8=======>

2022-05-23 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1251
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.4%
in alpha space · 42.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,924.649,514.18+6.61%4,972.79-44.28%0.1999✗1.193.4M2022-06-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8522.9983+5.13%2.319-18.69%0.3188✓1.53284k2022-06-22
SOLSolanaSolana49.1151.6292+5.13%34.1-30.56%0.1312✓1.4593.8M2022-06-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.942.0384+5.07%1.35-30.41%0.2373✓1.73602k2022-06-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0974+4.87%1.437-28.15%0.1942✓1.5295k2022-06-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.8865+4.86%4.86+4.29%0.6365✓1.712.5M2022-06-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.017.34+4.71%6.616-5.62%0.3986✓1.3418.8M2022-06-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17210.179585+4.35%0.1482-13.89%0.3700✓1.49572k2022-06-22
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.778+4.10%1.366-20.02%0.2941✓1.48433k2022-06-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.140737+4.02%0.1225-9.46%0.4635✓1.605.5M2022-06-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070370.073016+3.76%0.04824-31.45%0.0082✓1.0817k2022-06-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06640.068882+3.74%0.0609-8.28%0.3256✓1.19404k2022-06-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.8810.2394+3.64%7.384-25.26%0.1763✓1.3413.8M2022-06-22
XVGVergenative0.005070.005245+3.46%0.00309-39.05%0.0061✓1.42845k2022-06-22
DASHDashDash59.8361.8302+3.34%45.07-24.67%0.1244✓1.171.1M2022-06-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9753.0721+3.26%2.475-16.81%0.1954✓1.0995k2022-06-22
SCSiacoinnative0.005130.005297+3.26%0.00383-25.34%0.2563✓1.54367k2022-06-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033955+3.21%0.0277-15.81%0.3233✓1.40189k2022-06-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.11540.119096+3.20%0.0881-23.66%0.3039✓1.611.4M2022-06-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13240.136447+3.06%0.0924-30.21%0.0308✓1.12997k2022-06-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33150.341456+3.00%0.2842-14.27%0.3008✓1.298.6M2022-06-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3460.356088+2.92%0.758+119.08%1.4278✓1.791.8M2022-06-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1611.1903+2.52%0.602-48.15%0.0529✗1.67490k2022-06-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15460.158459+2.50%0.1046-32.34%0.1493✓1.508.8M2022-06-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.38390.393286+2.44%0.36639-4.56%0.4110✓1.28197k2022-06-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.000011951+2.41%0.00000966-17.22%0.2741✓1.301.1M2022-06-22
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02791.0525+2.40%0.83608-18.66%0.3554✓1.561.2M2022-06-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009880.010115+2.38%0.0064-35.22%0.0560✗1.071.2M2022-06-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.208770.213632+2.33%0.13181-36.86%0.1371✓1.65298k2022-06-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3915+2.32%0.49-63.97%0.6352✗1.09132k2022-06-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3770.385726+2.31%0.263-30.24%0.0204✓1.071.0M2022-06-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2571+2.17%1.0404-15.44%0.2400✓1.1465k2022-06-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5312.5856+2.16%2.4267-4.12%0.6220✓1.8221k2022-06-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.3355+2.15%5.514-32.43%0.0673✓1.285.0M2022-06-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.767.9257+2.13%5.447-29.81%0.1828✓1.487.8M2022-06-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,971.062,012.50+2.10%1,048.96-46.78%0.2628✗1.03425.9M2022-06-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1311.3623+2.09%7.047-36.68%0.0573✓1.4221.0M2022-06-22
COMPCompoundEthereum68.8970.3101+2.06%40.06-41.85%0.0408✗1.3928k2022-06-22
UMAUMAEthereum3.4593.5283+2.00%2.386-31.02%0.2375✓1.672.2M2022-06-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.780.795514+1.99%0.42-46.15%0.2395✗1.0695k2022-06-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.03360.034254+1.95%0.0298-11.31%0.0126✓0.40138k2022-06-22
QTUMQtumQtum4.10254.181+1.91%2.7336-33.37%0.0120✓1.16113k2022-06-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0429.5922+1.90%16.06-44.70%0.0595✗1.4752.0M2022-06-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash191.72195.3276+1.88%112.6-41.27%0.1140✗1.164.9M2022-06-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6760.688251+1.81%0.463-31.51%0.1619✓1.49294k2022-06-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.07970.081143+1.81%0.0542-31.99%0.2390✓1.71215k2022-06-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.181.201+1.78%1.71+44.92%0.6547✓0.80192k2022-06-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25670.261259+1.78%0.2137-16.75%0.2702✓1.25305k2022-06-22
KSMKusamaHydration82.8584.296+1.75%51.87-37.39%0.0252✗1.221.4M2022-06-22
GTGateEthereum5.67355.768+1.67%4.0753-28.17%0.1565✗0.514.9M2022-06-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.17570.178606+1.65%0.1337-23.90%0.2269✓1.37372k2022-06-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,082.5229,536.74+1.56%19,968.46-31.34%0.0155✓1.00749.9M2022-06-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009060.009198+1.52%0.006945-23.34%0.0155✓0.79184k2022-06-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.11760.119382+1.52%0.0919-21.85%0.2339✓1.321.1M2022-06-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001431+1.50%0.000767-45.60%0.0531✗1.523.1M2022-06-22
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001116+1.45%7.70e-7-30.00%0.0719✗0.807.5M2022-06-22
QNTQuantEthereum67.9168.8832+1.43%52.28-23.02%0.1220✓1.063.5M2022-06-22
STXStacksnative0.620.628863+1.43%0.3795-38.79%0.0932✗1.10260k2022-06-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.145809+1.33%0.1121-22.10%0.3623✓1.6697k2022-06-22
DIADIAEthereum0.489590.495993+1.31%0.37412-23.59%0.0712✗0.5691k2022-06-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,122.5029,500.29+1.30%19,947.30-31.51%0.0246✗0.9876k2022-06-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.562.5931+1.29%2.37-7.42%0.5799✓1.78390k2022-06-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41650.421678+1.24%0.3136-24.71%0.1600✓1.2115.9M2022-06-22
NANOnanopayBase1.14661.1608+1.24%0.793151-30.82%0.0881✓1.25157k2022-06-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91794.9787+1.24%5.8136+18.21%0.2407✓0.23307k2022-06-22
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.518799+1.15%0.4589-10.53%0.3805✓1.3448.2M2022-06-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1287080.130116+1.09%0.112877-12.30%0.2625✓1.0812.0M2022-06-22
ZENHorizenBase19.920.1148+1.08%13.84-30.45%0.2100✓1.55156k2022-06-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004720.00477+1.05%0.002535-46.29%0.1912✗1.171.9M2022-06-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5450.550701+1.05%0.293-46.24%0.0398✗1.57904k2022-06-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9810.991176+1.04%0.606-38.23%0.0597✓1.47775k2022-06-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21490.216927+0.94%0.1178-45.18%0.3633✗0.66369k2022-06-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12650.127678+0.93%0.1023-19.13%0.2034✓1.1317k2022-06-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.9569.5763+0.91%52.07-24.48%0.1526✓1.1819.5M2022-06-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.383050.386497+0.90%0.26926-29.71%0.1630✓1.391.1M2022-06-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7921.9805+0.87%15.18-30.34%0.0909✓1.233.6M2022-06-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25690.258937+0.79%0.2296-10.63%0.3986✓1.38156k2022-06-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.52232.5408+0.74%1.8171-27.96%0.1294✓1.2494k2022-06-22
XTZTezosTezos1.87271.8859+0.71%1.3432-28.27%0.1342✓1.261.1M2022-06-22
AAVEAaveEthereum99.2499.9402+0.71%61.89-37.64%0.0860✓1.509.0M2022-06-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.9576+0.68%7.94-38.31%0.1506✗0.90568k2022-06-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.560080.563884+0.68%0.61535+9.87%0.6406✓1.4787k2022-06-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.186.2215+0.67%4.5-27.18%0.1978✓1.39610k2022-06-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9821.1207+0.67%13.98-33.37%0.1065✓1.383.3M2022-06-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.393.4111+0.62%2.55-24.78%0.0699✓0.96758k2022-06-22
ZECZcashZcash99.1899.7762+0.60%63.11-36.37%0.0323✓1.305.1M2022-06-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.087512+0.59%0.0522-40.00%0.2219✗0.78212k2022-06-22
XECeCashnative0.000048150.000048364+0.44%0.00003694-23.28%0.2174✓1.295.7M2022-06-22
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.6403+0.36%4.977-11.44%0.3246✓1.202.8M2022-06-22
MOVRMoonriverBase24.288524.3709+0.34%10.8704-55.24%0.2697✗1.43222k2022-06-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.953417+0.25%0.686-27.87%0.0754✓1.08658k2022-06-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0830870.083296+0.25%0.061566-25.90%0.1195✓1.125.8M2022-06-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.648251+0.19%0.5-22.72%0.3048✓1.501.7M2022-06-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.5323+0.15%1.19-22.22%0.3030✓1.483.1M2022-06-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027070.027111+0.15%0.02012-25.67%0.0499✓0.93180k2022-06-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.770145+0.15%0.774+0.65%0.4226✓1.113.0M2022-06-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.012870.01287-0.00%0.00951-26.11%0.0864✗1.032.5M2022-06-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.664722-0.09%0.8371+25.82%0.7659✗1.424.9M2022-06-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4293-0.11%10.91+15.57%0.7529✗1.61183k2022-06-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2971.2955-0.12%0.698-46.18%0.1229✓1.327.5M2022-06-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.7443-0.21%1.563-10.58%0.4789✗1.571.8M2022-06-22
FTTFTXEthereum29.6829.5989-0.27%25.18-15.16%0.1986✗0.9610.6M2022-06-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08010.079814-0.36%0.0505-36.95%0.1601✗1.642.5M2022-06-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.866144-0.44%0.67-22.99%0.3234✗1.54578k2022-06-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.22420.223139-0.47%0.1831-18.33%0.1990✗1.061,8912022-06-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30220.300434-0.58%0.1708-43.48%0.0944✓1.25438k2022-06-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55030.546789-0.64%0.376-31.67%0.1746✗1.46211k2022-06-22
XEMNEMnative0.05540.054992-0.74%0.040606-26.70%0.2113✗1.3756k2022-06-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.1314.0107-0.84%7.87-44.30%0.1115✓1.24812k2022-06-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038650.038308-0.89%0.02917-24.53%0.2462✗1.3844k2022-06-22
HIVEHivenative0.48940.484281-1.05%0.3821-21.92%0.2448✗1.281.5M2022-06-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176820.017488-1.10%0.017121-3.17%0.2207✗0.64205k2022-06-22
XMRMoneroMonero185.61183.263-1.26%110.94-40.23%0.0987✓1.072.7M2022-06-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.316.0864-1.31%10.437-35.97%0.0676✓0.976.5M2022-06-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9026-1.42%1.48-23.32%0.1668✗1.11240k2022-06-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5872.5478-1.52%2.964+14.57%0.8007✗1.735.0M2022-06-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.1691.1505-1.58%0.95479-18.32%0.1972✗1.0212k2022-06-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.665.5659-1.66%4.4-22.26%0.0422✗0.743.3M2022-06-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.046163-1.91%0.04219-10.35%0.2774✗0.986,4572022-06-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0206480.020221-2.07%0.012055-41.62%0.1299✓1.033.2M2022-06-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV5149.8083-2.34%61.895+21.36%0.5760✗0.951.5M2022-06-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00450.004394-2.35%0.00274-39.11%0.0590✓1.1013k2022-06-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0463-2.36%3.19+2.24%0.4164✗0.98557k2022-06-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012410.012112-2.40%0.00932-24.90%0.2967✗1.4934.7M2022-06-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1460.142481-2.41%0.1206-17.40%0.3983✗1.503.0M2022-06-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.793.6965-2.47%2.908-23.27%0.1207✗0.962.0M2022-06-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02570.025057-2.50%0.02377-7.51%0.7871✗2.2325.3M2022-06-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16750.163294-2.51%0.082-51.04%0.3129✓1.004,0132022-06-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.008590.008369-2.57%0.005947-30.77%0.0403✗1.0211k2022-06-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7112.3806-2.59%8.49-33.20%0.2094✗1.566.9M2022-06-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9380.912523-2.72%0.765-18.44%0.4100✗1.566.1M2022-06-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3810.370535-2.75%0.2371-37.77%0.0407✗1.3068k2022-06-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027090.026327-2.81%0.02105-22.30%0.1590✗1.0218k2022-06-22
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7497.5307-2.82%3.975-48.70%0.2481✗2.3676.4M2022-06-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.8867-2.83%4.04+1.00%0.3421✗0.81812k2022-06-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11940.11601-2.84%0.0726-39.20%0.1945✗1.76604k2022-06-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.49413.3932-2.89%2.5053-28.30%0.2644✗1.519.1M2022-06-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5550.537377-3.18%0.33-40.54%0.0467✓1.1733k2022-06-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9311.866-3.37%1.185-38.63%0.2619✗1.90756k2022-06-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.03e-76.79e-7-3.43%3.14e-7-55.25%0.4062✓0.971.5M2022-06-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4202640.405778-3.45%0.270138-35.72%0.0918✗1.335.6M2022-06-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.227836-3.46%0.236+0.00%0.6318✗1.592.0M2022-06-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.051559-4.34%0.0359-33.40%0.1066✗1.251.3M2022-06-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.4028-4.68%3.55-0.56%0.3461✗0.81659k2022-06-22
TRXTRONTron0.0760520.072353-4.86%0.062991-17.17%0.1585✗0.791.2M2022-06-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08960.085018-5.11%0.0605-32.48%0.2604✗1.60162k2022-06-22
XYMSymbolnative0.06540.061874-5.39%0.05289-19.13%0.1287✗0.76229k2022-06-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.062333-5.41%0.05045-23.44%0.1645✗1.003.0M2022-06-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0550.052008-5.44%0.0446-18.91%0.2984✗1.2085k2022-06-22
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.250486-5.48%0.2187-17.47%0.5132✗1.731.1M2022-06-22
PROPropyEthereum1.040.981179-5.66%0.87-16.35%0.1481✗0.71369k2022-06-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22112.0918-5.82%1.7619-20.67%0.1647✗0.894.7M2022-06-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.414570.388305-6.34%0.293-29.32%0.3618✗1.7126k2022-06-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9362.7469-6.44%1.776-39.51%0.0601✓1.00163k2022-06-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.58091.4789-6.45%0.73856-53.28%0.4610✓0.6212k2022-06-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50732.3438-6.52%2.11-15.85%0.2574✗0.962.7M2022-06-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056270.052181-7.27%0.04676-16.90%0.2934✗1.0718k2022-06-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.20962.0445-7.47%1.3099-40.72%0.0581✓1.347.1M2022-06-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.017.4101-7.49%6.39-20.22%0.0234✓0.461.2M2022-06-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.3312-7.81%1.397-3.25%0.5802✗1.4110.1M2022-06-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029750.027394-7.92%0.01586-46.69%0.3171✓0.61407k2022-06-22
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2921.1893-7.95%0.648-49.85%0.2312✓1.003.3M2022-06-22
GMTGMTEthereum1.3651.2559-7.99%0.729-46.59%0.1680✓1.004.1M2022-06-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7030.64403-8.39%0.448-36.27%0.2019✗1.5016k2022-06-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6182.367-9.59%3.081+17.69%0.6530✗1.04748k2022-06-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70440.620227-11.95%0.5232-25.72%0.4199✗1.57329k2022-06-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2012.7972-12.61%2.725-14.87%0.2619✗0.77858k2022-06-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6853.999-14.64%3.636-22.39%0.0455✓0.372.8M2022-06-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000160.000131565-17.77%0.00005646-64.71%0.2317✗2.876.3M2022-06-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.