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2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1431
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.7%
in alpha space · 23.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000101339-8.26%0.00009929-10.11%0.2125✓1.95766k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.183291-7.02%0.19653-0.30%0.2207✓2.958572022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.752515-6.97%0.9875+22.08%0.1110✗1.63160k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.700547-6.72%0.841+11.98%0.0354✓1.503,2002022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.802303-6.60%0.898+4.54%0.0748✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.945333-5.56%0.944-5.69%0.1800✓1.81635k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.8991-5.42%2.141+6.62%0.0128✓1.35997k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3802-5.13%6.031+69.27%0.5211✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.408055-5.04%0.561+30.56%0.2199✗1.00202k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.185585-4.88%0.2282+16.97%0.0562✗1.532,7942022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.8497-4.86%21.84+31.09%0.2197✗1.03501k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.545258-4.84%1.899+231.41%1.0804✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.441948-4.81%0.48293+4.02%0.0177✓0.7255k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3819-4.70%1.55+6.90%0.0855✗0.30575k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.698711-4.64%0.69895-4.61%0.1625✓1.66108k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.226051-4.58%0.3126+31.95%0.2258✗1.00440k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.44752-4.38%0.553+18.16%0.1022✗1.1111k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.9026-4.33%4.125+35.96%0.2890✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.6688-4.23%30.04+83.62%0.4868✗1.67463k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.089505-3.96%0.0896-3.86%0.1282✓1.31179k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.6687-3.96%5.62+47.12%0.3648✗0.63778k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.501142-3.90%0.5796+11.14%0.0374✓1.1074k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.0457-3.82%2.498+17.44%0.0550✗1.47123k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.492371-3.82%0.42203-17.56%0.3089✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.770665-3.78%1.1662+45.61%0.3109✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.039853-3.74%0.0454+9.66%0.0054✓1.27134k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.01583-3.60%0.018974+15.54%0.1262✗0.56337k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.41662-3.56%0.42996-0.47%0.0913✓1.25155k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.1376-3.46%5.02+54.46%0.4013✗0.70770k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.975556-3.41%1.1648+15.33%0.0625✗1.171,6262022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.404814-3.39%0.4659+11.19%0.0196✓1.63208k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8582.2027-3.29%128.79+51.52%0.3519✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1051-3.27%3.05-4.98%0.0561✓0.3982k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.5991-3.21%3.0082+12.02%0.0155✓1.644,8022022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.070325-3.19%0.08965+23.42%0.1640✗0.802,3812022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.023435-3.16%0.03513+45.17%0.2385✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5144-3.11%4.095+57.80%0.3143✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.2516-3.05%8.791+36.34%0.2073✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4721.7864-3.04%45.63+103.07%0.6409✗1.00110k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.263967-2.95%0.23-15.44%0.2898✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.027483-2.92%0.03333+17.73%0.0321✗1.632,0362022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.942666-2.91%1.2133+24.97%0.1069✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.045623-2.89%0.05269+12.15%0.0509✗0.955,7282022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5743-2.86%3.02+13.96%0.0045✓1.58255k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.302081-2.78%0.36941+18.88%0.0659✗1.382,7752022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.6919-2.77%2.74+57.47%0.3689✗1.15114k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.253864-2.73%0.2614+0.15%0.0691✓1.0054k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.6978-2.72%4.707+23.84%0.1770✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.109588-2.68%0.1317+16.96%0.0847✗1.017,0862022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.193099-2.67%0.2677+34.93%0.1920✗1.373,2022022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6387-2.60%3.052+12.66%0.0291✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.5529-2.52%4.8-15.73%0.1664✓0.21291k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3263-2.50%2.9+21.54%0.0818✗1.4167k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1414.7612-2.50%18.67+23.32%0.1009✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.1937-2.48%1.351+10.38%0.0094✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1203-2.47%6.92+31.81%0.1543✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.02126-2.42%0.023579+8.23%0.0016✓1.048342022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4141-2.41%2.058+42.03%0.2291✗1.48169k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01420.990078-2.38%1.4281+40.81%0.2298✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019075-2.33%0.01763-9.73%0.1534✓0.76414k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.391-2.31%2.9975+22.47%0.1224✗1.051.3M2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.100706-2.25%0.08629-16.24%0.2529✓1.00343k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.008926-2.23%0.00837-8.32%0.1582✓0.951.2M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.4348-2.18%2.889+16.07%0.0053✓1.6890k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.886689-2.17%1.0855+19.76%0.0693✗1.35557k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.7906-2.16%3.4773+90.00%0.5813✗0.84954k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.249061-2.14%0.2624+3.10%0.0652✓1.19682k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1326.5529-2.13%31.49+16.07%0.0782✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5754.406-2.09%62.01+11.59%0.0096✓1.4328k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.073665-2.04%0.0737-1.99%0.1065✓1.0999k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5784-2.02%2.06+27.87%0.1679✗1.00180k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.051529-2.02%0.05725+8.86%0.0415✗0.6515k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8329-1.98%3.99+38.06%0.2333✗1.11560k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.19.9017-1.96%16.74+65.74%0.3828✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000040824-1.91%0.00004589+10.26%0.0056✓1.252.5M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.010939-1.89%0.01044-6.37%0.1511✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.157392-1.88%0.1759+9.66%0.0204✓1.34355k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.8127-1.86%11.817+31.59%0.1609✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.989128-1.82%1.0662+5.83%0.0478✓1.25252k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.835774-1.79%1.084+27.38%0.1797✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.059795-1.78%0.08557+40.56%0.2226✗1.3827k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.048721-1.77%0.0543+9.48%0.0130✓1.23266k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.4834-1.72%2.626+3.92%0.0348✓0.92148k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.8671-1.72%10.19+70.69%0.4215✗1.33278k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.547467-1.71%0.697+25.13%0.1046✗1.3999k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.242353-1.64%0.2624+6.49%0.0480✓1.30220k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.9272-1.59%7.314+46.08%0.2199✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0662-1.55%5.71+38.26%0.2758✗0.65721k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.144051-1.54%0.1447-1.09%0.1304✓1.3734k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.480503-1.50%0.6064+24.31%0.1069✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3212-1.48%1.438+7.23%0.0501✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.512244-1.45%0.6657+28.07%0.1411✗1.23642k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5472-1.45%1.85+17.83%0.0335✗1.48338k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01856.2043-1.43%62.317+9.29%0.0207✗0.84525k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.8632-1.42%8.259+18.63%0.0532✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.112691-1.41%0.1267+10.85%0.0085✓1.10401k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2227-1.40%1.56+25.81%0.0945✗1.52755k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.1444-1.33%3.2115+47.77%0.3220✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3736-1.33%1.6087+15.56%0.0264✗1.34727k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.068585-1.31%0.070056+0.81%0.0985✓1.222.2M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.471461-1.31%0.5372+12.46%0.0036✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.830567-1.25%1.1739+39.57%0.2616✗0.862472022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.6733-1.22%19.15+13.45%0.0012✓1.4272k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.68677-1.18%0.835+20.14%0.1047✗0.92419k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.249635-1.17%0.2733+8.19%0.0220✓1.1463k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.409736-1.17%0.5085+22.65%0.0908✗1.27345k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.286924-1.14%0.33107+14.08%0.0173✗1.28465k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.200563-1.10%0.2285+12.67%0.0162✓1.49151k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.065582-1.08%0.0607-8.45%0.2208✓1.46325k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9162-1.08%4.04+37.04%0.2497✗0.78622k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001212.8669-1.03%19.4666+49.73%0.2952✗1.21316k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.3043-1.03%8.84+38.78%0.2891✗0.50872k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.029863-1.02%0.0332+10.04%0.0227✓1.3124k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.131434-0.97%0.17585+32.50%0.1311✗1.63186k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9194-0.96%2.385+23.07%0.0939✗1.2540k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.4181-0.96%8.607+32.82%0.1670✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1111-0.93%1.2304+9.71%0.0067✓1.1065k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.11162-0.91%0.130156+15.54%0.0540✗1.019.3M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0553.5595-0.91%62.61+15.84%0.0402✗1.1818.8M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011505-0.91%0.00001229+5.86%0.0583✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4591-0.88%1.875+27.38%0.1077✗1.45453k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.041729-0.84%0.052476+24.70%0.1137✗1.1712k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.02e-7-0.84%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0086✗0.855.7M2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.611-0.82%1.894+16.60%0.0365✗1.27582k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.054963-0.79%0.062+11.91%0.0268✓1.50131k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0681.4132-0.79%102.58+25.01%0.0690✗1.658.5M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.904574-0.78%1.0843+18.93%0.0781✗1.0597k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.125515-0.78%0.1674+32.33%0.1900✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.319065-0.73%0.3629+12.91%0.0119✗1.199.4M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.693197-0.69%0.894+28.08%0.1250✗1.32172k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.102394-0.69%0.1526+48.01%0.2877✗1.13540k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.0083-0.68%4.1656+37.53%0.2160✗1.1132k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007061-0.68%0.00911+28.13%0.1557✗1.01412k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.145108-0.68%0.1804+23.48%0.0917✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,453.98-0.67%11,448.81+76.21%0.4432✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013032-0.66%0.016131+22.97%0.1315✗0.831.4M2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.286906-0.66%0.3474+20.29%0.0730✗1.203.0M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.096022-0.60%0.1199+24.12%0.0874✗1.37701k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8515.764-0.54%38.06+140.13%0.7653✗1.181.8M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.404007-0.54%0.4704+15.81%0.0168✗1.3895k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.919.7929-0.54%27.92+40.30%0.1947✗1.5229.2M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.2125-0.50%9.276+27.96%0.1287✗1.2511.8M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02103-0.47%0.029+37.25%0.2156✗1.0796k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7947.5687-0.46%56.22+17.64%0.0590✗1.10698k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6009-0.41%6.04+30.74%0.2074✗0.66836k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.866762-0.37%0.79-9.20%0.1635✓0.72133k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006876-0.35%0.0063-8.70%0.1471✓0.61100k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,481.64-0.34%23,846.60+10.64%0.0071✗0.9946k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29126.8638-0.33%167.1+31.28%0.1626✗1.151.3M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003429-0.32%0.00377+9.59%0.0406✓1.38670k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9921,529.68-0.25%23,815.65+10.34%0.0025✗1.00493.8M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-73.99e-7-0.23%3.37e-7-15.82%0.2787✓1.11566k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.6931-0.23%3.023+78.14%0.4618✗1.20297k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.053122-0.18%0.11272+111.80%0.6058✗1.49902k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.259183-0.08%0.5111+97.03%0.5634✗1.1831k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.153.0648-0.07%64.6+21.66%0.0803✗1.18396k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.000988049-0.07%0.001192+20.58%0.0590✗1.312.6M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.330967-0.03%0.363104+9.68%0.0320✓1.272.3M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94633.9462-0.00%4.9055+24.31%0.1466✗0.721.2M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.045326+0.06%0.0517+14.13%0.0056✗1.3910k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8002+0.07%8.73+50.62%0.2940✓1.172.3M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.151021+0.08%0.163+8.02%0.0502✗1.29105k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002938+0.22%0.003433+17.09%0.0527✓1.041.4M2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.070009+0.30%0.070047+0.36%0.0821✗0.84531k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004164+0.33%0.00474+14.22%0.0055✗1.37169k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.691395+0.35%0.767+11.32%0.0528✗1.59222k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.6725+0.37%10.767+11.73%0.0025✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.097166+0.38%0.1545+59.61%0.3851✓0.80167k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0838.2275+0.39%42.2+10.82%0.0310✗1.3290.8M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.285162+0.41%0.339+19.37%0.0719✓1.03663k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,222.47+0.47%1,777.36+46.07%0.2593✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.106085+0.55%0.1491+41.33%0.2080✓1.352.8M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.005943+0.63%0.006716+13.72%0.0246✓0.993,1492022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.082589+0.72%0.1038+26.59%0.1046✓1.267,1372022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.5841+0.89%11.72+23.37%0.0861✓1.17316k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.05049+1.39%0.068+36.55%0.1638✓1.36922k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2162.0706+1.41%77.53+26.66%0.0906✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36113.0193+1.49%143.54+28.90%0.1271✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.685434+1.70%0.774+14.84%0.0019✓1.22952k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.514469+1.77%0.6088+20.44%0.0572✓1.13249k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.054082+1.85%0.0826+55.56%0.3466✓0.78213k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.