2022-02-05 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2232

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.59%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

73.6%

in alpha space · 65.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.03%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086939	+0.05%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0380	✗	1.18	244k	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.778	0.778316	+0.04%	0.745	-4.24%	0.0646	✗	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9682	0.968418	+0.02%	0.9401	-2.90%	0.0626	✗	1.64	725k	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05888	0.058881	+0.00%	0.05601	-4.87%	0.0762	✗	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064762	0.064726	-0.06%	0.063473	-1.99%	0.0376	✓	0.90	379k	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	113.8	113.7135	-0.08%	95.95	-15.69%	0.1938	✓	1.19	187.6M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002254	0.000022518	-0.10%	0.0000292	+29.55%	0.2343	✗	1.27	1.3M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.040382	0.040308	-0.18%	0.044288	+9.67%	0.0690	✗	1.25	8.4M	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.3404	3.3334	-0.21%	3.5079	+5.01%	0.0301	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.354	0.353192	-0.23%	0.37	+4.52%	0.0207	✗	1.28	1.7M	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.059	6.0451	-0.23%	5.916	-2.36%	0.0382	✓	0.83	91k	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.24	7.2183	-0.30%	7.93	+9.53%	0.0878	✗	0.31	1.1M	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.67	8.6418	-0.32%	8.98	+3.58%	0.0135	✗	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.04	19.9705	-0.35%	17.04	-14.97%	0.1935	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1293	0.128806	-0.38%	0.1393	+7.73%	0.0526	✗	1.28	3.3M	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0405	0.040339	-0.40%	0.03381	-16.52%	0.1972	✓	1.03	9.0M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2088	0.207961	-0.40%	0.2064	-1.15%	0.0335	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.8	121.283	-0.42%	126.78	+4.09%	0.0182	✗	1.30	31.3M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02206	0.021964	-0.44%	0.021888	-0.78%	0.0246	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.67	6.6406	-0.44%	5.98	-10.34%	0.1245	✓	0.98	818k	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4481	0.446089	-0.45%	0.4191	-6.47%	0.0879	✓	1.27	9.4M	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.66	2.648	-0.45%	2.56	-3.76%	0.0537	✓	0.99	579k	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01113	0.011077	-0.48%	0.01276	+14.65%	0.1155	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4932	0.490568	-0.53%	0.4604	-6.65%	0.0909	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01122	0.01116	-0.53%	0.01149	+2.41%	0.0037	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01154	0.011477	-0.55%	0.01068	-7.45%	0.0923	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.81	29.6397	-0.57%	28.49	-4.43%	0.0718	✓	1.61	2.1M	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147026	0.146178	-0.58%	0.144281	-1.87%	0.0334	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.08	115.379	-0.60%	117.83	+1.51%	0.0039	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.728	2.7115	-0.60%	2.76	+1.17%	0.0089	✓	1.33	911k	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.74	318.7645	-0.62%	330.64	+3.09%	0.0162	✗	1.02	7.6M	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.61	45.329	-0.62%	40.89	-10.35%	0.1341	✓	1.55	568k	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5995	0.595747	-0.63%	0.562	-6.26%	0.0838	✓	1.27	2.7M	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1933	2.1795	-0.63%	2.1781	-0.69%	0.0238	✓	1.15	845k	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.976	0.969862	-0.63%	0.942	-3.48%	0.0561	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.9281	6.8828	-0.65%	6.7389	-2.73%	0.0496	✓	1.42	174k	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.686	19.5564	-0.66%	19.111	-2.92%	0.0512	✓	1.40	10.5M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8014	1.7891	-0.68%	1.7725	-1.60%	0.0309	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2627	0.260845	-0.71%	0.2514	-4.30%	0.0589	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,014.50	2,992.88	-0.72%	2,919.99	-3.14%	0.0466	✓	1.09	557.7M	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.6	102.8542	-0.72%	104.19	+0.57%	0.0099	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00674	0.00669	-0.74%	0.00616	-8.61%	0.1232	✓	2.03	20.1M	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.213222	0.211631	-0.75%	0.218218	+2.34%	0.0107	✗	0.99	24.9M	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04465	0.04431	-0.76%	0.04235	-5.15%	0.0669	✓	1.08	28k	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1255	1.1168	-0.78%	1.0596	-5.86%	0.0747	✓	1.10	110.9M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.92529	0.918072	-0.78%	0.80694	-12.79%	0.1616	✓	1.62	350k	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000839	0.000083235	-0.79%	0.0000823	-1.91%	0.0335	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		96.73	95.9592	-0.80%	94.11	-2.71%	0.0377	✓	0.91	1.6M	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3221	1.3116	-0.80%	1.1541	-12.71%	0.1477	✓	0.99	333k	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.069	0.068429	-0.83%	0.0956	+38.55%	0.3097	✗	1.23	540k	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.8677	-0.83%	4.27	+9.49%	0.0736	✗	1.26	2.1M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4236	-0.85%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0041	✓	0.72	377k	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.17	2.1511	-0.87%	2.02	-6.91%	0.0887	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1381	1.1281	-0.87%	1.0443	-8.24%	0.1009	✓	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0763	0.075631	-0.88%	0.0717	-6.03%	0.0747	✓	1.06	21k	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1181	0.117051	-0.89%	0.1035	-12.36%	0.1526	✓	1.47	1.6M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.3	15.1634	-0.89%	15.16	-0.92%	0.0196	✓	0.96	663k	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.52	6.4616	-0.90%	6.67	+2.30%	0.0152	✗	0.82	478k	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01353	0.013408	-0.90%	0.01362	+0.67%	0.0022	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.45	22.247	-0.90%	22.54	+0.40%	0.0181	✓	1.55	411k	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.4015	-0.91%	6.4	-0.93%	0.0153	✓	0.75	463k	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.231	3.2017	-0.91%	3.162	-2.14%	0.0279	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.51	4.4691	-0.91%	4.786	+6.12%	0.0526	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.48	5.4286	-0.94%	5.34	-2.55%	0.0364	✓	0.99	875k	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.79	1.7729	-0.96%	1.69	-5.59%	0.0723	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.921	1.9024	-0.97%	1.812	-5.67%	0.0727	✓	1.20	1.2M	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0021	0.992251	-0.98%	0.9188	-8.31%	0.0992	✓	1.11	29.4M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.166	1.1544	-1.00%	1.052	-9.78%	0.1212	✓	1.41	1.9M	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.652675	0.646162	-1.00%	0.617618	-5.37%	0.0681	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.761	1.7434	-1.00%	1.618	-8.12%	0.0969	✓	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,460.80	41,033.56	-1.03%	42,568.00	+2.67%	0.0172	✗	0.97	40k	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03104	0.030719	-1.03%	0.03125	+0.68%	0.0007	✓	0.82	7.6M	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9423	3.9014	-1.04%	4.109	+4.23%	0.0261	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.533	0.527475	-1.04%	0.514	-3.56%	0.0534	✓	1.37	4.6M	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,404.85	40,969.77	-1.05%	42,244.97	+2.03%	0.0106	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.77	0.761853	-1.06%	0.94	+22.08%	0.1726	✗	1.87	996k	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.97	21.7363	-1.06%	20.86	-5.05%	0.0641	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.35	21.1224	-1.07%	18.82	-11.85%	0.1421	✓	1.33	43.5M	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8205	84.8935	-1.08%	85.8439	+0.03%	0.0159	✓	1.35	320k	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1203	5.0641	-1.10%	4.7989	-6.28%	0.0785	✓	1.23	406k	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0234	6.9459	-1.10%	6.758	-3.78%	0.0442	✓	0.84	4.1M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.09	76.2392	-1.10%	81.34	+5.51%	0.0384	✗	1.31	87.1M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	9.9882	-1.11%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0851	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	185.88	183.8164	-1.11%	166.09	-10.65%	0.1240	✓	1.12	1.0M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1551	0.153372	-1.11%	0.1672	+7.80%	0.0655	✗	1.04	337k	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9491	0.938359	-1.13%	0.8744	-7.87%	0.0913	✓	1.03	14.2M	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.87	15.6892	-1.14%	18.05	+13.74%	0.1276	✗	0.63	908k	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.42	29.0792	-1.16%	31.67	+7.65%	0.0647	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1855	0.183345	-1.16%	0.1736	-6.42%	0.0685	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.89	2.8562	-1.17%	2.3	-20.42%	0.2356	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.4	6.3227	-1.21%	6.32	-1.25%	0.0203	✓	0.99	1.9M	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.085	0.083973	-1.21%	0.07609	-10.48%	0.1137	✓	0.75	84k	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1129	0.111533	-1.21%	0.1086	-3.81%	0.0463	✓	0.98	37k	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016433	0.016229	-1.24%	0.015897	-3.26%	0.0437	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	136.68	134.9312	-1.28%	127.26	-6.89%	0.0833	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.31	2.2804	-1.28%	1.92	-16.88%	0.1960	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.93	131.2051	-1.30%	133.7	+0.58%	0.0006	✓	0.91	7.6M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8615	-1.33%	2.5	-13.79%	0.1586	✓	1.17	441k	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.519	1.4988	-1.33%	1.267	-16.59%	0.1927	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9549	0.942129	-1.34%	1.2471	+30.60%	0.2515	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	168.71	166.4389	-1.35%	173.82	+3.03%	0.0231	✗	1.01	1.7M	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.514	6.4261	-1.35%	6.939	+6.52%	0.0573	✗	0.97	341k	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.265	0.261417	-1.35%	0.338	+27.55%	0.2386	✗	0.91	63k	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.27	11.1175	-1.35%	10.64	-5.59%	0.0696	✓	1.28	12.5M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.8	56.022	-1.37%	59.18	+4.19%	0.0326	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.166	8.0532	-1.38%	7.781	-4.71%	0.0410	✓	0.33	40k	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2266	3.1813	-1.40%	3.7974	+17.69%	0.1582	✗	0.94	2.0M	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3148	0.310292	-1.43%	0.2852	-9.40%	0.1060	✓	1.08	554k	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.2	163.7189	-1.49%	162.52	-2.21%	0.0347	✓	1.36	10.9M	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.562	2.5224	-1.55%	2.354	-8.12%	0.0892	✓	1.00	22k	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.7941	4.7199	-1.55%	5.9446	+24.00%	0.2256	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3102	0.305338	-1.57%	0.2838	-8.51%	0.1042	✓	1.55	4.1M	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	45.4283	-1.59%	44.18	-4.29%	0.0510	✓	1.15	34.0M	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5202	0.511582	-1.66%	0.4544	-12.65%	0.1540	✓	1.76	42.5M	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	55.39	54.4689	-1.66%	51.96	-6.19%	0.0756	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.21	1.1896	-1.69%	1.12	-7.44%	0.0860	✓	1.28	490k	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.35	27.8705	-1.69%	30.19	+6.49%	0.0605	✗	0.97	513k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.77	17.4569	-1.76%	15.97	-10.13%	0.1126	✓	1.17	77.2M	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10107	0.099253	-1.80%	0.09377	-7.22%	0.0768	✓	1.00	47k	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,186.77	24,732.65	-1.80%	23,131.85	-8.16%	0.0852	✓	0.91	12.4M	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.6	3.5329	-1.86%	3.312	-8.00%	0.0804	✓	0.79	678k	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.76	5.6498	-1.91%	4.89	-15.10%	0.1685	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7727	0.757878	-1.92%	0.6501	-15.87%	0.1821	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6186	0.60602	-2.03%	0.5785	-6.48%	0.0684	✓	1.09	1.5M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0145	2.9504	-2.13%	2.9115	-3.41%	0.0312	✓	0.89	2.8M	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0368	0.036014	-2.14%	0.0322	-12.50%	0.1431	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4881	3.4085	-2.28%	3.527	+1.12%	0.0173	✓	0.84	26k	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.986609	-2.32%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0474	✓	1.00	333k	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.58	1.5431	-2.33%	1.52	-3.80%	0.0352	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.054	2.0048	-2.40%	1.8422	-10.31%	0.0977	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20531	0.200348	-2.42%	0.18496	-9.91%	0.1102	✓	1.51	32k	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.15	7.9317	-2.68%	7.78	-4.54%	0.0262	✓	0.34	1.6M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000226	0.000002197	-2.77%	0.00000217	-3.98%	0.0326	✓	1.00	15.3M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.76	29.9011	-2.79%	27.07	-12.00%	0.1219	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.4684	-2.85%	4.07	+14.01%	0.1541	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039527	0.038391	-2.87%	0.028632	-27.56%	0.3190	✓	1.28	120k	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.124316	-2.88%	0.116	-9.37%	0.0893	✓	1.00	102k	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.21	2.1457	-2.91%	1.91	-13.57%	0.1440	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.42	3.3137	-3.11%	2.87	-16.08%	0.1715	✓	1.38	21.3M	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.24	2.168	-3.22%	2.404	+7.32%	0.0833	✗	1.00	67k	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.26	21.348	-4.10%	20.07	-9.84%	0.0844	✓	1.13	26.9M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.1175	-4.62%	2.22	+0.00%	0.0272	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4421	0.421561	-4.65%	0.6015	+36.06%	0.3227	✗	1.63	1.8M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.68	4.4568	-4.77%	4.15	-11.32%	0.0982	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05051	0.047967	-5.03%	0.04741	-6.14%	0.0318	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1089	0.102756	-5.64%	0.0682	-37.37%	0.4476	✓	1.87	26.7M	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2863	1.2018	-6.57%	1.2939	+0.59%	0.0538	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.769	5.3814	-6.72%	4.904	-14.99%	0.1130	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.