8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1670
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.6%
in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.583581+4.21%0.4787-14.52%0.2176✗1.1771k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8334.152+4.03%54.86+67.10%0.4494✓1.4726k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3159.5562+3.92%88.27+54.02%0.3655✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,970.89+3.79%6,069.87+26.73%0.1780✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.507669+3.61%0.8755+78.67%0.5251✓1.1956k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.003003+3.20%0.00353+21.31%0.1372✓1.47645k2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002831+2.95%0.002791+1.49%0.0332✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36124.8829+2.90%109.99-9.37%0.1472✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.957+2.86%13.2428+13.92%0.0800✓1.32194k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000799078+2.84%0.0009901+27.43%0.1914✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.44e-7+2.82%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0243✓0.88951k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6931.5356+2.76%38.63+25.87%0.1794✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.273328+2.75%0.282+6.02%0.0133✓1.08847k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5264.1761+2.65%59.43-4.94%0.0994✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.714904+2.57%0.621-10.90%0.1696✗1.73303k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.060097+2.55%0.054-7.85%0.1201✗0.79313k2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.168581+2.54%0.2071+25.97%0.1812✓1.48191k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.00363+2.53%0.00394+11.30%0.0565✓1.53239k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.100817+2.46%0.0979-0.51%0.0538✗1.475.0M2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020889+2.40%0.02009-1.52%0.0571✗1.08137k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.4479+2.15%5.689+6.68%0.0211✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7517+2.14%2.653+54.69%0.3862✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.370367+2.11%0.4404+21.42%0.1494✓1.431.1M2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.882+2.10%9.05+17.23%0.1183✓1.19468k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008328+2.06%0.0000107+31.13%0.2297✓1.25813k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.673186+2.00%1.0786+63.42%0.4483✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.2836+1.90%20.62+29.04%0.2117✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.002957+1.84%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.657851+1.83%0.602-6.81%0.1084✗1.18977k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.74e-7+1.79%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1366✓0.885.3M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052915+1.76%0.0505-2.88%0.0711✗1.461.7M2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.133246+1.71%0.1386+5.80%0.0164✓1.38166k2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.295833+1.66%0.3946+35.60%0.2621✓1.56376k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3308+1.59%1.46+11.45%0.0656✓1.62596k2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.00615+1.56%0.005648-6.73%0.1028✗1.062,5622022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.5207+1.54%7.225+32.89%0.2453✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1838+1.53%2.018+73.07%0.5085✓1.4979k2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,102.19+1.51%1,338.20+23.25%0.1752✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.007049+1.50%0.006838-1.54%0.0431✗0.76167k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.2597+1.48%9.07-18.26%0.2343✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.241215+1.44%0.2537+6.69%0.0295✓1.2631k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057654+1.37%0.062984+10.74%0.0673✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.38688+1.36%0.3859+1.10%0.0248✗1.33195k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.046611+1.35%0.06269+36.31%0.2740✓1.3470k2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.09035+1.29%0.1027+15.13%0.1029✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095493+1.26%0.1055+11.88%0.0791✓1.24803k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.618707+1.26%0.667+9.17%0.0521✓1.38531k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.5416+1.19%19.22+33.75%0.2575✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.4471+1.16%8.915+39.89%0.3018✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.817498+1.13%0.90356+11.77%0.0814✓1.12119k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.389859+1.11%0.43709+13.36%0.1029✓0.69256k2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.266187+1.08%0.32185+22.22%0.1685✓1.28453k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.2303+1.07%16.55+17.54%0.1265✓1.4755k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.379967+1.05%0.3774+0.37%0.0317✗1.50146k2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.150762+1.05%0.1784+19.57%0.1479✓1.223,2772022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16115.334+1.03%135.99+19.12%0.1457✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.646453+1.01%0.9377+46.52%0.3477✓1.46182k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.11285+0.94%0.126+12.70%0.0865✓1.4250k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006773+0.94%0.00645-3.87%0.0661✗1.03540k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5343.9356+0.93%45.92+5.49%0.0254✓1.13810k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5547.9758+0.90%55.74+17.22%0.1299✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.1016+0.89%14.48+80.32%0.5637✓1.02267k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.476749+0.86%0.66332+40.33%0.3068✓1.4163k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036006+0.86%0.0496+38.94%0.2968✓1.41364k2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.131516+0.86%0.0943-27.68%0.3495✗1.01255k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.3295+0.83%6.919-4.81%0.0802✗1.3513.8M2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95983.9906+0.78%4.0915+3.33%0.0135✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012139+0.76%0.012404+2.95%0.0070✓0.872.0M2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.093078+0.73%0.1105+19.59%0.1520✓1.17686k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.398+0.73%1.5731+13.34%0.0959✓1.32914k2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9313.9568+0.66%6.943+76.62%0.5397✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.443795+0.63%0.497+12.70%0.0890✓1.45108k2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.129409+0.61%0.13279+3.24%0.0010✓1.60246k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.593189+0.54%0.644+9.15%0.0650✓1.03365k2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.048+0.49%2.171+6.53%0.0330✓1.5288k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5646.7728+0.46%98.86+112.33%0.7316✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.1898+0.45%54.43+11.15%0.0804✓1.25986k2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,545.59+0.43%21,043.20+2.87%0.0074✓0.9929k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8620,529.57+0.40%20,791.74+1.68%0.0040✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.3748+0.30%6.345-0.17%0.0267✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028283+0.29%0.0363+28.72%0.2274✓1.33197k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.386111+0.29%0.64+66.23%0.4793✓1.563,5232022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.990523+0.27%1.0511+6.40%0.0394✓1.1949k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040007+0.27%0.040555+1.64%0.0083✗1.3226k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.121691+0.24%0.1168-3.79%0.0578✗1.003.3M2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.2666+0.23%0.273+2.63%0.0024✓1.285.1M2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7489+0.21%4.969+32.83%0.2502✓1.8915.8M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8643+0.17%1.8014-3.21%0.0568✗1.3455k2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046257+0.12%0.0416-9.96%0.1320✗1.5516k2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.148772+0.12%0.1663+11.91%0.0872✓1.45917k2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.124528+0.10%0.1532+23.15%0.1834✓1.434.4M2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.267862-0.01%0.294596+9.97%0.0716✗1.412.4M2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.309975-0.01%0.3365+8.55%0.0614✗1.2414.4M2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.21318-0.01%0.2316+8.63%0.0594✗1.41462k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.061493-0.01%0.0706+14.80%0.1182✗1.19147k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7436-0.01%2.9505+7.53%0.0528✗1.1939k2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1089-0.03%4.78+16.30%0.1391✗0.731.4M2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017759-0.06%0.01857+4.50%0.0329✗0.70608k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.504209-0.16%0.5072+0.44%0.0163✓1.33767k2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5475-0.16%1.71+10.32%0.0800✗1.19270k2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.008-0.20%1.4+38.61%0.3020✗1.591.1M2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.079832-0.21%0.0857+7.13%0.0473✗1.41334k2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.079639-0.33%0.0796-0.38%0.0237✓1.394,6642022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.6998-0.38%3.268+20.59%0.1723✗1.12663k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026642-0.40%0.02736+2.28%0.0037✓1.3719k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.05656-0.42%0.0507-10.74%0.1358✓1.59142k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.834639-0.43%0.83755-0.09%0.0198✓1.39725k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3658-0.45%1.382+0.73%0.0143✓1.56407k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.7566-0.49%5.95+24.48%0.2014✗1.35400k2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.047545-0.51%0.05194+8.68%0.0617✗1.601.6M2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.29153-0.53%0.28874-1.48%0.0346✓1.5012k2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.383-0.65%1.564+12.36%0.1063✗1.00541k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.111012-0.71%0.106625-4.63%0.0585✓1.0911.1M2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.219126-0.71%0.2371+7.43%0.0593✗1.17100k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009063-0.73%0.0091-0.33%0.0122✓0.9711.3M2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.482956-0.79%0.4477-8.03%0.0993✓1.4171.0M2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.2725-0.82%1.537+19.80%0.1627✗1.57223k2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.1251-0.84%5.15+23.80%0.1939✗1.681.6M2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.342927-0.89%0.511+47.69%0.3796✗1.1616k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2645-0.90%1.778+39.34%0.3156✗1.51891k2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.7099-0.94%14.51+4.84%0.0324✗1.462.2M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.059208-0.99%0.067437+12.77%0.1137✗0.98887k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.060681-1.01%0.071+15.82%0.1310✗1.56409k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.8891-1.06%3.223+10.38%0.0951✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.07-1.15%27.61+13.39%0.1218✗0.929.9M2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000037493-1.23%0.00004004+5.48%0.0435✗1.332.8M2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.859751-1.23%0.9894+13.66%0.1197✗1.246,0082022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.8745-1.23%17.39+57.95%0.4414✗1.68322k2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.172-1.25%6.82+9.12%0.0913✗0.512.0M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.019536-1.27%0.021277+7.52%0.0653✗1.208,7652022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7045-1.30%2.164+25.30%0.2122✗1.5992k2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3575-1.41%1.3548-1.61%0.0233✓1.281.5M2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3228-1.58%2.52+6.78%0.0538✗1.66311k2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1118-1.59%2.2375+4.27%0.0427✗0.903.1M2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.8945-1.65%4.32+9.09%0.0920✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.104792-1.70%0.1096+2.81%0.0269✗1.085,8092022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.74799-1.71%0.777+2.10%0.0223✗0.941.7M2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.884477-1.72%0.81-10.00%0.1004✓0.75186k2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.3712-1.73%2.355-2.40%0.0236✓1.0075k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.74529-1.81%0.9124+20.21%0.1759✗1.583.3M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.331614-1.97%0.38262+13.11%0.1214✗1.30105k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.008793-1.98%0.00892-0.56%0.0031✓1.051.4M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.066-2.11%9.37+13.71%0.1218✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.039252-2.12%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.5928-2.12%2.624-0.94%0.0090✓1.251.1M2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.196227-2.42%0.2123+5.57%0.0579✗1.25656k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9311-2.45%5.2307+3.48%0.0549✗0.24226k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43253.0406-2.56%53.662-1.41%0.0031✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.600143-2.57%0.896+45.45%0.3711✗1.781.6M2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.827976-2.63%0.78631-7.53%0.0654✓0.828792022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.049165-2.64%0.051428+1.84%0.0336✗0.6965k2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.3642-2.85%2.5042+2.90%0.0393✗1.102.9M2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.3472-2.87%2.5474+5.42%0.0524✗1.7717k2022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.6896-2.95%2.043+17.35%0.1748✗0.912.8M2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021308-2.97%0.02299+4.69%0.0438✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0212-3.17%3.47+11.22%0.1252✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.829441-3.22%1.182+37.92%0.3375✗1.001.5M2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.699771-3.31%0.8024+10.87%0.1170✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.014801-3.85%0.017915+16.38%0.1810✗0.60469k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.044692-4.03%0.04502-3.33%0.0098✓1.0315k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.053852-4.04%0.0772+37.56%0.3435✗1.001,5532022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2836-4.21%1.244-7.16%0.0564✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.5243-4.23%3.91+6.25%0.0937✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.495152-4.41%0.582+12.36%0.1449✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.4555-4.52%3.872+6.99%0.1024✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.228782-4.67%0.203-15.42%0.1467✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.525332-5.09%0.44441-19.71%0.1974✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.6935-5.46%3.597+26.25%0.2799✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4057-5.66%1.64+10.07%0.1427✗0.69166k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9311-6.44%3.087-1.47%0.0398✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.466947-6.48%0.4817-3.52%0.0144✓1.00161k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000054644-6.64%0.0001015+73.42%0.5831✗2.171.6M2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.801681-9.72%0.776-12.61%0.0664✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.