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2022-05-31 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0911
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.4%
in alpha space · 45.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-37.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000114820.000090179-21.46%0.00011307-1.52%1.6450✗3.064.9M2022-06-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3360.304092-9.50%0.258-23.21%0.6677✗1.791.3M2022-06-30
GMTGMTEthereum1.1811.0722-9.21%0.843-28.62%0.8541✗2.363.3M2022-06-30
STEEMSteemnative0.270.2483-8.04%0.2177-19.37%0.6365✗1.66710k2022-06-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05970.055342-7.30%0.04413-26.08%0.3211✗1.1815k2022-06-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain32.7841-7.20%1.861-37.97%0.0611✓1.00138k2022-06-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.21742.0654-6.85%1.2628-43.05%0.1319✗1.344.9M2022-06-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.808319-5.90%0.851-0.93%1.0437✗2.142.0M2022-06-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.81580.767721-5.89%0.47167-42.18%0.4418✗2.00397k2022-06-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2223.9774-5.79%3.518-16.67%0.1311✗0.554.1M2022-06-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.6471.556-5.52%0.71839-56.38%0.3902✓0.824,8222022-06-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3516-5.15%1.259-11.65%0.6408✗1.536.3M2022-06-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24452.1359-4.84%1.7334-22.77%0.2378✗0.963.6M2022-06-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2871.2256-4.77%0.582-54.78%0.2312✓1.111.5M2022-06-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7040.671695-4.59%0.714+1.42%0.8388✗1.6810k2022-06-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05580.053438-4.23%0.0457-18.10%0.5010✗1.42801k2022-06-30
FLOWFlownative2.7172.6089-3.98%1.508-44.50%0.0842✓1.00879k2022-06-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07910.075974-3.95%0.04875-38.37%0.5973✗2.242.9M2022-06-30
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0196-3.81%0.88-16.98%0.2397✗0.83203k2022-06-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06520.062808-3.67%0.0445-31.75%0.4405✗1.6967k2022-06-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.450730.4346-3.58%0.31308-30.54%0.4330✗1.6419k2022-06-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.154.0051-3.49%3.6-13.25%0.2304✗0.731.0M2022-06-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5332.4517-3.21%3.391+33.87%0.6498✗0.701.4M2022-06-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10590.102752-2.97%0.0962-9.16%0.7703✗1.80492k2022-06-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2953.1999-2.89%2.4283-26.30%0.4921✗1.666.1M2022-06-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3032.2378-2.83%3.01+30.70%0.7505✗0.98852k2022-06-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17110.166798-2.51%0.0741-56.69%0.3474✓1.003,4622022-06-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050940.049728-2.38%0.03921-23.03%0.2517✗1.054,6802022-06-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.8511.5756-2.32%8.59-27.51%0.5120✗1.755.7M2022-06-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0597690.058386-2.31%0.0515-13.83%0.2465✗0.80119k2022-06-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0289880.028336-2.25%0.019845-31.54%0.1709✗1.1413k2022-06-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1172.0709-2.18%1.244-41.24%0.3721✗1.90452k2022-06-30
TRXTRONTron0.0843860.082608-2.11%0.06474-23.28%0.1562✗0.861.5M2022-06-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1021.0796-2.04%1.0022-9.06%0.7412✗1.764.2M2022-06-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01350.01323-2.00%0.00942-30.22%0.3977✗1.5921.6M2022-06-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.633.5599-1.93%3.03-16.53%0.2609✗0.91843k2022-06-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32652.284-1.82%2.0595-11.48%0.3846✗1.052.8M2022-06-30
XMRMoneroMonero198194.5495-1.74%113-42.93%0.0182✓1.132.5M2022-06-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.22961.2089-1.68%0.90923-26.06%0.2629✗1.187,1582022-06-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.467.342-1.58%5.96-20.11%0.0205✓0.411.3M2022-06-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.8670.8535-1.56%0.5039-41.88%0.2242✗1.621.7M2022-06-30
KCSKuCoinnative17.91817.6414-1.54%9.908-44.70%0.0977✓1.036.6M2022-06-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08970.088509-1.33%0.0515-42.59%0.1733✗1.54166k2022-06-30
DODODODOEthereum0.16780.16562-1.30%0.1167-30.45%0.4406✗1.702.6M2022-06-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7323.4329-1.25%15-36.79%0.1580✗1.303.7M2022-06-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.04e-76.95e-7-1.24%3.39e-7-51.88%0.3162✓0.871.2M2022-06-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.012560.012415-1.15%0.01026-18.31%0.3191✗1.101.9M2022-06-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.010230.010112-1.15%0.005634-44.92%0.0712✓1.114,2982022-06-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4204070.415833-1.09%0.328856-21.78%0.4484✗1.473.0M2022-06-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.282.2575-0.99%1.67-26.75%0.2631✗1.22275k2022-06-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023220.023003-0.94%0.01842-20.67%0.0409✗0.57582k2022-06-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004780.004739-0.86%0.001972-58.74%0.3155✓1.219,4522022-06-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7736.7147-0.86%4.633-31.60%0.6932✗2.2936.0M2022-06-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,746.0031,489.42-0.81%19,842.30-37.50%0.0098✓0.9778k2022-06-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.473.4438-0.76%2.8072-19.10%0.7260✗2.0116k2022-06-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum23.8623.682-0.75%14.58-38.89%0.2483✗1.583.1M2022-06-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3284-0.73%3.84-11.93%0.2215✗0.74835k2022-06-30
XECeCashnative0.000050710.000050356-0.70%0.00003829-24.49%0.3786✗1.414.2M2022-06-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,784.0531,571.04-0.67%19,985.62-37.12%0.0067✓1.00708.0M2022-06-30
GTGateEthereum5.66275.6255-0.66%4.12-27.24%0.0582✓0.554.1M2022-06-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.499789-0.64%0.358-28.83%0.2592✗1.2822k2022-06-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32790.325988-0.58%0.1848-43.64%0.0668✗1.37420k2022-06-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3193.3001-0.57%2.814-15.22%0.2936✗0.981.6M2022-06-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31815.2896-0.54%5.8041+9.14%0.2340✗0.30285k2022-06-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.821.8116-0.46%1.718-5.60%0.7204✗1.671.4M2022-06-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147830.014716-0.45%0.014621-1.10%0.3367✗0.74198k2022-06-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.871.863-0.38%0.99-47.06%0.1342✗1.652.0M2022-06-30
XTZTezosTezos2.08552.0782-0.35%1.4212-31.85%0.2378✗1.331.0M2022-06-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.197.1673-0.32%5.14-28.51%0.3395✗1.45509k2022-06-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.977365-0.27%1.0386+5.98%0.8369✗1.67316k2022-06-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0858220.085699-0.14%0.066425-22.60%0.3077✗1.212.1M2022-06-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3671.3653-0.13%0.619-54.72%0.0770✗1.87467k2022-06-30
FTTFTXEthereum28.9428.9055-0.12%24.59-15.03%0.3031✗1.0010.5M2022-06-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9680.967232-0.08%0.694-28.31%0.2163✗1.18487k2022-06-30
XLMStellarStellar0.15060.150613+0.01%0.112307-25.43%0.2556✓1.1810.7M2022-06-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1233.1245+0.05%2.286-26.80%0.6151✓2.004.0M2022-06-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37850.378723+0.06%0.2383-37.04%0.2665✓1.5740k2022-06-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41080.411077+0.07%0.3146-23.42%0.3539✓1.3418.0M2022-06-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3841.3849+0.07%0.6867-50.38%0.0521✗1.406.8M2022-06-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8940.894655+0.07%0.802-10.29%0.4334✓1.172.4M2022-06-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13860.138815+0.15%0.1043-24.75%0.3016✓1.271.0M2022-06-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56410.565352+0.22%0.3858-31.61%0.3645✓1.61208k2022-06-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28160.282244+0.23%0.2417-14.17%0.4696✓1.35311k2022-06-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.131708+0.23%0.1033-21.39%0.3214✓1.2214k2022-06-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15630.156764+0.30%0.1138-27.19%0.4298✓1.6289k2022-06-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023090.023175+0.37%0.0234+1.34%1.0838✓2.3230.9M2022-06-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.591,948.57+0.41%1,070.08-44.86%0.0937✗1.09407.6M2022-06-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.3268.6174+0.44%53.81-21.24%0.3497✓1.2819.8M2022-06-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.17884.1972+0.44%2.8145-32.65%0.1697✓1.2358k2022-06-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.13410.134693+0.44%0.0941-29.83%0.4282✓1.701.3M2022-06-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.27410.275318+0.44%0.2277-16.93%0.4424✓1.36100k2022-06-30
UMAUMAEthereum3.2893.304+0.46%2.505-23.84%0.3440✓1.342.0M2022-06-30
UNIUniswapEthereum5.695.7163+0.46%5.002-12.09%0.5220✓1.412.8M2022-06-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.26354.5294+0.49%55.681+2.61%0.5061✓1.051.2M2022-06-30
AAVEAaveEthereum112.72113.2859+0.50%57.07-49.37%0.1276✓1.758.9M2022-06-30
DASHDashDash64.564.8244+0.50%42.23-34.53%0.1456✓1.241.0M2022-06-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17960.18051+0.51%0.1152-35.86%0.0406✗0.88335k2022-06-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21010.211183+0.52%0.16-23.85%0.4423✓1.55489k2022-06-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.275.2977+0.53%4.4-16.51%0.1629✓0.752.6M2022-06-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7411.8053+0.56%10.64-9.37%0.8092✓1.97226k2022-06-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.463.4801+0.58%2.96-14.45%0.7493✓1.96324k2022-06-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3910.393407+0.62%0.276-29.41%0.1983✓1.191.0M2022-06-30
DIADIAEthereum0.46820.471363+0.68%0.38065-18.70%0.0800✓0.63165k2022-06-30
MOVRMoonriverBase22.977523.1428+0.72%10.8325-52.86%0.0212✗1.59247k2022-06-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.343.3646+0.74%2.69-19.46%0.2622✓1.05663k2022-06-30
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08581.0939+0.75%0.88224-18.75%0.5796✓1.711.1M2022-06-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9492.9724+0.79%2.44-17.26%0.3038✓1.0872k2022-06-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401960.405189+0.80%0.39274-2.29%0.6051✓1.37147k2022-06-30
ZENHorizenBase22.2722.4493+0.81%13.07-41.31%0.2280✓1.6691k2022-06-30
ADACardanoCardano0.62630.631347+0.81%0.4598-26.58%0.3851✓1.5144.7M2022-06-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.038413+0.82%0.0407+6.82%0.7695✓1.53276k2022-06-30
QNTQuantEthereum70.9371.5165+0.83%53.74-24.24%0.2458✓1.152.6M2022-06-30
NANOnanopayBase1.20081.211+0.85%0.820243-31.69%0.2288✓1.33174k2022-06-30
ZECZcashZcash93.2894.0995+0.88%54.45-41.63%0.0726✓1.344.6M2022-06-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.00000114+0.91%8.10e-7-28.32%0.0678✓0.887.6M2022-06-30
STXStacksnative0.570.575181+0.91%0.4077-28.47%0.1882✓1.15203k2022-06-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.071456+0.93%0.0594-16.10%0.3767✓1.21406k2022-06-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038750.039123+0.96%0.02755-28.90%0.3138✓1.4332k2022-06-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029520.029808+0.97%0.01937-34.38%0.0320✓1.00188k2022-06-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173680.01754+0.99%0.012442-28.36%0.1939✓1.163.1M2022-06-30
COMPCompoundEthereum63.6764.3142+1.01%44.78-29.67%0.3433✓1.5231k2022-06-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009850.009951+1.02%0.00659-33.10%0.0981✓1.10943k2022-06-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.175695+1.03%0.1604-7.76%0.5864✓1.461,8582022-06-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6960.703463+1.07%0.509-26.87%0.4138✓1.59204k2022-06-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.3410.454+1.10%7.064-31.68%0.2855✓1.4614.2M2022-06-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.1220.123425+1.17%0.0975-20.08%0.4045✓1.38985k2022-06-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.072.0944+1.18%1.64-20.77%0.6122✓1.85580k2022-06-30
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0697+1.19%4.83-3.59%0.8107✓1.851.8M2022-06-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67050.678619+1.21%0.8013+19.51%0.8207✓1.414.1M2022-06-30
XEMNEMnative0.0531360.053801+1.25%0.038113-28.27%0.3571✓1.5142k2022-06-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.580.587298+1.26%0.4366-24.72%0.5281✓1.78763k2022-06-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08920.090328+1.27%0.0504-43.50%0.2307✗0.76252k2022-06-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.38880.393755+1.27%0.26841-30.96%0.2937✓1.46713k2022-06-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.8613.0266+1.30%9.34-27.37%0.2649✓1.29584k2022-06-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.29621.3138+1.35%1.0841-16.37%0.3597✓1.1950k2022-06-30
KSMKusamaHydration79.880.9136+1.40%48.28-39.50%0.0955✓1.321.6M2022-06-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008640.008761+1.41%0.00649-24.88%0.0701✓0.80176k2022-06-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0752.1045+1.42%1.364-34.27%0.3273✓1.6492k2022-06-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.72082.7605+1.46%1.8399-32.38%0.2157✓1.3485k2022-06-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.096+1.48%1.43+32.41%0.6153✓0.75172k2022-06-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash204.51207.5984+1.51%103.29-49.49%0.1239✗1.244.6M2022-06-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.17440.17704+1.51%0.1336-23.39%0.4102✓1.49260k2022-06-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.229770.233263+1.52%0.12317-46.39%0.1900✓1.79298k2022-06-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.278.3973+1.54%5.35-35.31%0.2974✓1.618.1M2022-06-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.1343.1824+1.54%2.318-26.04%0.4462✓1.64271k2022-06-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.331.3511+1.59%0.4912-63.07%0.4890✗1.1399k2022-06-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35280.358398+1.59%0.2695-23.61%0.3493✓1.377.9M2022-06-30
XVGVergenative0.005320.005406+1.61%0.0028-47.37%0.0622✓1.55793k2022-06-30
HIVEHivenative0.55650.565727+1.66%0.5229-6.04%0.5526✓1.361.3M2022-06-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004480.004561+1.80%0.00275-38.62%0.0406✓1.182.1M2022-06-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.870.885873+1.82%0.7357-15.44%0.3343✓1.1291k2022-06-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.6912.9229+1.83%24.58+93.70%1.0923✓0.97461k2022-06-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9590.979449+2.13%0.614-35.97%0.2975✓1.65741k2022-06-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.4126.974+2.14%16.97-35.74%0.2537✓1.5553.9M2022-06-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.589760.602444+2.15%0.69972+18.64%0.8885✓1.5964k2022-06-30
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8485+2.18%1.307-27.75%0.4131✓1.64418k2022-06-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15040.153705+2.20%0.1123-25.33%0.4592✓1.674.7M2022-06-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.088.2643+2.28%5.397-33.21%0.2628✓1.483.8M2022-06-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,056.168,240.18+2.28%5,412.37-32.82%0.1887✓1.313.9M2022-06-30
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005783+2.35%0.00369-34.69%0.3208✓1.66317k2022-06-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16340.167437+2.47%0.0955-41.55%0.1967✓1.636.6M2022-06-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07120.072969+2.49%0.0476-33.15%0.3829✓1.752.0M2022-06-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3210.5772+2.49%7.567-26.68%0.3459✓1.4718.3M2022-06-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.08270.084773+2.51%0.0543-34.34%0.4175✓1.86159k2022-06-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001170.000012001+2.57%0.00001031-11.88%0.4983✓1.401.0M2022-06-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001364+2.58%0.0009529-28.35%0.4103✓1.662.0M2022-06-30
SOLSolanaSolana45.7547.021+2.78%33.74-26.25%0.3636✓1.50112.7M2022-06-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074050.076466+3.26%0.05766-22.13%0.2646✓1.1817k2022-06-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.587.8289+3.28%6.277-17.19%0.4523✓1.4522.3M2022-06-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.