8=======>

2022-05-09 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1963
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-80.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
13.9%
in alpha space · 11.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3532.4059+6.77%0.0002-100.00%11.9800✗1.957.1M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.922478+6.03%0.628-27.82%0.3744✗1.2732k2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.464038+4.99%0.37002-16.29%0.2150✗1.431.3M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.1544+4.82%1.6704-18.73%0.2459✗1.0810.0M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005683+4.66%0.00432-20.44%0.2682✗0.7720k2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.11+4.41%4.56-33.04%0.4392✗0.632.8M2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.283891+4.37%0.213-21.69%0.2770✗1.294.2M2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.1391+4.18%1.3834-32.62%0.4294✗0.814.8M2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.431216+4.07%0.38073-8.11%0.1140✗1.3347k2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.3275+3.91%1.446-35.45%0.4701✗0.74975k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.2338+3.90%1.5881-26.13%0.3347✗0.812.5M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.9401+3.89%4.95-25.90%0.3329✗0.631.2M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.523072+3.87%0.34-32.49%0.4209✗1.2395k2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.176367+3.62%0.1577-7.34%0.0990✗1.621.1M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.518108+3.62%0.35987-28.03%0.3534✗1.39398k2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460528.454+3.62%23.5002-14.42%0.1803✗1.39188k2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.169236+3.57%0.139-14.93%0.1849✗1.506.0M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.33+3.50%4.54-11.84%0.1503✗1.282.8M2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.2111+3.47%3.15-22.60%0.2841✗0.79835k2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.7574+3.38%1.289-24.18%0.2974✗1.58582k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1369+3.35%0.81-26.36%0.3279✗1.40842k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000014404+3.26%0.00001196-14.27%0.1766✗1.181.2M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.3436+3.23%2.723-15.93%0.1925✗1.617.1M2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013699+3.15%0.00903-32.00%0.4103✗0.81222k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2723+3.15%1.504-31.73%0.4061✗0.83763k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3826+3.14%1.805-21.86%0.2676✗1.262.6M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.288722+3.11%0.19391-30.75%0.3867✗1.43250k2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0929+3.09%1.1653+9.93%0.0744✓1.28760k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.643442+3.08%0.53418-14.42%0.1756✗1.3288k2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3852+3.07%1.249-7.07%0.0938✗1.2117.4M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.788003+3.01%0.699-8.63%0.1090✗1.37327k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.136921+2.95%0.1137-14.51%0.1759✗1.251.2M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.107473+2.94%0.0809-22.51%0.2731✗1.383.7M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.796594+2.92%0.619-20.03%0.2431✗1.1546k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45102.3352+2.90%83.79-15.75%0.1887✗1.418.3M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.530.545032+2.84%0.37994-28.31%0.3560✗0.6170k2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3881+2.82%1.042-22.81%0.2770✗1.23755k2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.031471+2.81%0.03061+0.00%0.0205✓0.92227k2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.7132+2.81%1.733-34.33%0.4441✗0.532.2M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.305098+2.80%0.3018+1.68%0.0018✓1.13486k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.3915+2.77%2.53-23.33%0.2863✗0.86565k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.650.667955+2.76%0.56-13.85%0.1679✗1.05260k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.147538+2.74%0.1449+0.91%0.0065✓1.45108k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018741+2.73%0.015316-16.04%0.1937✗1.014.2M2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.0580.059578+2.72%0.0583+0.52%0.0126✓1.1469k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.438+2.69%2.298-31.36%0.3903✗1.5819k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.103698+2.67%0.068-32.67%0.4162✗0.72124k2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.302466+2.67%0.2463-16.40%0.1969✗1.07305k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.197738+2.67%0.1872-2.80%0.0435✗1.42634k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.086817+2.58%0.07067-16.50%0.1989✗0.8618k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010749+2.57%0.008554-18.38%0.2207✗0.9738k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.119278+2.56%0.0795-31.64%0.3919✗1.74232k2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6482.6998+2.55%68.67-14.84%0.1758✗1.2831k2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.270713+2.54%0.1988-24.70%0.3025✗0.792,9402022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020923+2.51%0.01902-6.81%0.0907✗0.58405k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025935+2.51%0.0152-39.92%0.5185✗1.9922.0M2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.8642+2.50%3.52-6.63%0.0881✗0.66804k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9911.2641+2.49%8.29-24.57%0.2974✗1.156.6M2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6375+2.49%2.66-25.05%0.3026✗1.30186k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.743934+2.47%0.61-15.98%0.1880✗1.321.7M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.5133+2.46%2.5916-24.42%0.2941✗1.287.7M2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash92.6894.9576+2.46%102.47+10.56%0.0859✓1.235.1M2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2142.2108+2.43%32.49-21.16%0.2515✗1.2944.2M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.006110.006257+2.41%0.00486-20.46%0.2432✗1.19885k2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.006073+2.41%0.00517-12.82%0.1506✗1.30373k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.659+2.39%1.976-23.91%0.2833✗1.701.2M2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.480121+2.37%0.316-32.62%0.4117✗0.831.1M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.230333+2.37%0.151-32.89%0.4118✗1.314.7M2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.291+2.36%7.41-8.52%0.1024✗1.2518.3M2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002395+2.34%0.00133-43.16%0.5782✗1.253.9M2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.77+2.24%11.07-11.37%0.1329✗1.2519.4M2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.398045+2.22%0.3587-7.88%0.0949✗1.158.1M2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.270539+2.21%0.254-4.04%0.0536✗1.20186k2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.1829+2.18%8.069+0.76%0.0039✓2.2576.4M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.57750.590103+2.18%0.4896-15.22%0.1776✗1.141.5M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.236+2.15%0.92-23.97%0.2890✗0.79151k2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3759+2.15%1.178-12.55%0.1484✗0.8624k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.8682+2.14%10.62-0.19%0.0136✓1.1911.7M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.147283+2.14%0.1097-23.93%0.2831✗1.451.8M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.738874+2.11%0.6732-6.97%0.0826✗1.326.1M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.1635+2.07%3.379-17.16%0.2024✗0.801.5M2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.115+2.07%8.1-18.26%0.2121✗1.268.0M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.066232+2.05%0.0537-17.26%0.2019✗0.992.0M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.146949+2.05%0.149+3.47%0.0218✓1.001.1M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000054463+2.05%0.00004677-12.37%0.1432✗1.146.7M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010794+2.02%0.00978-7.56%0.0906✗1.011.0M2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3845+2.02%1.1933-12.06%0.1409✗0.9784k2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.938.0902+2.02%6.06-23.58%0.2799✗1.14666k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3972+2.02%2.26-32.13%0.3947✗1.62339k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038965+2.00%0.0317-17.02%0.1966✗1.22179k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.105057+2.00%0.0861-16.41%0.1879✗1.40192k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana62.1363.3608+1.98%53.69-13.58%0.1554✗1.2985.8M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8887+1.93%1.9-32.96%0.4069✗1.5179k2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.191712+1.92%0.1733-7.87%0.0907✗1.29372k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.7802+1.89%2.54-31.54%0.3916✗0.76470k2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.761927+1.86%0.477-36.23%0.4581✗1.29954k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.244+1.86%1.602-27.28%0.3262✗1.36504k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030977+1.83%0.02818-7.36%0.0875✗0.9031k2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.953.0032+1.80%1.93-34.58%0.4353✗0.87443k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.075922+1.77%0.068-8.85%0.1050✗0.65619k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.9506+1.76%2.4311-16.15%0.1844✗1.17177k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.487436+1.76%0.307-35.91%0.4504✗1.501.6M2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006634+1.74%0.00527-19.17%0.2212✗1.121.7M2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.448494+1.73%0.3914-11.22%0.1268✗1.18141k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1627+1.72%0.872-23.71%0.2764✗1.428.2M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.2742+1.71%13.03-18.56%0.2154✗0.87468k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,709.60+1.70%9,743.68-22.03%0.2570✗1.102.5M2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.554248+1.70%0.4618-15.27%0.1717✗1.36296k2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.8101+1.67%9.27-26.43%0.3132✗1.29134k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044181+1.66%0.03791-12.77%0.1435✗1.2070k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.078275+1.66%0.0702-8.83%0.1013✗0.95416k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7584+1.64%1.27-26.59%0.3145✗1.373.6M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase24.424.795+1.62%20.3-16.80%0.1885✗1.45173k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.063532+1.60%0.05342-14.57%0.1663✗0.8926k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.868422+1.57%0.753-11.93%0.1340✗1.083.2M2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.57e-7+1.54%6.93e-7+7.12%0.0557✓0.28855k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration94.2695.7083+1.54%73.47-22.06%0.2552✗1.161.1M2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92221.2375+1.52%197.37-9.43%0.1057✗1.074.9M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.610632+1.47%0.5561-7.59%0.0838✗1.2241.1M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014709+1.44%0.01489+2.69%0.0240✓1.4845.5M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.8029+1.43%13.821+1.57%0.0081✓0.854.0M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.8058+1.43%70.49+0.97%0.0037✓1.023.4M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014202+1.41%0.012762-8.87%0.1015✗0.69195k2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0366+1.38%1.7722-11.78%0.1295✗1.20855k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash69.8970.8479+1.37%57.82-17.27%0.1945✗1.091.0M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero173.09175.4469+1.36%161.82-6.51%0.0728✗1.013.0M2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.052504+1.36%0.0461-11.00%0.1232✗0.8710k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.387+1.34%1.0859-20.66%0.2355✗1.17153k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.339176+1.34%0.2098-37.32%0.4767✗0.46514k2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1825+1.32%2.988-27.62%0.3242✗1.521.8M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.507236+1.32%0.401596-19.78%0.2238✗1.235.6M2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,636.89+1.32%30,058.30-0.60%0.0114✓0.9738k2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013505+1.31%0.01387+4.05%0.0341✓0.942.9M2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5801+1.29%1.41-9.62%0.1055✗1.05134k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.8019+1.15%1.69-38.99%0.4936✗1.50355k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2260.9043+1.14%53.59-11.01%0.1208✗0.892.0M2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.7088+1.11%1.11-34.32%0.4267✗0.60242k2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.241402+1.05%0.1736-27.33%0.3194✗1.306.5M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.9655+1.02%67.13-11.89%0.1280✗1.0917.3M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.956.0101+1.01%5.03-15.46%0.1689✗1.144.1M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.549+0.97%2.907-17.30%0.1917✗0.9973k2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.4335+0.94%31.82+5.54%0.0519✓0.9311.7M2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.102711+0.92%0.087881-13.65%0.1479✗1.017.1M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8125.0297+0.89%20.95-15.56%0.1671✗1.363.8M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.6019+0.87%14.58-16.45%0.1783✗1.27608k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.103754+0.83%0.0887-13.80%0.1501✗0.84152k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.9152+0.73%20.77-8.70%0.0888✗1.204.4M2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.00000144+0.70%0.00000111-22.38%0.2545✗0.737.7M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.141584+0.69%0.136163-3.16%0.0310✗1.0113.6M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.4531+0.64%3.9461-10.82%0.1118✗1.15120k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.198089+0.55%0.1178-40.20%0.5143✗0.6821k2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,216.50+0.46%29,839.89-0.79%0.0046✓1.00580.1M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2576+0.40%4.961-5.26%0.0560✗0.26278k2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.68145.7034+0.39%5.4363-4.31%0.0442✗0.474.5M2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,236.27+0.35%2,020.58-9.33%0.0934✗1.01437.0M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.121562+0.22%0.0764-37.02%0.4565✗1.003.9M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6814+0.20%1.367-18.53%0.1990✗1.005.3M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0125+0.15%0.916-9.40%0.0911✗1.13547k2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.301848+0.12%0.284-5.80%0.0530✗1.002.9M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00892.0106+0.08%1.7113-14.81%0.1562✗0.6216k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9083-0.19%1.361-28.82%0.3272✓1.365.1M2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6915-0.21%10.65-22.38%0.2399✓1.432.8M2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.57205-0.30%0.4598-19.87%0.2097✓1.1012.4M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.531.524-0.39%1.13-26.14%0.2943✓0.60528k2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7599-0.52%1.433-18.99%0.1975✓1.008.8M2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.071677-1.25%0.069019-4.92%0.0312✓0.82402k2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.