2022-01-23 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0303

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.45%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

34.3%

in alpha space · 53.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	3.23	3.1114	-3.67%	2.27	-29.72%	0.3590	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-01-30
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.37	4.247	-2.81%	3.63	-16.93%	0.1693	✓	0.28	471k	2022-01-30
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.65	33.8178	-2.40%	27.19	-21.53%	0.2654	✓	1.08	111.1M	2022-01-30
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3242	1.3002	-1.81%	1.3913	+5.07%	0.0241	✗	1.00	4.0M	2022-01-30
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.018	7.8796	-1.73%	5.737	-28.45%	0.3610	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-30
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5547	0.545439	-1.67%	0.5479	-1.23%	0.0471	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-30
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.06498	0.063919	-1.63%	0.05311	-18.27%	0.2289	✓	1.00	13.3M	2022-01-30
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16077	0.158856	-1.19%	0.18014	+12.05%	0.0585	✗	1.54	7,011	2022-01-30
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4593	1.4434	-1.09%	1.7386	+19.14%	0.1508	✗	0.81	1.9M	2022-01-30
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.73	69.1631	-0.81%	46.21	-33.73%	0.4834	✓	1.84	7.9M	2022-01-30
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8434	0.839656	-0.44%	0.8483	+0.58%	0.0559	✓	1.51	107k	2022-01-30
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7981	2.7875	-0.38%	3.0137	+7.71%	0.0330	✗	1.03	2.1M	2022-01-30
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.609	0.606704	-0.38%	0.5593	-8.16%	0.1637	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-01-30
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.057846	0.05763	-0.37%	0.03743	-35.29%	0.4752	✓	1.00	507k	2022-01-30
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1111	6.093	-0.30%	6.7915	+11.13%	0.0674	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-01-30
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.99	35.9084	-0.23%	41.05	+14.06%	0.0812	✗	1.20	31.8M	2022-01-30
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.57	2.5671	-0.11%	2.14	-16.73%	0.2515	✓	1.59	2.7M	2022-01-30
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5571	3.5537	-0.10%	3.587	+0.84%	0.0090	✗	0.01	371k	2022-01-30
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2697	0.269883	+0.07%	0.3236	+19.99%	0.1117	✓	1.60	4.6M	2022-01-30
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1249	1.1261	+0.10%	1.0359	-7.91%	0.1337	✗	1.15	108.9M	2022-01-30
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,282.47	36,323.79	+0.11%	37,901.35	+4.46%	0.0011	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-30
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141702	0.141897	+0.14%	0.139318	-1.68%	0.0676	✗	1.13	6.7M	2022-01-30
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.96	8.9732	+0.15%	9.32	+4.02%	0.0050	✓	0.75	784k	2022-01-30
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4546	0.455348	+0.16%	0.4519	-0.59%	0.0681	✗	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-30
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9942	2.9997	+0.18%	3.0214	+0.91%	0.0304	✗	0.86	3,116	2022-01-30
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.649	2.654	+0.19%	2.693	+1.66%	0.0523	✗	1.53	1.2M	2022-01-30
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.49	2.4966	+0.27%	2.57	+3.21%	0.0402	✗	1.58	2.2M	2022-01-30
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.033	6.0518	+0.31%	5.789	-4.04%	0.0895	✗	1.03	293k	2022-01-30
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,541.19	2,549.47	+0.33%	2,602.89	+2.43%	0.0287	✗	1.13	535.4M	2022-01-30
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6289	1.6343	+0.33%	1.5641	-3.98%	0.0925	✗	1.11	95k	2022-01-30
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.201066	0.201735	+0.33%	0.195399	-2.82%	0.0788	✗	1.07	25.3M	2022-01-30
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.97	13.0212	+0.39%	14.02	+8.10%	0.0431	✓	0.71	813k	2022-01-30
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.17	25.2719	+0.40%	24.92	-0.99%	0.0625	✗	1.11	3.3M	2022-01-30
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0379	0.038057	+0.41%	0.04035	+6.46%	0.0086	✓	1.14	26k	2022-01-30
XEM	NEM	native	0.0976	0.098005	+0.42%	0.1024	+4.92%	0.0031	✓	1.08	41k	2022-01-30
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02905	0.029171	+0.42%	0.02962	+1.96%	0.0271	✗	0.97	8.4M	2022-01-30
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.35	112.893	+0.48%	108.59	-3.35%	0.0973	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-01-30
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08478	0.085193	+0.49%	0.08818	+4.01%	0.0184	✗	1.21	43k	2022-01-30
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2245	0.225626	+0.50%	0.2571	+14.52%	0.0817	✓	1.12	419k	2022-01-30
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.88	15.9642	+0.53%	17.407	+9.62%	0.0177	✓	1.58	10.7M	2022-01-30
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.278	0.279496	+0.54%	0.251	-9.71%	0.1499	✗	0.97	70k	2022-01-30
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		93.79	94.3195	+0.56%	90.34	-3.68%	0.0856	✗	0.97	1.7M	2022-01-30
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007477	0.000075203	+0.58%	0.00007524	+0.63%	0.0481	✗	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-30
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.4346	4.4614	+0.60%	4.8343	+9.01%	0.0270	✓	1.22	431k	2022-01-30
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.4254	+0.64%	2.48	+2.90%	0.0225	✗	1.03	798k	2022-01-30
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.844	3.869	+0.65%	4.078	+6.09%	0.0181	✓	0.79	436k	2022-01-30
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06514	0.065567	+0.66%	0.07979	+22.49%	0.1595	✓	0.84	60k	2022-01-30
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9895	0.996064	+0.66%	0.9447	-4.53%	0.1042	✗	1.17	34.7M	2022-01-30
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	191.51	192.821	+0.68%	163.11	-14.83%	0.2201	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-01-30
XMR	Monero	Monero	156.73	157.8423	+0.71%	148.16	-5.47%	0.1082	✗	1.03	2.6M	2022-01-30
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.061743	+0.72%	0.066	+7.67%	0.0172	✓	1.13	21k	2022-01-30
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.095	2.1103	+0.73%	2.243	+7.06%	0.0128	✓	1.10	24k	2022-01-30
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.81	55.2206	+0.75%	53.4	-2.57%	0.0865	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-01-30
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.665018	+0.76%	0.64	-3.03%	0.1209	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-30
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.59	3.6174	+0.76%	3.45	-3.90%	0.0996	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-30
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.44	2.4595	+0.80%	2.27	-6.97%	0.1319	✗	1.18	667k	2022-01-30
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.815	5.8618	+0.81%	5.9884	+2.98%	0.0423	✗	1.46	251k	2022-01-30
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,274.40	36,567.81	+0.81%	37,655.60	+3.81%	0.0146	✗	1.01	42k	2022-01-30
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1477	0.14894	+0.84%	0.1251	-15.30%	0.2167	✗	0.97	346k	2022-01-30
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1069	0.107797	+0.84%	0.1219	+14.03%	0.0573	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-01-30
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1436	3.17	+0.84%	3.0959	-1.52%	0.0733	✗	1.14	3.9M	2022-01-30
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.37	24.5833	+0.88%	26.29	+7.88%	0.0059	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-01-30
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.33	7.3946	+0.88%	7.28	-0.68%	0.0333	✗	0.41	2.6M	2022-01-30
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.945	2.971	+0.88%	3.067	+4.14%	0.0032	✓	0.80	523k	2022-01-30
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5301	0.534951	+0.92%	0.5123	-3.36%	0.1007	✗	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-30
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	22.3	22.5045	+0.92%	25.75	+15.47%	0.1017	✓	0.76	353k	2022-01-30
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2414	0.243624	+0.92%	0.2398	-0.66%	0.0711	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-30
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1617	0.163201	+0.93%	0.1781	+10.14%	0.0565	✓	0.71	536k	2022-01-30
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1145	2.1342	+0.93%	2.5078	+18.60%	0.1109	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-30
DASH	Dash	Dash	99.58	100.5605	+0.98%	92.77	-6.84%	0.1341	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-01-30
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0753	3.1058	+0.99%	3.2781	+6.59%	0.0061	✓	1.38	2.8M	2022-01-30
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022662	0.022888	+1.00%	0.021008	-7.30%	0.1366	✗	1.17	3.7M	2022-01-30
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.507	0.512115	+1.01%	0.496	-2.17%	0.0997	✗	1.55	8.0M	2022-01-30
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.54463	0.550173	+1.02%	0.553313	+1.59%	0.0479	✗	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-30
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000225	0.00002273	+1.02%	0.00002109	-6.27%	0.1380	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-30
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039977	0.040394	+1.04%	0.038887	-2.73%	0.0966	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-30
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.74	305.903	+1.04%	290.04	-4.20%	0.0998	✗	1.07	7.0M	2022-01-30
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009934	+1.06%	0.00984	+0.10%	0.0571	✗	1.09	630k	2022-01-30
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.7186	+1.10%	1.66	-2.35%	0.0816	✗	1.07	2.6M	2022-01-30
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.129	6.1965	+1.10%	6.101	-0.46%	0.0511	✗	0.81	163k	2022-01-30
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057499	0.058135	+1.11%	0.058692	+2.07%	0.0325	✗	0.96	478k	2022-01-30
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.76101	0.769479	+1.11%	0.83304	+9.47%	0.0022	✓	1.77	792k	2022-01-30
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.85	5.9157	+1.12%	6.14	+4.96%	0.0002	✓	0.85	616k	2022-01-30
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.881	0.890985	+1.13%	0.897	+1.82%	0.0537	✗	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-30
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.38	6.4533	+1.15%	5.92	-7.21%	0.1325	✗	1.06	3.6M	2022-01-30
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.154	1.1673	+1.16%	1.414	+22.53%	0.1373	✓	1.25	3.8M	2022-01-30
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.9	5.9695	+1.18%	5.92	+0.34%	0.0488	✗	0.93	995k	2022-01-30
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	19.0459	+1.20%	18.19	-3.35%	0.1060	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-30
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05184	0.052464	+1.20%	0.04709	-9.16%	0.1631	✗	1.26	11.6M	2022-01-30
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.43	11.5706	+1.23%	10.8	-5.51%	0.1269	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-01-30
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0783	0.07927	+1.24%	0.0797	+1.79%	0.0487	✗	1.24	308k	2022-01-30
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.85	65.6563	+1.24%	67.98	+4.83%	0.0225	✗	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-30
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	109.75	111.1158	+1.24%	94.77	-13.65%	0.2042	✗	1.03	7.0M	2022-01-30
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.227	2.255	+1.26%	2.2301	+0.14%	0.0665	✗	1.27	739k	2022-01-30
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8156	0.826225	+1.30%	0.8142	-0.17%	0.0631	✗	1.11	22.7M	2022-01-30
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.24	2.2694	+1.31%	2.13	-4.91%	0.1290	✗	1.50	6.1M	2022-01-30
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.611	1.6326	+1.34%	1.788	+10.99%	0.0355	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-30
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.421	1.4402	+1.35%	1.486	+4.57%	0.0212	✗	1.20	1.8M	2022-01-30
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,099.20	25,438.52	+1.35%	23,834.59	-5.04%	0.1043	✗	0.90	20.9M	2022-01-30
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.05	14.243	+1.37%	14.23	+1.28%	0.0483	✗	1.09	886k	2022-01-30
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4151	0.420862	+1.39%	0.3997	-3.71%	0.1067	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-01-30
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.02	5.0901	+1.40%	5.28	+5.18%	0.0049	✓	0.73	483k	2022-01-30
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01032	0.010465	+1.41%	0.00971	-5.91%	0.1300	✗	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-30
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01258	0.012758	+1.42%	0.01326	+5.41%	0.0008	✓	0.86	21k	2022-01-30
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.94	3.9961	+1.42%	5.25	+33.25%	0.2195	✓	1.22	3.1M	2022-01-30
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.90224	0.916034	+1.53%	1.0776	+19.43%	0.1065	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-30
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015019	0.015252	+1.55%	0.014098	-6.13%	0.1312	✗	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-30
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0945	1.1116	+1.56%	1.158	+5.80%	0.0041	✓	1.03	402k	2022-01-30
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1855	0.188395	+1.56%	0.1816	-2.10%	0.0981	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-01-30
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.58	99.1399	+1.60%	93.02	-4.67%	0.1231	✗	1.36	7.8M	2022-01-30
SOL	Solana	Solana	99.82	101.4603	+1.64%	93.31	-6.52%	0.1368	✗	1.22	142.2M	2022-01-30
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.138	3.1908	+1.68%	3.138	+0.00%	0.0550	✗	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-30
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.72	161.3925	+1.68%	149.01	-6.12%	0.1362	✗	1.29	16.2M	2022-01-30
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.743834	+1.76%	0.732	+0.14%	0.0646	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-01-30
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.331	0.33688	+1.78%	0.313	-5.44%	0.1353	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-01-30
XVG	Verge	native	0.00969	0.009865	+1.81%	0.00997	+2.89%	0.0481	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-30
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1139	0.115965	+1.81%	0.1153	+1.23%	0.0640	✗	1.33	4.2M	2022-01-30
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.77	36.4291	+1.84%	40.22	+12.44%	0.0300	✓	1.58	613k	2022-01-30
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	6.0294	+1.85%	6.16	+4.05%	0.0124	✓	0.78	645k	2022-01-30
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.67	16.9852	+1.89%	17.77	+6.60%	0.0083	✓	1.23	75.4M	2022-01-30
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.52	6.6466	+1.94%	6.37	-2.30%	0.0531	✗	0.24	1.2M	2022-01-30
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0576	0.058744	+1.99%	0.0619	+7.47%	0.0119	✓	1.47	683k	2022-01-30
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.28	21.7078	+2.01%	19.28	-9.40%	0.1755	✗	1.30	34.3M	2022-01-30
HIVE	Hive	native	0.839	0.855995	+2.03%	0.9375	+11.74%	0.0248	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-01-30
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.17	17.5179	+2.03%	19.1	+11.24%	0.0067	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-01-30
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.21	5.3171	+2.06%	5.09	-2.30%	0.0885	✗	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-30
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.66	4.7641	+2.23%	4.09	-12.23%	0.2116	✗	1.35	14.5M	2022-01-30
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.17	8.3542	+2.25%	7.79	-4.65%	0.1260	✗	1.28	3.0M	2022-01-30
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00841	0.008606	+2.32%	0.0074	-12.01%	0.2571	✗	2.43	22.6M	2022-01-30
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8623	+2.33%	1.9	+4.40%	0.0395	✗	1.36	3.1M	2022-01-30
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.243	7.414	+2.36%	7.233	-0.14%	0.0401	✗	0.35	37k	2022-01-30
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.596	0.610493	+2.43%	0.5944	-0.27%	0.0940	✗	1.54	1.4M	2022-01-30
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.02	3.0946	+2.47%	3.18	+5.30%	0.0335	✗	1.39	32.4M	2022-01-30
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05508	0.056464	+2.51%	0.0595	+8.02%	0.0140	✓	1.52	1.9M	2022-01-30
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.28	131.5103	+2.52%	117.46	-8.43%	0.1679	✗	1.26	88k	2022-01-30
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.9691	87.242	+2.67%	75.0918	-11.62%	0.2060	✗	1.28	465k	2022-01-30
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.45	19.9792	+2.72%	20.05	+3.08%	0.0644	✗	1.56	944k	2022-01-30
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.51	20.057	+2.80%	19.84	+1.69%	0.0636	✗	1.21	14.2M	2022-01-30
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0375	0.038578	+2.87%	0.0774	+106.40%	0.6119	✓	1.93	23.4M	2022-01-30
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.874867	+2.93%	0.81	-4.71%	0.1466	✗	1.59	569k	2022-01-30
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8591	0.889364	+3.52%	1.0017	+16.60%	0.0288	✓	2.06	984k	2022-01-30
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0335	0.034747	+3.72%	0.0352	+5.07%	0.0511	✗	1.47	1.0M	2022-01-30
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5018	0.527603	+5.14%	0.4444	-11.44%	0.2293	✗	1.32	2.3M	2022-01-30

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.