8=======>

2022-02-09 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2333
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 81.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.9085.0321-14.83%2.42-59.04%0.5951✓1.001.0M2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037470.032235-13.97%0.01489-60.26%0.5971✓1.28114k2022-03-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.3511.1743-13.08%0.7156-47.03%0.3584✓1.001.9M2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046990.042049-10.51%0.04078-13.22%0.1063✓1.004.9M2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum4.764.2737-10.22%2.89-39.29%0.2042✓1.378.0M2022-03-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.82020.741541-9.59%0.3924-52.16%0.3851✓1.841.8M2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum2.462.2607-8.10%1.51-38.62%0.2666✓1.001.4M2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.282.1197-7.03%1.157-49.25%0.4168✓1.383.1M2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0860.08101-5.80%0.0576-33.02%0.1117✓1.6727.8M2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.121.8394-5.46%16.01-30.69%0.1531✓1.1526.1M2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.043.826-5.30%4.776+18.22%0.2665✗0.331.5M2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.031979-5.11%0.02301-31.72%0.1236✓1.50490k2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.318.8348-5.10%5.57-40.17%0.4137✓0.351.6M2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.86943.6793-4.91%2.0529-46.95%0.4629✓0.8828k2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.53.3304-4.85%1.97-43.71%0.3348✓1.3920.5M2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.9429.4787-4.72%27.47-11.22%0.0814✗1.1196.8M2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.96791.8805-4.44%2.5749+30.85%0.3986✗0.622.8M2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.230580.220576-4.34%0.15536-32.62%0.1330✓1.5936k2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana3.2693.1353-4.09%1.662-49.16%0.4978✓1.0067k2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.721.6497-4.08%1.36-20.93%0.0562✓1.001.2M2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34153.2106-3.92%2.3033-31.07%0.1995✓0.972.8M2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.123073-3.85%0.111-13.28%0.0337✓1.0072k2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60170.578761-3.81%0.5009-16.75%0.0020✓1.071.2M2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38521.3377-3.43%1.4867+7.33%0.3173✗1.55107k2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.845.6494-3.26%4.165-28.68%0.1378✓1.222.6M2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0354-3.23%0.93-13.08%0.0296✓1.00286k2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.76090.736449-3.21%0.4152-45.43%0.3633✓1.53938k2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.56650.548602-3.16%0.3152-44.36%0.3084✓1.7940.2M2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000002320.000002252-2.92%0.00000178-23.28%0.0984✓1.0015.1M2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,293.9825,533.52-2.89%18,538.11-29.50%0.1908✓0.9411.3M2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN9.3299.0593-2.89%5.556-40.44%0.4442✓0.3338k2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero185.83180.9635-2.62%170.68-8.15%0.0840✗1.041.5M2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0170070.016584-2.49%0.011862-30.25%0.1741✓1.181.6M2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase107.0699104.4475-2.45%48.7591-54.46%0.5674✓1.42320k2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7963.7069-2.35%2.869-24.42%0.1366✓0.87536k2022-03-11
UMAUMAEthereum6.666.504-2.34%7.075+6.23%0.2180✗0.981.9M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.80526.6459-2.34%5.8362-14.24%0.0897✓0.29407k2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum188.2183.7961-2.34%116.61-38.04%0.2640✓1.399.5M2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08670.084681-2.33%0.0661-23.76%0.0588✓1.38548k2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum47.9746.8637-2.31%40.81-14.93%0.0216✓1.1732.3M2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.1888.1513-2.25%71.25-20.99%0.0283✓1.3587.1M2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum67.6266.1222-2.22%45.9-32.12%0.1984✓1.228.4M2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0663-2.17%0.59-45.87%0.3264✓1.941.1M2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.399-2.17%0.959-32.94%0.1932✓1.35523k2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.825.2617-2.09%17.81-30.97%0.1350✓1.57398k2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107850.105606-2.08%0.09115-15.48%0.0021✓1.0649k2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.3223.8151-2.08%17.37-28.58%0.1525✓1.1910.4M2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.8853.8064-2.02%3.4608-10.92%0.0367✗0.962.2M2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.718.3257-2.00%13.05-30.21%0.1766✓1.1975.4M2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2638.0984-1.99%4.594-44.40%0.4285✓1.01460k2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.32180.31551-1.95%0.1962-39.03%0.2630✓1.554.0M2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.6092.5582-1.95%2.114-18.97%0.0464✓1.0522k2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.942.886-1.84%1.75-40.48%0.3256✓1.28401k2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 257.5656.5577-1.74%88.28+53.37%0.6377✗1.418.8M2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum144.23141.7334-1.73%102.07-29.23%0.1541✓1.2765k2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum150.18147.5849-1.73%113.22-24.61%0.1277✓1.007.6M2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013240.013013-1.72%0.01186-10.42%0.0160✓0.7912k2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07940.078083-1.66%0.06831-13.97%0.0150✓1.0921k2022-03-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0410.040332-1.63%0.0143-65.12%0.8837✓1.129.1M2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.212.1747-1.60%1.06-52.04%0.5573✓1.181.7M2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.162.1265-1.55%1.307-39.49%0.3109✓1.281.2M2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.29071.2707-1.55%1.1514-10.79%0.0631✗1.182.3M2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3312.1455-1.50%8.51-30.98%0.1751✓1.3212.5M2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007440.00733-1.48%0.00353-52.55%0.4567✓2.0019.8M2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos4.44294.3777-1.47%2.9889-32.73%0.2020✓1.312.3M2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.03120.030754-1.43%0.02468-20.90%0.0981✓0.896.6M2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.431.4098-1.41%1.113-22.17%0.0670✓1.243.2M2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.8976.8-1.41%4.778-30.72%0.2293✓0.9081k2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.31850.314112-1.38%0.2585-18.84%0.0429✓1.11518k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,416.3543,806.53-1.37%38,732.04-12.80%0.0138✗1.00642.7M2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7067280.69721-1.35%0.48841-30.89%0.1986✓1.153.5M2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.905-1.29%1.321-31.55%0.1947✓1.251.5M2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.02161.0088-1.25%0.7111-30.39%0.2069✓1.0413.5M2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.187.0904-1.25%6.28-12.53%0.0008✓0.88416k2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29630.292608-1.25%0.2186-26.22%0.1432✓1.081.7M2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum7.04236.9548-1.24%6.328-10.14%0.0277✗0.894.1M2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.6975-1.24%17.7-19.44%0.0189✓1.3537.4M2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum6.086.0063-1.21%4.44-26.97%0.1604✓1.04773k2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.8433.4342-1.20%26.5-21.69%0.0871✓1.064.0M2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000097210.000096044-1.20%0.0000731-24.80%0.1165✓1.145.6M2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.12370.122257-1.17%0.0787-36.38%0.2278✓1.551.5M2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3473.3092-1.13%2.741-18.11%0.0777✓0.81206k2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana65.9339-1.10%5.49-8.50%0.0294✗0.78377k2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.284957-1.06%0.226-21.53%0.1010✓0.9570k2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03711.0269-0.99%0.7014-32.37%0.2309✓1.1029.2M2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.5100.4992-0.99%78.04-23.11%0.1293✓0.901.4M2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.36335.3107-0.98%4.0628-24.25%0.1004✓1.22442k2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.35191.3397-0.90%0.96652-28.51%0.1857✓1.03279k2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.058190.057697-0.85%0.040059-31.16%0.2013✓1.198.8M2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.085730.085005-0.85%0.07118-16.97%0.0739✓0.7689k2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015090.014964-0.84%0.01151-23.72%0.0584✓1.491.7M2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum4.174.1359-0.82%3.44-17.51%0.0111✓1.261.9M2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.12120.120226-0.80%0.0935-22.85%0.1081✓1.0535k2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.941170.933985-0.76%0.65584-30.32%0.1512✓1.48311k2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5116.3862-0.75%12.74-22.83%0.1082✓1.05590k2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano1.19471.1859-0.74%0.7884-34.01%0.2563✓1.11109.8M2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum2.812.7895-0.73%1.705-39.32%0.3656✓0.922.6M2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,492.6044,167.53-0.73%38,852.80-12.68%0.0041✓0.9741k2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative20.70520.561-0.70%18.17-12.24%0.0600✗1.3410.4M2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4828.2914-0.66%27.91-2.00%0.1188✗0.97566k2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0833.0632-0.64%5.761+86.86%0.8166✗1.351.1M2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.24120.239704-0.62%0.1931-19.94%0.0255✓1.393.7M2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase2.42.3853-0.61%1.6874-29.69%0.1838✓1.19845k2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8014.7719-0.61%4.326-9.89%0.0160✗0.83346k2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.18680.185679-0.60%0.1335-28.53%0.2324✓0.71423k2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin140.21139.3917-0.58%104.55-25.43%0.1092✓1.3032.4M2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,246.223,228.05-0.56%2,556.42-21.25%0.0813✓1.11544.5M2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.16692-0.52%0.1489-11.26%0.0287✗1.04412k2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2388540.237606-0.52%0.183591-23.14%0.1179✓1.0224.9M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0242330.024108-0.52%0.01714-29.27%0.1749✓1.212.5M2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62330.620439-0.46%0.6706+7.59%0.2573✗1.312.6M2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1590480.158336-0.45%0.11539-27.45%0.1759✓1.037.1M2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash126.05125.4886-0.45%153.51+21.79%0.3740✗1.266.6M2022-03-11
DASHDashDash114.95114.4517-0.43%94.95-17.40%0.0316✓1.132.2M2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration192.22191.5546-0.35%124.19-35.39%0.2683✓1.201.0M2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.012530.012489-0.32%0.00939-25.06%0.0988✓1.361.3M2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.147.1181-0.31%7.84+9.80%0.2072✗0.81463k2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14290.142483-0.29%0.1144-19.94%0.0311✓1.383.2M2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8321.8274-0.25%1.464-20.09%0.0645✓1.151.6M2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase47.8347.7256-0.22%37.86-20.84%0.0209✓1.54461k2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.5910.589821-0.20%0.385-34.86%0.2300✓1.444.6M2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9110.8885-0.20%10.59-2.93%0.0688✗0.71660k2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4060.40532-0.17%0.262-35.47%0.2505✓1.361.8M2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.832.8256-0.15%2.16-23.67%0.1295✓1.02489k2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative1.17281.1711-0.14%0.8661-26.15%0.1021✓1.461.9M2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04680.046735-0.14%0.03906-16.54%0.0266✓1.1230k2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum7.20427.1947-0.13%5.8755-18.44%0.0046✓1.45156k2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.282.2786-0.06%1.64-28.07%0.1509✓1.302.2M2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.54060.54078+0.03%0.2924-45.91%0.4121✗1.482.2M2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash346.21346.4969+0.08%287.73-16.89%0.0464✗1.027.9M2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.067.0664+0.09%3.82-45.89%0.4642✗1.10733k2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.1618.181+0.12%13.84-23.79%0.1766✗0.70919k2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0861.0873+0.12%0.807-25.69%0.1106✗1.372.3M2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.487.4981+0.24%5.85-21.79%0.2040✗0.321.0M2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum1.09761.1009+0.30%0.6978-36.42%0.2447✗1.54672k2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48770.489288+0.33%0.3189-34.61%0.2479✗1.329.2M2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.9234.0407+0.36%22.89-32.52%0.1906✗1.512.0M2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.012050.012094+0.36%0.00879-27.05%0.1812✗1.01572k2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.2721.3818+0.53%13.72-35.50%0.2076✗1.723.8M2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032980.00003316+0.54%0.00002206-33.11%0.2159✗1.401.4M2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.89683.9197+0.59%3.707-4.87%0.0952✓1.102.5M2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.99822.0125+0.72%2.1155+5.87%0.2007✓1.1079k2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum10.0610.1365+0.76%8.54-15.11%0.0059✓1.292.5M2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059410.060021+1.03%0.0472-20.55%0.0444✗1.431.2M2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana114.04115.2239+1.04%80.7-29.24%0.1868✗1.24179.7M2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09430.095439+1.21%0.0696-26.19%0.1471✗1.23219k2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8270.837117+1.22%0.636-23.10%0.1253✗1.091.6M2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0699430.070882+1.34%0.060203-13.93%0.0404✗0.90362k2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.