8=======>

2022-07-16 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2898
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.5%
in alpha space · 24.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.609775-10.06%0.519-23.45%0.3149✓1.2011k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000097565-7.69%0.00009691-8.31%0.2603✓1.97682k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.588593-7.60%0.718+12.72%0.0066✓1.493,6872022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.773181-7.31%1.0012+20.02%0.0519✓1.61204k2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.743748-5.74%0.87+10.27%0.0801✓1.847.4M2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.1738-5.47%0.18875+2.67%0.2702✓2.748962022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.380238-5.37%0.4992+24.24%0.1436✗1.00224k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.267389-5.15%0.2975+5.53%0.0778✓1.43439k2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.885322-5.01%1.053+12.98%0.0572✓1.79528k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum102.7497.9257-4.69%113.47+10.44%0.0165✓1.022.6M2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.17065-4.66%0.2114+18.10%0.0260✓1.462,5392022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.512-4.30%1.47-6.96%0.0622✓0.26447k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.7587-4.26%2.455+33.64%0.1664✗1.30729k2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7516.0378-4.25%40+138.81%0.7013✗1.65421k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.016641-4.21%0.020413+17.51%0.1373✗0.52177k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.40994-4.14%0.47474+11.01%0.0485✗0.7654k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3757.0703-4.13%8.475+14.92%0.0022✓1.395.6M2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7814.1923-3.98%20.58+39.24%0.2453✗0.981.7M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.5909-3.94%6.023+61.13%0.4473✗0.542.2M2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum24.5923.6566-3.80%40.9+66.33%0.4189✗1.00128k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.1294-3.77%1.3341+13.68%0.0185✓1.444.2M2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.02570.987644-3.71%1.184+15.43%0.0346✓1.144,5462022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.3913-3.66%4.97+41.19%0.2891✗0.72572k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.665778-3.65%0.71526+3.51%0.1381✓1.63117k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism0.520.501427-3.57%1.569+201.73%0.9206✗1.711.1M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.448938-3.53%0.41114-11.65%0.2820✓1.51862k2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1123.003-3.50%3.991+28.25%0.2034✗0.632.1M2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.7652-3.46%5.44+39.49%0.2866✗0.63672k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1572-3.45%2.96-9.48%0.1243✓0.4778k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.132.0589-3.34%2.119-0.52%0.1634✓1.49112k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.787667-3.15%1.1419+40.40%0.2394✗1.034.1M2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.464816-3.10%0.5236+9.15%0.0226✓1.1052k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.072087-3.08%0.08413+13.11%0.0491✗0.821,9712022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1166.8996-3.04%7.794+9.53%0.0489✓1.335.2M2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.091133-3.02%0.08417-10.43%0.2081✓1.00408k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.044874-3.02%0.05379+16.25%0.0630✗0.925,7282022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.088278-2.99%0.0835-8.24%0.2187✓1.27167k2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.035742-2.88%0.0425+15.49%0.0118✓1.2595k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.02316-2.85%0.02883+20.93%0.0084✓1.6415.8M2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.409-2.83%1.44-0.69%0.1754✓1.53843k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.354-2.78%3.3016+36.36%0.1298✗1.625,4022022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.7263-2.77%3.694+31.74%0.0790✗1.753.7M2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.181957-2.70%0.2205+17.91%0.0138✓1.392,2022022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.254729-2.66%0.2613-0.15%0.1031✓1.0045k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.387391-2.60%0.44286+11.34%0.0260✓1.24128k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.3869-2.58%3.32+35.51%0.1295✗1.56205k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.4898-2.50%1.893+23.89%0.0484✗1.49182k2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.286843-2.49%0.36134+22.83%0.0569✗1.353,2792022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.90503-2.45%1.0393+12.02%0.0481✓1.451.4M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.02611-2.43%0.03112+16.29%0.0122✓1.461,5542022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.020619-2.38%0.025193+19.27%0.0712✗1.001,2172022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.400052-2.35%0.4503+9.91%0.0837✓1.57191k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155114-2.32%0.1799+13.29%0.0238✓1.34349k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.0325-2.28%18.18+26.60%0.0841✗1.361.3M2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.070472-2.26%0.0692-4.02%0.1471✓1.00224k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.059083-2.23%0.0886+46.62%0.2274✗1.3824k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008852-2.19%0.00821-9.28%0.1935✓0.921.2M2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8390.8036-2.18%107.14+15.42%0.0508✓1.6810.8M2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.3319-2.18%4.131+21.29%0.1153✗0.77488k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.0668-2.16%3.6239+71.55%0.4473✗0.89845k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.069-2.14%6.3+21.62%0.0301✗1.461.2M2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.161307-2.12%0.168+1.94%0.1290✓1.322.8M2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.109041-2.12%0.129+15.80%0.0420✗0.986,1432022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.5005-2.10%3.896+52.55%0.3246✗0.9288k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.051234-2.08%0.055866+6.77%0.0066✓0.6214k2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.209546-2.08%0.226+5.61%0.1274✓1.58964k2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.6093-2.05%3.305+24.06%0.0916✗1.13772k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.153.9981-2.00%62.03+12.58%0.0387✓1.3831k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.739418-2.00%1.2127+60.74%0.3830✗0.873642022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2379.0576-1.94%11.408+23.50%0.0568✗1.3512.5M2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2287-1.94%1.311+4.63%0.0862✓1.171.4M2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7465-1.88%2.46+38.20%0.1987✗1.12125k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.1193-1.82%3.69+16.15%0.0207✗1.15539k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.3034-1.79%5.3846-0.29%0.0088✓0.19335k2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2281-1.72%2.725+20.20%0.0166✓1.6984k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.0127.5325-1.70%30.85+10.14%0.0084✓0.9510.6M2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5296-1.70%2.01+29.18%0.1445✗1.00183k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.234679-1.60%0.2726+14.30%0.0124✓1.26166k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29953.4457-1.57%61.418+13.11%0.0311✗0.84398k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.072161-1.55%0.0707-3.55%0.2050✓1.43299k2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.928848-1.55%1.4669+55.47%0.2973✗1.24933k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2420.9198-1.51%27.9+31.36%0.0882✗1.5525.2M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000039687-1.50%0.00004601+14.20%0.0077✓1.211.9M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.854643-1.42%1.0534+21.51%0.0371✗1.34399k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056713.8597-1.40%15.8559+12.80%0.0205✓1.21242k2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.5186-1.38%3.0966+21.25%0.0775✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.1994-1.37%2.73+22.42%0.0336✗1.4244k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.3955.6207-1.36%57.71+2.34%0.1152✓1.18235k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.9037-1.35%5.456+37.88%0.2538✗0.631.6M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.336457-1.33%0.35764+4.88%0.1027✓1.27411k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.3882-1.29%1.6772+19.26%0.0064✓1.42684k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.5755-1.28%15.12+55.88%0.2692✗1.461.1M2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.041278-1.23%0.053067+26.98%0.1031✗1.1516k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.216698-1.23%0.2752+25.43%0.0832✗1.21705k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.5156-1.22%8.649+31.12%0.1213✗1.2618.8M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.7449-1.12%9.92+70.74%0.3705✗1.37263k2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.452803-1.11%0.5501+20.14%0.0314✗1.2745.0M2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.107626-1.08%0.1261+15.90%0.0171✗1.10362k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.00e-7-1.07%0.000001+9.89%0.0235✓1.0025k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.45430.449479-1.06%0.6251+37.60%0.1673✗1.261.2M2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.018096-1.06%0.01742-4.76%0.1372✓0.77381k2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4548-1.03%1.72+17.01%0.0211✓1.47150k2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.7202-1.02%6.215+30.32%0.0496✗1.7511.7M2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.77906-1.01%0.947+20.33%0.0949✗0.781.2M2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.4068-1.00%1.711+20.41%0.0083✓1.46383k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8020,863.29-0.99%23,840.30+13.13%0.0064✓0.9941k2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.514521-0.94%0.5965+14.84%0.0080✓1.21491k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.3489-0.94%6.38+45.33%0.3014✗0.64555k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.337215-0.94%0.3578+5.11%0.0930✓1.188.2M2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.239417-0.90%0.2853+18.09%0.0340✗1.1060k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.661179-0.87%0.819+22.79%0.0918✗0.95405k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.048484-0.85%0.0544+11.25%0.0452✓1.25264k2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.681229-0.84%0.857+24.75%0.0668✗1.27120k2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.914995-0.80%1.0171+10.27%0.0256✓1.0264k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.2957-0.79%1.47+12.56%0.0461✓1.342.5M2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.508953-0.79%0.681+32.75%0.1125✗1.3984k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.108711-0.77%0.123528+12.75%0.0015✓1.017.3M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.136792-0.77%0.1756+27.38%0.0412✗1.62168k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003720.003693-0.73%0.00403+8.33%0.0876✓1.36650k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009173-0.73%0.01073+16.13%0.0252✗1.024.9M2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.7891-0.71%20.11+18.92%0.0022✓1.4281k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.012623-0.69%0.016006+25.92%0.1314✗0.821.2M2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.5903-0.65%1.8279+14.19%0.0245✓1.27535k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.130161-0.64%0.1474+12.52%0.0475✓1.3434k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.3950.392548-0.62%0.4859+23.01%0.0505✗1.27405k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.94e-7-0.62%9.90e-7+10.00%0.0078✓0.855.7M2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.02756-0.58%0.04885+76.23%0.4081✗1.2820k2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000010977-0.57%0.00001525+38.13%0.1688✗1.241.1M2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0954.7888-0.55%60.69+10.17%0.0490✓1.1815.0M2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.1661-0.54%41.97+143.16%0.7402✗1.201.2M2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.8225-0.50%2.3338+27.42%0.0877✗1.2431k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.063991-0.49%0.076696+19.26%0.0248✗1.222.0M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.2851-0.45%3.4246+49.19%0.3011✗0.80922k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.38547-0.45%0.4715+21.77%0.0301✗1.3382k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero139.03138.4169-0.44%163.5+17.60%0.0206✗1.131.3M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.8744-0.43%4.042+40.02%0.1996✗1.1025k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.10069-0.41%0.1148+13.55%0.0443✓1.36526k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.277691-0.40%0.3448+23.67%0.0630✗1.192.9M2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.258822-0.34%0.4009+54.37%0.2898✗1.1536k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.110242-0.32%0.1968+77.94%0.4372✗1.11558k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006908-0.32%0.006721-3.02%0.1016✓0.5870k2022-08-15
DASHDashDash44.8344.7058-0.28%53.17+18.60%0.0304✗1.11619k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001019-0.24%0.001637+60.25%0.3081✗1.291.8M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,248.51-0.21%11,093.56+77.16%0.4016✗1.344.2M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,147.54-0.20%24,097.82+13.72%0.0020✓1.00429.5M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.074-0.19%1.2755+18.54%0.0317✗1.0948k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002854-0.18%0.004238+48.23%0.2612✗1.041.2M2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006679-0.17%0.0085+27.06%0.1129✗1.00387k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.119631-0.14%0.1569+30.97%0.1413✗1.013.8M2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.227642-0.11%0.2573+12.90%0.0687✓1.49117k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.307609-0.08%0.371538+20.68%0.0261✗1.271.5M2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003999-0.03%0.00488+22.00%0.0254✗1.35131k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.12774.1267-0.02%4.9822+20.70%0.0961✗0.72954k2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.052053+0.01%0.09505+82.61%0.4127✓1.47773k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050906+0.01%0.067+31.63%0.0848✓1.48102k2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.020586+0.03%0.02686+30.52%0.1291✓1.06112k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.8134+0.05%8.78+28.93%0.1895✓0.50657k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.096152+0.05%0.1145+19.15%0.0689✓0.82144k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.1968+0.07%8.787+22.18%0.0407✓1.249.6M2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,357.19+0.11%1,899.39+40.10%0.1808✓1.21326.5M2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.811105+0.14%0.82+1.23%0.0840✗0.74111k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.8403+0.21%6.12+26.71%0.1482✓0.67609k2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative1.6011.6056+0.28%2.71+69.27%0.3670✓1.22287k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.051773+0.34%0.0659+27.71%0.0660✓1.36837k2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.4155+0.34%8.417+55.96%0.2957✓1.131.8M2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana39.639.7394+0.35%43.72+10.40%0.0759✗1.3381.1M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.069159+0.36%0.068965+0.08%0.1078✗0.82433k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.043076+0.41%0.045+4.90%0.1304✗1.357,6872022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.58e-7+0.42%7.43e-7+108.39%0.5911✓1.08350k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.10193+0.62%0.1342+32.48%0.1014✓1.352.5M2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.143062+0.68%0.1994+40.32%0.1711✓1.2588k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.3634+0.79%10.526+13.30%0.0258✗1.112.2M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.621462+0.89%0.72+16.88%0.0486✗1.52112k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005853+0.91%0.006763+16.59%0.0263✓0.923,0112022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.8515+0.93%11.94+36.15%0.1462✓1.19272k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.293829+0.97%0.324+11.34%0.0353✗1.03599k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.083277+1.43%0.1007+22.66%0.0299✓1.246,9262022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash63.2464.1845+1.49%73.84+16.76%0.0313✗1.331.6M2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.502198+1.58%0.5804+17.39%0.0010✓1.13311k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.054604+1.68%0.0788+46.74%0.2660✓0.78204k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.602881+1.84%0.99+67.23%0.3407✓1.21858k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45111.4628+1.84%137.34+25.48%0.0644✓1.124.0M2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.