2022-01-24 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1400

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.04%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.5%

in alpha space · 76.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.5103	+4.56%	6.25	+18.60%	0.0824	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.008245	+3.71%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2392	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.9602	+3.70%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0353	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	17.0149	+3.31%	20.15	+22.34%	0.0824	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.474102	+3.27%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.1524	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.1802	+3.16%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0911	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.9212	+3.15%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0429	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	78.0699	+3.06%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.0985	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0816	+3.05%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0333	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.216	+2.88%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0570	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.038671	+2.85%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8319	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	128.1548	+2.70%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1164	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.9279	+2.70%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0600	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.821327	+2.67%	0.82	+2.50%	0.0790	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.228579	+2.64%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0022	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.320161	+2.62%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0762	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.5129	+2.57%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1312	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	94.2382	+2.48%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0030	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.8027	+2.42%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0127	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	13.1203	+2.42%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0398	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.057038	+2.40%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0107	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.3217	+2.29%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0227	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.034464	+2.27%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0491	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.838454	+2.25%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0197	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.487339	+2.17%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0674	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.6136	+2.13%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0109	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.878002	+2.12%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0286	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.5635	+2.11%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0166	✓	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.828	+2.11%	41	+20.20%	0.0876	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.717605	+2.08%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0350	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	24,438.84	+2.06%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0280	✗	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.565321	+2.04%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0139	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009531	+2.04%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0055	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009545	+1.98%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0118	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.911	+1.97%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0126	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.02133	+1.97%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0690	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.054045	+1.84%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.4122	✗	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	96.2071	+1.82%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0819	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.3566	+1.81%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0120	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.0414	+1.80%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0628	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.531	+1.79%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1475	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.104124	+1.78%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.0828	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	15.887	+1.77%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0179	✓	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.1167	+1.76%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2320	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.5959	+1.74%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0753	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.681638	+1.74%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1535	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	104.6722	+1.72%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1247	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	6.0417	+1.71%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0661	✗	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.9411	+1.67%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0259	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3483	+1.66%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0617	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.897209	+1.66%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1336	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.2251	+1.59%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0579	✗	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.050962	+1.56%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1707	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.760539	+1.46%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0284	✓	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.860796	+1.45%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0381	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.012084	+1.37%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0551	✓	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.431611	+1.36%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0057	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0338	+1.34%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0458	✓	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.924493	+1.31%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0287	✗	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.800955	+1.31%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0139	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	3.0029	+1.31%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0842	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	154.3904	+1.30%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0430	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	51.9032	+1.29%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0490	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.027676	+1.27%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0270	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.051229	+1.26%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0482	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.4122	+1.25%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0393	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055747	+1.23%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0123	✓	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.014503	+1.16%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0746	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.397719	+1.15%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0339	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.8521	+1.14%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0705	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.062814	+1.12%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.1989	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,469.02	+1.12%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0314	✓	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.6522	+1.11%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0629	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.177526	+1.10%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0059	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	176.8076	+1.07%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1590	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.076713	+1.07%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0021	✓	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.112209	+1.00%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0526	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	23.6827	+0.91%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0522	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6272	+0.90%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.1005	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000072591	+0.89%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0033	✓	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.9489	+0.86%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0566	✗	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.213826	+0.81%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1870	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.010331	+0.79%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.0983	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3584	+0.79%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0445	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.1691	+0.78%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0073	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.1047	+0.77%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0032	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.037238	+0.76%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0106	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.138466	+0.76%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0312	✗	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	91.1717	+0.75%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0253	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.511689	+0.75%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0074	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.058196	+0.68%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0685	✓	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.3557	+0.67%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0101	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021371	+0.67%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0657	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.199371	+0.64%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0496	✗	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	20.9191	+0.62%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1505	✓	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	147.9038	+0.59%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0519	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.508012	+0.58%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0503	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1696	+0.57%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0880	✓	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	36,900.30	+0.56%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0056	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.677	+0.55%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0669	✓	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.143355	+0.53%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.0981	✗	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	293.8091	+0.44%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0810	✗	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.1306	+0.41%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1354	✓	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.037807	+0.39%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0127	✓	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	63.261	+0.33%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0369	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.2421	+0.30%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0039	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.157528	+0.21%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1202	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5542	+0.19%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0445	✓	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	20.7652	+0.17%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1090	✗	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.714	+0.08%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0629	✓	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.0482	+0.06%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0313	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,660.09	+0.05%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0031	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.26192	+0.01%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1502	✓	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253995	-0.00%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0743	✓	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.6395	-0.01%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0719	✗	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.7042	-0.01%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0768	✗	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	109.6091	-0.04%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0656	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.5241	-0.05%	14.25	+13.73%	0.0953	✗	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097653	-0.05%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0068	✓	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.2814	-0.05%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1293	✓	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.2399	-0.05%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0499	✗	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.4728	-0.08%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0095	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	91.6903	-0.10%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0512	✓	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9379	-0.11%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0039	✓	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.572097	-0.19%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1471	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.2069	-0.31%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2478	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.081255	-0.40%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0196	✗	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.2038	-0.51%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0118	✗	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0607	-0.54%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0633	✓	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.808399	-0.71%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0345	✓	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.5772	-0.88%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2574	✓	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	35.2568	-0.94%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1544	✗	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.5435	-0.95%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0193	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	65.2389	-1.03%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3094	✓	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.05566	-1.07%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.1581	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.3327	-1.14%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3558	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.163626	-1.45%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0749	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.8369	-2.46%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0720	✗	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.517946	-2.55%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0024	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.8389	-2.57%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1299	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5079	-2.98%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1842	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	34.9516	-2.99%	28.07	-22.09%	0.2763	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.4811	-3.08%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1193	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.