8=======>

2022-02-28 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2400
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.8%
in alpha space · 12.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.445765-11.55%0.5986+18.77%0.1225✓2.002.1M2022-03-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-75.71e-7-10.76%9.33e-7+45.74%0.4043✗1.001.2M2022-03-30
API3Api3Ethereum7.5296.7545-10.29%5.642-25.06%0.2207✓0.472.3M2022-03-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.063866-9.15%0.0808+14.94%0.0818✓1.7876.7M2022-03-30
PROPropyEthereum1.841.6718-9.14%1.69-8.15%0.0942✓1.22483k2022-03-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.6703-9.03%1.937+5.50%0.0728✓0.8776k2022-03-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.694558-8.42%1.0802+42.43%0.4109✗0.361.3M2022-03-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1318.4928-8.13%21.81+8.35%0.0637✓1.1821.3M2022-03-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.032216-8.03%0.04133+17.98%0.1712✗0.901.2M2022-03-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.5572-7.05%1.47-12.26%0.1673✓1.27272k2022-03-30
LUNATerraTerra 291.3884.9403-7.05%105.96+15.96%0.0957✗1.464.5M2022-03-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.3173-6.96%7.88+16.05%0.0988✗1.421.1M2022-03-30
DIADIAEthereum1.070.996012-6.91%1.07+0.00%0.0482✓0.27286k2022-03-30
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76363.1024-6.88%69.3339+2.32%0.0261✓1.40214k2022-03-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.4644-6.65%2.38-9.85%0.1210✓1.00490k2022-03-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.7572-6.51%8.072+11.68%0.0614✓1.351.9M2022-03-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3829.436-6.19%30.02-4.33%0.0798✓1.1550.3M2022-03-30
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.3212-6.18%4.47+26.27%0.1874✗1.276.8M2022-03-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.3647-6.16%2.73+8.33%0.0575✓1.00486k2022-03-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.027232-6.10%0.03322+14.55%0.0835✗1.34494k2022-03-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.2936-6.08%2.814+15.23%0.0787✗1.4613.6M2022-03-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.02128-6.07%0.03562+57.23%0.4412✗0.86117k2022-03-30
STXStacksnative1.251.1771-5.83%1.54+23.20%0.1658✗1.19610k2022-03-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.301-5.66%3.4679+42.18%0.3346✗0.882.7M2022-03-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2920,393.16-5.54%24,045.64+11.38%0.0800✗0.985.7M2022-03-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4251.4787-5.40%64.42+18.38%0.1131✗1.296.7M2022-03-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.073799-5.39%0.0883+13.21%0.0657✗1.321.0M2022-03-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.124945-5.34%0.151+14.39%0.1398✗0.5844k2022-03-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.71017-5.31%0.8+6.67%0.0286✓1.72995k2022-03-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.2893-5.20%1.52+11.76%0.0730✗1.06932k2022-03-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001889-5.10%0.00000212+6.53%0.0580✗0.6714.0M2022-03-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.781452-5.05%1.2646+53.66%0.3561✗1.45270k2022-03-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.011541-5.00%0.015574+28.20%0.2108✗1.0316k2022-03-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.5334-4.90%3.313+24.36%0.1532✗1.34584k2022-03-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.7146-4.77%2.7035-5.16%0.1085✓1.213.2M2022-03-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.534016-4.76%0.5854+4.41%0.0136✓0.91641k2022-03-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7220.6883-4.75%25.9+19.24%0.1269✗1.148.6M2022-03-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.2879-4.74%1.747+29.22%0.1914✗1.322.0M2022-03-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020441-4.48%0.02037-4.81%0.0986✓1.112.2M2022-03-30
XMRMoneroMonero170.31162.7287-4.45%221.39+29.99%0.2223✗0.991.0M2022-03-30
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.3911-4.43%3.8297+7.93%0.0102✓1.292.1M2022-03-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.6491-4.34%5.61+15.43%0.0570✗1.52430k2022-03-30
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.441139-4.31%0.546+18.44%0.1028✗1.284.2M2022-03-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.35002-4.29%0.4822+31.86%0.1812✗1.6214.6M2022-03-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.096-4.24%4.213+30.31%0.2331✗0.87477k2022-03-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1543.9786-4.22%6.643+59.92%0.4059✗1.242.3M2022-03-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.2795-4.16%25.48+20.42%0.1046✗1.44325k2022-03-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.1871-3.95%2.11+70.71%0.4828✗1.071.2M2022-03-30
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.7785-3.95%4.904+24.66%0.1493✗1.291.8M2022-03-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.028215-3.93%0.02759-6.06%0.0898✓0.784.1M2022-03-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.481659-3.80%0.6894+37.69%0.2406✗1.37484k2022-03-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.4061-3.62%30.69+16.43%0.0698✗1.381.6M2022-03-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.2776-3.61%9.04+19.74%0.1396✗0.90461k2022-03-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.047498-3.58%0.043539-11.62%0.1794✓1.078.1M2022-03-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.2803-3.58%1.3034-1.84%0.0994✓1.362.7M2022-03-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.6099-3.50%17.23+13.80%0.0629✗1.1853.4M2022-03-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3714.8368-3.47%19.25+25.24%0.1324✗1.492.4M2022-03-30
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.6866-3.37%5.49+13.20%0.0722✗1.00828k2022-03-30
FTTFTXEthereum45.9544.4154-3.34%51.17+11.36%0.0488✗1.0820.8M2022-03-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.7317-3.27%6.0877+2.73%0.0336✗0.31385k2022-03-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5149-3.26%1.793+14.50%0.0437✗1.45863k2022-03-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.770805-3.25%0.892+11.96%0.0516✗1.109.6M2022-03-30
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.1938-3.19%11.74+11.49%0.0387✗1.1910.8M2022-03-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.213.7471-3.19%16.49+16.13%0.0869✗1.10331k2022-03-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5981.91-3.17%95.57+12.98%0.0306✓1.44116.5M2022-03-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.083001-3.15%0.1259+46.91%0.2903✗1.47613k2022-03-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.3575-3.13%22.46+18.52%0.0964✗1.2227.9M2022-03-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.126248-3.11%0.2226+70.84%0.4566✗1.282.9M2022-03-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.29858-3.06%0.666+116.23%0.6897✗1.312.1M2022-03-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.285498-3.06%0.3732+26.72%0.1541✗1.32367k2022-03-30
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83141.5357-2.94%223.52+53.27%0.3404✗1.356.6M2022-03-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.929.9933-2.93%31.8+2.91%0.0221✓0.941.5M2022-03-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1472-2.84%2.66+20.36%0.1128✗1.18343k2022-03-30
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75117.3382-2.83%156.18+29.34%0.1815✗1.2164k2022-03-30
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.148882-2.75%0.1493-2.48%0.0678✓0.82295k2022-03-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.809-2.74%2.41+29.57%0.1733✗1.321.9M2022-03-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4638-2.73%1.838+22.13%0.1310✗1.12931k2022-03-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,043.09-2.66%47,078.03+9.00%0.0270✓1.00630.5M2022-03-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.067662-2.64%0.08935+28.56%0.1917✗1.0012k2022-03-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010703-2.61%0.01386+26.11%0.1388✗1.392.7M2022-03-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5329.7372-2.60%49.64+62.59%0.4188✗1.095.1M2022-03-30
HIVEHivenative0.98030.954941-2.59%1.1817+20.54%0.1114✗1.182.0M2022-03-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.722244-2.55%0.89959+21.37%0.1010✗1.38206k2022-03-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012-2.52%0.01346+9.34%0.0506✗0.7512k2022-03-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3792-2.49%2.77+13.52%0.0654✗1.01254k2022-03-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4154-2.49%2.741+10.66%0.0463✗0.9321k2022-03-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.846977-2.47%0.9268+6.73%0.0087✓1.1520.7M2022-03-30
KSMKusamaHydration130.28127.09-2.45%188.4+44.61%0.2952✗1.14930k2022-03-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004283-2.43%0.00461+5.01%0.0667✓1.639.6M2022-03-30
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000076785-2.42%0.00009555+21.43%0.1236✗1.104.4M2022-03-30
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.3369-2.40%8.8728+36.66%0.2213✗1.34184k2022-03-30
ZECZcashZcash118.68115.8791-2.36%192.01+61.79%0.4071✗1.147.2M2022-03-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.162463-2.36%0.16978+2.04%0.0604✓1.2127k2022-03-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.090039-2.27%0.11481+24.62%0.1512✗1.0745k2022-03-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.857144-2.26%1.12+27.71%0.1567✗1.292.2M2022-03-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.562065-2.26%0.818426+42.32%0.2775✗1.142.8M2022-03-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0492-2.26%4.3201+38.48%0.2724✗0.883.6M2022-03-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.0453-2.24%3.964+27.26%0.1862✗0.90218k2022-03-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2455-2.15%6.347+91.35%0.5874✗0.97741k2022-03-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5312-2.10%2.64+68.80%0.4541✗1.053.4M2022-03-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.36934-2.08%0.4825+27.92%0.1493✗1.378.7M2022-03-30
XVGVergenative0.010370.010156-2.06%0.01212+16.88%0.0692✗1.251.2M2022-03-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.15803-1.97%0.1668+3.47%0.0349✓1.03446k2022-03-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,301.93-1.93%47,057.40+9.09%0.0225✗0.9846k2022-03-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1523-1.85%2.6933+22.82%0.1633✗0.7126k2022-03-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.231663-1.84%0.291+23.31%0.1545✗0.8559k2022-03-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4815-1.83%7.08+55.09%0.3838✗0.85435k2022-03-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.5293-1.79%6.258+11.15%0.0431✗0.9468k2022-03-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.189178-1.73%0.3009+56.31%0.3458✗1.372.8M2022-03-30
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.2918-1.63%49.86+31.52%0.1662✗1.44280k2022-03-30
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.3419-1.62%21.318+3.10%0.0395✓1.009.3M2022-03-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1662-1.61%5.69+34.37%0.2132✗1.14244k2022-03-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.4955-1.58%6.66+0.91%0.0517✓0.89452k2022-03-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041279-1.58%0.05135+22.44%0.1323✗1.0029k2022-03-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.547-1.53%2.108+34.18%0.2105✗1.151.8M2022-03-30
GTGateEthereum6.716.6084-1.51%6.7657+0.83%0.0377✓0.712.8M2022-03-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.241695-1.51%0.293+19.40%0.1145✗0.911.9M2022-03-30
QNTQuantEthereum115.74114.0107-1.49%143.18+23.71%0.1430✗0.996.3M2022-03-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.047991-1.48%0.05567+14.29%0.0441✗1.21686k2022-03-30
DASHDashDash100.5199.0509-1.45%132.65+31.98%0.1940✗1.141.5M2022-03-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1477-1.40%1.385+18.99%0.0836✗1.212.9M2022-03-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0283-1.37%1.4172+35.93%0.2062✗1.33162k2022-03-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.071031-1.36%0.09268+28.70%0.1593✗1.2469k2022-03-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.229017-1.33%0.2868+23.57%0.0971✗1.482.6M2022-03-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27334.9096-1.29%380.29+12.09%0.0421✗0.997.3M2022-03-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.389294-1.27%0.4469+13.34%0.0141✗1.441.2M2022-03-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.195181-1.26%0.234742+18.75%0.0923✗1.0719.8M2022-03-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.562437-1.26%1.2858+125.74%0.7128✗1.322.4M2022-03-30
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,887.23-1.23%3,386.68+15.86%0.0695✗1.05540.3M2022-03-30
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.222-1.16%11.27+20.79%0.0954✗1.223.1M2022-03-30
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.009578-1.05%0.01247+28.82%0.1555✗1.26546k2022-03-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8159-1.01%6.28+6.89%0.0146✓1.06189k2022-03-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6994-0.98%2.6562+54.77%0.3596✗1.0172k2022-03-30
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.954566-0.98%1.1906+23.51%0.1244✗1.1296.0M2022-03-30
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9201-0.93%2.5355+30.82%0.1757✗1.19179k2022-03-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.690753-0.90%0.818+17.36%0.0764✗1.082.4M2022-03-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.4618-0.87%8.17+48.28%0.3285✗0.86510k2022-03-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.132395-0.79%0.142853+7.05%0.0053✓0.943.7M2022-03-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1510.0788-0.70%15.89+56.55%0.3978✗0.67928k2022-03-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82113.077-0.65%131.12+15.20%0.0507✗1.1329.3M2022-03-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1816.0744-0.65%13.77-14.89%0.2168✓0.722.2M2022-03-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.57-0.46%6.85+3.79%0.0023✓0.511.1M2022-03-30
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.7277-0.33%7.714+14.28%0.0163✗1.4027k2022-03-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017944-0.09%0.03793+111.19%0.6152✗1.5512.5M2022-03-30
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.06179+0.01%0.073058+18.24%0.1011✓0.77286k2022-03-30
XEMNEMnative0.10810.108277+0.16%0.1223+13.14%0.0380✓0.9740k2022-03-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.073124+0.17%0.0871+19.32%0.0897✓0.99160k2022-03-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.1168+0.21%4.3+38.25%0.2451✓0.892.4M2022-03-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025893+0.40%0.00002736+6.09%0.0518✗1.243.8M2022-03-30
SOLSolanaSolana99.74100.1696+0.43%120.79+21.10%0.0772✓1.28127.4M2022-03-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6789.0525+0.43%97.98+10.50%0.0226✓0.85905k2022-03-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.