8=======>

2022-05-16 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5105
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.2%
in alpha space · 61.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.000164572-17.71%0.00016-20.00%0.0377✓2.568.4M2022-05-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.4331.408-1.75%1.365-4.75%0.0053✓1.006.8M2022-05-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.15770.155168-1.61%0.1194-24.29%0.2168✓1.76694k2022-05-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.1423.1032-1.24%2.936-6.56%0.0297✓1.00232k2022-05-23
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.28056-1.21%0.265-6.69%0.0313✓1.001.8M2022-05-23
TRXTRONTron0.0690190.068186-1.21%0.076052+10.19%0.1298✗0.801.2M2022-05-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19190.190169-0.90%0.1675-12.71%0.1012✓1.004,6042022-05-23
FTTFTXEthereum31.8231.7536-0.21%29.68-6.73%0.0432✓0.9513.8M2022-05-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014890.014861-0.20%0.01241-16.66%0.1418✓1.5044.1M2022-05-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.013870.013843-0.19%0.01287-7.21%0.0458✓1.053.2M2022-05-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,839.8929,788.06-0.17%29,082.52-2.54%0.0017✓1.00675.4M2022-05-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.16531.1643-0.08%1.0279-11.79%0.0862✓1.501.2M2022-05-23
GTGateEthereum5.43635.4341-0.04%5.6735+4.36%0.0567✗0.535.2M2022-05-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9160.916134+0.01%0.951+3.82%0.0658✓1.11769k2022-05-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.93e-76.94e-7+0.02%7.03e-7+1.32%0.0261✓0.511.4M2022-05-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45980.459884+0.02%0.4165-9.42%0.0686✗1.1914.9M2022-05-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1490.149053+0.04%0.1324-11.14%0.0908✗1.081.2M2022-05-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07640.076457+0.07%0.0659-13.74%0.1229✗1.003.0M2022-05-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2491.2501+0.09%1.444+15.61%0.1803✓1.4115.1M2022-05-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1361630.136298+0.10%0.128708-5.48%0.0296✗1.0813.4M2022-05-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,020.582,023.20+0.13%1,971.06-2.45%0.0000✓1.02494.1M2022-05-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.9614.9677+0.14%4.9179-0.87%0.0034✗0.26291k2022-05-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.71131.7137+0.14%1.5809-7.62%0.0646✗0.6315k2022-05-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.94613.9531+0.18%4.1025+3.96%0.0673✓1.18134k2022-05-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9520.9982+0.23%20.98+0.14%0.0364✓1.453.4M2022-05-23
KCSKuCoinnative13.82113.8561+0.25%16.3+17.94%0.1871✓0.964.5M2022-05-23
XMRMoneroMonero161.82162.2989+0.30%185.61+14.70%0.1617✓1.073.2M2022-05-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6510.6833+0.31%12.71+19.34%0.2128✓1.525.9M2022-05-23
QNTQuantEthereum70.4970.7133+0.32%67.91-3.66%0.0141✗1.023.6M2022-05-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.7720.8365+0.32%21.79+4.91%0.0772✓1.264.2M2022-05-23
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3671.3719+0.36%1.292-5.49%0.0343✗1.004.8M2022-05-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,058.3030,220.00+0.54%29,122.50-3.11%0.0119✗0.9790k2022-05-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6210.6787+0.55%9.88-6.97%0.0442✗1.3013.3M2022-05-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55610.559694+0.65%0.5129-7.77%0.0537✗1.3148.6M2022-05-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08870.089284+0.66%0.087-1.92%0.0043✓0.84177k2022-05-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.1367.6487+0.77%68.95+2.71%0.0485✓1.1518.9M2022-05-23
UNIUniswapEthereum5.035.069+0.78%5.62+11.73%0.1339✓1.203.5M2022-05-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.5814.6934+0.78%14.13-3.09%0.0056✓1.30822k2022-05-23
ZECZcashZcash102.47103.2699+0.78%99.18-3.21%0.0073✓1.295.3M2022-05-23
XECeCashnative0.000046770.00004715+0.81%0.00004815+2.95%0.0545✓1.306.5M2022-05-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0680.068576+0.85%0.0654-3.82%0.0282✗0.75542k2022-05-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07020.070822+0.89%0.0664-5.41%0.0352✗1.14405k2022-05-23
XTZTezosTezos1.77221.7881+0.90%1.8727+5.67%0.0788✓1.271.0M2022-05-23
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0698.1419+0.90%7.749-3.97%0.0166✓2.5794.8M2022-05-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30180.304554+0.91%0.3022+0.13%0.0258✓1.30463k2022-05-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028180.028439+0.92%0.02709-3.87%0.0229✗1.0025k2022-05-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0878810.088697+0.93%0.083087-5.46%0.0367✗1.126.3M2022-05-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4231+0.93%1.36-3.55%0.0176✗1.08134k2022-05-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.37199.2304+0.94%191.72-2.86%0.0091✓1.145.3M2022-05-23
PROPropyEthereum1.131.1407+0.94%1.04-7.96%0.0745✗0.70443k2022-05-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35870.36215+0.96%0.3315-7.58%0.0562✗1.258.8M2022-05-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39140.395258+0.99%0.3839-1.92%0.0037✓1.28223k2022-05-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127620.012891+1.01%0.017682+38.55%0.3349✓0.73198k2022-05-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18720.189118+1.02%0.1721-8.07%0.0572✗1.44683k2022-05-23
XEMNEMnative0.05830.058903+1.03%0.0554-4.97%0.0278✗1.30164k2022-05-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.5954.1568+1.06%51-4.83%0.0356✗0.951.7M2022-05-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046589+1.06%0.04706+2.08%0.0350✓0.978,0692022-05-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.038314+1.07%0.03865+1.95%0.0433✓1.3594k2022-05-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.2540.25672+1.07%0.2569+1.14%0.0372✓1.42172k2022-05-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3611.3756+1.08%1.297-4.70%0.0220✗1.436.6M2022-05-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14490.146477+1.09%0.1439-0.69%0.0237✓1.61110k2022-05-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.1907+1.09%11.13+0.54%0.0299✓1.3821.0M2022-05-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9072.9392+1.11%2.975+2.34%0.0390✓1.0599k2022-05-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59162.6204+1.11%3.4941+34.82%0.3294✓1.629.1M2022-05-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.707112+1.16%0.676-3.29%0.0073✓1.47338k2022-05-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001123+1.20%0.0000011-0.90%0.0008✓0.787.8M2022-05-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.17330.175464+1.25%0.1757+1.38%0.0375✓1.41386k2022-05-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009780.009903+1.26%0.00988+1.02%0.0261✓1.111.2M2022-05-23
DASHDashDash57.8258.5521+1.27%59.83+3.48%0.0522✓1.191.2M2022-05-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.19331.2085+1.28%1.2304+3.10%0.0453✓1.0798k2022-05-23
SOLSolanaSolana53.6954.3796+1.28%49.11-8.53%0.0657✗1.4188.2M2022-05-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053420.054132+1.33%0.05627+5.34%0.0647✓1.0125k2022-05-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.18.2091+1.35%7.76-4.20%0.0196✗1.438.5M2022-05-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.08610.087263+1.35%0.0797-7.43%0.0468✗1.70239k2022-05-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7530.763218+1.36%0.769+2.12%0.0359✓1.103.2M2022-05-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031026+1.36%0.02707-11.56%0.1106✗1.00194k2022-05-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3793.4259+1.39%3.79+12.16%0.1277✓1.041.5M2022-05-23
ZENHorizenBase20.320.5818+1.39%19.9-1.97%0.0057✓1.53171k2022-05-23
NANOnanopayBase1.08591.1011+1.40%1.1466+5.58%0.0725✓1.24161k2022-05-23
KSMKusamaHydration73.4774.497+1.40%82.85+12.77%0.1381✓1.241.2M2022-05-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.417.5167+1.44%7.01-5.40%0.0360✗1.3118.4M2022-05-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.610.618794+1.44%0.647+6.07%0.0861✓1.621.7M2022-05-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.0313.222+1.47%12.87-1.23%0.0033✓0.92564k2022-05-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.054498+1.49%0.0539+0.37%0.0198✓1.201.6M2022-05-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.523.5725+1.49%3.39-3.69%0.0324✗0.78788k2022-05-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17360.176301+1.56%0.1546-10.94%0.0924✗1.518.8M2022-05-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.43112.4698+1.59%2.5223+3.75%0.0527✓1.23154k2022-05-23
STXStacksnative0.560.569066+1.62%0.62+10.71%0.1148✓1.13314k2022-05-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005270.005357+1.66%0.00472-10.44%0.0948✗1.241.9M2022-05-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.1781.1975+1.66%1.169-0.76%0.0013✓0.9924k2022-05-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03170.032261+1.77%0.0329+3.79%0.0545✓1.36174k2022-05-23
HIVEHivenative0.48960.498327+1.78%0.4894-0.04%0.0141✓1.251.5M2022-05-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9883.0416+1.79%3.459+15.76%0.1711✓1.652.4M2022-05-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6190.630189+1.81%0.555-10.34%0.0965✗1.1938k2022-05-23
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005264+1.81%0.00513-0.77%0.0124✓1.48403k2022-05-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,743.689,922.15+1.83%8,924.64-8.41%0.0760✗1.172.8M2022-05-23
XVSVenusEthereum4.544.6254+1.88%4.66+2.64%0.0453✓1.472.8M2022-05-23
XVGVergenative0.004860.004952+1.89%0.00507+4.32%0.0587✓1.37915k2022-05-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4015960.409195+1.89%0.420264+4.65%0.0614✓1.356.1M2022-05-23
MOVRMoonriverBase23.500223.9504+1.92%24.2885+3.35%0.0509✓1.43201k2022-05-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.11370.115879+1.92%0.1176+3.43%0.0500✓1.371.2M2022-05-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070670.072028+1.92%0.07037-0.42%0.0032✓1.0318k2022-05-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.4933.1233+1.95%29.04-10.62%0.0946✗1.4448.8M2022-05-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153160.015616+1.96%0.020648+34.81%0.3074✓1.094.2M2022-05-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46180.470851+1.96%0.5503+19.16%0.1944✓1.50307k2022-05-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019020.019396+1.98%0.02975+56.41%0.4451✓0.68402k2022-05-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24630.251259+2.01%0.2567+4.22%0.0535✓1.25280k2022-05-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67320.686756+2.01%0.6653-1.17%0.0046✓1.416.1M2022-05-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.10970.111926+2.03%0.1154+5.20%0.0715✓1.591.7M2022-05-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.279.4593+2.04%9.44+1.83%0.0374✓1.54146k2022-05-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.380730.388521+2.05%0.41457+8.89%0.1071✓1.6428k2022-05-23
COMPCompoundEthereum68.6770.1158+2.11%68.89+0.32%0.0173✓1.3628k2022-05-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.534180.545453+2.11%0.56008+4.85%0.0637✓1.4593k2022-05-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19880.203072+2.15%0.2242+12.78%0.1261✓1.052,5292022-05-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.000012219+2.17%0.00001167-2.42%0.0121✓1.321.2M2022-05-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6021.6368+2.17%1.708+6.62%0.0792✓1.43500k2022-05-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8720.890977+2.18%0.938+7.57%0.0912✓1.557.6M2022-05-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.066.1981+2.28%6.18+1.98%0.0321✓1.36629k2022-05-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.299+2.28%1.53+20.47%0.2013✓1.463.6M2022-05-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.298.4845+2.35%8.16-1.57%0.0068✓1.256.6M2022-05-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.111.136+2.35%1.18+6.31%0.0587✓0.81204k2022-05-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1390.142309+2.38%0.1353-2.66%0.0102✓1.576.2M2022-05-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2891.3198+2.39%1.161-9.93%0.0844✗1.70665k2022-05-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.58811.6262+2.40%2.5073+57.88%0.4609✓1.092.4M2022-05-23
AAVEAaveEthereum83.7985.8298+2.43%99.24+18.44%0.1837✓1.508.6M2022-05-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.920.942707+2.47%0.78-15.22%0.1647✗0.96126k2022-05-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.91.9482+2.54%2+5.26%0.0690✓1.6687k2022-05-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.532.5945+2.55%3.12+23.32%0.2111✓1.04548k2022-05-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.542.606+2.60%3.57+40.55%0.3405✓1.00399k2022-05-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9762.0276+2.61%1.931-2.28%0.0022✓1.98928k2022-05-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.662.7325+2.72%2.852+7.22%0.0824✓1.54240k2022-05-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.38341.4213+2.74%2.2211+60.55%0.4743✓1.094.3M2022-05-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20980.215731+2.83%0.2149+2.43%0.0072✓0.43433k2022-05-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7331.7831+2.89%4.685+170.34%0.9846✓0.721.9M2022-05-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.3254+2.89%2.56+13.27%0.1404✓1.72390k2022-05-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.8019+2.90%2.587-4.99%0.0364✗1.696.7M2022-05-23
DIADIAEthereum0.379940.391063+2.93%0.48959+28.86%0.2451✓0.7970k2022-05-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11780.121297+2.97%0.1265+7.39%0.0674✓0.9919k2022-05-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0085540.008809+2.98%0.00859+0.42%0.0012✓1.0219k2022-05-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3070.316162+2.98%0.346+12.70%0.1343✓1.721.8M2022-05-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.009302+3.02%0.00906+0.33%0.0050✓0.83246k2022-05-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.370020.381209+3.02%0.38305+3.52%0.0415✓1.431.4M2022-05-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0736+3.03%0.981-5.85%0.0542✗1.40775k2022-05-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.8051.8598+3.04%1.748-3.16%0.0252✓1.432.3M2022-05-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.193910.199835+3.06%0.20877+7.66%0.0848✓1.60264k2022-05-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67041.7221+3.10%2.2096+32.28%0.2803✓1.219.3M2022-05-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01520.015676+3.13%0.0257+69.08%0.5514✓2.2225.3M2022-05-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08090.083472+3.18%0.0801-0.99%0.0013✓1.553.6M2022-05-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.326172+3.22%0.377+19.30%0.1710✓1.021.1M2022-05-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.153.2528+3.26%4+26.98%0.2309✓0.94783k2022-05-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7461+3.32%1.94+14.79%0.1485✓1.68436k2022-05-23
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9956+3.40%1.93+0.00%0.0072✓1.02350k2022-05-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.564.7149+3.40%5.66+24.12%0.2054✓0.882.7M2022-05-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1510.156138+3.40%0.146-3.31%0.0294✓1.474.1M2022-05-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.5041.5565+3.49%2.618+74.07%0.5466✓1.04683k2022-05-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004320.004472+3.52%0.0045+4.17%0.0316✓0.9920k2022-05-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2982.3793+3.54%2.531+10.14%0.1048✓1.6723k2022-05-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0680.070409+3.54%0.055-19.12%0.2202✗1.04113k2022-05-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.810.838823+3.56%0.87+7.41%0.0755✓1.52801k2022-05-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07950.082395+3.64%0.0896+12.70%0.1298✓1.79173k2022-05-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.359870.373012+3.65%0.7044+95.74%0.6792✓1.69331k2022-05-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.494537+3.68%0.545+14.26%0.1345✓1.45891k2022-05-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.955.1592+4.23%8.01+61.82%0.4622✓0.871.2M2022-05-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.340.354619+4.30%0.381+12.06%0.1043✓1.2791k2022-05-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6280.655097+4.31%0.703+11.94%0.1086✓1.4816k2022-05-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001393+4.72%0.00141+6.02%0.0502✓1.473.5M2022-05-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4461.5168+4.90%3.201+121.37%0.7716✓0.96736k2022-05-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.223742+5.04%0.236+10.80%0.0918✓1.503.5M2022-05-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.