8=======>

2022-03-01 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1891
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
22.5%
in alpha space · 18.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.45%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.481044-10.82%0.5827+8.03%0.1431✗2.012.1M2022-03-31
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.3106-9.68%5.195-35.82%0.3535✓0.492.9M2022-03-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-75.54e-7-9.29%8.72e-7+42.71%0.4289✗1.001.1M2022-03-31
PROPropyEthereum1.841.6804-8.67%1.57-14.67%0.0972✓1.21452k2022-03-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.064468-8.30%0.0684-2.70%0.0165✓1.7676.7M2022-03-31
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.6622-8.17%1.839+1.60%0.0803✓0.8676k2022-03-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.4478.6777-8.14%7.803-17.40%0.1405✓1.421.9M2022-03-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.031577-7.83%0.0405+18.21%0.2271✗0.901.2M2022-03-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.670142-7.80%1.071+47.36%0.4605✗0.351.2M2022-03-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3417.9702-7.08%21+8.58%0.1278✗1.1620.6M2022-03-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.3617-6.72%7.31+7.18%0.1047✗1.41942k2022-03-31
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.41-6.59%2.3-10.85%0.0709✓1.00488k2022-03-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.5933-6.37%1.3868-18.51%0.1695✓1.27278k2022-03-31
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.1857-6.19%2.68+15.02%0.1797✗1.00443k2022-03-31
DIADIAEthereum1.060.995292-6.10%1.1+3.77%0.0936✗0.27286k2022-03-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.3962-5.88%2.638+3.61%0.0607✗1.4613.6M2022-03-31
STXStacksnative1.291.215-5.81%1.44+11.63%0.1409✗1.20596k2022-03-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.02137-5.78%0.03269+44.12%0.4042✗0.86124k2022-03-31
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.2719-5.71%4.41+27.09%0.2680✗1.266.8M2022-03-31
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415662.6809-5.62%66.8749+0.69%0.0313✓1.38223k2022-03-31
LUNATerraTerra 289.7284.958-5.31%102.96+14.76%0.1575✗1.434.8M2022-03-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.2231-5.19%1.41+9.30%0.1170✗1.04885k2022-03-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.4395-5.17%3.2595+26.71%0.2684✗0.882.7M2022-03-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.4929-5.07%3.115+18.62%0.1906✗1.33584k2022-03-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.026794-4.99%0.03408+20.85%0.2085✗1.33500k2022-03-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2420,674.39-4.97%22,229.80+2.18%0.0488✓0.985.9M2022-03-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1954.4027-4.87%63.53+11.09%0.1237✗1.306.7M2022-03-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.7421-4.86%0.82+5.13%0.0583✗1.711.0M2022-03-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1429.6498-4.79%28.9-7.19%0.0533✓1.1450.3M2022-03-31
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001898-4.64%0.00000214+7.54%0.1042✗0.6614.0M2022-03-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.074968-4.62%0.0852+8.40%0.0963✗1.311.0M2022-03-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.798667-4.45%1.1619+39.00%0.3398✗1.45270k2022-03-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.011953-4.30%0.016106+28.95%0.2732✗1.0315k2022-03-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.117729-4.29%0.174+41.46%0.3775✗0.5444k2022-03-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.272-4.22%1.594+20.03%0.1940✗1.312.0M2022-03-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9820.1034-4.18%24.45+16.54%0.1687✗1.129.1M2022-03-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.727493-4.05%1.1908+57.06%0.4590✗1.392.5M2022-03-31
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.7245-3.97%2.6098-8.01%0.0721✓1.203.3M2022-03-31
XMRMoneroMonero177.8170.8069-3.93%212.94+19.76%0.1963✗1.001.1M2022-03-31
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.3548-3.92%3.7255+6.69%0.0738✗1.282.1M2022-03-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.6727-3.85%6+23.46%0.2135✗1.51456k2022-03-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.100843-3.78%0.1229+17.27%0.1616✗1.50613k2022-03-31
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.460962-3.77%0.518+8.14%0.0855✗1.294.2M2022-03-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.019685-3.74%0.02088+2.10%0.0326✓1.092.2M2022-03-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.555183-3.70%0.5966+3.49%0.0499✗0.91642k2022-03-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0221.2113-3.67%25.7+16.71%0.1571✗1.44328k2022-03-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.506116-3.65%0.6676+27.09%0.2437✗1.37484k2022-03-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.1998-3.63%2.101+68.76%0.5345✗1.061.3M2022-03-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.0261-3.61%6.818+63.23%0.4969✗1.232.3M2022-03-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.406689-3.58%0.4968+17.78%0.1603✗1.6414.7M2022-03-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.0921-3.46%4.122+28.69%0.2669✗0.85477k2022-03-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.027866-3.41%0.02695-6.59%0.0522✓0.774.1M2022-03-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.277.9907-3.38%9.25+11.85%0.1241✗0.92461k2022-03-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2626.3738-3.25%27.75+1.80%0.0175✓1.381.6M2022-03-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3614.8646-3.23%16.93+10.22%0.1016✗1.1852.2M2022-03-31
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.0913-3.21%4.893+15.76%0.1474✗1.301.8M2022-03-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3216-3.19%1.2649-7.34%0.0768✓1.362.8M2022-03-31
RADRadworksEthereum5.124.97-2.93%5.41+5.66%0.0604✗1.01828k2022-03-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.776694-2.91%0.8523+6.54%0.0665✗1.099.7M2022-03-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2614.8334-2.80%18.07+18.41%0.1616✗1.482.4M2022-03-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.5624-2.78%1.795+11.70%0.1038✗1.45863k2022-03-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.309278-2.74%0.609+91.51%0.6460✗1.312.2M2022-03-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.918.3837-2.73%21.35+12.96%0.1202✗1.2129.4M2022-03-31
FTTFTXEthereum46.2544.992-2.72%48.83+5.58%0.0560✗1.0722.8M2022-03-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9684.6121-2.70%97.42+12.03%0.1063✗1.43118.3M2022-03-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.132699-2.57%0.2417+77.46%0.5685✗1.293.1M2022-03-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.048227-2.54%0.041867-15.39%0.1673✓1.078.1M2022-03-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9403-2.50%2.24+12.56%0.1115✗1.332.0M2022-03-31
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94122.7943-2.50%149.85+18.99%0.1697✗1.2258k2022-03-31
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0098-2.46%1.2151+17.38%0.1563✗1.192.1M2022-03-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.8063-2.41%5.834-1.95%0.0027✓0.31433k2022-03-31
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34139.8859-2.41%207+44.41%0.3595✗1.346.8M2022-03-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.298703-2.32%0.3602+17.79%0.1553✗1.32328k2022-03-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9543,408.76-2.32%45,528.45+2.45%0.0235✗1.00632.3M2022-03-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8630.1511-2.30%31.27+1.33%0.0140✓0.931.5M2022-03-31
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.1032-2.29%11.29+9.19%0.0826✗1.1810.8M2022-03-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.4878-2.24%1.775+16.62%0.1495✗1.12939k2022-03-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.872533-1.96%1.212+36.18%0.2976✗1.282.3M2022-03-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.740927-1.94%0.86577+14.59%0.1225✗1.37206k2022-03-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011241-1.91%0.01361+18.76%0.1575✗1.392.8M2022-03-31
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000077462-1.90%0.00009285+17.59%0.1547✗1.104.5M2022-03-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.840676-1.89%0.9295+8.47%0.0731✗1.1320.7M2022-03-31
KSMKusamaHydration138.55136.0224-1.82%188.49+36.04%0.2983✗1.15973k2022-03-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0913.8332-1.82%15.65+11.07%0.0969✗1.09331k2022-03-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4157-1.80%2.68+8.94%0.0796✗1.00263k2022-03-31
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.149612-1.77%0.1461-4.07%0.0435✓0.81294k2022-03-31
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.1421-1.74%2.65+21.56%0.1846✗1.17354k2022-03-31
XVGVergenative0.010440.010262-1.71%0.01339+28.26%0.2360✗1.241.3M2022-03-31
ZECZcashZcash119.02117.0768-1.63%178.39+49.88%0.3939✗1.137.2M2022-03-31
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.3572-1.62%2.756+15.03%0.1343✗0.9123k2022-03-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3529.8593-1.62%47.48+56.44%0.4377✗1.085.2M2022-03-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.071725-1.61%0.09183+25.97%0.2227✗1.0112k2022-03-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.072-1.59%4.4084+41.22%0.3400✗0.883.6M2022-03-31
ZENHorizenBase39.3438.7238-1.57%48.75+23.92%0.1952✗1.45280k2022-03-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.369563-1.53%0.4698+25.18%0.2071✗1.368.7M2022-03-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012048-1.49%0.01312+7.28%0.0674✗0.7413k2022-03-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.163175-1.42%0.16325-1.38%0.0284✓1.1924k2022-03-31
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.6101-1.42%8.2842+23.55%0.1933✗1.34226k2022-03-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.565487-1.41%0.773803+34.91%0.2862✗1.132.8M2022-03-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.5598-1.41%2.352+48.67%0.3853✗1.053.4M2022-03-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.192655-1.40%0.2832+44.93%0.3522✗1.372.8M2022-03-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.159277-1.38%0.1579-2.23%0.0335✓1.03446k2022-03-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.0704-1.31%1.3386+23.42%0.1913✗1.33175k2022-03-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0317-1.28%3.891+26.70%0.2281✗0.89218k2022-03-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.2093-1.20%1.51+23.37%0.1931✗1.202.9M2022-03-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1043,620.91-1.17%45,846.40+3.87%0.0262✗0.9752k2022-03-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004655-1.17%0.00431-8.49%0.1166✓1.649.6M2022-03-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.3823-1.15%6.029+10.73%0.0914✗0.9171k2022-03-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.254655-1.14%0.2695+4.62%0.0346✗0.912.0M2022-03-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.599-1.12%2.033+25.73%0.2124✗1.151.8M2022-03-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.075498-1.09%0.09501+24.47%0.1997✗1.2569k2022-03-31
QNTQuantEthereum119.35118.083-1.06%137.61+15.30%0.1291✗0.996.4M2022-03-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.048167-1.05%0.05488+12.74%0.1013✗1.20681k2022-03-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1595-1.05%6.061+89.82%0.6284✗0.95741k2022-03-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.2359-1.04%5.4868+28.18%0.2311✗1.14244k2022-03-31
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.5414-0.99%20.465-1.35%0.0278✓0.999.5M2022-03-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.239849-0.89%0.283+16.94%0.1447✗0.8659k2022-03-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.4628-0.87%8.197+82.07%0.5876✗0.84435k2022-03-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.197247-0.84%0.228422+14.83%0.1209✗1.0720.5M2022-03-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.091486-0.82%0.12603+36.63%0.2947✗1.0643k2022-03-31
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.722,953.44-0.82%3,283.08+10.25%0.0806✗1.04561.7M2022-03-31
GTGateEthereum6.75536.7014-0.80%6.6752-1.19%0.0210✓0.702.8M2022-03-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2425-0.68%2.8148+24.66%0.2101✗0.7126k2022-03-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.396995-0.65%0.4674+16.97%0.1287✗1.431.3M2022-03-31
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.2896-0.65%11.81+26.31%0.2107✗1.213.4M2022-03-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9734-0.64%2.5204+26.90%0.2195✗1.0475k2022-03-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.230342-0.63%0.2732+17.86%0.1351✗1.472.6M2022-03-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.041662-0.50%0.05271+25.89%0.2112✗0.9929k2022-03-31
DASHDashDash100.0199.6304-0.38%127.13+27.12%0.2164✗1.131.5M2022-03-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.7526-0.32%6.001+3.99%0.0169✗1.05181k2022-03-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.695128-0.27%0.915+31.28%0.2490✗1.072.5M2022-03-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4926-0.27%6.53+0.31%0.0155✓0.88452k2022-03-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.506-0.25%7.78+40.94%0.3250✗0.86510k2022-03-31
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.961894-0.25%1.1417+18.40%0.1444✗1.1197.3M2022-03-31
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.9177-0.18%2.4796+29.07%0.2285✗1.18179k2022-03-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016535-0.15%0.03531+113.22%0.7220✗1.5212.5M2022-03-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78328.5232-0.08%384.15+16.84%0.1329✗0.977.6M2022-03-31
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.009785-0.05%0.01207+23.29%0.1795✗1.25563k2022-03-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65112.6227-0.02%123.87+9.96%0.0681✗1.1229.5M2022-03-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.134007+0.01%0.138112+3.08%0.0074✓0.943.7M2022-03-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.1529+0.13%16.52+62.92%0.4708✓0.66928k2022-03-31
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.8331+0.15%7.189+5.36%0.0170✓1.3927k2022-03-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7308+0.16%6.73+0.15%0.0126✗0.511.2M2022-03-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.8186+0.18%13.89-12.03%0.1472✗0.712.2M2022-03-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.1067+0.47%4.2237+36.59%0.2858✓0.882.4M2022-03-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.074775+0.64%0.0836+12.52%0.0877✓0.99155k2022-03-31
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.06277+0.95%0.073796+18.68%0.1433✓0.77299k2022-03-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027409+1.03%0.00002586-4.68%0.0885✗1.253.9M2022-03-31
SOLSolanaSolana98.799.7524+1.07%122.86+24.48%0.1779✓1.26131.2M2022-03-31
XEMNEMnative0.10970.111169+1.34%0.1183+7.84%0.0387✓0.9741k2022-03-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6888.9544+1.45%94.5+7.78%0.0402✓0.84905k2022-03-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.