.877,8252022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2744-1.29%4.1187-4.88%0.0488✗0.73690k2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060319-1.28%0.0557-8.84%0.0207✗0.8682k2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.98e-7-1.27%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0282✓0.7515k2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012828-1.25%0.00001061-18.32%0.0705✓1.021.0M2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013029-1.24%0.011882-9.94%0.0069✓0.85920k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038816-1.23%0.0332-15.52%0.0367✓1.0288k2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.508748-1.21%0.384-25.44%0.1372✓1.234,2692022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.092975-1.20%0.0811-13.82%0.0207✓0.9914k2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.039134-1.18%0.03461-12.60%0.0420✓0.692,1832022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.813-1.18%48.437-11.05%0.0037✓0.87275k2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4039-1.14%1.42+0.00%0.0052✓-0.14124k2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006239-1.12%0.0063-0.14%0.0549✗0.3830k2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6382-1.02%1.531-7.49%0.0198✗0.7536k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.507187-0.94%0.4415-13.77%0.0006✓1.18384k2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012816-0.88%0.01153-10.83%0.0285✓0.66233k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.7313-0.80%31.1-11.17%0.0310✗1.2154.5M2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,493.89-0.78%19,440.70-10.26%0.0071✓0.9213k2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.064190.06375-0.69%0.060789-5.30%0.0099✗0.49123k2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8898-0.54%2.25+18.42%0.2304✗0.4861k2022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.126387-0.48%0.1131-10.94%0.1105✓0.0183k2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021245-0.26%0.01968-7.61%0.0063✓0.60206k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5844+0.03%14.09-15.02%0.0710✗0.791.5M2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.