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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2390
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 64.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.5314-16.91%1.054-42.81%0.0127✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.009929-12.44%0.00825-27.25%0.0617✓1.26355k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5335.7016-11.91%30.93-23.69%0.1329✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,737.86-10.42%8,473.37-22.05%0.1323✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.0402-10.40%5.5537+63.68%0.7762✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.3415-8.13%7.2-20.70%0.1195✗1.36256k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.1267-7.46%5.16-6.86%0.1273✗0.62786k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.7194-7.34%37.2+58.70%0.8089✗1.38534k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.1071-6.98%4.82-36.91%0.1150✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0351-6.96%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.074157-6.86%0.06229-21.77%0.1201✗1.50768k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.7516-6.78%5.4352+84.14%0.8321✗0.77941k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.902321-6.77%0.7842-18.97%0.1792✗1.63205k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2999.1492-6.72%92.31-13.15%0.1274✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.007-6.66%8.09-16.17%0.0048✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5211.731-6.30%9.51-24.04%0.0282✓1.22241k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.4058-6.06%4.34-7.46%0.1247✗0.71759k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8006-5.93%2.966-26.58%0.0919✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.784255-5.85%0.489-41.30%0.1820✓1.482,9182022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7234.6125-5.74%29.26-20.32%0.2107✗1.93194k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.2344-5.62%13.16-27.93%0.0044✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.8556-5.61%2.0034-33.78%0.0464✓1.5711k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3496-5.59%0.9934-30.51%0.0127✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.00009351-5.55%0.0001251+26.36%0.6759✗1.96646k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.303264-5.47%0.2638-17.77%0.0815✗1.13309k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.929082-5.39%0.6463-34.19%0.0188✓1.76516k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028346-5.39%0.02162-27.84%0.0290✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.02073-5.30%0.020386-6.87%0.1752✗0.989,0542022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.602-5.29%3.998+5.13%0.2422✗0.70670k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.4817-5.28%2.08-20.61%0.0339✓1.07175k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9449-5.27%1.36-33.76%0.0776✓1.43220k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.4961-5.25%16.67-4.25%0.1821✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.083533-5.11%0.06897-21.65%0.0700✗1.3428k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.6271-5.04%5.739-36.83%0.1337✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.4324-4.88%2.9825-36.00%0.1818✓1.0932k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.512361-4.61%0.5282-1.66%0.2573✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.847183-4.60%0.645-27.36%0.0652✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.504893-4.56%0.412-22.12%0.0212✓1.1513k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.154.9157-4.55%5.87+13.98%0.2971✗0.61587k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.6854-4.55%4.096+6.09%0.2222✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.3705-4.49%4.649-30.30%0.0156✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.305673-4.48%0.29294-8.46%0.2145✗1.3111k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.047543-4.38%0.042995-13.53%0.1320✗1.1935k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.045142-4.38%0.04418-6.42%0.1550✗0.9015k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6313.9972-4.33%11.33-22.56%0.0722✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.6989-4.22%6.04+1.51%0.1882✗0.66554k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.122057-4.12%0.0992-22.07%0.0617✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.2588-4.06%12.382+178.94%1.1819✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86963.2089-4.04%51.793-21.37%0.0333✓0.85398k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.7362-4.02%6.275-22.15%0.0363✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.348-3.83%5.809+28.49%0.3963✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8761.431-3.82%45.4-28.92%0.0706✓1.18257k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.577-3.81%18.53-24.40%0.0715✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.166403-3.70%0.1182-31.60%0.0948✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.7936-3.38%10.559-5.48%0.2458✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.469457-3.32%0.36304-25.24%0.1050✓0.7855k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.158842-3.32%0.1337-18.62%0.0733✗1.25411k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.054286-3.28%0.044396-20.90%0.0825✓0.6120k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.415866-3.24%0.31363-27.03%0.0091✓1.39592k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.7592-3.12%1.944-31.74%0.0713✓1.4243k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.177803-3.10%0.15977-12.93%0.3474✗2.321,1272022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065308-3.10%0.0554-17.80%0.0232✓0.96183k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.457965-3.08%0.3261-30.98%0.0511✓1.47220k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.8787-3.07%1.95-34.34%0.0907✓1.53192k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.602005-3.04%0.4996-19.54%0.0415✗1.16624k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.0657-2.98%2.33-26.27%0.1766✓0.5082k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.197354-2.92%0.1381-32.07%0.0890✓1.371,5612022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033063-2.90%0.0242-28.93%0.0555✓1.311,3182022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.216602-2.87%0.1592-28.61%0.0352✓1.391,0652022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.506648-2.81%0.32-38.62%0.2636✓1.00234k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.484499-2.75%0.3673-26.27%0.0572✓1.1242k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.650513-2.70%0.52437-21.57%0.0816✗1.5279k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5713-2.68%1.6656+3.16%0.3377✗1.43609k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4598-2.68%1.0043-33.05%0.0925✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7485-2.66%3.876+0.65%0.2059✗0.88754k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.945554-2.58%0.9334-3.83%0.1627✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.125985-2.49%0.2102+62.69%0.7279✗1.10617k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8153-2.45%1.733-6.88%0.0769✗0.63223k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7651-2.36%3.6555+29.07%0.4706✗0.98917k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.693.3671-2.34%78.57-17.81%0.1528✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0367-2.29%0.7744-27.01%0.0141✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014711-2.28%0.013002-13.64%0.0497✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018655-2.28%0.022963+20.29%0.3043✗0.49165k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.091482-2.16%0.08638-7.61%0.0056✓0.26910k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0231-2.12%0.84626-19.04%0.0259✗1.109,6842022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5369-2.11%1.39-11.46%0.0525✓0.24268k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.256061-2.08%0.261-0.19%0.0213✗0.0130k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,689.30-1.91%1,426.63-17.16%0.0775✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3409-1.89%1.511-36.67%0.1603✓1.42169k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6635-1.79%1.828-32.60%0.0325✓1.7692k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.087137-1.76%0.0619-30.21%0.1084✓1.19155k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8335-1.74%1.692-9.32%0.1692✗1.27382k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.01861-1.74%0.01478-21.96%0.0828✓0.75258k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.51e-7-1.68%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9793✗0.94193k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053937-1.57%0.0419-23.54%0.0104✓1.24263k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.076537-1.45%0.06712-13.57%0.0129✓0.741,2712022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.394269-1.43%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055003-1.43%0.0455-18.46%0.0652✗1.30787k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8454-1.37%1.6-14.48%0.1063✗1.27626k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.7795-1.36%6.251-20.74%0.0283✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038305-1.28%0.0345-11.08%0.1342✗1.2268k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.971462-1.27%1.201+22.05%0.4416✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.6985-1.26%25.35-18.46%0.0046✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.068338-1.25%0.0604-12.72%0.0856✗1.07308k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.751033-1.18%0.645-15.13%0.0903✗1.24205k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.170961-1.18%0.13172-23.86%0.0411✗1.54207k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003127-1.05%0.002987-5.47%0.1510✗1.00999k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6958.091-1.02%43.85-25.29%0.0096✓1.3928k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021548-1.02%0.02214+1.70%0.2295✗1.03149k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.337-0.89%1.129-16.31%0.0790✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.129857-0.87%0.0996-23.97%0.0712✓0.995,4502022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.962822-0.86%0.74832-22.94%0.0077✓1.33431k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3174-0.80%0.9332-29.73%0.1018✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.877528-0.73%0.84-4.98%0.0945✗0.711.3M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.0991-0.71%12.062-15.06%0.0752✗1.1870k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25159.1705-0.67%146.4-8.64%0.1311✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2694-0.52%1.7152-24.81%0.0373✓1.2424k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.23613-0.45%0.2134-10.03%0.1885✗1.4892k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.4498-0.43%53.38-12.07%0.1023✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006961-0.43%0.006708-4.05%0.0673✗0.5339k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.760346-0.35%0.631-17.30%0.0069✗0.99360k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84151.5102-0.22%112.59-25.85%0.0640✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.129553-0.19%0.1184-8.78%0.1615✗1.2849k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.602345-0.11%0.488-19.07%0.0636✗1.4084k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251464-0.05%0.2362-6.12%0.1485✗1.0863k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.308864-0.04%0.2731-11.62%0.1093✗1.192.8M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009406-0.04%0.00848-9.88%0.0866✗0.974.7M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.10809-0.01%0.0854-21.00%0.0204✗1.31491k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.52229+0.02%0.4291-17.83%0.0484✓1.2543.2M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7107+0.08%1.426-16.57%0.0636✓1.25492k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.9962+0.13%30.45-27.40%0.0548✗1.3681.8M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.40914+0.17%0.32806-19.68%0.0168✓1.21118k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6644+0.26%1.23-25.90%0.0326✗1.38114k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029941+0.31%0.03552+18.99%0.4149✓1.2514k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.118122+0.33%0.102736-12.74%0.0554✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.424224+0.38%0.34-19.55%0.0407✓1.34104k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000045165+0.39%0.00004676+3.93%0.2632✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.293259+0.40%0.3044+4.21%0.2594✓1.1375k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.2437+0.46%8.816-13.54%0.0625✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011802+0.52%0.00001177+0.26%0.2396✓1.24951k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9847+0.56%2.607-12.16%0.0824✓1.11619k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.046124+0.71%0.0357-22.05%0.0061✓1.347,1312022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.118067+0.74%0.1013-13.57%0.0555✓1.07352k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6871+0.78%1.192-28.79%0.0637✗1.45316k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.080126+0.79%0.0981+23.40%0.3644✓0.83148k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.334418+0.98%0.291277-12.05%0.1155✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004433+0.99%0.00393-10.48%0.1373✓1.32103k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.778684+1.00%0.525-31.91%0.1008✗1.5080k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.2708+1.04%6.861-16.19%0.0576✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0042+1.14%0.862501-13.14%0.0374✓0.9758k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.247088+1.14%0.2024-17.15%0.0412✓1.23101k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.61e-7+1.18%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0407✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.356+1.25%14.8-18.37%0.0546✓1.38108k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.800196+1.29%0.73-7.59%0.0268✓0.6179k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.341716+1.46%0.2823-16.18%0.0315✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.307436+1.46%0.275-9.24%0.0922✓1.04766k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.564.4367+1.48%61.17-3.67%0.1955✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.151665+1.52%0.1396-6.56%0.1606✓1.2488k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.251714+1.66%0.2183-11.83%0.0809✓1.14643k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.218636+1.69%0.164-23.72%0.0081✓1.51786k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.320499+1.70%0.36389+15.47%0.3556✓1.17407k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009082+1.81%0.00642-28.03%0.1681✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.0773+1.87%5.639-5.48%0.1372✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001104+1.94%0.001346+24.25%0.4499✓1.291.6M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5024,246.46+1.94%19,554.03-17.79%0.0192✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5883+2.02%4.106+61.84%0.6421✓0.92105k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.80e-7+2.12%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0649✓1.0025k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.138067+2.12%0.1202-11.09%0.0561✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5024,342.81+2.16%19,646.40-17.55%0.0227✗0.9819k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.2866+2.19%5.175+0.04%0.0193✓0.21210k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6151.756+2.26%44.14-12.78%0.0589✓1.11594k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.731412+2.30%0.916+28.11%0.4620✓1.21806k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.064175+2.52%0.0582-7.03%0.1769✓1.40339k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.44136+2.55%0.3529-18.01%0.0209✓1.25606k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.044395+2.70%0.03732-13.67%0.0139✓0.962,4262022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.056389+2.71%0.0493-10.20%0.1480✓1.44119k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.164+3.22%1.0384-7.92%0.0943✓1.0643k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003789+3.51%0.00289-21.04%0.0143✓1.31539k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.5466+3.52%4.3228-1.58%0.0912✓0.72986k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001562+3.67%0.001503-0.27%0.1588✓1.0116k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.586132+3.72%0.4349-23.04%0.0756✗1.14350k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.071516+3.73%0.06175-10.44%0.0781✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.071924+3.79%0.061392-11.41%0.0042✓0.79376k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006493+4.58%0.005519-11.11%0.0111✓0.897,2112022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.091698+5.40%0.0792-8.97%0.0912✓1.216,3652022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.