8=======>

2022-07-31 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1512
185 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.6%
in alpha space · 67.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.3686-13.54%1.083-31.59%0.0883✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.909,725.76-10.48%8,874.58-18.31%0.1343✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.532.8816-9.91%32.31-11.48%0.2119✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7898.8289-9.81%5.711-41.66%0.2628✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3723.9375-9.22%22.31-15.40%0.1557✗1.39585k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.077195-8.12%0.06327-24.70%0.0446✓1.50768k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.2834-8.11%5.19-9.74%0.0819✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.8035-7.77%5.6189+84.85%0.8402✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.4632-7.63%17.33-17.75%0.0246✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.031632-7.59%0.02038-40.46%0.1918✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.008904-7.25%0.00806-16.04%0.1056✗1.26355k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6195.4431-6.98%95.63-6.80%0.1668✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.211501-6.83%0.1487-34.49%0.1305✓1.371,6972022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0068-6.71%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16882.9566-6.70%2.0768-34.46%0.0994✓1.5611k2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.86673-6.46%0.9192-0.80%0.3250✗1.64202k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.4807-6.46%4.47-6.68%0.1128✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.5266-6.30%8.31-8.68%0.0596✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6132.4482-6.25%31.05-10.29%0.2708✗1.94229k2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.6053-6.12%6.0023+116.28%0.9604✗0.77978k2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.82242-6.01%0.497-43.20%0.2619✓1.493,1392022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.4396-6.00%6.257-30.31%0.0969✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000092247-5.94%0.00015837+61.49%0.8527✗1.92592k2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.021281-5.90%0.021461-5.10%0.1669✗0.989,2332022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.898703-5.89%0.6566-31.25%0.0267✓1.77513k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0616.9993-5.87%13.86-23.26%0.0150✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4428-5.69%2.06-20.46%0.0038✓1.07258k2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.0196-5.64%2.07-35.31%0.1311✓1.52192k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.3614-5.52%4.809-28.58%0.0019✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.5075-5.46%4.099+10.49%0.2730✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2461-5.45%1.0635-19.30%0.0853✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.306106-5.28%0.29332-9.24%0.1704✗1.3111k2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3757-5.26%2.977-16.45%0.1550✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.502998-5.11%0.5489+3.55%0.2753✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.860.5605-5.08%47.47-25.60%0.0511✓1.18303k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.079409-5.01%0.07109-14.96%0.1075✗1.3429k2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.4853-4.97%5.751+21.84%0.3382✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.501783-4.97%0.425-19.51%0.0202✓1.1513k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.537173-4.93%0.3252-42.44%0.2740✓1.40234k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.8203-4.92%6.03+18.93%0.3229✗0.61668k2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.27961-4.89%0.2461-16.29%0.0553✗1.13303k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.8863-4.78%1.43-27.81%0.0456✓1.42234k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.047078-4.72%0.043415-12.13%0.1119✗1.1938k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5210.978-4.70%10.09-12.41%0.1128✗1.21241k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.820925-4.65%0.669-22.30%0.0753✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.6729-4.59%12.2-14.86%0.1170✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.5116-4.55%4.11+11.72%0.2539✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.9482-4.55%6.174-25.86%0.0251✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.122271-4.48%0.103-19.53%0.0519✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.046899-4.41%0.04661-4.99%0.1397✗0.9015k2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020448-4.36%0.022785+6.57%0.1920✗0.52167k2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.4338-4.33%7.98+2.70%0.2923✗1.36256k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.7492-4.31%2.049-28.68%0.0629✓1.4247k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.4386-4.25%6.14+8.10%0.2284✗0.66588k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.160289-4.25%0.1389-17.03%0.0594✗1.25475k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7522.7582-4.18%19.38-18.40%0.0982✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.054719-4.12%0.042966-24.71%0.1444✓0.6022k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.166253-4.01%0.1276-26.33%0.0607✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.2572-3.92%2.07-38.94%0.3735✓0.4981k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7234-3.88%1.823+1.67%0.1600✗0.64206k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.0365-3.85%12.481+197.31%1.2238✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.41073-3.73%0.31982-25.04%0.0242✓1.39592k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.66006-3.70%0.5402-21.19%0.0452✗1.5188k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0425-3.66%0.8324-23.08%0.0037✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.949911-3.66%0.994+0.81%0.1590✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.602172-3.62%0.5123-18.01%0.0258✓1.15624k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.486556-3.54%0.4301-14.73%0.0587✗1.1245k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015395-3.51%0.013148-17.59%0.0141✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.09291-3.47%0.08237-14.42%0.0820✓0.241.1M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.448053-3.44%0.3341-28.00%0.0549✓1.47273k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17959.0863-3.42%51.582-15.69%0.0016✓0.85369k2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.446658-3.32%0.37644-18.52%0.0439✓0.7863k2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.064725-3.25%0.0579-13.45%0.0442✗0.96229k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6899-3.18%3.133-17.79%0.0193✓0.89754k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.0333-3.13%11.928+15.17%0.3959✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6394.5789-3.13%84.38-13.57%0.1558✗1.6610.2M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.188254-3.08%0.15379-20.82%0.1738✗2.311,2222022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4261-3.07%1.556-37.83%0.2148✓1.41172k2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.893044-3.06%0.9633+4.57%0.2210✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.253562-2.92%0.2608-0.15%0.0300✗0.0128k2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.078635-2.81%0.06652-17.79%0.0484✓0.731,0512022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.2014-2.80%4.86-23.82%0.0166✓1.401.0M2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.0895-2.75%0.88331-21.16%0.0318✓1.1010k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.4007-2.73%1.0506-27.04%0.0540✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5001-2.59%1.61+4.55%0.1059✗0.22268k2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5027-2.56%1.7301+12.18%0.3761✗1.45589k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.057256-2.46%0.0484-17.55%0.0436✗1.30787k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.017959-2.45%0.01422-22.76%0.1097✓0.76248k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9009-2.42%1.632-16.22%0.0537✗1.27637k2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.8779-2.40%2.012+4.57%0.2755✗1.27415k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.086351-2.32%0.0625-29.30%0.1322✓1.18146k2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.661-2.30%3.8429+41.10%0.5261✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,641.50-2.25%1,524.81-9.20%0.1304✗1.26387.0M2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.34e-7-2.23%0.000001089+218.95%1.3372✗0.95178k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.202423-2.21%0.1811-12.51%0.1155✗1.401,1792022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5411-2.15%1.89-27.22%0.0110✓1.7592k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.053046-2.13%0.0429-20.85%0.0085✓1.25269k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.756931-2.08%0.671-13.20%0.0796✗1.23212k2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.037807-2.06%0.0353-8.55%0.1290✗1.2268k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.5308-2.04%12.3167-16.97%0.0257✗1.1870k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.5103-1.95%6.558-14.39%0.0695✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06893.9899-1.94%3.1158-23.42%0.0696✓1.0934k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.066543-1.85%0.0617-9.00%0.0989✗1.07432k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3546-1.84%1.188-13.91%0.0759✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.381347-1.82%0.298969-23.03%0.0321✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.119744-1.77%0.1967+61.36%0.6749✗1.10685k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.959573-1.73%0.77064-21.08%0.0047✓1.32487k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030032-1.73%0.02474-19.04%0.0184✗1.311,3342022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.8903-1.64%26.6-12.47%0.0382✗0.9510.2M2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010141-1.64%0.00864-16.20%0.0035✓0.964.7M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.020867-1.62%0.02405+13.39%0.3099✗1.03159k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.259344-1.50%0.2442-7.25%0.1145✗1.0865k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003085-1.40%0.002993-4.35%0.1339✗1.01999k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.380525-1.37%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.292-1.22%0.9513-27.27%0.1045✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.3579-1.20%47-17.60%0.0443✗1.3932k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.983139-1.18%1.1881+19.42%0.3789✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.164125-1.16%0.1352-18.58%0.0570✗1.54207k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.108337-1.15%0.0889-18.89%0.0129✗1.30472k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.75353-1.11%0.652-14.44%0.0152✗0.98360k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.134106-1.10%0.1227-9.51%0.1193✗1.2855k2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.314147-1.06%0.2879-9.32%0.1053✗1.193.0M2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.5482-0.98%7.008-18.82%0.0028✓1.249.4M2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.23166-0.96%0.2211-5.47%0.1942✗1.4897k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01153.5628-0.93%148.87-3.96%0.1484✗1.101.3M2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.511778-0.91%0.453-12.29%0.0809✗1.2541.9M2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.338995-0.88%0.284-16.96%0.0093✓1.03794k2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7259-0.86%1.4973-13.99%0.0625✗1.26492k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.127308-0.85%0.097-24.45%0.1111✓0.995,2722022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3842.037-0.81%31.48-25.72%0.0685✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7659.2842-0.80%53.01-11.30%0.0758✗1.1613.5M2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.303552-0.77%0.3098+1.27%0.2045✗1.1375k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6773-0.75%1.32-21.89%0.0170✓1.37114k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.609465-0.74%0.515-16.12%0.0590✗1.4086k2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.030096-0.64%0.03529+16.51%0.3604✗1.2414k2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.795173-0.60%0.519-35.13%0.1844✓1.4980k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1832-0.59%1.8168-17.27%0.0168✗1.2326k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047732-0.56%0.036-25.00%0.0654✓1.337,5232022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006733-0.55%0.006537-3.44%0.0581✗0.5439k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004541-0.41%0.00402-11.84%0.0914✗1.31112k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120347-0.29%0.1027-14.91%0.0141✗1.06352k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.11731-0.27%0.102411-12.93%0.0256✗0.996.8M2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.417808-0.21%0.3561-14.95%0.0559✗1.33112k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6799-0.06%1.233-26.65%0.0739✓1.45327k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.0449-0.05%8.973-10.72%0.0631✗1.082.4M2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043839-0.00%0.00004589+4.68%0.2337✗1.161.9M2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011722+0.02%0.00001218+3.92%0.2384✓1.23951k2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0141+0.05%0.900508-11.16%0.0371✓0.9658k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37139.6728+0.22%114.69-17.71%0.0036✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.401629+0.24%0.33647-16.02%0.0195✓1.21113k2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002505+0.32%0.001548-38.01%0.3189✗1.001.9M2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.250704+0.32%0.2089-16.41%0.0170✓1.2399k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.6263+0.37%59.87-7.02%0.1271✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9519.0267+0.40%15.8-16.62%0.0366✓1.37116k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.071958+0.50%0.1115+55.73%0.5716✓0.82148k2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8846+0.51%2.775-3.31%0.1423✓1.11619k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.85e-7+0.55%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0216✓0.836.1M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.764297+0.57%0.74-2.63%0.0658✓0.6079k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.151679+0.58%0.1464-2.92%0.1660✓1.2490k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.338373+0.68%0.2917-13.21%0.0349✓1.137.7M2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.144676+0.68%0.1325-7.79%0.0723✓0.993.5M2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001095+0.76%0.001348+24.02%0.4162✓1.281.5M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.315338+0.85%0.34582+10.60%0.2820✓1.17398k2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.258551+0.88%0.226-11.82%0.0495✓1.13701k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.79e-7+0.92%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0558✓1.0024k2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.216412+1.13%0.169-21.03%0.0017✓1.51803k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009203+1.13%0.0062-31.87%0.2461✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,690.00+1.24%19,869.30-15.09%0.0165✗0.9814k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.719107+1.28%1.019+43.52%0.5465✓1.22776k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,608.83+1.29%19,813.17-14.99%0.0128✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063776+1.39%0.0576-8.43%0.1253✓1.40339k2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.4033+1.58%3.795+60.40%0.6061✓0.92105k2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1751.9877+1.60%45.51-11.06%0.0466✓1.11574k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.057934+1.64%0.0507-11.05%0.0991✓1.43152k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.04494+1.70%0.03799-14.03%0.0120✓0.962,3002022-08-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.02672+1.98%0.0249-4.96%0.0129✓0.5143k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.2027+2.05%1.0458-11.26%0.0327✓1.0643k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.448258+2.13%0.3613-17.68%0.0136✓1.24643k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003803+2.52%0.00292-21.29%0.0523✗1.31570k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.5711+2.69%4.2549-4.42%0.0464✓0.73920k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.1456+2.70%5.3918+7.61%0.0809✓0.21210k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.070973+2.96%0.064705-6.13%0.0327✓0.77373k2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006489+3.27%0.005787-7.90%0.0312✓0.909,1592022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001811+3.42%0.001486-15.13%0.0320✓1.0216k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.07049+3.45%0.06142-9.86%0.0485✓1.151.7M2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.582355+3.49%0.4471-20.54%0.0795✗1.14350k2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.100296+3.72%0.0815-15.72%0.0117✓1.216,7862022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.