8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1944
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.0%
in alpha space · 78.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.045752+2.44%0.04078-8.69%0.0602✗1.1131k2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8044,431.95+1.07%41,510.70-5.57%0.0198✗0.9751k2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94102.9337+0.97%89.87-11.84%0.0730✗1.27179.7M2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8411+0.93%2.1269+16.60%0.2006✓1.1469k2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.15004+0.88%0.119322-19.78%0.1788✗1.016.1M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.067053+0.87%0.061738-7.12%0.0405✗0.85344k2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085599+0.59%0.0717-15.75%0.1172✗1.21194k2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.476859+0.31%0.3288-30.84%0.2982✗1.481.9M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9115.9418+0.20%13.65-14.20%0.1039✗1.04483k2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.075719+0.03%0.0728-3.83%0.0140✓1.0817k2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55334.3953-0.05%305.71-8.62%0.0406✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.676356-0.11%0.537425-20.63%0.1731✓1.153.6M2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.8739-0.13%6.34-7.88%0.0383✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.6121-0.21%15.01-14.96%0.0742✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.4371-0.23%4.924-33.94%0.3646✓0.96407k2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.976803-0.23%0.7552-22.87%0.1964✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33115.0324-0.26%98.87-14.27%0.0966✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4449-0.29%2.189-10.73%0.0586✓1.0520k2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.0859-0.32%15.02-12.37%0.0694✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.4616-0.39%41.26+1.58%0.0978✗1.58364k2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.832066-0.40%0.84294+0.91%0.0878✗1.51334k2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.283726-0.45%0.2119-25.65%0.2158✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77166.0177-0.45%148.53-10.94%0.0520✓1.20973k2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,109.74-0.47%2,939.17-5.93%0.0002✓1.13581.4M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010722-0.54%0.00919-14.75%0.1023✓1.05483k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,640.68-0.58%41,774.98-4.83%0.0058✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.1978-0.58%6.14-15.19%0.1456✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.044-0.59%4.24-30.26%0.3028✓1.04555k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.6563-0.63%18.96-4.15%0.0314✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.097196-0.71%0.0956-2.34%0.0383✗1.1150k2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.304377-0.76%0.3002-2.12%0.0419✗1.13538k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.78087-0.78%0.64-18.68%0.1440✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6471-0.86%2.4-10.11%0.0469✓1.03373k2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.080385-0.97%0.07318-9.84%0.0567✓0.7589k2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1087-1.00%1.85-13.15%0.0646✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.0974-1.09%9.62-14.26%0.0765✓1.3412.2M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.103966-1.17%0.0868-17.49%0.1038✓1.55996k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112829-1.20%0.1-12.43%0.0705✓1.0137k2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0701-1.22%0.852-21.35%0.1715✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.215973-1.26%0.192891-11.82%0.0620✓1.0321.9M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.031745-1.29%0.02515-21.80%0.1906✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55127.8729-1.29%116.39-10.16%0.0439✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.3689-1.30%1.645-31.46%0.3148✓1.013.2M2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8359-1.30%1.05-43.55%0.4989✓1.211.3M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.8279-1.31%28.05-13.02%0.0737✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.172125-1.47%0.133-23.87%0.2253✓0.66388k2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2248-1.49%2.3491+4.02%0.1167✗1.26367k2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.9682-1.51%0.836-14.95%0.0791✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.01152-1.62%0.00928-20.75%0.1502✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000083994-1.64%0.00008127-4.82%0.0235✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.031454-1.65%0.04379+36.93%0.3970✗1.3410.7M2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.21645-1.70%0.2087-5.22%0.0326✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.282961-1.75%0.233-19.10%0.1482✓0.9373k2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.0124-1.80%88.61+58.18%0.5469✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.264303-1.86%0.2478-7.98%0.0136✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.365428-2.03%0.616+65.15%0.5895✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.4235-2.07%18.259-12.45%0.0489✓1.2710.1M2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.5302-2.12%8.77-25.55%0.2095✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.692.5664-2.15%80.59-14.81%0.0945✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.00588-2.17%0.00358-40.43%0.3966✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.7643-2.17%3.723-23.55%0.1848✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.172244-2.27%0.1531-13.13%0.0382✓1.6132k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84124.8879-2.31%111.9-12.47%0.0488✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9069-2.31%1.451-25.67%0.2041✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.602-2.34%6.37-5.77%0.0076✓0.88430k2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.202-2.45%5.34-16.01%0.1080✓0.8472k2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.056151-2.50%0.04977-13.58%0.0517✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6457-2.51%1.574-6.75%0.0127✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030165-2.53%0.00002236-27.75%0.2300✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.474841-2.54%0.4108-15.68%0.0755✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.6682-2.54%6.123-22.18%0.1522✓1.47153k2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.7059-2.55%4.289-11.19%0.0333✓1.20335k2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.582-2.57%2.26-14.72%0.0707✓1.26390k2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6327.8935-2.57%25.79-9.92%0.0035✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7719-2.62%5.029+2.63%0.1144✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3845.157-2.64%44.58-3.88%0.0462✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3247-2.66%6.43+17.55%0.2278✗0.79407k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.0847-2.69%2.19-30.91%0.2931✓1.00829k2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1592-2.72%1.0729-9.96%0.0234✓1.09193k2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2398.0112-2.77%5.917-28.18%0.2897✓0.2737k2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.942985-2.79%0.94-3.09%0.0463✗1.00269k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4261.6414-2.80%50.47-20.42%0.1373✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.552258-2.82%0.8733+53.67%0.5256✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.933045-2.83%0.7275-24.23%0.1738✓1.52552k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.3422-2.88%7.638+16.97%0.2360✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.523364-2.90%0.402-25.42%0.1930✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013043-2.96%0.0115-14.43%0.0483✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6592-2.99%4.828+0.52%0.0766✗0.83379k2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.4506-3.04%28.09-0.78%0.0703✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.8781-3.16%4.31-29.00%0.2600✓1.02701k2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01131.6858-3.18%119.38-12.23%0.0336✓1.3058k2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2321-3.29%1.216-4.55%0.0479✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7498-3.33%1.591-12.10%0.0334✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7136-3.39%6.275+123.39%0.9048✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002106-3.41%0.00000186-14.68%0.0746✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58121.2854-3.42%172.57+37.42%0.4127✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.3925-3.46%3.671+4.47%0.1229✗0.89481k2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013405-3.49%0.01224-11.88%0.0522✓0.7814k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.161716-3.63%0.1516-9.65%0.0134✓1.03470k2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.8071-3.65%3.8721-2.01%0.0608✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.6509-3.68%6.0844+3.71%0.0910✗0.35441k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.579313-3.77%0.512-14.95%0.0792✓0.89840k2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.0952-3.79%3.346+4.01%0.1174✗0.80215k2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.2212-3.89%16.88-23.55%0.1717✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.3585-3.91%12.43+15.31%0.2153✗0.67821k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.150051-3.94%0.1214-22.28%0.1451✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.1615-3.98%17.61-23.70%0.1698✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0022,745.86-3.99%20,575.06-13.15%0.0503✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.67067-4.04%0.4424-36.70%0.3420✓1.50665k2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.2551-4.06%8.18+25.46%0.3092✗0.83463k2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1752-4.07%2.07-37.46%0.3783✓1.00681k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5127.3299-4.14%28.63+0.42%0.1010✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0656-4.22%0.9186-17.43%0.0697✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.865-4.29%3.1614-21.71%0.1372✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.428835-4.32%0.3368-24.85%0.1557✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.0228-4.34%13.06-22.03%0.1716✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.854363-4.36%0.7285-18.45%0.1064✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36171.4917-4.39%195+8.72%0.1787✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.4416-4.44%4.3273+20.15%0.2790✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0322.917-4.63%20.21-15.90%0.0494✓1.54387k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3990.9105-4.70%85.76-10.10%0.0136✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0666-4.77%1.515+35.27%0.4197✗1.39694k2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2355-4.79%1.639-30.20%0.2609✓1.0084k2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.020715-4.86%0.01673-23.16%0.1521✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3569-4.86%1.1296-20.80%0.1203✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.053287-4.99%0.0395-29.57%0.2379✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4726-4.99%1.3-16.13%0.0752✓1.00980k2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.996221-5.12%0.68-35.24%0.2816✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.3427-5.18%4.609+0.63%0.0775✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.0922-5.24%2.4451-25.07%0.1753✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.085121-5.42%0.0711-21.00%0.1127✓1.36868k2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.172.9922-5.61%2.251-28.99%0.2104✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44160.2324-5.99%160.34-5.93%0.0706✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.015937-6.08%0.011938-29.65%0.2328✓1.13450k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1419-6.15%3.3831+48.24%0.4860✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.5055-6.28%2.1916-41.40%0.4235✓0.9330k2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.108589-6.39%0.105-9.48%0.0159✓1.0064k2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551588.9817-6.88%54.2608-43.21%0.4189✓1.53315k2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.6538-7.11%5.95-27.79%0.2376✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.026126-7.63%0.017275-38.92%0.3498✓1.2989k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7175-7.66%1.365-26.61%0.1609✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.1328-8.85%1.4-40.17%0.3247✓1.94812k2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.063003-9.35%0.0633-8.92%0.0920✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.33.8965-9.38%3.31-23.02%0.0943✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.4772-9.40%1.578-3.22%0.1430✗1.55140k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0865-9.60%0.74-38.43%0.3374✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.03003-10.36%0.0271-19.10%0.0282✓1.50499k2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.040833-10.90%0.03367-26.53%0.1531✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.414-12.52%2.369-53.05%0.5718✓1.02664k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.534689-14.45%0.4549-27.22%0.0669✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.