2022-01-21 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1322

141 of 141 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.74%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

65.2%

in alpha space · 61.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.30%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.88	18.6161	+4.12%	15.23	-14.82%	0.2944	✗	1.81	4.1M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.49	6.7326	+3.74%	4.65	-28.35%	0.4157	✗	0.88	1.0M	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.94	10.2991	+3.61%	8.95	-9.96%	0.2006	✗	1.17	3.0M	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.32	115.5856	+2.91%	90.78	-19.18%	0.3016	✗	1.16	142.2M	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0939	0.096052	+2.29%	0.091	-3.09%	0.1235	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	2.0408	+2.04%	1.73	-13.50%	0.2350	✗	1.35	3.1M	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.010217	+1.97%	0.00962	-3.99%	0.1292	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2523	0.257083	+1.90%	0.2401	-4.84%	0.1332	✗	1.26	1.9M	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.764	0.778408	+1.89%	0.7	-8.38%	0.1626	✗	1.09	2.0M	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061109	0.062224	+1.82%	0.06201	+1.47%	0.0526	✗	0.95	486k	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1225	6.2238	+1.66%	6.2326	+1.80%	0.0723	✗	1.43	263k	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.01	2,609.59	+1.58%	2,622.47	+2.08%	0.0527	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.357373	+1.53%	0.3	-14.77%	0.2470	✗	1.39	1.8M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8678	0.880197	+1.43%	0.8239	-5.06%	0.1674	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.8081	+1.31%	7.17	+6.70%	0.0424	✓	0.18	1.2M	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.94	39.4143	+1.22%	34.75	-10.76%	0.2060	✗	1.55	620k	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.957	6.0216	+1.08%	5.516	-7.40%	0.1284	✗	0.79	163k	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	114.44	115.6551	+1.06%	107.71	-5.88%	0.1219	✗	0.98	6.9M	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.984	0.994299	+1.05%	0.796	-19.11%	0.2938	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142057	0.143528	+1.04%	0.136714	-3.76%	0.1039	✗	1.07	6.7M	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.91734	0.926817	+1.03%	1.1176	+21.83%	0.1253	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.55	15.7006	+0.97%	12.98	-16.53%	0.2459	✗	1.08	841k	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.67	19.857	+0.95%	16.92	-13.98%	0.2312	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,456.94	36,790.37	+0.91%	38,389.03	+5.30%	0.0091	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0092	0.009278	+0.85%	0.00465	-49.46%	0.8155	✗	2.41	23.2M	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.98	22.1144	+0.61%	19.82	-9.83%	0.1700	✗	1.17	14.5M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.197	2.2082	+0.51%	2.067	-5.92%	0.1212	✗	1.07	24k	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3265	2.3373	+0.46%	1.9689	-15.37%	0.2349	✗	1.23	699k	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0634	0.063688	+0.45%	0.0654	+3.15%	0.0312	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01044	0.010487	+0.45%	0.00912	-12.64%	0.1947	✗	1.07	641k	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0834	0.083767	+0.44%	0.0729	-12.59%	0.2007	✗	1.20	269k	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5186	0.520721	+0.41%	0.4602	-11.26%	0.1868	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.84	1.8462	+0.34%	1.49	-19.02%	0.2686	✗	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.73	0.732237	+0.31%	0.78	+6.85%	0.0339	✗	1.88	1.3M	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016171	0.016216	+0.28%	0.01318	-18.50%	0.2695	✗	1.20	2.7M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.04	315.5668	+0.17%	302.87	-3.86%	0.0948	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,607.80	36,668.98	+0.17%	38,642.80	+5.56%	0.0007	✓	1.00	18k	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.120719	+0.10%	0.1343	+11.36%	0.0373	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002226	0.000022262	+0.01%	0.00002547	+14.42%	0.0625	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.68	5.6782	-0.03%	7.05	+24.12%	0.1649	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	139.37	139.2841	-0.06%	116.98	-16.07%	0.2372	✓	1.21	88k	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.95	25.9207	-0.11%	27.23	+4.93%	0.0069	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95	94.8744	-0.13%	74.3242	-21.76%	0.3093	✓	1.26	489k	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4811	0.480295	-0.17%	0.3961	-17.67%	0.2653	✓	1.40	2.6M	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202862	0.202465	-0.20%	0.194647	-4.05%	0.0946	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.31	6.2971	-0.20%	5.7	-9.67%	0.1374	✓	0.73	652k	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.826	7.7995	-0.34%	6.591	-15.78%	0.1848	✓	0.32	38k	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05388	0.053691	-0.35%	0.0487	-9.61%	0.1749	✓	1.50	2.1M	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03977	0.039628	-0.36%	0.03914	-1.58%	0.0700	✓	1.11	25k	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.63	12.5849	-0.36%	9.36	-25.89%	0.3636	✓	1.31	12.7M	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2219	2.2135	-0.38%	2.6921	+21.16%	0.1370	✗	1.14	4.3M	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007968	0.000079362	-0.40%	0.00007437	-6.66%	0.1185	✓	1.04	6.5M	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.061646	-0.41%	0.0744	+20.19%	0.1135	✗	1.44	684k	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4491	-0.44%	2.28	-7.32%	0.1243	✓	1.02	869k	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5345	3.5184	-0.46%	5.735	+62.26%	0.4875	✗	0.02	371k	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.561	0.558359	-0.47%	0.471	-16.04%	0.2499	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0363	0.036111	-0.52%	0.028	-22.87%	0.3297	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9392	-0.52%	4.38	+10.61%	0.0457	✗	1.17	2.4M	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81011	0.805372	-0.58%	0.70618	-12.83%	0.2204	✓	1.72	848k	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.011043	-0.60%	0.01078	-2.97%	0.0887	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4351	-0.68%	1.454	+0.62%	0.0485	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.55846	0.554583	-0.69%	0.570834	+2.22%	0.0332	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.64	5.5988	-0.73%	5.01	-11.17%	0.1458	✓	0.67	494k	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.56	6.5108	-0.75%	6.14	-6.40%	0.1002	✓	0.80	616k	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022082	0.021913	-0.76%	0.019255	-12.80%	0.1862	✓	1.10	3.7M	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.243	6.195	-0.77%	6.2563	+0.21%	0.0370	✓	0.91	4.3M	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.31	23.1156	-0.83%	27.93	+19.82%	0.1516	✗	0.73	342k	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4366	0.432951	-0.84%	0.3917	-10.28%	0.1677	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.71	2.6858	-0.89%	1.82	-32.84%	0.4716	✓	1.60	2.2M	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6672	1.6518	-0.92%	1.6203	-2.81%	0.0777	✓	1.13	95k	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1639	0.162275	-0.99%	0.154	-6.04%	0.0876	✓	0.68	536k	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.097	0.096035	-0.99%	0.0988	+1.86%	0.0270	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0303	0.029986	-1.04%	0.02715	-10.40%	0.1505	✓	0.99	8.3M	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.808	16.6238	-1.10%	18.962	+12.82%	0.0494	✗	1.59	10.7M	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.738	1.7181	-1.15%	1.532	-11.85%	0.1784	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.209	1.1948	-1.18%	1.063	-12.08%	0.1829	✓	1.28	4.0M	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.51	113.1399	-1.20%	110.69	-3.34%	0.0906	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.97	0.957906	-1.25%	0.9	-7.22%	0.1464	✓	1.63	569k	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.73	104.3664	-1.29%	98.1	-7.22%	0.1244	✓	1.21	2.8M	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.6	6.5148	-1.29%	5.36	-18.79%	0.2489	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.39	57.6305	-1.30%	52.1	-10.77%	0.1613	✓	1.17	6.3M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3417	3.2977	-1.32%	3.2624	-2.37%	0.0800	✓	1.34	3.1M	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1474	0.145445	-1.33%	0.1362	-7.60%	0.1142	✓	0.94	362k	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.44	17.2071	-1.34%	14.6	-16.28%	0.2275	✓	1.22	75.4M	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.195338	-1.34%	0.1863	-5.91%	0.1190	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6747	0.665363	-1.38%	0.5079	-24.72%	0.3486	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.35	100.9141	-1.40%	108.11	+5.63%	0.0004	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05552	0.054702	-1.47%	0.02116	-61.89%	1.0186	✓	1.33	12.0M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0303	1.0149	-1.50%	0.8455	-17.94%	0.2445	✓	1.20	32.1M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08324	0.081958	-1.54%	0.08575	+3.02%	0.0158	✓	1.18	38k	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5619	0.552973	-1.59%	0.516	-8.17%	0.1363	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2519	-1.66%	1.44	-37.12%	0.5205	✓	1.42	2.7M	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07197	0.070744	-1.70%	0.06754	-6.16%	0.0873	✓	0.79	56k	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1848	1.164	-1.76%	0.98512	-16.85%	0.2178	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1211	1.1013	-1.77%	0.9319	-16.88%	0.2255	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.857	0.841836	-1.77%	0.7859	-8.30%	0.1248	✓	1.09	22.7M	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	213.87	209.9168	-1.85%	138.87	-35.07%	0.4741	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,741.64	25,261.18	-1.87%	20,667.46	-19.71%	0.2435	✓	0.83	20.9M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.68	93.893	-1.87%	84.46	-11.73%	0.1545	✓	0.94	1.8M	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041641	0.040846	-1.91%	0.051219	+23.00%	0.1600	✗	1.28	9.3M	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.271	0.265407	-2.06%	0.24	-11.44%	0.1475	✓	0.91	60k	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.234414	-2.16%	0.2525	+5.38%	0.0173	✓	1.10	440k	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7186	4.6158	-2.18%	4.0929	-13.26%	0.1813	✓	1.18	443k	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.12	4.0212	-2.40%	4.211	+2.21%	0.0076	✓	0.75	445k	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.45	2.3889	-2.50%	1.41	-42.45%	0.6004	✓	1.42	7.4M	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.17	4.0659	-2.50%	4.06	-2.64%	0.0637	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	66.07	64.3311	-2.63%	77.39	+17.13%	0.1183	✗	1.29	87.3M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.82	168.2549	-2.64%	153.87	-10.97%	0.1399	✓	0.98	2.7M	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0417	0.040591	-2.66%	0.0531	+27.34%	0.2170	✗	1.00	24.3M	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2921	0.284104	-2.74%	0.2213	-24.24%	0.3323	✓	1.60	4.6M	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	0.906	0.880902	-2.77%	0.9158	+1.08%	0.0363	✓	1.46	3.9M	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.42	13.0444	-2.80%	14.71	+9.61%	0.0846	✗	0.69	813k	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01394	0.013545	-2.83%	0.01266	-9.18%	0.1121	✓	0.86	21k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	171.09	166.1756	-2.87%	137.55	-19.60%	0.2525	✓	1.23	17.6M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.86	24.1215	-2.97%	23.63	-4.95%	0.1091	✓	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.392	3.2902	-3.00%	3.107	-8.40%	0.1010	✓	0.85	1.1M	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.555	3.4472	-3.03%	3.02	-15.05%	0.1939	✓	1.19	3.9M	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.8052	-3.12%	3.63	-26.81%	0.3484	✓	1.32	17.0M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.23	20.5646	-3.13%	18.79	-11.49%	0.1693	✓	1.53	944k	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.11	3.0099	-3.22%	2.9539	-5.02%	0.0702	✓	0.99	2.2M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.19	23.3563	-3.45%	18.7	-22.70%	0.2894	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.074	-3.47%	9.77	+3.94%	0.0362	✗	0.73	800k	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.7908	-3.77%	2.48	-14.48%	0.1761	✓	1.12	737k	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8913	0.856009	-3.96%	1.8141	+103.53%	0.6876	✗	1.23	108k	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	64.94	62.308	-4.05%	49.33	-24.04%	0.3279	✓	1.83	7.7M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16704	0.160175	-4.11%	0.15607	-6.57%	0.1049	✓	1.53	6,849	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.6333	-4.22%	6.57	-17.57%	0.1688	✓	0.36	3.1M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.52	36.881	-4.25%	40.84	+6.02%	0.0418	✓	1.16	25.7M	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.168	3.0325	-4.28%	2.798	-11.68%	0.1197	✓	0.76	526k	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.061424	0.058729	-4.39%	0.025474	-58.53%	0.8869	✓	1.00	644k	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.795	2.6608	-4.80%	2.5	-10.55%	0.1414	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.5661	1.4894	-4.90%	0.95	-39.34%	0.5013	✓	1.00	4.2M	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.351	7.9315	-5.02%	5.697	-31.78%	0.3828	✓	1.01	301k	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.31	3.142	-5.08%	2.55	-22.96%	0.2854	✓	1.48	32.4M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.647	8.1598	-5.63%	2.828	-67.30%	1.1113	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6365	0.592802	-6.87%	0.3785	-40.53%	0.5417	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4321	1.3232	-7.60%	2.0176	+40.88%	0.3780	✗	0.85	1.4M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2277	2.9753	-7.82%	2.1375	-33.78%	0.3749	✓	0.86	2,257	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5351	0.492168	-8.02%	0.5119	-4.34%	0.0260	✓	1.27	1.7M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.64	31.7813	-8.25%	26.09	-24.68%	0.2476	✓	0.97	104.1M	2022-02-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.1404	-10.96%	6.97	+49.89%	0.4986	✗	0.43	471k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.