2022-02-08 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2284

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.71%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.3%

in alpha space · 79.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.55%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.809	0.821114	+1.50%	0.618	-23.61%	0.1627	✗	1.09	1.7M	2022-03-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.093084	+1.29%	0.068	-26.01%	0.1768	✗	1.23	244k	2022-03-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068059	0.068929	+1.28%	0.059896	-11.99%	0.0406	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.58	114.7509	+1.03%	82.92	-26.99%	0.1870	✗	1.24	182.7M	2022-03-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05908	0.059677	+1.01%	0.0474	-19.77%	0.0707	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.1	20.2728	+0.86%	14	-30.35%	0.1786	✗	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.72	9.8011	+0.83%	8.5	-12.55%	0.0016	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0791	1.0876	+0.79%	0.7156	-33.69%	0.2465	✗	1.54	680k	2022-03-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003097	0.000031196	+0.73%	0.00002262	-26.96%	0.1662	✗	1.39	1.4M	2022-03-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01176	0.011831	+0.60%	0.00902	-23.30%	0.1592	✗	1.00	588k	2022-03-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4741	0.476658	+0.54%	0.3255	-31.34%	0.2350	✗	1.31	9.3M	2022-03-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8682	1.8774	+0.49%	2.1814	+16.76%	0.2721	✓	1.09	78k	2022-03-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.81	6.8353	+0.37%	4.08	-40.09%	0.3936	✗	1.10	789k	2022-03-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.82	30.9326	+0.37%	24.22	-21.41%	0.0783	✗	1.49	2.0M	2022-03-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.29	7.3118	+0.30%	6.04	-17.15%	0.1553	✗	0.32	1.1M	2022-03-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5159	3.5247	+0.25%	2.8775	-18.16%	0.0812	✗	1.09	2.5M	2022-03-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.371	0.371551	+0.15%	0.266	-28.30%	0.1836	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.0785	7.0868	+0.12%	6.006	-15.15%	0.0044	✗	1.44	179k	2022-03-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	335.57	335.808	+0.07%	289.59	-13.70%	0.0348	✗	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04912	0.049147	+0.05%	0.040695	-17.15%	0.0577	✗	1.17	8.8M	2022-03-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1335	0.13357	+0.05%	0.1198	-10.26%	0.0440	✓	1.37	3.2M	2022-03-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.045	1.0451	+0.01%	0.827	-20.86%	0.0816	✗	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5288	0.528545	-0.05%	0.2987	-43.51%	0.4047	✓	1.49	2.2M	2022-03-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.557	0.556693	-0.06%	0.386	-30.70%	0.2066	✓	1.43	4.6M	2022-03-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.78	2.7779	-0.08%	2.2	-20.86%	0.1200	✓	1.02	504k	2022-03-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04533	0.045267	-0.14%	0.03918	-13.57%	0.0202	✓	1.11	30k	2022-03-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01184	0.011818	-0.19%	0.00985	-16.81%	0.0309	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6264	0.624982	-0.23%	0.6973	+11.32%	0.2563	✗	1.32	2.7M	2022-03-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1789	1.1761	-0.24%	0.928	-21.28%	0.0740	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.19	2.1845	-0.25%	1.67	-23.74%	0.1240	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.1583	0.157832	-0.30%	0.116797	-26.22%	0.1866	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1638	0.163295	-0.31%	0.1518	-7.33%	0.0432	✗	1.04	362k	2022-03-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.62	47.4441	-0.37%	42.28	-11.21%	0.0568	✗	1.54	504k	2022-03-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022305	0.022211	-0.42%	0.01703	-23.65%	0.1308	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2258	0.224837	-0.43%	0.1964	-13.02%	0.0195	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.242394	0.241333	-0.44%	0.178633	-26.30%	0.1865	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-03-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	112.75	112.2509	-0.44%	104.65	-7.18%	0.0563	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-03-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.23	17.145	-0.49%	13.72	-20.37%	0.1450	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	133.82	133.1541	-0.50%	102.58	-23.34%	0.1160	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.791	1.7819	-0.51%	1.536	-14.24%	0.0205	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,119.57	3,103.60	-0.51%	2,608.22	-16.39%	0.0505	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-03-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.41	191.2593	-0.60%	126.53	-34.24%	0.2786	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.15	16.0452	-0.65%	12.75	-21.05%	0.1131	✓	1.05	604k	2022-03-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,914.50	42,622.51	-0.68%	39,505.90	-7.94%	0.0314	✗	0.96	41k	2022-03-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.78	2.7609	-0.69%	1.512	-45.61%	0.4992	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1858	0.184512	-0.69%	0.1369	-26.32%	0.2190	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9322	-0.70%	3.473	-12.30%	0.0163	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.692	6.6445	-0.71%	4.672	-30.19%	0.2516	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	10.3918	-0.75%	10.26	-2.01%	0.0652	✗	0.70	660k	2022-03-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1163	0.115422	-0.75%	0.0965	-17.02%	0.0628	✓	1.04	35k	2022-03-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.95	6.896	-0.78%	7.54	+8.49%	0.1791	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.344	1.3334	-0.78%	1.0319	-23.22%	0.1416	✓	1.03	292k	2022-03-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3589	2.3404	-0.78%	1.6882	-28.43%	0.1946	✓	1.18	845k	2022-03-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.237	20.0767	-0.79%	18.083	-10.64%	0.0449	✗	1.34	10.5M	2022-03-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.13	6.0803	-0.81%	4.46	-27.24%	0.1940	✓	1.04	867k	2022-03-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01536	0.015234	-0.82%	0.01209	-21.29%	0.0645	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1764	1.1667	-0.83%	0.807	-31.40%	0.2450	✓	1.11	113.2M	2022-03-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.578	4.5394	-0.84%	4.112	-10.18%	0.0065	✓	0.83	346k	2022-03-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.847	2.8227	-0.85%	3.236	+13.66%	0.2859	✗	1.34	1.1M	2022-03-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.08	26.8383	-0.89%	27.97	+3.29%	0.1486	✗	0.96	543k	2022-03-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	133.12	131.8766	-0.93%	157.3	+18.16%	0.3180	✗	1.27	6.6M	2022-03-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.283	0.280326	-0.95%	0.23	-18.73%	0.0915	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0239	1.0142	-0.95%	0.7308	-28.63%	0.2053	✓	1.10	29.4M	2022-03-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08606	0.085209	-0.99%	0.07709	-10.42%	0.0156	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009444	0.00009347	-1.03%	0.00008054	-14.72%	0.0217	✓	1.14	5.5M	2022-03-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92382	0.913967	-1.07%	0.68631	-25.71%	0.1216	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.215	5.1586	-1.08%	4.2989	-17.57%	0.0459	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.44	100.3411	-1.08%	78.54	-22.57%	0.1442	✓	0.90	1.5M	2022-03-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0786	0.077706	-1.14%	0.0702	-10.69%	0.0196	✗	1.09	21k	2022-03-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2815	0.278249	-1.15%	0.2216	-21.28%	0.1076	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1243	0.122859	-1.16%	0.0821	-33.95%	0.2295	✓	1.56	1.5M	2022-03-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.86	1.838	-1.18%	1.374	-26.13%	0.1517	✓	1.25	1.6M	2022-03-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.68	21.4161	-1.22%	16.97	-21.73%	0.0823	✓	1.35	39.2M	2022-03-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00724	0.007151	-1.23%	0.00366	-49.45%	0.4472	✓	2.00	20.0M	2022-03-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8111	6.7265	-1.24%	6.3304	-7.06%	0.0386	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.83	6.7448	-1.25%	6.06	-11.27%	0.0094	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.5591	-1.26%	5.2	-7.64%	0.0197	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3139	0.309795	-1.31%	0.2624	-16.41%	0.0423	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.19	1.1743	-1.32%	0.979	-17.73%	0.0340	✓	1.33	523k	2022-03-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.632	7.5309	-1.32%	4.75	-37.76%	0.3491	✓	1.00	460k	2022-03-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.422	1.4031	-1.33%	1.175	-17.37%	0.0393	✓	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.681804	0.672735	-1.33%	0.503035	-26.22%	0.1627	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,085.59	43,487.01	-1.36%	39,433.71	-10.55%	0.0137	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-03-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.06	31.6182	-1.38%	26.7	-16.72%	0.0514	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.95	11.7847	-1.38%	8.68	-27.36%	0.1590	✓	1.32	12.9M	2022-03-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2693	1.2517	-1.39%	1.1927	-6.04%	0.0838	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0314	0.030957	-1.41%	0.02578	-17.90%	0.0835	✓	0.89	7.0M	2022-03-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9872	0.973251	-1.41%	0.732	-25.85%	0.1688	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.261	3.2149	-1.41%	2.591	-20.55%	0.1258	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.11	2.0801	-1.42%	1.33	-36.97%	0.3041	✓	1.28	1.3M	2022-03-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04001	0.039411	-1.50%	0.01693	-57.69%	0.7207	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2139	-1.61%	1.12	-50.22%	0.5498	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.22	56.2768	-1.65%	101.21	+76.88%	0.7437	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01315	0.012932	-1.66%	0.01203	-8.52%	0.0163	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3	2.9495	-1.68%	1.79	-40.33%	0.3564	✓	1.28	407k	2022-03-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3927	4.3185	-1.69%	3.0579	-30.39%	0.1989	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	147.49	144.982	-1.70%	116.66	-20.90%	0.1057	✓	1.00	7.8M	2022-03-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.561	2.5172	-1.71%	2.141	-16.40%	0.0444	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.6	24.1587	-1.79%	17.9	-27.24%	0.1669	✓	1.19	10.5M	2022-03-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.05	1.0306	-1.84%	0.61	-41.90%	0.3087	✓	1.93	1.0M	2022-03-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	147.97	145.234	-1.85%	103.46	-30.08%	0.1968	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.4	18.0562	-1.87%	13.18	-28.37%	0.1822	✓	1.19	76.9M	2022-03-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3065	0.3005	-1.96%	0.2025	-33.93%	0.2225	✓	1.54	4.1M	2022-03-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.51	6.3763	-2.05%	7.407	+13.78%	0.2596	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	66.79	65.3784	-2.11%	46.78	-29.96%	0.1990	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.45	84.6082	-2.13%	73.95	-14.46%	0.0154	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.5194	3.444	-2.14%	2.8703	-18.44%	0.0761	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10219	0.099965	-2.18%	0.08882	-13.08%	0.0007	✓	1.05	49k	2022-03-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	101.7616	99.5312	-2.19%	51.3064	-49.58%	0.5047	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.99	25.417	-2.20%	18.43	-29.09%	0.1463	✓	1.57	405k	2022-03-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	179	174.9948	-2.24%	178.98	-0.01%	0.1382	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	184.15	179.9163	-2.30%	119.26	-35.24%	0.2558	✓	1.39	9.8M	2022-03-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016889	0.016497	-2.32%	0.011453	-32.19%	0.2338	✓	1.18	2.0M	2022-03-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.084437	-2.38%	0.0684	-20.92%	0.0565	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.39	45.2746	-2.40%	40.75	-12.16%	0.0246	✗	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.641	3.5469	-2.58%	2.69	-26.12%	0.1794	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000225	0.00000219	-2.69%	0.00000181	-19.56%	0.0788	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-03-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.653	8.4174	-2.72%	5.737	-33.70%	0.3477	✓	0.32	38k	2022-03-10
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.166	2.1043	-2.85%	1.676	-22.62%	0.1161	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0298	-2.85%	0.91	-14.15%	0.0122	✓	1.00	287k	2022-03-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7515	0.729683	-2.90%	0.4164	-44.59%	0.3901	✓	1.53	969k	2022-03-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,530.13	24,776.97	-2.95%	19,059.42	-25.35%	0.1572	✓	0.94	11.8M	2022-03-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5442	0.527087	-3.14%	0.3311	-39.16%	0.2641	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.3525	-3.21%	4.473	-19.11%	0.0440	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-03-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.319	1.2756	-3.29%	1.4191	+7.59%	0.2783	✗	1.54	106k	2022-03-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.69	1.6249	-3.85%	1.51	-10.65%	0.0382	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.118174	-3.92%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0122	✓	1.00	81k	2022-03-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5993	0.57571	-3.94%	0.5014	-16.34%	0.0189	✓	1.07	1.3M	2022-03-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.4688	3.3308	-3.98%	2.3707	-31.66%	0.2311	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-03-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	7.5798	7.2531	-4.31%	5.8363	-23.00%	0.1832	✓	0.31	389k	2022-03-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22456	0.214736	-4.37%	0.15896	-29.21%	0.1237	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9181	1.8305	-4.57%	2.7676	+44.29%	0.4819	✗	0.61	2.9M	2022-03-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.42	28.9743	-4.75%	28.05	-7.79%	0.0913	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-03-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.6711	3.4896	-4.94%	2.155	-41.30%	0.3844	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0344	0.032682	-4.99%	0.02397	-30.32%	0.1423	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.2478	-5.03%	2.046	-40.18%	0.3072	✓	1.39	20.8M	2022-03-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.65	8.2079	-5.11%	5.7	-34.10%	0.3266	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-03-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.85	3.6404	-5.44%	5.224	+35.69%	0.3968	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.02	21.7161	-5.66%	16.62	-27.80%	0.1393	✓	1.15	26.9M	2022-03-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0799	0.075279	-5.78%	0.0588	-26.41%	0.0621	✓	1.66	27.8M	2022-03-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.1022	-6.98%	1.201	-46.86%	0.4066	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0315	-8.90%	1.6	-28.25%	0.1272	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.65	4.1622	-10.49%	2.98	-35.91%	0.1820	✓	1.36	8.3M	2022-03-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04628	0.041364	-10.62%	0.04023	-13.07%	0.0837	✓	1.00	5.0M	2022-03-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8556	0.763317	-10.79%	0.4126	-51.78%	0.4092	✓	1.85	1.8M	2022-03-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.034271	0.030022	-12.40%	0.015274	-55.43%	0.5360	✓	1.25	114k	2022-03-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3504	1.1735	-13.10%	0.7483	-44.59%	0.3384	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-03-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.831	4.955	-15.02%	2.532	-56.58%	0.5599	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.