2022-01-26 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0899

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

58.0%

in alpha space · 60.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.476234	+3.69%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2558	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034926	+2.72%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0302	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.05037	+2.59%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0522	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	80.4959	+2.56%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0923	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.570363	+2.29%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.0930	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.818045	+2.26%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5048	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.3551	+2.23%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0659	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9516	+2.18%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0301	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	20.268	+2.05%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0604	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	127.5706	+2.02%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0539	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.5362	+1.94%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0135	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.249	+1.79%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0393	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007938	+1.76%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2736	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.9205	+1.76%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0598	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.76	+1.73%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0576	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1349	+1.68%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0142	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.5882	+1.60%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0276	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.226	+1.57%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0472	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	148.9305	+1.56%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0125	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	91.2184	+1.53%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0723	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.0405	+1.52%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0295	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.0872	+1.51%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0645	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.9553	+1.45%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0837	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.7002	+1.43%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0528	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.116577	+1.37%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1431	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.2505	+1.35%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0390	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014783	+1.34%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0027	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.326022	+1.25%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0344	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	93.3041	+1.22%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0864	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.409181	+1.11%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0136	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.174578	+1.09%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0291	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0709	+1.08%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0286	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047694	+1.05%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1349	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	98.6506	+1.05%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1383	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,442.99	+1.04%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0617	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.021124	+1.04%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0450	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.079	+1.03%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0284	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021312	+0.95%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0352	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.1229	+0.95%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0451	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.966	+0.94%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0275	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.956	+0.94%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0152	✓	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6905	+0.90%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0118	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	166.773	+0.88%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0298	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.874743	+0.86%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0744	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009864	+0.86%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0115	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.751948	+0.80%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0473	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010431	+0.78%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0943	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.662	+0.78%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0154	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056598	+0.77%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0333	✓	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.861	+0.75%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0113	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5635	+0.74%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0784	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3268	+0.73%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0530	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	149.4989	+0.73%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0323	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.5564	+0.72%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1351	✓	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.096	+0.71%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0102	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.504507	+0.70%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0850	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.1761	+0.70%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0285	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.119196	+0.67%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0905	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9623	+0.67%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2333	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.2611	+0.67%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0864	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009624	+0.67%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0189	✓	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.7168	+0.65%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0548	✓	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.236453	+0.62%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0244	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.163472	+0.60%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0701	✓	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	290.8767	+0.57%	278	-3.88%	0.0476	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012248	+0.56%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0263	✓	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0845	+0.55%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0577	✗	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.80677	+0.53%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0384	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4575	+0.51%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0284	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.408	+0.50%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1183	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.533472	+0.50%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0666	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,494.20	+0.49%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0351	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6376	+0.47%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0075	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8998	+0.44%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0422	✓	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.061	+0.44%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0650	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0769	+0.44%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2219	✗	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.08025	+0.44%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0134	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099529	+0.43%	0.11	+11.00%	0.0967	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.329	+0.39%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0319	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.802	+0.37%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0485	✓	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.04406	+0.36%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5743	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.503313	+0.36%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0669	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064732	+0.36%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0809	✗	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.858942	+0.34%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0245	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2379	+0.34%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0859	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	66.1127	+0.34%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0233	✓	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041915	+0.32%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1585	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.672142	+0.32%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0532	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.612	+0.32%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0678	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061984	+0.30%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0342	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000072006	+0.25%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0491	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.811804	+0.23%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0061	✗	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0907	+0.23%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0643	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.2404	+0.22%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0074	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3851	+0.20%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1271	✗	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.7201	+0.20%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0149	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1647	+0.18%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1563	✓	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0301	+0.18%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0089	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.924868	+0.17%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0041	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.7677	+0.16%	90	-0.68%	0.0106	✗	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.6483	+0.14%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1064	✓	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224476	+0.12%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2114	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247296	+0.12%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0087	✓	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5437	+0.11%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0115	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.196936	+0.00%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0218	✗	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.1656	-0.01%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0915	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,464.41	-0.02%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0824	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097676	-0.02%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0360	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.3246	-0.06%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0753	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029858	-0.07%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0220	✓	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.8522	-0.09%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0541	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083182	-0.15%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0695	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0764	-0.18%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0497	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8608	-0.20%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1422	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068709	-0.21%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0696	✗	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.2952	-0.21%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0550	✓	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8626	-0.23%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0013	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052349	-0.23%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3438	✓	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.14262	-0.31%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0418	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038197	-0.32%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0216	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5823	-0.33%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1436	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6452	-0.33%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0300	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.6137	-0.35%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1415	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.255115	-0.38%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0835	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.448556	-0.39%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0507	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3278	-0.39%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0403	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,694.25	-0.40%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0040	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6776	-0.48%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1230	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.2391	-0.66%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1661	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3192	-0.67%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0715	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.388	-0.70%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2082	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.854555	-0.77%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0106	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.972	-0.93%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0158	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.596802	-1.01%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2503	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.049831	-1.29%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1360	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.2081	-1.70%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3519	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.520724	-1.77%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0265	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.71	-1.85%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0878	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2312	-1.87%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0049	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.162162	-1.91%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1611	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.692	-2.00%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.0936	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	31.6567	-2.14%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1868	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4011	-3.18%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1268	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.