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2022-07-25 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0899
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.2%
in alpha space · 41.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.706333-11.04%1.226+54.41%0.5469✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.5243-9.78%3-40.18%0.4133✓0.96584k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5518.8098-8.47%37.33+81.65%0.6816✗1.53440k2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.724445-8.18%0.588-25.48%0.2126✓1.544,1662022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000084739-8.10%0.00009991+8.35%0.1599✗1.90735k2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.876321-8.10%0.06201-93.50%2.6509✓0.998,9622022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.759853-7.99%0.8151-1.30%0.0661✓1.61214k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.7661-7.69%5.19+27.21%0.3188✗0.75597k2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.0008-7.60%6.1+40.88%0.4203✗0.60694k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.479923-7.53%0.5577+7.46%0.1472✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.4488-7.49%18.34+3.15%0.1066✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8781.4834-7.27%108+22.91%0.2792✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.467995-7.14%0.452-10.32%0.0377✓1.1811k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.849952-7.11%0.7861-14.09%0.0826✓1.79591k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.087112-6.62%0.08425-9.69%0.0359✓1.00706k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.274443-6.35%0.2979+1.65%0.0786✗1.349,2162022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.257153-6.18%0.27-1.50%0.0457✓1.21335k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.019239-6.06%0.022261+8.70%0.1434✗1.006,1832022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3725.7295-5.99%35.76+30.65%0.3267✗1.00151k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2521.8965-5.82%35.45+52.47%0.4786✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4955.1917-5.64%48.99-16.24%0.1222✓1.20227k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0912.923-5.43%4.9+58.52%0.5150✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.036-5.42%2.77-13.71%0.0930✓0.5382k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.0568-5.30%4.876+51.05%0.4650✗0.77488k2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.064227-5.30%0.07428+9.53%0.1422✗1.2928k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.1463-5.22%2.4403+7.76%0.1244✗1.579,0562022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.1287-5.13%5.6172+150.33%0.9683✗0.79895k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1162-5.11%1.1766+0.03%0.0490✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.042421-5.10%0.046228+3.41%0.0829✗1.2021k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.386683-4.92%0.36571-10.08%0.0595✓1.47602k2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.027-4.88%5.8769+175.78%1.0622✗0.90971k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023287-4.87%0.02382-2.70%0.0186✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.5244-4.87%6.816+83.97%0.6582✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.56907-4.83%0.58763-1.73%0.0282✓1.5686k2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.017825-4.81%0.023439+25.17%0.2726✗0.48163k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.7077-4.81%5.312-11.41%0.0762✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.8259-4.79%3.034+2.22%0.0668✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.408315-4.78%0.3738-12.83%0.0921✓1.50208k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.248654-4.73%0.2599-0.42%0.0442✓0.0135k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.6134-4.71%9.29+33.86%0.3386✗0.48670k2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.860464-4.57%1.0301+14.24%0.1776✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.050972-4.56%0.048259-9.64%0.0563✓0.6218k2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.795-4.52%2.34+24.47%0.2624✗1.08157k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.057777-4.50%0.0606+0.17%0.0452✓0.98156k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.166272-4.44%0.1725-0.86%0.0332✓1.431,7562022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.7372-4.40%7.045-0.03%0.0413✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.662769-4.36%0.727+4.91%0.0881✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.04211-4.36%0.04656+5.75%0.0981✗0.9315k2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.38686-4.26%0.40312-0.24%0.0393✓0.7551k2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.0422-4.15%23.01+10.04%0.1341✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.402983-4.05%0.4098-2.43%0.0143✓1.00234k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.163032-4.04%0.16688-1.78%0.0171✓2.451,1272022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.0883-4.03%6.85+60.80%0.5145✗0.62504k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.0123-3.98%13.83+10.55%0.1372✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3514.7517-3.90%14.55-5.21%0.0172✓1.381.3M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.6358-3.84%14.339+279.24%1.3706✗0.621.2M2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.141562-3.83%0.1509+2.51%0.0606✗1.28379k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.0739-3.80%55.495+2.52%0.0615✗0.84369k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2035.9775-3.64%6.406+3.27%0.0660✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.078645-3.62%0.0676-17.16%0.1544✓1.22172k2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5007-3.61%1.827+17.34%0.1951✗0.64223k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.45e-7-3.57%8.05e-7+125.15%0.8455✗0.99234k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.357052-3.55%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.136691-3.54%0.1408-0.64%0.0264✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.950866-3.50%0.94669-3.93%0.0073✓1.138,4242022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.177757-3.50%0.171-7.17%0.0423✓1.411,0652022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3618-3.42%1.38-2.13%0.0127✓0.23319k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017312-3.39%0.01734-3.24%0.0003✓0.77354k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.315-3.31%1.1971-11.98%0.0976✓1.45856k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.4942-3.29%1.548+0.19%0.0318✓1.45212k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.024887-3.20%0.02692+4.71%0.0751✗1.351,3002022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.6094-3.16%6.94+45.80%0.4075✗0.66514k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013026-3.15%0.014302+6.33%0.0912✗0.911.2M2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.068765-3.15%0.07009-1.28%0.0172✓0.731,6422022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.422023-3.07%0.4107-5.67%0.0300✓1.1241k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5502-2.87%1.936+21.30%0.2190✗1.29606k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.046726-2.86%0.0464-3.53%0.0101✓1.22263k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.062399-2.81%0.0669+4.21%0.0669✗1.08239k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.2144-2.67%11.09+31.40%0.2972✗1.16243k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.7335-2.67%13.019+45.09%0.3958✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.656064-2.66%0.727+7.86%0.0995✗1.25149k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.03282-2.61%0.0377+11.87%0.1355✗1.2472k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.777232-2.60%0.886+11.03%0.1291✗0.751.1M2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.1918-2.59%2.41+7.11%0.0911✗1.52205k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003019-2.59%0.003426+10.55%0.1240✗1.011.0M2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.77e-7-2.55%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0453✗1.0025k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.018894-2.46%0.02359+21.79%0.2193✗1.06129k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2175-2.44%1.24-0.64%0.0150✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.3521-2.44%27.55+2.00%0.0421✗0.9510.6M2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.588-2.40%2.147+31.96%0.2984✗1.26332k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006532-2.35%0.00668-0.13%0.0211✓0.5546k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.479.5174-2.31%88.41+8.61%0.1018✗1.668.1M2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.336615-2.27%0.34078-1.06%0.0093✓1.20400k2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.514011-2.20%0.5089-3.18%0.0130✓1.20642k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1753-2.14%1.0444-13.04%0.1212✓1.241.3M2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3161-2.11%2.176-8.03%0.0668✓1.7587k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.855053-2.11%0.8327-4.67%0.0299✓1.36423k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.464929-2.10%0.4577-3.62%0.0189✓1.2741.4M2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.2913-2.02%7.122+10.92%0.1208✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.822673-2.02%1.5383+83.22%0.6228✗1.211.2M2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2517-2.02%4.3422+88.96%0.6542✗1.00863k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.2872-1.90%51.17+1.85%0.0340✗1.3832k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.046711-1.87%0.0518+8.82%0.1000✗1.34787k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8984-1.84%1.766-8.69%0.0760✓1.45132k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.77561-1.82%0.74-6.33%0.0487✓0.6983k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.093959-1.82%0.1146+19.75%0.1951✗1.372.4M2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.287-1.73%1.8503+41.29%0.3594✗1.46561k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.353192-1.62%0.36794+2.49%0.0378✗1.23113k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.112689-1.58%0.1118-2.36%0.0105✓1.015,8712022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.117601-1.51%0.1249+4.61%0.0569✗1.3447k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.8738-1.45%8.04+34.90%0.3106✗1.31248k2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.4947-1.44%13.8671+9.39%0.1012✗1.2078k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010549-1.32%0.00001305+22.08%0.2096✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.272131-1.29%0.3737+35.55%0.3143✗1.1465k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.3257-1.29%56.46+4.52%0.0542✗1.1513.6M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.21295-1.27%0.2239+3.80%0.0464✗1.4999k2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.040916-1.17%0.0402-2.90%0.0211✓1.357,5232022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1534-1.08%2.264+4.00%0.0465✗1.4237k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.816126-1.06%0.8581+4.02%0.0465✗1.441.4M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026477-1.02%0.04016+50.13%0.4134✗1.2718k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008348-0.97%0.0091+7.95%0.0837✗0.994.5M2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12142.7734-0.93%150.55+4.46%0.0503✗1.111.1M2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.3591-0.91%0.3871+6.82%0.0717✗1.3670k2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100486-0.90%0.2424+139.05%0.8778✗1.11617k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084787-0.83%0.1052+23.04%0.2136✗0.84148k2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,428.93-0.82%1,656.74+14.99%0.1448✗1.24344.6M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6077-0.81%2.932+11.53%0.1144✗1.12619k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.906552-0.78%0.935146+2.35%0.0286✗0.9851k2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.525912-0.77%0.562+6.04%0.0628✗1.4384k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0446-0.70%5.72+12.60%0.1221✗1.43947k2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8263-0.67%1.9654+6.89%0.0703✗1.2324k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4009-0.66%4.724+95.45%0.6745✗0.92105k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.499-0.62%1.6006+6.11%0.0623✗1.28492k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.273137-0.61%0.2983+8.55%0.0851✗1.202.7M2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107239-0.52%0.1104+2.41%0.0263✗1.09380k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.4614-0.49%34.88-4.80%0.0478✓1.3680.3M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.231092-0.43%0.2557+10.17%0.0984✗1.1161k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.76e-7-0.43%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0357✗0.845.9M2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092406-0.42%0.099+6.68%0.0656✗1.34502k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058767-0.39%0.0641+8.64%0.0833✗1.43328k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047769-0.36%0.07101+48.12%0.3928✗1.46712k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.310541-0.34%0.3023-2.98%0.0299✓1.187.5M2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.43-0.32%9.631+1.81%0.0183✗1.112.1M2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.00653-0.31%0.0082+25.19%0.2252✗1.01355k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105689-0.28%0.109482+3.30%0.0327✗1.016.7M2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.139982-0.13%0.14186+1.21%0.0093✗1.58176k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.230607-0.13%0.2353+1.91%0.0171✗1.21701k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008442-0.09%0.00698-17.40%0.1926✓0.931.3M2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003969-0.02%0.00409+3.02%0.0266✗1.34106k2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.040007+0.02%0.04014+0.35%0.0008✓0.992,0302022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038308+0.05%0.00003875+1.20%0.0085✓1.191.9M2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0904+0.08%5.386+5.89%0.0560✓0.19214k2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2874+0.12%3.4798+5.98%0.0542✓1.0725k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222609+0.23%0.2197-1.08%0.0163✗1.26119k2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,292.77+0.30%9,349.19+49.02%0.3925✓1.354.0M2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.4043+0.31%1.364-2.57%0.0328✗1.45317k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.3029+0.35%17.01+11.54%0.1023✓1.3997k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.282433+0.35%0.308844+9.73%0.0861✓1.301.1M2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.665377+0.36%0.6-9.50%0.1072✗1.5179k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.282064+0.38%0.285+1.42%0.0077✓1.05673k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3756+0.41%1.42+3.65%0.0282✓1.44127k2022-08-24
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.025035+0.54%0.0255+2.41%0.0171✓0.5245k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.194251+0.65%0.186-3.63%0.0473✗1.55881k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.124094+0.73%0.1328+7.79%0.0653✓1.013.1M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.627794+0.77%0.721+15.73%0.1360✓0.97387k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2812+0.82%6.274+19.78%0.1695✓1.111.9M2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.686759+0.85%0.956+40.38%0.3277✓1.21758k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.254.6895+0.90%67.69+24.89%0.2100✓1.281.4M2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,827.19+0.96%21,418.40-0.93%0.0214✗0.9820k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.8243+1.00%7.565+11.96%0.0999✓1.248.6M2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.132981+1.05%0.1481+12.54%0.1045✓1.2681k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.048119+1.09%0.0549+15.34%0.1281✓1.48119k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8845.4097+1.18%49.13+9.47%0.0760✓1.11498k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.40546+1.19%0.3867-3.49%0.0506✗1.28606k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.001002+1.24%0.001535+55.01%0.4228✓1.311.7M2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03119.5253+1.27%130.34+10.43%0.0837✓1.164.2M2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003499+1.42%0.00321-6.96%0.0896✗1.34566k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,626.55+1.47%21,367.12+0.25%0.0146✓1.00374.5M2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0683+1.49%1.1172+6.14%0.0420✓1.1045k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.064795+1.78%0.06482+1.82%0.0016✓0.80373k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.063332+2.26%0.067837+9.54%0.0658✓1.151.8M2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005771+2.53%0.005761+2.36%0.0040✓0.912,9222022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96964.0858+2.93%4.4922+13.17%0.0930✓0.72919k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001525+3.09%0.0016+8.18%0.0455✓1.0620k2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.508433+4.02%0.4861-0.55%0.0478✗1.15350k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.081733+4.12%0.091+15.92%0.1043✓1.236,7862022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.