8=======>

2022-02-07 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1908
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.8%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.2875.7817-8.04%4.666-25.78%0.1839✓1.001.2M2022-02-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2991.2092-6.92%1.226-5.62%0.0444✓1.002.4M2022-02-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64830.608861-6.08%0.545-15.93%0.0545✓1.841.8M2022-02-14
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.6711-5.82%4.07-17.94%0.0957✓1.388.3M2022-02-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047780.045111-5.59%0.04361-8.73%0.0033✓1.005.1M2022-02-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383890.036332-5.36%0.028657-25.35%0.1986✓1.27117k2022-02-14
PROPropyEthereum2.22.0926-4.88%2.23+1.36%0.0942✗1.001.7M2022-02-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.17-3.98%1.81-19.91%0.1395✓1.373.3M2022-02-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0423.1571-3.67%20.74-13.73%0.0746✓1.1726.9M2022-02-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09010.086864-3.59%0.0688-23.64%0.1818✓1.6827.2M2022-02-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.068.7671-3.23%7.17-20.86%0.1899✓0.371.6M2022-02-14
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.6719-3.12%4.35+14.78%0.1792✗0.321.5M2022-02-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03690.03577-3.06%0.0338-8.40%0.0096✓1.54490k2022-02-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.563.4525-3.02%2.91-18.26%0.1279✓1.4120.8M2022-02-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09150.088855-2.89%0.0868-5.14%0.0190✓1.39540k2022-02-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.79933.6934-2.79%3.4806-8.39%0.0321✓0.8927k2022-02-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.6330.8371-2.51%27.16-14.13%0.0923✓1.14103.7M2022-02-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.227240.221737-2.42%0.1719-24.35%0.2061✓1.5936k2022-02-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.13009-2.19%0.114-14.29%0.1015✓1.0090k2022-02-14
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3082.2581-2.16%2.355+2.04%0.0726✗1.0066k2022-02-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.589038-2.15%0.4399-26.93%0.2368✓1.8040.2M2022-02-14
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28783.2173-2.14%2.8438-13.51%0.0937✓0.972.8M2022-02-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99871.956-2.13%1.9224-3.82%0.0020✓0.633.1M2022-02-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.22681.2017-2.04%1.2512+1.99%0.0871✗1.53103k2022-02-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015840.015518-2.03%0.01219-23.04%0.1959✓1.491.7M2022-02-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002350.000002303-2.02%0.00000213-9.36%0.0474✓1.0015.1M2022-02-14
MOVRMoonriverBase105.8832103.7508-2.01%83.68-20.97%0.1712✓1.44319k2022-02-14
STXStacksnative1.721.6854-2.01%1.47-14.53%0.1062✓1.001.3M2022-02-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,559.7226,062.59-1.87%23,089.90-13.06%0.0920✓0.9512.1M2022-02-14
QNTQuantEthereum154.1151.2219-1.87%121.35-21.25%0.1892✓1.017.6M2022-02-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62570.614424-1.80%0.5644-9.80%0.0521✓1.071.4M2022-02-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.763.6926-1.79%3.33-11.44%0.0771✓0.86585k2022-02-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.950.933025-1.79%0.94-1.05%0.0662✗1.92996k2022-02-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.79020.776226-1.77%0.6376-19.31%0.1497✓1.541.0M2022-02-14
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0516-1.72%0.94-12.15%0.0817✓1.00293k2022-02-14
AAVEAaveEthereum182.29179.2-1.70%161.11-11.62%0.0636✓1.409.8M2022-02-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3267.1697-1.68%56.82-16.83%0.1300✓1.227.8M2022-02-14
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9718.8224-1.66%7.128-20.54%0.2025✓0.3538k2022-02-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.569-1.65%15.9-15.78%0.1192✓1.1876.9M2022-02-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.95.8031-1.64%4.58-22.37%0.1988✓1.242.6M2022-02-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.2198-1.63%1.12-9.68%0.0445✓1.34511k2022-02-14
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3812.1853-1.57%10.62-14.22%0.0972✓1.3212.5M2022-02-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032550.000032047-1.54%0.00002958-9.12%0.0374✓1.401.3M2022-02-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.5224.1434-1.54%20.75-15.38%0.1150✓1.1910.4M2022-02-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104410.102822-1.52%0.09436-9.63%0.0538✓1.0547k2022-02-14
XMRMoneroMonero185.08182.3143-1.49%176.38-4.70%0.0010✓1.051.6M2022-02-14
LUNATerraTerra 259.4858.5991-1.48%53.94-9.31%0.0397✓1.418.8M2022-02-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.382.3453-1.46%1.84-22.69%0.2064✓1.192.0M2022-02-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.6562.6186-1.41%2.341-11.86%0.0795✓1.0722k2022-02-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007010.006911-1.41%0.00566-19.26%0.1389✓1.9919.8M2022-02-14
FTTFTXEthereum47.2246.5626-1.39%44.85-5.02%0.0016✓1.1733.0M2022-02-14
COMPCompoundEthereum145.96143.9293-1.39%123.15-15.63%0.1166✓1.2965k2022-02-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.32470.320231-1.38%0.2742-15.55%0.1074✓1.564.1M2022-02-14
XEMNEMnative0.11750.115884-1.38%0.1094-6.89%0.0254✓1.0535k2022-02-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.4146-1.32%3.9552+14.31%0.1760✗0.952.0M2022-02-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.32670.322574-1.26%0.2886-11.66%0.0771✓1.12554k2022-02-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.093.0512-1.26%2.68-13.27%0.0922✓1.23407k2022-02-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.281437-1.25%0.285+0.00%0.0421✗0.9770k2022-02-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.5425.2244-1.24%21.2-16.99%0.1258✓1.57411k2022-02-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6632.2589-1.23%31.42-3.80%0.0062✓1.073.8M2022-02-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.2382.2209-1.21%81.84-1.67%0.0364✗1.3485.1M2022-02-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7537.6601-1.20%7.402-4.53%0.0030✓1.02394k2022-02-14
UMAUMAEthereum6.616.531-1.19%6-9.23%0.0543✓1.001.9M2022-02-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.99850.986615-1.19%0.8459-15.28%0.1216✓1.0613.5M2022-02-14
RADRadworksEthereum65.9319-1.14%5.39-10.17%0.0635✓1.06867k2022-02-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.017210.017015-1.13%0.016621-3.42%0.0128✗1.192.0M2022-02-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.82334.7694-1.12%5.8399+21.08%0.2103✗0.25376k2022-02-14
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.576614-1.10%0.502-13.89%0.0944✓1.454.6M2022-02-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8681.8482-1.06%1.61-13.81%0.1024✓1.171.5M2022-02-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.089850.088904-1.05%0.07495-16.58%0.1469✓0.7886k2022-02-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.30021.2866-1.05%1.039-20.09%0.1770✓1.202.3M2022-02-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.39811.3835-1.04%1.1301-19.17%0.1704✓1.05308k2022-02-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4951.4794-1.04%1.259-15.79%0.1227✓1.273.4M2022-02-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.816.6251-1.04%15.4-8.33%0.0446✓1.05616k2022-02-14
KSMKusamaHydration198.23196.2094-1.02%167.33-15.59%0.1221✓1.211.0M2022-02-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.3722.1434-1.01%18.7-16.41%0.1274✓1.3640.7M2022-02-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.9108-0.99%1.7-11.92%0.0783✓1.261.7M2022-02-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5644-0.99%5.47-2.67%0.0065✓0.77356k2022-02-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.862.8319-0.98%2.29-19.93%0.1842✓0.932.4M2022-02-14
XTZTezosTezos4.14084.1006-0.97%3.9473-4.67%0.0022✓1.322.3M2022-02-14
GTGateEthereum7.30857.2383-0.96%6.6557-8.93%0.0569✓0.894.1M2022-02-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.033230.032911-0.96%0.02945-11.38%0.0837✓0.907.3M2022-02-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,868.0743,447.19-0.96%42,548.71-3.01%0.0096✗1.00642.7M2022-02-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.40295.3518-0.95%4.6155-14.57%0.1103✓1.24442k2022-02-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.07061.0605-0.94%0.9001-15.93%0.1306✓1.0929.2M2022-02-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.410.3026-0.94%11.42+9.81%0.1243✗0.70627k2022-02-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.041070.040687-0.93%0.02976-27.54%0.2792✓1.109.0M2022-02-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.679550.673236-0.93%0.593972-12.59%0.0899✓1.163.5M2022-02-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0942.0746-0.93%1.753-16.28%0.1291✓1.291.2M2022-02-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.796.7272-0.92%6.76-0.44%0.0315✗0.87416k2022-02-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0227.762-0.92%28.49+1.68%0.0555✗0.97528k2022-02-14
XYMSymbolnative0.19160.18987-0.90%0.1748-8.77%0.0607✓0.72419k2022-02-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2316.0852-0.89%17.92+10.41%0.1291✗0.69908k2022-02-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013540.013421-0.88%0.01366+0.89%0.0424✗0.8113k2022-02-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.78100.8867-0.88%93.76-7.88%0.0452✓0.921.5M2022-02-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.656.5938-0.84%6.47-2.71%0.0054✓0.80441k2022-02-14
HIVEHivenative1.23171.2214-0.84%1.0452-15.14%0.1111✓1.461.9M2022-02-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3063.2783-0.84%3.225-2.45%0.0082✓0.80206k2022-02-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15930.157997-0.82%0.1626+2.07%0.0602✗1.03349k2022-02-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27140.269259-0.79%0.268-1.25%0.0269✗1.031.7M2022-02-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.12480.123831-0.78%0.0983-21.23%0.1830✓1.571.6M2022-02-14
XECeCashnative0.000090070.000089373-0.77%0.00008178-9.20%0.0538✓1.155.5M2022-02-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.966860.959517-0.76%0.80709-16.52%0.1274✓1.49311k2022-02-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0731.0649-0.75%0.909-15.28%0.1160✓1.392.3M2022-02-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2396230.23785-0.74%0.210709-12.07%0.0895✓1.0424.4M2022-02-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0790.078419-0.74%0.0708-10.38%0.0688✓1.0921k2022-02-14
XVSVenusEthereum10.3310.2552-0.72%9.58-7.26%0.0281✓1.312.3M2022-02-14
ZECZcashZcash128.86127.9367-0.72%120.62-6.39%0.0196✓1.296.6M2022-02-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.9626.9138-0.69%6.017-13.57%0.1111✓0.9181k2022-02-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.272.2545-0.68%1.94-14.54%0.1103✓1.312.2M2022-02-14
DASHDashDash115.9115.1167-0.68%103.84-10.41%0.0681✓1.152.4M2022-02-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,141.893,120.67-0.68%2,931.01-6.71%0.0290✓1.10544.5M2022-02-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,893.5043,597.57-0.67%42,156.20-3.96%0.0041✓0.9741k2022-02-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5764.5452-0.67%4.631+1.20%0.0440✗0.83359k2022-02-14
BANDBandEthereum4.064.0327-0.67%4.21+3.69%0.0817✗1.272.0M2022-02-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0230540.022903-0.65%0.021238-7.88%0.0381✓1.222.5M2022-02-14
ADACardanoCardano1.19911.1914-0.64%1.05-12.43%0.0921✓1.12109.8M2022-02-14
XVGVergenative0.012220.012143-0.63%0.01132-7.36%0.0300✓1.321.3M2022-02-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.47037.424-0.62%6.5803-11.91%0.0760✓1.46156k2022-02-14
NANOnanopayBase2.36272.348-0.62%2.1432-9.29%0.0553✓1.18845k2022-02-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.12341.0215-0.61%330.66-3.63%0.0006✓1.036.8M2022-02-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63740.633503-0.61%0.5481-14.01%0.1046✓1.322.6M2022-02-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046570.046298-0.58%0.0437-6.16%0.0234✓1.1229k2022-02-14
ZENHorizenBase48.247.9292-0.56%41.27-14.38%0.1020✓1.56457k2022-02-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.387.3401-0.54%5.66-23.31%0.2284✓1.03751k2022-02-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9452.9292-0.53%2.793-5.16%0.0067✓1.34986k2022-02-14
SCSiacoinnative0.012110.012048-0.51%0.01033-14.70%0.1228✓1.02572k2022-02-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50650.503952-0.50%0.4039-20.26%0.1805✓1.349.3M2022-02-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.23450.233323-0.50%0.2046-12.75%0.0894✓1.383.6M2022-02-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.92311.9137-0.49%1.7556-8.71%0.0523✓1.1176k2022-02-14
KCSKuCoinnative20.30920.2115-0.48%19.607-3.46%0.0105✗1.3410.4M2022-02-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3840.382165-0.48%0.364-5.21%0.0081✓1.331.7M2022-02-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.0631.9077-0.48%26.44-17.53%0.1430✓1.472.0M2022-02-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.5350.532553-0.46%0.4478-16.30%0.1295✓1.442.0M2022-02-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1652910.164536-0.46%0.145821-11.78%0.0890✓1.047.1M2022-02-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin137.43136.8045-0.46%124.62-9.32%0.0538✓1.2930.6M2022-02-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16641.1616-0.41%0.9283-20.41%0.1775✓1.53725k2022-02-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.8121.7225-0.40%17.04-21.87%0.1901✓1.733.8M2022-02-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13820.137676-0.38%0.1573+13.82%0.1754✗1.383.2M2022-02-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3838-0.35%7.22-2.56%0.0124✓0.331.1M2022-02-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.822.8109-0.32%2.56-9.22%0.0626✓1.01504k2022-02-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.56463.5573-0.20%3.5401-0.69%0.0290✗1.112.5M2022-02-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8540.852833-0.14%0.759-11.12%0.0830✓1.101.6M2022-02-14
SOLSolanaSolana117.62117.5469-0.06%96.43-18.02%0.1603✓1.24181.0M2022-02-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427450.042742-0.01%0.046133+7.93%0.1120✗1.178.4M2022-02-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.062920.062928+0.01%0.05226-16.94%0.1420✗1.431.5M2022-02-14
TRXTRONTron0.0685170.068564+0.07%0.064484-5.89%0.0336✗0.91362k2022-02-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09480.094897+0.10%0.0819-13.61%0.1099✗1.22244k2022-02-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.