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2022-07-30 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2307
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.8%
in alpha space · 47.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.7049-5.76%1.174-35.10%0.0705✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.539855-5.45%0.3367-41.03%0.2566✓1.40234k2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0330.4382-4.97%35+9.27%0.3513✗1.38563k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.926289-4.93%0.7824-19.70%0.0821✗1.64202k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000093507-4.70%0.0001317+34.22%0.6399✗1.94635k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.80409-4.27%0.525-37.50%0.1978✓1.493,1392022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.847749-4.10%0.684-22.62%0.0494✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.93856-3.84%0.6813-30.19%0.0494✓1.77513k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.5507-3.72%17.22+0.17%0.1743✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,343.38-3.64%9,081.72-22.85%0.0096✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.35102.48-3.64%101.16-4.88%0.1422✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.045881-2.90%0.04816+1.93%0.1867✗0.9015k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.5428-2.86%3.47-4.85%0.2441✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.5061-2.85%32.49-5.80%0.2688✗1.95213k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.17-2.80%6.102+14.72%0.2494✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020297-2.77%0.023085+10.58%0.2080✗0.52167k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.079391-2.77%0.07284-10.79%0.1203✗1.3528k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.5187-2.66%4.983-25.59%0.0027✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0219-2.63%0.87542-16.59%0.0140✓1.109,9742022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4432-2.63%5.31-5.01%0.0697✗0.62956k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.289365-2.54%0.2566-13.57%0.0537✗1.13309k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3244-2.51%1.0799-20.51%0.0260✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.5612-2.49%6.339-27.80%0.0863✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4838.5179-2.44%33.55-15.02%0.0778✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032396-2.39%0.02267-31.70%0.1229✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.6693-2.36%13.83-27.67%0.0938✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.0189-2.29%5.7778+87.00%0.7859✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.187953-2.28%0.15839-17.65%0.1846✗2.321,1512022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.1119-2.01%6.682-19.28%0.0021✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.6815-1.80%4.266+13.79%0.2384✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.4956-1.79%12.6-14.63%0.0784✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4836-1.75%1.44-4.64%0.0038✓0.22268k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.076609-1.59%0.06742-13.40%0.0148✓0.741,1722022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.9354-1.55%7.74-3.97%0.1837✗1.36256k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.425831-1.40%0.33586-22.23%0.0238✓1.39583k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9388-1.38%1.495-23.96%0.0414✓1.42234k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.2275-1.38%50.12-20.57%0.0345✓1.19257k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.498039-1.38%0.441-12.67%0.0548✗1.1513k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.00231-1.37%0.001636-30.15%0.1916✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9051-1.34%1.729-10.46%0.0978✗1.27637k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4694-1.34%4.53+0.00%0.1227✗0.71912k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.500406-1.30%0.4238-16.41%0.0059✓1.1245k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.5748-1.26%11.438+6.80%0.2888✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.083877-1.25%0.06651-21.70%0.0022✓1.50768k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5947-1.23%1.955-25.58%0.0137✓1.7692k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4719-1.21%1.1021-26.03%0.0690✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.93908-1.20%0.9656+1.59%0.1649✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258205-1.15%0.2615+0.11%0.0145✗0.0129k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.3015-1.14%1.615-30.63%0.1371✓1.42169k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.9805-1.11%19.33-20.29%0.0291✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.456353-1.10%0.3855-16.45%0.0485✓0.7857k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.669144-1.08%0.55401-18.10%0.0432✗1.5181k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.01016-1.07%0.00853-16.94%0.0183✗1.26355k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.216421-1.00%0.1725-21.09%0.0133✓1.391,0652022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.161-0.91%2.24-29.78%0.2679✓0.5077k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071348-0.91%0.0606-15.83%0.0167✓0.96183k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.166899-0.89%0.1447-14.07%0.0484✗1.25446k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.088508-0.89%0.0637-28.67%0.1486✓1.18155k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,682.98-0.89%1,551.65-8.62%0.1116✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.1028-0.76%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.9755-0.73%6.015-25.13%0.1172✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.048765-0.72%0.044565-9.27%0.0925✗1.1935k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.8973-0.68%27.34-12.12%0.0238✗0.9510.8M2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.432271-0.67%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5767-0.62%1.7099+7.77%0.3026✗1.44609k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.170002-0.58%0.1311-23.33%0.0673✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008959-0.56%0.00649-27.97%0.1818✓0.921.6M2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.403357-0.54%0.3476-14.29%0.0366✗1.21118k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2357.966-0.45%48.57-16.59%0.0365✗1.3932k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.03833-0.44%0.0365-5.19%0.1378✗1.2268k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.25018-0.41%0.2257-10.15%0.0709✗1.13681k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.126601-0.39%0.101-20.54%0.0740✓0.995,2722022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1827-0.36%0.8693-26.76%0.0924✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.228561-0.32%0.164-28.48%0.1224✓1.371,5612022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2694.9873-0.29%85.76-9.97%0.1530✗1.6610.0M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.2288-0.27%12.777+201.34%1.1958✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,543.19-0.26%20,303.80-17.49%0.0394✓0.9817k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.526144-0.26%0.5461+3.53%0.2149✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3347-0.24%0.987-26.23%0.1116✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.7821-0.24%3.276-13.58%0.0073✓0.89754k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.8094-0.24%2.1453-23.82%0.0289✓1.5711k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.977905-0.21%1.2628+28.86%0.4349✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.854-0.21%2.15-24.83%0.0495✓1.52192k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6862.5659-0.18%54.194-13.54%0.0140✓0.84386k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.457926-0.17%0.3499-23.72%0.0434✓1.47242k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.71-0.14%3.8811+43.02%0.5091✗0.981.0M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000044121-0.13%0.00004993+13.01%0.3012✗1.161.9M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7927-0.13%1.263-29.64%0.1285✓1.45316k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9578-0.07%2.856-3.51%0.1357✗1.11619k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.765724-0.04%0.672-12.27%0.0207✗0.99360k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.60e-7-0.01%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0225✗0.95188k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.8237+0.01%6.7-14.36%0.0385✓1.2616.2M2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022201+0.01%0.020994-5.42%0.0942✓0.989,2332022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.043045+0.06%0.03792-11.85%0.0210✓0.961,9372022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.7122+0.08%12.6602-13.88%0.0305✓1.1870k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0098+0.09%0.79536-21.16%0.0363✗1.32431k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4697+0.11%4.203+70.37%0.6727✓0.92105k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.118035+0.11%0.1045-11.37%0.0413✓1.06337k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85156.1035+0.16%152.71-2.01%0.1472✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.053602+0.19%0.0441-17.57%0.0022✗1.26263k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.7741+0.21%5.12-24.26%0.0660✗1.391.0M2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6929+0.24%4.177+13.38%0.2340✓0.721.1M2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.058016+0.31%0.044446-23.15%0.1745✗0.6022k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.629009+0.32%0.527-15.95%0.0376✓1.4086k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.090891+0.34%0.08429-6.94%0.0333✗0.27985k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064333+0.36%0.0576-10.14%0.1039✓1.40339k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.4201+0.42%2.13-11.62%0.0378✓1.08207k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.217082+0.50%0.174-19.44%0.0106✓1.51786k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.8462+0.52%6.0774+114.64%0.8773✓0.77978k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.120304+0.53%0.105918-11.49%0.0249✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029941+0.54%0.03677+23.47%0.3957✓1.2414k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.132626+0.55%0.1063-19.41%0.0105✗1.372.5M2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,788.18+0.58%20,286.97-14.22%0.0058✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.237002+0.60%0.2219-5.81%0.1617✓1.4892k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0817+0.60%5.2836+4.59%0.0714✓0.21210k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.258071+0.61%0.2484-3.16%0.1271✓1.0863k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.3485+0.63%3.1823-26.36%0.1450✗1.0933k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8316+0.64%1.768-2.86%0.0621✓0.64219k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.289971+0.65%0.3223+11.87%0.2801✓1.1475k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.530266+0.68%0.4505-14.47%0.0284✓1.2543.2M2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4760.9035+0.72%55.79-7.74%0.0896✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.8242+0.72%2.089-25.50%0.0832✗1.4243k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.320109+0.74%0.30106-5.25%0.1400✓1.3111k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.323917+0.75%0.36085+12.24%0.2871✓1.17400k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.245507+0.82%0.2102-13.68%0.0335✓1.23101k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.341139+0.93%0.2981-11.80%0.0385✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001107+0.93%0.001401+27.70%0.4321✓1.281.5M2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6555+0.94%1.33-18.90%0.0087✓1.37114k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.059155+0.95%0.0491-16.21%0.0135✓1.30787k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015779+1.06%0.013701-12.25%0.0055✓0.881.2M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8365+1.06%1.5357-15.49%0.0138✓1.26492k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.111043+1.13%0.0924-15.85%0.0152✓1.30491k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0884+1.16%6.29+25.05%0.3059✓0.61605k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.147412+1.17%0.1306-10.36%0.0299✓0.983.5M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.352933+1.20%0.305285-12.47%0.0556✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2825+1.24%1.8412-18.34%0.0256✗1.2324k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009732+1.27%0.00891-7.28%0.0602✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.128312+1.27%0.2159+70.40%0.6886✓1.10617k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.7511+1.30%10.28-11.38%0.0522✓1.21241k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0729+1.31%0.946-10.67%0.0193✗0.691.3M2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018915+1.31%0.0151-19.12%0.1088✗0.76254k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8444.4304+1.35%32.41-26.07%0.1073✗1.3681.8M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.16847+1.40%0.13956-16.00%0.0490✓1.55207k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.133298+1.44%0.123-6.39%0.1165✓1.2850k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.599961+1.45%0.523-11.57%0.0402✓1.16624k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7151.4447+1.45%47.46-6.41%0.0892✓1.11574k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.951+1.45%1.919-0.21%0.1788✓1.27413k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.436711+1.49%0.3701-13.99%0.0256✓1.25613k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3988+1.51%1.189-13.72%0.0333✓1.282.4M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.070636+1.53%0.063828-8.26%0.0744✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.55e-7+1.61%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0571✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.3444+1.61%7.276-11.40%0.0537✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.079295+1.66%0.1032+32.31%0.3900✓0.82148k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.3019+1.66%8.46-7.54%0.0143✓0.531.2M2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.321769+1.66%0.291-8.06%0.0814✓1.192.9M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.00709+1.69%0.006696-3.96%0.0255✓0.5439k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003226+1.69%0.003238+2.08%0.1590✓1.01999k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000012132+1.70%0.00001248+4.61%0.2169✓1.23951k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003693+1.74%0.00301-17.08%0.0042✓1.31566k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7218.0335+1.77%16.44-7.22%0.1182✓1.37108k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.816228+1.77%0.553-31.05%0.1605✗1.4980k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.77e-7+1.78%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0488✓1.0024k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004449+1.82%0.00407-6.86%0.1128✓1.32103k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.030293+1.82%0.02554-14.15%0.0305✓1.311,3342022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.07034+1.89%0.063437-8.11%0.0148✓0.77376k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.808784+1.99%0.698-11.98%0.0417✓1.23210k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47148.4033+2.02%119.61-17.78%0.0332✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0354+2.06%0.918733-9.44%0.0277✓0.9658k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.5443+2.25%4.397-1.07%0.0787✓0.73947k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.421+2.34%9.1-10.64%0.0306✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.441321+2.35%0.3664-15.03%0.0176✓1.33104k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.02201+2.37%0.02336+8.65%0.2180✓1.03149k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.7812+2.50%6.38+13.12%0.2001✓0.66554k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1709+2.54%1.0621-6.99%0.0656✓1.0643k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.317658+2.80%0.283-8.41%0.0440✓1.04766k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.745211+2.93%0.989+36.60%0.4699✓1.22776k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.152209+2.98%0.148+0.14%0.1625✓1.2488k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.773081+3.08%0.74-1.33%0.0492✓0.6179k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1367.2463+3.25%63.75-2.12%0.1390✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.046708+3.34%0.0373-17.48%0.0195✓1.347,5232022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.090494+3.54%0.0843-3.55%0.1152✓1.216,3652022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.590192+3.54%0.4607-19.18%0.0731✗1.14350k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.069632+3.77%0.0617-8.05%0.0440✓1.08351k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001709+3.93%0.001529-7.00%0.0461✓1.0216k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.057959+4.06%0.0525-5.75%0.1208✓1.43140k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006464+5.12%0.005874-4.47%0.0421✓0.909,1592022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.