8=======>

2022-08-02 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1447
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 71.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0665290.068746+3.33%0.062347-6.29%0.0551✓1.151.7M2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.53960.556122+3.06%0.4685-13.18%0.0214✓1.13335k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09360.096463+3.06%0.0821-12.29%0.0014✓1.206,7862022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06985.2018+2.60%5.5317+9.11%0.0895✓0.21214k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.34914.4618+2.59%4.3083-0.94%0.0619✓0.73920k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.068310.069716+2.06%0.063287-7.35%0.0001✓0.73369k2022-09-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.025497+1.99%0.0258+3.20%0.0810✓0.5245k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash48.5349.4336+1.86%44.79-7.71%0.0467✓1.10574k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008390.008538+1.76%0.00616-26.58%0.2065✗0.901.6M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016640.001691+1.64%0.001534-7.81%0.0380✓1.029,4962022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.1631.1816+1.60%1.047-9.98%0.0194✓1.0643k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003710.003766+1.50%0.00318-14.29%0.0028✓1.30559k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.43980.445888+1.38%0.3628-17.51%0.0414✗1.24808k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0440.044582+1.32%0.03845-12.61%0.0218✗0.952,3002022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.061888+1.12%0.0557-8.99%0.0825✓1.42350k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,989.4023,186.15+0.86%20,133.65-12.42%0.0085✓1.00414.2M2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062040.006249+0.71%0.005808-6.39%0.0424✓0.879,1592022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.213508+0.71%0.171-19.34%0.0212✗1.51821k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001017+0.70%8.80e-7-12.87%0.0121✗1.0025k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1717.2896+0.70%15.87-7.57%0.0945✓1.36116k2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.302050.303693+0.54%0.3455+14.39%0.2807✓1.14398k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,023.6023,109.06+0.37%20,192.40-12.30%0.0050✗0.9814k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7090.710892+0.27%0.527-25.67%0.1041✗1.4797k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.72e-7+0.24%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0216✓0.836.6M2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397950.398748+0.20%0.34021-14.51%0.0003✓1.19118k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.327277+0.18%0.2936-10.13%0.0424✓1.148.0M2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25020.250433+0.09%0.2258-9.75%0.0441✓1.11768k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash61.4961.5438+0.09%58.98-4.08%0.1209✓1.231.6M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.77133.8478+0.06%116.73-12.74%0.0207✓1.194.3M2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14350.143574+0.05%0.1398-2.58%0.1011✓0.963.5M2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.9287.917-0.14%7.184-9.38%0.0655✗1.2310.4M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010850.001082-0.24%0.001346+24.06%0.3834✗1.251.4M2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05950.059336-0.28%0.0506-14.96%0.0270✗1.40161k2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11550.115122-0.33%0.1013-12.29%0.0149✗1.08370k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0730.072754-0.34%0.117+60.27%0.5742✗0.75159k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011750.000011703-0.40%0.00001229+4.60%0.2123✗1.23986k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5632-0.43%1.32-15.92%0.0079✗1.33115k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9342.9207-0.45%2.735-6.78%0.0824✗1.12619k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25020.249021-0.47%0.2105-15.87%0.0055✓1.23110k2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000042820.000042605-0.50%0.00004614+7.75%0.2324✗1.151.9M2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9389.8869-0.51%9.143-8.00%0.0665✗1.092.0M2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1151360.114467-0.58%0.105077-8.74%0.0455✗0.996.9M2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana39.8139.5722-0.60%31.62-20.57%0.0444✓1.3681.1M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4192.4045-0.60%3.853+59.28%0.5920✗0.91104k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.760.755233-0.63%0.71-6.58%0.0154✗0.5883k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6351.6246-0.63%1.292-20.98%0.0386✓1.44337k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.325668-0.71%0.276-15.85%0.0286✓1.031.1M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7420.735944-0.82%1.059+42.72%0.5237✗1.20806k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.340610.337218-1.00%0.297461-12.67%0.0433✗1.271.1M2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40290.398713-1.04%0.3534-12.29%0.0531✗1.31127k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0957.4771-1.06%57.56-0.91%0.1544✗1.1513.7M2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.16892.1439-1.16%1.803-16.87%0.0122✓1.2132k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6080.600625-1.21%0.514-15.46%0.0290✗1.3988k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04630.045732-1.23%0.0367-20.73%0.0437✓1.338,6502022-09-01
FISStafiEthereum0.3810.376288-1.24%0.3628-4.78%0.0880✗0.941722022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067160.006632-1.25%0.006401-4.69%0.0343✗0.5338k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.122135-1.34%0.0996-19.55%0.0724✓0.994,9522022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase1.02351.0096-1.36%0.9001-12.06%0.0113✓0.9558k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022660.002235-1.39%0.00149-34.25%0.2726✓1.001.6M2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero156.99154.781-1.41%154.26-1.74%0.1429✗1.101.3M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.49660.489483-1.43%0.4576-7.85%0.0943✗1.2241.9M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99920.984317-1.49%1.1439+14.48%0.3032✗1.151.1M2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.16260.160141-1.51%0.13757-15.39%0.0508✗1.53212k2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004620.004549-1.53%0.00402-12.99%0.0499✗1.31112k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.271.2505-1.54%0.9424-25.80%0.1179✓1.241.2M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum29.428.9474-1.54%26.91-8.47%0.0537✗0.9610.8M2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009650.009501-1.55%0.00869-9.95%0.0344✗0.935.0M2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.73229-1.57%0.668-10.22%0.0372✗0.97377k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.71391.6869-1.58%1.5398-10.16%0.0757✗1.26510k2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3355.3778-1.69%48.03-14.73%0.0405✗1.3833k2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13780.135401-1.74%0.124-10.01%0.0808✗1.2761k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.31423-1.74%0.2842-11.13%0.0549✗1.173.3M2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3180.312289-1.80%0.3074-3.33%0.1351✗1.1477k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26360.258656-1.88%0.2424-8.04%0.0769✗1.0767k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23080.226402-1.91%0.2265-1.86%0.1951✗1.4797k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.164121-1.96%0.1435-14.28%0.0291✗1.23101k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.96813.8902-1.96%3.1819-19.81%0.0576✓1.0845k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031570.003093-2.03%0.002879-8.81%0.0615✗1.001.0M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1797.0323-2.04%6.927-3.51%0.1515✗1.2618.3M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031440.03079-2.07%0.03497+11.23%0.2905✗1.2314k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.959430.938561-2.18%0.78027-18.67%0.0113✓1.31532k2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021540.021061-2.23%0.02281+5.90%0.2142✗1.01159k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2852.2334-2.26%1.533-32.91%0.1906✓1.40185k2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2020.1974-2.28%0.1809-10.45%0.0980✗1.401,1742022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,631.281,593.88-2.29%1,586.23-2.76%0.1621✗1.26396.1M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase14.577414.2162-2.48%12.1573-16.60%0.0024✓1.1668k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.051727-2.59%0.0441-16.95%0.0078✓1.26269k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.083477-2.59%0.058-32.32%0.2115✓1.15132k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.11340.110375-2.67%0.0925-18.43%0.0080✓1.27491k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3641.3274-2.68%1.198-12.17%0.0657✗1.272.5M2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative1.8741.8222-2.76%2.047+9.23%0.2857✗1.28430k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48941.4478-2.79%1.7801+19.52%0.3974✗1.44675k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7740.7523-2.80%0.669-13.57%0.0430✗1.21218k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3217-2.81%1.06-22.06%0.0320✓1.421.1M2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03140.030507-2.84%0.02463-21.56%0.0414✓1.301,2932022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.62.5255-2.87%1.955-24.81%0.0235✓1.7595k2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5049-2.91%1.53-1.29%0.0482✗0.24250k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.189170.183635-2.93%0.15694-17.04%0.1499✗2.311,2222022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.1261.0928-2.95%0.8799-21.86%0.0707✓1.1011k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05810.056291-3.11%0.0486-16.35%0.0233✓1.28799k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07770.075277-3.12%0.06737-13.29%0.0139✓0.731,0512022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.929.6078-3.15%12.73+28.33%0.4611✗1.3614.4M2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.4290.4639-3.16%86.42-7.49%0.1732✗1.6510.2M2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03960.038345-3.17%0.0353-10.86%0.0811✗1.2474k2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.28e-7-3.18%8.97e-7+164.68%1.1340✗0.97178k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9661.9008-3.32%1.693-13.89%0.0536✗1.28637k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.80832.713-3.39%4.1452+47.61%0.5529✗0.971.1M2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.252431-3.58%0.2187-16.46%0.1420✓0.0128k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017940.017287-3.64%0.01325-26.14%0.1555✓0.83207k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.455270.438614-3.66%0.37505-17.62%0.0534✓0.7863k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48410.466295-3.68%0.4267-11.86%0.0599✗1.1247k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum6.576.3275-3.69%4.91-25.27%0.0688✓1.391.2M2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44620.429643-3.71%0.346-22.46%0.0219✓1.47278k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9513.8041-3.72%2.946-25.44%0.1379✓0.89922k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0616-3.72%1.97-38.05%0.3754✓0.4994k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.39260.377942-3.73%0.31561-19.61%0.0041✓1.39583k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156280.015035-3.80%0.013315-14.80%0.0050✓0.882.1M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.04511.005-3.84%0.8299-20.59%0.0071✓1.391.4M2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.07161-3.88%0.0612-17.85%0.0132✓1.08679k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0680.065343-3.91%0.0569-16.32%0.0127✓0.95229k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7162.6095-3.92%2.05-24.52%0.0527✓1.4250k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97320.934824-3.94%0.9574-1.62%0.1410✗0.883.6M2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.95358.5481-3.95%52.447-13.96%0.0004✓0.83344k2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.722.6124-3.96%2.28-16.18%0.0653✗1.52198k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11680.111982-4.13%0.1049-10.19%0.1177✗1.382.8M2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.659710.632217-4.17%0.54872-16.82%0.0583✗1.5188k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049460.047377-4.21%0.0454-8.21%0.0763✗0.9015k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61320.587344-4.22%0.5023-18.09%0.0050✓1.14664k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.164278-4.27%0.1272-25.87%0.0920✓1.233.5M2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.056050.0536-4.37%0.042711-23.80%0.1487✓0.5922k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8230.786504-4.43%0.674-18.10%0.0753✗1.734.8M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.8521.8289-4.47%19.3-15.54%0.0866✗1.5827.5M2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.522-4.52%10.09-8.44%0.1176✗1.20250k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089960.085813-4.61%0.08-11.07%0.0363✓0.261.1M2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0486950.046401-4.71%0.044086-9.47%0.1072✗1.1937k2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.2487.8481-4.85%6.315-23.44%0.0347✓1.389.2M2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214840.020412-4.99%0.026903+25.22%0.3397✗0.48165k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5264.2981-5.03%12.927+185.62%1.1781✗0.581.3M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9414.1772-5.11%13.45-9.97%0.1369✗1.432.0M2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7961.7042-5.11%1.789-0.39%0.1330✗0.64189k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration60.9557.8236-5.13%47.43-22.18%0.0426✓1.17372k2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15960.151391-5.14%0.141-11.65%0.0936✗1.24508k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum87.5777-5.28%6.313-21.09%0.0195✓1.236.9M2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.13590.128708-5.29%0.2143+57.69%0.6552✗1.10712k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8833.6762-5.33%4.485+15.50%0.2762✗0.581.9M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54740.51818-5.34%0.3184-41.83%0.3014✓1.40234k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.491274-5.34%0.414-20.23%0.0192✓1.1513k2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.30390.287614-5.36%0.2309-24.02%0.0712✓1.12300k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086760.082087-5.39%0.07449-14.14%0.0826✗1.3629k2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.17.6598-5.43%7.62-5.93%0.1768✗1.37297k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3262-5.44%2.24-8.94%0.1041✗1.07327k2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.2216.2077-5.88%14.02-18.58%0.0306✓1.321.3M2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9080.85437-5.91%0.6827-24.81%0.0136✓1.79513k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8160.767424-5.95%0.489-40.07%0.2539✓1.484,1662022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6386.2405-5.99%4.764-28.23%0.0408✓1.7311.9M2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.035.6632-6.08%6.91+14.59%0.2959✗0.73689k2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100130.000093995-6.13%0.00027606+175.70%1.3304✗1.91552k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0171.8927-6.16%1.461-27.57%0.0712✓1.42247k2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33591.2532-6.19%1.1541-13.61%0.1118✗1.466.4M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.74822.5774-6.22%2.2908-16.64%0.0893✗1.5612k2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1967.6723-6.39%5.77-29.60%0.1445✓1.062.4M2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.348320.325988-6.41%0.30195-13.31%0.0969✗1.3113k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8013.5543-6.49%2.931-22.89%0.0364✓1.735.0M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009280.008671-6.56%0.00795-14.33%0.0809✗1.26375k2022-09-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05690.98742-6.58%–pending––1.0313k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9853.7208-6.63%4.31+8.16%0.2406✗0.711.5M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.164.8108-6.77%6.087+17.97%0.3076✗0.542.2M2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum33.2130.9047-6.94%30.57-7.95%0.2466✗1.94229k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.548.8547-7.18%9.54+0.00%0.1429✗0.521.7M2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6856-7.22%4.79-5.15%0.1158✗0.711.3M2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.208651-7.27%0.149-33.78%0.1602✓1.331,6972022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum103.4395.8807-7.30%95.02-8.13%0.1240✗1.004.2M2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1719.6056-7.39%17.1-19.23%0.0233✓0.852.2M2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.59420.54956-7.51%0.5486-7.67%0.1541✗1.171.5M2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0243720.02253-7.56%0.021111-13.38%0.0630✓0.9710k2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04672.8149-7.61%7.8225+156.75%1.1247✗0.771.0M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.735.2913-7.66%6.87+19.90%0.3413✗0.60809k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana1.08220.993553-8.19%0.8971-17.10%0.1195✗1.67211k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.086480.079126-8.50%0.06427-25.68%0.0112✓1.48778k2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2181.1105-8.82%0.974-20.03%0.0408✓0.681.7M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.33363.0184-9.46%6.7053+101.14%0.9166✗0.891.3M2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.7925.1245-9.59%21.47-22.74%0.0259✓1.38721k2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.038540.034767-9.79%0.02063-46.47%0.3273✓1.4713.4M2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5932.8833-10.13%32.92-10.03%0.1855✗1.397.8M2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,752.279,661.63-10.14%9,216.45-14.28%0.1397✗1.414.4M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.515.8197-10.60%5.79-11.06%0.0769✓0.621.3M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.6351.4115-13.67%1.178-27.95%0.0813✓1.982.1M2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.