8=======>

2022-02-22 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3241
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.7%
in alpha space · 16.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+15.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum5.9795.384-9.95%5.14-14.03%0.0965✓0.362.0M2022-03-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4530.40995-9.50%0.4337-4.26%0.2132✓1.922.0M2022-03-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.721.5741-8.48%1.3853-19.46%0.3421✓1.53213k2022-03-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8591.7041-8.33%1.908+2.64%0.0273✓1.0084k2022-03-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039970.037078-7.23%0.04032+0.88%0.0387✓0.871.7M2022-03-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8180.75935-7.17%0.7956-2.74%0.0502✓0.691.5M2022-03-24
PROPropyEthereum1.831.7007-7.07%1.59-13.11%0.2977✓1.64635k2022-03-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.130549-6.08%0.115-17.27%0.2742✓1.0551k2022-03-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.9216.8356-6.05%19.43+8.43%0.0196✓1.1622.7M2022-03-24
DIADIAEthereum0.890.836359-6.03%1.01+13.48%0.0484✓1.00284k2022-03-24
MOVRMoonriverBase69.821765.6279-6.01%62.4871-10.50%0.2589✓1.50249k2022-03-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02650.024916-5.98%0.02649-0.04%0.1400✓1.43497k2022-03-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.2093-5.61%3.67+7.94%0.0609✓1.397.1M2022-03-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.492.354-5.46%2.62+5.22%0.0332✓1.00639k2022-03-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001834-5.46%0.00000199+2.58%0.0587✓1.0014.6M2022-03-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0510030.048262-5.37%0.042036-17.58%0.3150✓1.267.5M2022-03-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8423.5347-5.25%29.27+17.83%0.0641✗1.1055.4M2022-03-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9962.8409-5.18%3.938+31.44%0.1953✗0.94481k2022-03-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78861.6977-5.08%3.1236+74.64%0.5349✗0.532.8M2022-03-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49760.472744-5.00%0.5368+7.88%0.0024✓0.92684k2022-03-24
ORCAOrcaSolana2.612.4816-4.92%2.29-12.26%0.2207✓1.00683k2022-03-24
STXStacksnative1.171.1129-4.88%1.38+17.95%0.0291✓1.33746k2022-03-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3952.2817-4.73%2.383-0.50%0.1747✓1.5613.8M2022-03-24
XMRMoneroMonero150.97143.8447-4.72%203.77+34.97%0.2080✗1.00966k2022-03-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125030.011917-4.69%0.013705+9.61%0.0213✓1.1544k2022-03-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07080.06751-4.65%0.084+18.64%0.0253✓1.381.1M2022-03-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.1548.8029-4.59%70.34+37.52%0.1825✗1.307.8M2022-03-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.710.677804-4.53%0.7-1.41%0.2394✓1.941.0M2022-03-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.84815.5833-4.53%6.0183+2.91%0.0221✓0.38412k2022-03-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3581.2988-4.36%1.58+16.35%0.0015✓1.391.8M2022-03-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65332.5378-4.35%2.6959+1.60%0.1190✓1.283.3M2022-03-24
RADRadworksEthereum5.114.8941-4.22%5.02-1.76%0.1129✓0.99682k2022-03-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.92222.8022-4.11%3.9044+33.61%0.1913✗1.002.6M2022-03-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.266.0046-4.08%7.49+19.65%0.1625✗0.421.3M2022-03-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0223480.021442-4.05%0.03772+68.78%0.4122✗1.09101k2022-03-24
BANDBandEthereum3.8743.7183-4.02%4.119+6.32%0.0755✓1.271.9M2022-03-24
XYMSymbolnative0.14840.14251-3.97%0.1426-3.91%0.1135✓0.81354k2022-03-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.04821-3.96%0.066+31.47%0.0647✗1.7864.3M2022-03-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,636.0719,837.88-3.87%21,219.97+2.83%0.0776✓1.035.8M2022-03-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.2721.2229-3.86%1.153-9.36%0.2444✓1.322.6M2022-03-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.026710.025679-3.86%0.02695+0.90%0.0607✓0.784.6M2022-03-24
FTTFTXEthereum41.5139.9317-3.80%49.47+19.18%0.0512✗1.1627.6M2022-03-24
LUNATerraTerra 254.7752.7254-3.73%93.83+71.32%0.3838✗1.374.5M2022-03-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.12688-3.73%0.1431+8.57%0.0625✓1.303.1M2022-03-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1429.0639-3.57%29.71-1.43%0.1200✓1.011.5M2022-03-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35360.341145-3.52%0.3633+2.74%0.1701✓1.6616.4M2022-03-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06290.060707-3.49%0.07771+23.55%0.0966✗1.0714k2022-03-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0043.868-3.40%5.282+31.92%0.1354✗1.262.3M2022-03-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012370.011957-3.34%0.01336+8.00%0.0051✓0.7515k2022-03-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084580.08176-3.33%0.10347+22.33%0.0793✗1.1148k2022-03-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1524.0154-3.29%5.478+31.94%0.1903✗0.86395k2022-03-24
UMAUMAEthereum5.1564.9876-3.27%7.907+53.36%0.3186✗1.011.8M2022-03-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151340.146428-3.25%0.16172+6.86%0.0971✓1.4030k2022-03-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche74.4272.0601-3.17%87.61+17.72%0.0150✓1.50106.7M2022-03-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45850.444831-2.98%0.6697+46.06%0.2065✗1.44586k2022-03-24
QTUMQtumQtum6.00725.829-2.97%7.8674+30.97%0.0925✗1.48153k2022-03-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6932.6135-2.95%3.765+39.81%0.2463✗0.85205k2022-03-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,251.4837,128.58-2.94%44,012.29+15.06%0.0298✓1.00646.5M2022-03-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4118.8406-2.93%21.78+12.21%0.0729✓1.55334k2022-03-24
XECeCashnative0.000072220.000070112-2.92%0.00008405+16.38%0.0185✓1.164.5M2022-03-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4362.3669-2.84%2.846+16.83%0.0103✓1.39579k2022-03-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.119-2.80%2.58+18.35%0.0271✓1.21324k2022-03-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.6825.9403-2.77%48.64+82.31%0.4744✗1.105.1M2022-03-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.1041-2.73%13.33-8.07%0.1613✓0.751.8M2022-03-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.519.2533-2.70%13.53+42.27%0.2798✗0.71758k2022-03-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80190.780307-2.69%1.0824+34.98%0.1172✗1.50361k2022-03-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.81110.789511-2.66%0.8916+9.92%0.0525✓1.2423.2M2022-03-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6561.6129-2.60%2.162+30.56%0.1376✗1.113.4M2022-03-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.1818.6811-2.60%19.64+2.40%0.1234✓1.249.6M2022-03-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9813.6214-2.57%16.17+15.67%0.0015✓1.2161.5M2022-03-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9430.919271-2.52%1.697+79.96%0.4384✗1.24934k2022-03-24
XTZTezosTezos3.07122.9943-2.50%3.5281+14.88%0.0171✓1.292.1M2022-03-24
NANOnanopayBase1.9641.9149-2.50%2.3244+18.35%0.0208✓1.23210k2022-03-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037930.036988-2.48%0.04349+14.66%0.0050✓1.1232k2022-03-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6115.4723-2.47%5.286-5.79%0.1799✓1.04266k2022-03-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.6864-2.46%6.52+11.84%0.0136✓0.88430k2022-03-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.732584-2.44%0.8052+7.23%0.0661✓1.149.8M2022-03-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.8197-2.43%6.72+36.03%0.2211✗0.79415k2022-03-24
AAVEAaveEthereum134.74131.4762-2.42%168.07+24.74%0.0430✗1.446.5M2022-03-24
KCSKuCoinnative18.9418.4864-2.40%18.833-0.56%0.1481✓1.199.6M2022-03-24
DODODODOEthereum0.4540.443295-2.36%0.458+0.88%0.1599✓1.374.5M2022-03-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010156-2.34%0.01238+19.04%0.0189✓1.552.2M2022-03-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22690.221593-2.34%0.2687+18.42%0.0488✗1.031.8M2022-03-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004520.004415-2.33%0.00439-2.88%0.2718✓1.9012.7M2022-03-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.10872.0599-2.31%2.402+13.91%0.0288✗0.8928k2022-03-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.234465-2.31%0.26+8.33%0.0234✓0.9068k2022-03-24
GTGateEthereum6.19016.0478-2.30%6.4925+4.89%0.0477✓0.853.1M2022-03-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.683910.668252-2.29%0.85665+25.26%0.0363✗1.51269k2022-03-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131320.128324-2.28%0.136967+4.30%0.0762✓1.013.7M2022-03-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018930.018506-2.24%0.02128+12.41%0.0198✓1.142.2M2022-03-24
DASHDashDash93.5691.4743-2.23%130.02+38.97%0.1875✗1.171.5M2022-03-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.2450.239574-2.21%0.3142+28.24%0.1081✗1.16469k2022-03-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.434.3323-2.21%4.74+7.00%0.0656✓1.11471k2022-03-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.6116.246-2.19%21.25+27.93%0.0821✗1.3329.5M2022-03-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9612.6783-2.17%15.84+22.22%0.0782✗1.03392k2022-03-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3722.3211-2.15%6.349+167.66%0.8280✗1.27792k2022-03-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.086699-2.15%0.1068+20.54%0.0000✓1.49684k2022-03-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.671-2.13%10.79+21.78%0.0332✗1.3211.0M2022-03-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.252.2025-2.11%2.59+15.11%0.0188✓1.02283k2022-03-24
QNTQuantEthereum115.85113.4112-2.11%136.28+17.63%0.0437✗1.006.6M2022-03-24
ZECZcashZcash102.96100.8024-2.10%193.05+87.50%0.4825✗1.197.6M2022-03-24
XLMStellarStellar0.185640.181791-2.07%0.215105+15.87%0.0202✓1.0621.8M2022-03-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4231.3942-2.03%1.629+14.48%0.0176✓1.231.1M2022-03-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,637.982,585.11-2.00%3,112.52+17.99%0.0318✗1.10581.4M2022-03-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2665.1618-1.98%6.323+20.07%0.0911✗0.8065k2022-03-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.7323.2613-1.97%27.96+17.83%0.0291✓1.521.8M2022-03-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062480.061247-1.97%0.07971+27.58%0.1492✗0.8180k2022-03-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4661.4374-1.95%1.684+14.87%0.0433✓1.44970k2022-03-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52090.510921-1.92%1.098+110.79%0.5772✗1.342.3M2022-03-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.98473.9085-1.91%5.2272+31.18%0.1217✗1.21291k2022-03-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024950.000024474-1.91%0.00002469-1.04%0.1857✓1.393.7M2022-03-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.96.7684-1.91%6.84-0.87%0.0202✓0.221.3M2022-03-24
COMPCompoundEthereum112.33110.2012-1.90%119.41+6.30%0.1017✓1.3064k2022-03-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,333.5037,615.79-1.87%44,010.90+14.81%0.0212✗0.9742k2022-03-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8214.5449-1.86%18.14+22.40%0.0126✓1.662.7M2022-03-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.6261.5959-1.85%2.2754+39.94%0.1970✗1.1275k2022-03-24
ADACardanoCardano0.88810.872379-1.77%1.1314+27.40%0.0999✗1.1497.3M2022-03-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.51105.6605-1.72%126.52+17.68%0.0094✓1.2229.9M2022-03-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5433540.534042-1.71%0.590761+8.72%0.0610✓1.153.3M2022-03-24
KSMKusamaHydration129.85127.6754-1.67%162.8+25.38%0.0761✗1.19930k2022-03-24
XVGVergenative0.009630.009473-1.63%0.01065+10.59%0.0649✓1.301.2M2022-03-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0781.0607-1.60%1.352+25.42%0.0656✗1.262.9M2022-03-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.011.9779-1.60%2.363+17.56%0.0297✗1.0619k2022-03-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.691.6631-1.59%2.11+24.85%0.0475✗1.362.0M2022-03-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38230.376276-1.58%0.44+15.09%0.0420✓1.418.7M2022-03-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38530.379391-1.53%0.3888+0.91%0.1766✓1.431.4M2022-03-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13190.129947-1.48%0.1577+19.56%0.0489✗1.03467k2022-03-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.21630.213134-1.46%0.234+8.18%0.1232✓1.543.4M2022-03-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.385.3017-1.46%8.28+53.90%0.3230✗0.88398k2022-03-24
XEMNEMnative0.09870.097267-1.45%0.1091+10.54%0.0296✓1.0337k2022-03-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.4282.2164-1.44%91.06+9.16%0.0230✓0.89986k2022-03-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7990.787767-1.41%0.953+19.27%0.0022✓1.372.1M2022-03-24
XVSVenusEthereum8.668.5393-1.39%10.44+20.55%0.0205✗1.293.2M2022-03-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3608-1.39%1.713+24.13%0.0679✗1.161.8M2022-03-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.2923-1.35%1.55+18.32%0.0028✓1.28968k2022-03-24
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2146.1343-1.28%7.452+19.92%0.1420✗0.3829k2022-03-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash293.48289.7827-1.26%366.47+24.87%0.0960✗0.997.6M2022-03-24
TRXTRONTron0.062640.061875-1.22%0.065663+4.83%0.0596✓0.85299k2022-03-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.17780.17565-1.21%0.2208+24.18%0.0312✗1.413.0M2022-03-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86772.8359-1.11%4.1695+45.40%0.2446✗1.002.4M2022-03-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.291922-1.04%0.618+109.49%0.5603✗1.352.0M2022-03-24
ZENHorizenBase35.2734.9149-1.01%45.37+28.64%0.0410✗1.58335k2022-03-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7070.699974-0.99%0.726+2.69%0.1171✓1.091.9M2022-03-24
HIVEHivenative0.84660.840449-0.73%1.0248+21.05%0.0201✓1.561.8M2022-03-24
SCSiacoinnative0.008780.008725-0.63%0.01029+17.20%0.0175✗1.05525k2022-03-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0720.07156-0.61%0.0793+10.14%0.0579✓1.14185k2022-03-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04660.046484-0.25%0.05648+21.20%0.0008✓1.38865k2022-03-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.927640.925858-0.19%1.1819+27.40%0.0917✗1.09165k2022-03-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020.020028+0.14%0.04032+101.60%0.4692✓1.6411.1M2022-03-24
SOLSolanaSolana86.4386.7576+0.38%102.38+18.45%0.0087✗1.24139.1M2022-03-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.