8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2301
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.1%
in alpha space · 58.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7337.0029+3.56%48.39+35.43%0.4216✓1.4630k2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.675,126.45+3.53%5,907.64+19.31%0.2762✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.019446+3.27%0.01912+1.54%0.1006✓1.12151k2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5829.4977+3.21%34.94+22.25%0.3149✓1.39104.0M2022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7461.5687+3.06%79.78+33.55%0.4382✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.263179+2.80%0.282+10.16%0.1855✓1.11847k2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.381559+2.66%0.63818+71.70%0.6767✓1.5461k2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93130.1904+2.57%102.54-19.22%0.1142✗1.194.4M2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.4649+2.55%5.295-0.64%0.1095✓1.342.5M2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.003107+2.54%0.0034+12.21%0.2426✓1.45628k2022-07-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000848336+2.46%0.0009324+12.61%0.2396✓1.381.8M2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008216+2.45%0.00001053+31.30%0.3810✓1.26850k2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.66e-7+2.38%3.58e-7+0.16%0.0701✓0.881.1M2022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.051968+2.30%0.0428-15.75%0.0372✗1.491.6M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.055399+2.27%0.061838+14.15%0.2405✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002912+2.16%0.002746-3.65%0.0626✓1.152.1M2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.164145+2.14%0.1823+13.44%0.2624✓1.50196k2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003664+2.05%0.0039+8.64%0.2255✓1.55213k2022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.9456+2.03%11.9814-18.21%0.0787✗1.35222k2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.133142+2.02%0.1644+25.98%0.3359✓1.192,3482022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.611769+1.96%0.7812+30.20%0.3599✓1.1060k2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.224687+1.90%0.2391+8.44%0.2003✓1.3131k2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.3939+1.89%18.81+16.90%0.2926✓1.4849.3M2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.896585+1.88%0.4603-47.69%0.5500✗1.1168k2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.314+1.86%1.38+6.98%0.2213✓1.64574k2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4866.6897+1.85%54.92-16.13%0.0492✗1.383.6M2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.129421+1.75%0.1355+6.53%0.1956✓1.42169k2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.5049+1.73%8.12-2.87%0.0757✓1.16502k2022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.5358+1.72%6.493+19.31%0.3096✓1.4310.6M2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4544.1841+1.69%49.5+13.92%0.2385✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.108393+1.68%0.0938-12.01%0.0089✓1.465.4M2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.5998+1.61%8.218+26.53%0.3578✓1.3215.2M2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1628+1.56%1.798+57.03%0.5920✓1.4973k2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006418+1.55%0.00629-0.47%0.0931✓1.08607k2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.102863+1.54%0.127+25.37%0.3631✓1.4549k2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5943.1799+1.39%42.39-0.47%0.1011✓1.14837k2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.363272+1.36%0.4221+17.77%0.3020✓1.451.1M2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.351674+1.35%0.3774+8.76%0.2117✓1.34165k2022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.066271+1.33%0.0503-23.09%0.1931✗0.79299k2022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.1255+1.33%6.464-8.08%0.0391✓1.3013.5M2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.20e-7+1.29%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1175✓0.895.5M2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.727208+1.28%1.0482+45.99%0.5123✓1.405.1M2022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.7084+1.27%6.118+67.07%0.6401✓1.332.7M2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.304728+1.24%0.3891+29.27%0.4237✓1.71496k2022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.2916+1.22%15.29+8.29%0.2199✓1.4565k2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.095644+1.21%0.1019+7.83%0.1928✓1.23795k2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.046159+1.18%0.05517+20.93%0.3222✓1.3760k2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.261118+1.12%0.29183+13.02%0.2516✓1.34453k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007407+1.05%0.006749-7.93%0.0089✓0.80153k2022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.854392+1.01%0.863212+2.05%0.1363✓1.20120k2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.451473+1.00%0.484+8.28%0.2239✓1.47116k2022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.866344+0.97%0.603-29.72%0.1699✗1.83319k2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.383772+0.97%0.39062+2.77%0.0878✓0.67271k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.2167+0.94%14.62+79.61%0.6867✓1.05283k2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.093459+0.93%0.0868-6.26%0.0869✓1.531.2M2022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.667971+0.90%0.655-1.06%0.1277✓1.40578k2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056598+0.89%0.0719+28.16%0.3725✓1.27153k2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.5271+0.88%14.41+0.07%0.1278✓1.292.6M2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9282+0.85%2.515+31.54%0.4545✓1.803.0M2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.379446+0.78%0.3692-1.94%0.1334✓1.53160k2022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.4396+0.78%49.06+6.47%0.1829✓1.221.0M2022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.134533+0.77%0.0903-32.36%0.2964✗0.97258k2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.057+0.73%2.139+4.75%0.1943✓1.48126k2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0116+0.73%2.535+26.94%0.3709✓1.331.1M2022-07-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,216.11+0.69%1,114.26-7.75%0.0294✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4095+0.62%1.5191+8.45%0.2142✓1.33914k2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9518+0.59%6.172+4.31%0.1746✓1.3237.2M2022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.258909+0.59%0.2657+3.22%0.1594✓1.276.2M2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.196097+0.56%0.2274+16.62%0.2960✓1.41432k2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.7675+0.53%8.937-23.65%0.1591✗1.105.3M2022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.394034+0.52%0.647+65.05%0.6654✓1.614,2732022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.091859+0.50%0.1027+12.36%0.2360✓1.18733k2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039181+0.45%0.038841-0.42%0.1323✓1.3431k2022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.781103+0.40%0.606-22.11%0.1346✗1.131.0M2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1534+0.38%1.75+52.31%0.5684✓1.44826k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.601287+0.38%0.594-0.83%0.1010✓1.08365k2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.252941+0.36%0.283091+12.32%0.2662✓1.462.3M2022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012853+0.34%0.011938-6.81%0.0227✓0.922.0M2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.4965+0.33%4.58+31.42%0.4711✓1.9117.0M2022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.682155+0.32%0.8573+26.07%0.3811✓1.45198k2022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.199777+0.29%0.2356+18.27%0.2907✓1.2087k2022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7841+0.29%2.7241-1.88%0.1036✓1.1933k2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.132922+0.25%0.12248-7.63%0.0913✓1.65260k2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035888+0.24%0.0457+27.65%0.3919✓1.43383k2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8891+0.24%1.7394-7.71%0.0596✓1.3558k2022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003317+0.21%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.25768+0.19%0.28736+11.73%0.2651✓1.4811k2022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.304406+0.17%0.3097+1.91%0.1456✓1.2214.4M2022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029145+0.16%0.036+23.71%0.3539✓1.36247k2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.051971+0.14%0.0614+18.30%0.3152✓1.41405k2022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.7103+0.10%84.78+70.72%0.6371✓0.982.0M2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.939852+0.08%1.014+7.98%0.2058✓1.2448k2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.828383-0.01%0.81417-1.73%0.1290✗1.39789k2022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059873-0.05%0.0488-18.53%0.0369✓1.59141k2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5179-0.14%1.62+6.58%0.1950✗1.24270k2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.098928-0.17%0.1028+3.73%0.1551✗1.117,2892022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.491838-0.24%0.4944+0.28%0.1526✗1.40886k2022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,413.67-0.26%20,219.90-10.02%0.0007✓0.9929k2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.462367-0.27%0.4382-5.48%0.0947✗1.4152.0M2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.8686-0.29%5.07+30.67%0.4483✗1.691.5M2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.314-0.30%1.285-2.50%0.1421✗1.56342k2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047853-0.31%0.0426-11.25%0.0450✗1.5323k2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.966911-0.32%1.24+27.84%0.4154✗1.591.1M2022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2305-0.33%3.9594-6.72%0.0039✗0.672.1M2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.330765-0.37%0.376+13.25%0.2528✗1.1915k2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.01819-0.37%0.020208+10.68%0.2345✗1.239,7572022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.160485-0.38%0.1458-9.50%0.0560✗1.45805k2022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5123-0.39%5.49+21.19%0.3475✗1.44411k2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.283814-0.39%0.38474+35.03%0.4364✗1.26105k2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.562242-0.47%0.8034+42.22%0.4822✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,329.41-0.59%20,220.23-9.98%0.0059✓1.00582.4M2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7331-0.62%2.789+1.42%0.1371✗1.11686k2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.135146-0.63%0.1331-2.13%0.1375✗1.453.8M2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.082773-0.63%0.0863+3.60%0.1954✗1.46402k2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.4004-0.66%13.37-0.89%0.1500✗1.452.3M2022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.3466-0.71%51.858+11.10%0.2062✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026143-0.79%0.02673+1.44%0.1670✗1.3817k2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007569-0.80%0.005549-27.28%0.2005✓1.052,4432022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.105898-0.81%0.105275-1.39%0.1081✗1.0810.3M2022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5018-0.84%4.44-2.20%0.0627✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56131.2942-0.95%124.11-6.37%0.0626✗1.131.7M2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1688-0.97%2.2+0.46%0.1997✗1.76294k2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2426-0.99%1.417+12.91%0.3115✗1.71236k2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.018071-1.20%0.02366+29.36%0.4700✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.147034-1.32%0.1121-24.77%0.1696✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2228-1.36%1.2847+3.64%0.1813✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.048301-1.37%0.04954+1.16%0.1957✗1.621.9M2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.105498-1.40%0.0741-30.75%0.2134✓1.334,0262022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.01939-1.42%0.01775-9.76%0.0161✓0.69646k2022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.3792-1.44%2.185-9.49%0.0197✗1.0063k2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000037714-1.45%0.00003864+0.97%0.1655✗1.343.0M2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.1518-1.46%25+2.00%0.1305✗0.919.1M2022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.045-1.52%2.799-9.48%0.0077✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.797203-1.54%0.94752+17.02%0.3069✗1.285,7412022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.763948-1.55%0.781+0.64%0.1282✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.5234-1.59%16.45+40.48%0.5346✗1.70284k2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009552-1.63%0.00939-3.30%0.1008✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.0346-1.66%2.0881+0.93%0.1276✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.062601-1.73%0.066231+3.97%0.1563✗0.95715k2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.687187-1.83%0.8829+26.13%0.4209✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0427-1.89%2.1876+5.07%0.2647✗1.8715k2022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.036499-1.99%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5532-2.07%1.511-4.73%0.0775✗1.00608k2022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008863-2.07%0.00888-1.88%0.1130✗1.061.5M2022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.012691-2.08%0.017797+37.31%0.3923✗0.52375k2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.880587-2.16%0.82-8.89%0.0094✓0.77186k2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.8557-2.17%8.87+10.46%0.2975✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.7657-2.34%2.1+16.15%0.3384✗1.5797k2022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.6288-2.37%6.14-9.57%0.0247✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0954-2.49%3.94-6.19%0.0373✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.047388-2.49%0.050805+4.54%0.1462✗0.7357k2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.184245-2.52%0.209+10.58%0.3043✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2545-2.53%2.2724-1.76%0.1278✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.178382-2.79%0.2049+11.66%0.2762✗1.31585k2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.1439-3.11%5.28-0.54%0.0566✗0.29235k2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.572122-3.19%0.885+49.75%0.6269✗1.811.8M2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.6582-3.66%1.7477+1.55%0.1538✗0.963.2M2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.433339-3.86%0.44497-1.28%0.2349✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.817078-4.21%1.169+37.05%0.4633✗1.001.5M2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.041429-4.30%0.04367+0.88%0.1708✗1.1214k2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.3636-4.44%3.11-11.65%0.0027✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04260.993682-4.69%0.72057-30.89%0.2377✓0.809702022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.061534-4.89%0.06699+3.54%0.1900✗1.001,7292022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.1611-5.21%3.661+9.78%0.2271✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.515028-5.50%0.475-12.84%0.0242✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3724-5.87%1.197-17.90%0.0200✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.173.9145-6.13%3.55-14.87%0.0421✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0149-6.51%2.862-11.26%0.0264✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.0707-6.55%3.371+2.59%0.1518✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4969-7.02%1.55-3.73%0.1051✗0.67166k2022-07-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.853772-9.27%0.765-18.70%0.1037✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000054718-9.45%0.00009497+57.16%0.8080✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.