8=======>

2022-08-14 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0256
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.116034-8.99%0.1104-13.41%0.1148✗0.88220k2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5737.9966-8.60%35.29-15.11%0.1844✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.475833-8.48%0.3105-40.28%0.1791✓1.33213k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.0146-8.29%15.2-61.29%0.6553✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.321-8.26%1.182-17.92%0.2467✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.001933-8.06%0.001519-27.74%0.0541✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.085515-7.86%0.05951-35.88%0.1354✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.380058-7.71%0.298-27.63%0.0369✓1.10100k2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2639.9274-7.70%27.9-35.51%0.0060✓1.95385k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6284-7.19%1.864-34.18%0.1056✓1.27754k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.5285-7.13%6.97-32.07%0.1047✓1.11638k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.2519-7.05%13.18-28.99%0.0471✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.152-7.05%7.025-19.90%0.0581✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.2923-6.97%1.0525-24.24%0.0615✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.912962-6.94%0.6606-32.66%0.0512✓1.46407k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.4491-6.90%6.4-20.01%0.0391✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.8012-6.79%13.897+19.93%0.4703✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.4437-6.75%6.58+78.17%0.7322✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.3055-6.69%18.87-33.06%0.0751✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61110.6965-6.67%97.87-17.49%0.0390✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5746-6.45%2.719-28.84%0.0232✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.6078-6.35%14.53+0.00%0.2951✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.951-6.34%6.134-3.46%0.0495✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,518.38-6.31%9,017.07-19.68%0.0947✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.7196-6.26%5.871-28.71%0.1127✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.0829-6.22%5.72+5.54%0.1684✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.922-6.21%16.8-20.90%0.0407✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.7055-6.05%4.212+6.80%0.2895✗0.86124k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.3512-5.98%6.034-32.06%0.0796✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.2456-5.92%1.68-29.62%0.1084✓0.97607k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.834867-5.88%0.61-31.23%0.1345✓0.96280k2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.01e-7-5.79%6.96e-7+63.55%0.6792✗0.68150k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003952-5.67%0.002827-32.53%0.1851✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.0081-5.65%5.136-19.35%0.0963✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.170893-5.64%0.1934+6.79%0.2837✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.063261-5.58%0.0441-34.18%0.1569✓1.09877k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.711013-5.58%0.449-40.37%0.2294✓1.232,7912022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.826444-5.44%0.622-28.83%0.0108✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015964-5.43%0.00001209-28.38%0.0985✓0.96679k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.4128-5.38%2.32-9.02%0.1346✗0.93636k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0162-5.34%0.73147-31.86%0.1426✓1.00574k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44101.7195-5.32%82.97-22.78%0.0880✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.13191-5.31%0.1082-22.33%0.0101✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6597-5.28%1.785-36.43%0.0721✓1.75144k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000094872-5.26%0.00035806+257.56%1.5185✗1.02336k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8996-5.24%2.03-33.66%0.1185✓1.27244k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.018811-5.22%0.024692+24.42%0.3045✗0.17230k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.083706-5.20%0.0679-23.10%0.0018✓1.1329k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,835.60-5.18%1,574.71-18.66%0.0941✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001358-5.16%0.001236-13.64%0.0666✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.404-5.13%1.1703-20.93%0.0599✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8396-5.13%1.455-24.96%0.0202✓1.15203k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16082.9988-5.13%4.1321+30.73%0.4152✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066744-5.06%0.0479-31.86%0.1317✓1.07225k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.8046-5.05%4.5-11.07%0.0089✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8755.9377-4.98%46.38-21.22%0.0064✓1.04524k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.797468-4.95%0.595-29.08%0.1187✓0.93370k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.5182-4.88%7.07-21.05%0.0126✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.358279-4.85%0.42001+11.54%0.3231✗0.88439k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027881-4.71%0.02043-30.18%0.1241✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.954693-4.71%0.8463-15.53%0.1753✗1.58296k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.045-4.67%0.8066-26.42%0.0316✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.9605-4.66%4.082-1.73%0.0916✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.961055-4.66%0.913-9.42%0.1758✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.509405-4.61%0.434-18.73%0.0275✓1.0014k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.111232-4.60%0.0924-20.75%0.0094✓1.04499k2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.9138-4.59%4.142+0.98%0.1012✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.07299-4.59%0.0496-35.16%0.1586✓1.22350k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8402-4.57%6.12+0.00%0.1108✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5728-4.57%1.9586+18.84%0.4560✗1.27540k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3924-4.55%1.2429-14.80%0.0732✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.0002-4.54%3.0233-27.86%0.0931✓1.0053k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,216.60-4.52%20,174.78-17.03%0.0463✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.386462-4.52%0.30966-23.49%0.0414✓0.96479k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.046591-4.51%0.03367-30.99%0.1346✓1.0220k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7170.3971-4.49%58.92-20.07%0.0371✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.470592-4.48%0.38116-22.63%0.1231✓0.4770k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6676-4.46%12.092+103.84%0.7975✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.122704-4.44%0.1076-16.20%0.0387✓0.91328k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.077368-4.37%0.059-27.07%0.0571✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2826-4.35%0.8796-34.41%0.1469✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.5005-4.33%11.9339-26.34%0.0768✓0.9959k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.6989-4.30%3.055-20.96%0.0599✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.594684-4.28%0.5504-11.41%0.1073✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.260716-4.25%0.2161-20.64%0.0145✓0.93551k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.511781-4.23%0.4014-24.89%0.0312✓1.1359k2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.3004-4.23%2.618-24.03%0.0699✓0.87640k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0739-4.22%1.0223-8.82%0.0781✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.546096-4.21%0.4637-18.66%0.0343✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9548-4.13%1.553-23.84%0.0438✓1.00189k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.584278-4.12%0.4865-20.17%0.0409✓0.76784k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0983-4.06%1.41-35.53%0.1842✓1.14169k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6617-4.06%1.244-28.18%0.0418✓1.33460k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.349579-4.01%0.2966-18.56%0.0163✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04161.3678-3.97%145.44-13.45%0.0818✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.176919-3.95%0.1444-21.61%0.0026✓1.10586k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.157676-3.91%0.1243-24.25%0.1126✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.1687-3.91%4.66-27.41%0.0830✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.082396-3.88%0.06913-19.35%0.1314✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041146-3.86%0.0361-15.65%0.0585✗1.0176k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.184302-3.86%0.16738-12.69%0.3210✗2.236712022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.078563-3.84%0.059635-27.01%0.0837✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.6643-3.81%25.89-16.05%0.0383✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.288251-3.79%0.2103-29.81%0.1128✓1.08189k2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.4042-3.78%7.2349+104.50%0.8154✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.164579-3.76%0.1253-26.73%0.0845✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.360213-3.72%0.289387-22.65%0.0175✓1.08916k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6863-3.64%1.3-25.71%0.0656✓1.04190k2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45134.4849-3.56%117.6-15.67%0.0749✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1641-3.55%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052179-3.55%0.0452-16.45%0.0415✗0.99237k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.674319-3.53%0.493-29.47%0.0884✓1.20115k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.17104-3.53%0.13476-23.99%0.0007✓1.28243k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044514-3.52%0.00004395-4.75%0.1558✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010007-3.51%0.00851-17.94%0.0059✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.656-3.50%8.75-2.45%0.0321✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.00389-3.47%0.00337-16.38%0.0577✗1.08517k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.275639-3.42%0.1898-33.50%0.1864✓1.00108k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082504-3.39%0.0594-30.44%0.1621✓0.89130k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008358-3.37%0.00796-7.98%0.1606✗1.12463k2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.069677-3.36%0.0572-20.67%0.0415✓0.83119k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.078454-3.32%0.06468-20.30%0.0493✓0.778802022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.467688-3.31%0.3308-31.61%0.1353✓1.13190k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.247051-3.31%0.199-22.11%0.0356✗1.35132k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.007978-3.30%0.00563-31.76%0.2283✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.9671-3.29%6.47+4.86%0.1440✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.260514-3.26%0.2085-22.58%0.0356✓1.0091k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3989-3.19%1.152-20.28%0.0046✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0461.0441-3.17%55.83-11.44%0.1490✗1.2835k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.12168-3.16%0.104654-16.71%0.0185✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.143044-3.15%0.1963+32.90%0.5204✗1.0946k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.78e-7-3.13%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0160✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.01519-3.11%0.012152-22.49%0.1023✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.204708-3.07%0.165-21.88%0.0503✗1.421,3132022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2412-3.07%1.7866-22.73%0.0257✓1.0838k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0853.3901-3.07%43.77-20.53%0.0155✓0.98574k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39160.4802-3.06%51.566-17.35%0.0234✓0.73354k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.00484-3.00%0.00381-23.65%0.0411✓1.06145k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.43148-2.98%0.32139-27.74%0.1057✓1.01109k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1761.2902-2.98%59.1-6.44%0.1593✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.689111-2.96%0.50798-28.47%0.0560✓1.3349k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052217-2.95%0.042163-21.64%0.0394✓0.9343k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.906-2.95%4.1432-18.04%0.0327✓0.73882k2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1703-2.94%0.82473-31.60%0.1692✓0.9712k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8943.6057-2.86%33.01-26.46%0.0520✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.905378-2.86%0.921-1.18%0.1151✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.465667-2.84%0.4008-16.38%0.0972✗1.32242k2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.336906-2.82%0.2679-22.73%0.0385✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.4773-2.82%9.73-17.61%0.0479✗1.14305k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.477966-2.79%0.3497-28.88%0.1012✓1.13808k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.5775-2.79%14.84-26.32%0.0561✓1.18124k2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.476856-2.78%0.35-28.64%0.1500✓0.851382022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9919-2.77%2.0329-33.93%0.1367✓1.3413k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7733-2.71%1.5348-15.79%0.0671✗1.13467k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.3617-2.67%9.254-13.08%0.0693✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.127541-2.49%0.0968-25.99%0.1274✓0.793,9702022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.219396-2.49%0.16284-27.63%0.0712✓1.22657k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7041-2.49%2.022-27.08%0.0710✓1.1862k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.055068-2.45%0.03987-29.37%0.2286✓0.5136k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001748-2.45%0.001531-14.56%0.0089✓0.769,0932022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,638.96-2.36%20,237.10-16.41%0.0254✗0.977,5932022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.683834-2.31%0.52-25.71%0.0327✓1.29137k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.054166-2.19%0.04273-22.84%0.1011✓0.7316k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.167946-2.13%0.1392-18.88%0.0044✓1.03131k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255571-2.12%0.1365-47.72%0.6247✓0.0155k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9175-2.10%1.81-39.26%0.3796✓0.52102k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.90e-7-2.02%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0149✓0.7721k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2354-1.99%1.0027-20.45%0.0378✓0.9256k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048503-1.86%0.03648-26.18%0.1331✓0.812,5822022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031717-1.78%0.02317-28.24%0.0723✓1.292,9912022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.28174-1.76%0.3444+20.08%0.3739✗0.9370k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017312-1.75%0.01252-28.94%0.1916✓0.71155k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.224586-1.67%0.1561-31.65%0.1598✓1.091,7402022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4752-1.65%1.41-6.00%0.0437✓0.01132k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0402-1.57%0.846269-19.92%0.0626✓0.7777k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.322046-1.51%0.263-19.57%0.0514✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.362416-1.39%0.26692-27.37%0.1023✓1.0913k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006634-1.29%0.006216-7.50%0.0186✗0.4555k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.58733-1.24%0.4625-22.23%0.0292✓1.12365k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.069544-1.14%0.060682-13.74%0.0230✓0.61192k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.08-0.92%4.9699-3.07%0.0032✓0.13233k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025504-0.88%0.02007-22.00%0.0804✓0.85209k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025383-0.78%0.020191-21.07%0.0711✓0.8413k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046951-0.53%0.0403-14.62%0.0277✗0.9711k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099186-0.32%0.0848-14.77%0.0364✗1.039,7202022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.810867+0.11%0.71-12.35%0.0556✗0.41105k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006733+0.30%0.005899-12.12%0.0021✓0.723,2222022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.