8=======>

2022-07-22 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0553
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.3%
in alpha space · 52.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.8370.733795-12.33%1.176+40.50%0.5652✗1.771.1M2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96980.883403-8.91%0.8569-11.64%0.0537✓1.59241k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100250.000092542-7.69%0.00009038-9.85%0.0788✓1.94735k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7880.728885-7.50%0.611-22.46%0.0942✓1.555,0122022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum100.7693.2974-7.41%110.77+9.93%0.2248✗1.003.2M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5080.470992-7.28%0.47-7.48%0.0606✓1.1911k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01740.947826-6.84%1.0512+3.32%0.1543✗0.963,1532022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4816.3382-6.53%18.97+8.52%0.2002✗0.962.1M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43361.3426-6.35%1.0248-28.52%0.1922✓1.474.7M2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration66.5362.3124-6.34%50.64-23.88%0.1443✓1.19231k2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.923.3769-6.12%33.76+35.58%0.4353✗1.281.2M2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9450.887635-6.07%0.804-14.92%0.0035✓1.80594k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218160.020528-5.90%0.02191+0.43%0.1174✗0.991,7072022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.28030.264102-5.78%0.2705-3.50%0.0925✗1.30365k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.5783-5.59%5.04+32.98%0.3831✗0.77597k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.313850.296549-5.51%0.30199-3.78%0.0892✗1.347,0062022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28932.1728-5.09%5.9198+158.59%1.0496✗0.89890k2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum30.4428.9161-5.01%34.76+14.19%0.2370✗1.00133k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7715.9392-4.95%44.36+164.52%1.1054✗1.55431k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0258-4.85%2.76-13.21%0.0664✓0.4886k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089660.085472-4.67%0.09106+1.56%0.1162✗1.00664k2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163550.015591-4.67%0.014659-10.37%0.0131✓0.921.2M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06950.066261-4.66%0.0597-14.10%0.0524✓0.98164k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2653.1148-4.60%4.479+37.18%0.4039✗0.77488k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.30972.2044-4.56%4.9686+115.12%0.8548✗0.80947k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.445260.425447-4.45%0.37078-16.73%0.0599✓1.47673k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0473750.045334-4.31%0.046233-2.41%0.0831✗1.2018k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072670.069552-4.29%0.07522+3.51%0.1472✗1.3027k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7420.710189-4.29%0.722-2.70%0.1098✗1.765.8M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026010.024898-4.27%0.02263-13.00%0.0103✓1.6114.2M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.182290.174529-4.26%0.16409-9.98%0.0682✗2.451,0922022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.8121-4.22%5.94+49.25%0.4767✗0.63713k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1292.9985-4.17%5.101+63.02%0.5645✗0.631.7M2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6322.6523-4.14%22.97-2.79%0.0969✗1.5728.4M2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.40852.3089-4.13%2.478+2.89%0.1534✗1.568,0962022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.683.5286-4.12%6.594+79.18%0.6551✗0.562.2M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.422140.405231-4.01%0.41334-2.08%0.0587✗0.7351k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.649230.623759-3.92%0.58884-9.30%0.0248✓1.5699k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046910.045089-3.88%0.04674-0.36%0.0842✗0.9111k2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0142.8971-3.88%3.111+3.22%0.1605✗1.693.8M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07360.070828-3.77%0.0675-8.29%0.0066✓1.03209k2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.18870.181609-3.76%0.1768-6.31%0.0479✗1.411,8912022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1915.9606-3.72%5.19-16.17%0.0461✓1.7411.7M2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0540820.052112-3.64%0.051048-5.61%0.0122✓0.6215k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.45740.440795-3.63%0.5638+23.26%0.3122✗1.251.4M2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.15340.14797-3.54%0.1393-9.19%0.0077✓1.292.8M2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40070.386556-3.53%0.3918-2.22%0.0943✗1.53208k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.7433-3.52%12.738+228.30%1.2574✗0.621.4M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.6410.2784-3.40%10.644+0.04%0.1066✗1.3513.0M2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.25256-3.38%0.2611-0.11%0.0339✓0.0145k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87420.844904-3.35%1.0779+23.30%0.2957✗0.993.5M2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4802-3.26%1.38-9.80%0.0577✓0.24398k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4750.4596-3.24%0.4286-9.77%0.0115✓1.1049k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.381-3.17%8.93+35.51%0.3621✗0.49670k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018840.018269-3.03%0.01736-7.86%0.0115✓0.75354k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071940.069765-3.02%0.07057-1.90%0.0503✗0.731,5492022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.8656.1411-2.97%54.958-5.02%0.0226✓0.83387k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0175660.017044-2.97%0.023427+33.37%0.3436✗0.48165k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.274.1433-2.97%6.35+48.71%0.4606✗0.64555k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.07871.047-2.94%0.96387-10.64%0.0234✓1.127,2992022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1811.8249-2.92%13.18+8.21%0.1866✗1.481.1M2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.155375-2.89%0.1556-2.75%0.0693✗1.28356k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.896.6916-2.88%7.211+4.66%0.1465✗1.365.7M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6811.6326-2.88%1.876+11.60%0.1725✗0.63190k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44390.431286-2.84%0.3841-13.47%0.0630✓1.00257k2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5511.507-2.84%1.562+0.71%0.1129✗1.46203k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08470.082308-2.82%0.0696-17.83%0.1018✓1.25202k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.7771.7273-2.79%1.914+7.71%0.1698✗1.27619k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36910.359057-2.72%0.3715+0.65%0.0976✗1.203902022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.81.7515-2.70%2.38+32.22%0.3649✗1.10150k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.3049-2.67%6.459-0.29%0.0916✗1.275.0M2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18910.184117-2.64%0.1759-6.98%0.0291✗1.411,8832022-08-21
FLOWFlownative1.8421.7948-2.56%2.163+17.43%0.2523✗1.24345k2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027150.026489-2.43%0.0271-0.18%0.0948✗1.361,3482022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2941-2.41%1.072-19.16%0.1234✓1.231.6M2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3951.362-2.37%1.243-10.90%0.0226✓1.302.8M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2542.2008-2.36%1.724-23.51%0.1680✓1.44132k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3614.9981-2.36%14.47-5.79%0.0365✗1.371.3M2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6872.6237-2.36%2.17-19.24%0.0975✓1.7587k2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.938.7259-2.28%10.41+16.57%0.2384✗1.17265k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4287.392-2.27%85.89-3.95%0.0694✗1.6410.2M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.047993-2.25%0.0473-3.67%0.0491✗1.20282k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0733.0063-2.17%3.174+3.29%0.1117✗1.09562k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.9128.3255-2.02%27.72-4.12%0.0286✗0.9511.0M2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.705464-2.02%0.728+1.11%0.0984✗1.27139k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.42.3523-1.99%2.48+3.33%0.1328✗1.51216k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.035189-1.98%0.0377+5.01%0.1342✗1.2385k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.167120.163827-1.97%0.14385-13.92%0.0466✓1.58156k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58360.572353-1.93%0.5133-12.05%0.0458✓1.19559k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.2952-1.88%1.21-8.33%0.0105✓1.48910k2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90760.890703-1.86%1.3019+43.44%0.4435✗1.211.2M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05390.052939-1.78%0.0514-4.64%0.0411✗1.33802k2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.7158-1.75%6.56+36.67%0.3654✗0.67554k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020130.019779-1.74%0.02257+12.12%0.1881✗1.06123k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.49832.4548-1.74%3.6812+47.35%0.4573✗0.981.0M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13070.128582-1.62%0.1243-4.90%0.0359✗1.3244k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030520.003005-1.53%0.003742+22.61%0.2744✗1.041.0M2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum55.955.061-1.50%50.91-8.93%0.0059✓1.3734k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4031.3827-1.45%1.7908+27.64%0.3339✗1.42647k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10380.10231-1.44%0.108+4.05%0.1263✗1.362.5M2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.933860.920539-1.43%0.85255-8.71%0.0055✓1.35423k2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.386540.381786-1.23%0.37086-4.06%0.0360✗1.23123k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4830.477762-1.08%0.4624-4.27%0.0346✗1.2743.2M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.716213.5708-1.06%14.1071+2.85%0.1021✗1.20126k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.586849-1.04%0.572-3.54%0.0496✗1.4285k2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.53e-7-1.01%7.12e-7+99.85%0.7552✗1.00239k2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.11746-0.96%0.109-8.09%0.0226✓0.996,5322022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.6381.623-0.92%1.6327-0.32%0.0728✗1.26492k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.765037-0.90%0.876+13.47%0.1765✗0.781.2M2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40430.4007-0.89%0.3848-4.82%0.0306✗1.3496k2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.338870.335924-0.87%0.32001-5.57%0.0169✗1.24404k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.0955.6036-0.87%55.68-0.73%0.0614✗1.1314.3M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92870.920763-0.85%0.8737-5.92%0.0230✗1.431.4M2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011623-0.83%0.00001348+15.02%0.2144✗1.251.2M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.790.783539-0.82%0.73-7.59%0.0336✓0.70100k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30080.298494-0.77%0.2949-1.96%0.0507✗1.192.8M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067040.006655-0.73%0.006771+1.00%0.0483✗0.5950k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,535.841,525.26-0.69%1,617.84+5.34%0.1239✗1.23339.7M2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02542.0117-0.67%1.9484-3.80%0.0325✗1.2226k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028760.02858-0.63%0.03818+32.75%0.3570✗1.2720k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25560.254105-0.58%0.2628+2.82%0.0909✗1.0861k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.086.0469-0.54%8.2+34.87%0.3741✗1.31263k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10410.103543-0.53%0.1011-2.88%0.0459✗1.32513k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008970.008925-0.50%0.00945+5.35%0.1090✗0.984.9M2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.45e-7-0.49%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0366✗1.0028k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2250.223919-0.48%0.2298+2.13%0.1040✗1.48115k2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7866.7537-0.48%7.08+4.33%0.1141✗1.2617.9M2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149148.492-0.34%154.56+3.73%0.0990✗1.111.3M2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.362.3525-0.32%2.229-5.55%0.0206✗1.4143k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.3535-0.31%5.91+10.06%0.1735✗1.411.0M2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04310.042968-0.31%0.0412-4.41%0.0292✗1.357,6872022-08-21
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.17e-7-0.27%9.00e-7-2.17%0.0244✗0.825.8M2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4577-0.23%36.48-10.04%0.0327✓1.3481.1M2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11750.117246-0.22%0.1115-5.11%0.0071✗1.08417k2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053760.05369-0.13%0.06849+27.40%0.3209✗1.46749k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33780.337381-0.12%0.3062-9.35%0.0353✓1.177.8M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.105695-0.10%0.1872+76.94%0.6301✗1.11591k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9651780.964303-0.09%0.927762-3.88%0.0147✗1.0159k2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0880.087945-0.06%0.1006+14.32%0.1759✗0.78153k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.15310.1513-0.02%9.628-5.17%0.0057✗1.112.3M2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40735.4081+0.01%5.1185-5.34%0.0448✗0.19226k2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000041720.000041741+0.05%0.00003955-5.20%0.0087✓1.181.9M2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.6415+0.06%2.914+10.38%0.1566✓1.10621k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.24380.244199+0.16%0.2375-2.58%0.0342✓1.17703k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120290.112221+0.17%0.110977-0.94%0.0419✓1.007.1M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13680.137267+0.34%0.1381+0.95%0.0602✓1.023.3M2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06420.064425+0.35%0.0654+1.87%0.0888✓1.40322k2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.260842+0.36%0.3366+29.51%0.3147✓1.1347k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.008980.009018+0.43%0.00718-20.04%0.1796✗0.911.4M2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23990.240927+0.43%0.224-6.63%0.0069✗1.25119k2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006619+0.45%0.00947+43.70%0.4113✓1.01365k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4892.5012+0.49%5.094+104.66%0.7591✓0.9093k2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase16.9317.0264+0.57%16.73-1.18%0.0558✓1.39105k2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,573.616,611.71+0.58%8,749.39+33.10%0.3506✓1.334.2M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004275+0.60%0.00421-0.94%0.0553✓1.34122k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.21131+0.62%0.187-10.95%0.0404✗1.55881k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.4991.5086+0.64%1.352-9.81%0.0334✗1.44374k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3107570.312948+0.70%0.308829-0.62%0.0518✓1.231.3M2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.471+0.76%1.39-4.79%0.0194✓1.44131k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2920.29468+0.92%0.288-1.37%0.0328✓1.05725k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.24843.28+0.97%3.4692+6.80%0.1133✓1.0826k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4855.5492+1.17%6.413+16.92%0.2030✓1.101.9M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash59.960.6181+1.20%64.62+7.88%0.1327✓1.301.5M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash48.3949.0101+1.28%46.8-3.29%0.0115✓1.09606k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.42730.433002+1.33%0.395-7.56%0.0250✗1.26414k2022-08-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.026065+1.42%0.0259+0.78%0.0194✓0.4949k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041660.042293+1.52%0.0402-3.50%0.0004✓0.973,2692022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7170.728025+1.54%0.636-11.30%0.0547✗1.52108k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010730.00109+1.55%0.001518+41.48%0.4000✓1.291.7M2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14030.142529+1.59%0.1499+6.84%0.1162✓1.2487k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2957.4143+1.64%7.434+1.91%0.0678✓1.238.7M2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6610.671957+1.66%0.7+5.90%0.0922✓0.97419k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.1091.128+1.71%1.0912-1.61%0.0241✓1.0845k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.003733+1.72%0.00326-11.17%0.0646✗1.34586k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05210.053036+1.80%0.054+3.65%0.0960✓1.47135k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,687.6823,128.65+1.94%21,518.62-5.15%0.0193✗1.00398.7M2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.29125.7559+2.00%119.67-2.94%0.0104✓1.134.0M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7010.716535+2.22%0.919+31.10%0.3140✓1.23807k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,716.1023,244.87+2.33%21,631.30-4.78%0.0203✓0.9824k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0675960.06925+2.45%0.069279+2.49%0.0641✓1.201.9M2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.067070.068956+2.81%0.065924-1.71%0.0031✓0.79364k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059630.006145+3.04%0.005915-0.81%0.0101✓0.913,1552022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.10524.2438+3.38%4.5693+11.31%0.1111✓0.70930k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49760.518654+4.23%0.4896-1.61%0.0026✓1.14333k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08220.086128+4.78%0.0898+9.25%0.1067✓1.237,1912022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015220.001598+5.02%0.001501-1.38%0.0081✓1.0317k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.