8=======>

2022-01-16 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2867
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.5%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0845150.074834-11.45%0.029039-65.64%0.9804✓1.001.9M2022-02-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos43.7139.1965-10.33%29.01-33.63%0.3330✓0.9596.8M2022-02-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.03150.93895-8.97%0.4669-54.74%0.7580✓1.7643.6M2022-02-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.201110.184001-8.51%0.17939-10.80%0.0790✓1.595,3602022-02-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65360.60107-8.04%0.5957-8.86%0.0558✓1.391.0M2022-02-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.4296-7.52%4.65-2.92%0.0210✓0.82471k2022-02-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.323.0775-7.30%1.98-40.36%0.4840✓1.273.1M2022-02-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3410.5412-7.04%7.99-29.54%0.2831✓0.182.5M2022-02-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.823.5529-6.99%1.92-49.74%0.6582✓1.278.5M2022-02-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.134.7737-6.95%3.18-38.01%0.4534✓1.4032.4M2022-02-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.01590.01492-6.16%0.00613-61.45%0.9698✓2.3825.3M2022-02-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.91990.863229-6.16%0.6393-30.50%0.3341✓1.002.8M2022-02-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.478.9076-5.94%6.26-33.90%0.3767✓0.71995k2022-02-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.15073.9115-5.76%3.776-9.03%0.0608✓0.762,2572022-02-15
MANADecentralandEthereum3.12032.9464-5.57%3.335+6.88%0.0895✗1.025.1M2022-02-15
LUNATerraTerra 287.1682.3196-5.55%56.85-34.78%0.4302✓1.787.4M2022-02-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.33740.319099-5.42%0.3139-6.97%0.0511✓1.03397k2022-02-15
SUSHISushiEthereum6.976.5977-5.34%4.43-36.44%0.4418✓1.2917.7M2022-02-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.719.1936-5.32%7.4-23.79%0.2164✓-0.021.4M2022-02-15
HIVEHivenative1.31931.2493-5.31%1.1327-14.14%0.1451✓1.403.8M2022-02-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08481.0274-5.29%1.3864+27.80%0.2653✗1.02108k2022-02-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.075693-5.27%0.0729-8.76%0.0713✓1.0026.3M2022-02-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.1829.5798-5.13%21.78-30.15%0.3536✓1.4134.3M2022-02-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.66130.628264-5.00%0.4864-26.45%0.3024✓1.382.6M2022-02-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.493.3161-4.98%2.77-20.63%0.2166✓1.09808k2022-02-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53811.4623-4.93%2.1748+41.40%0.3676✗0.87988k2022-02-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.5124.2576-4.91%17.35-31.99%0.3753✓1.1974.2M2022-02-15
IMXImmutableEthereum4.173.9812-4.53%2.48-40.53%0.5207✓1.402.2M2022-02-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.519721-4.46%0.388-28.68%0.3362✓1.301.8M2022-02-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,593.6932,100.00-4.45%24,489.02-27.10%0.2932✓0.6724.4M2022-02-15
GITCOINGITCOIN11.31410.8156-4.41%7.889-30.27%0.3193✓0.1140k2022-02-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.041140.039369-4.30%0.03092-24.84%0.2723✓0.918.4M2022-02-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2734.7244-4.26%28.67-20.95%0.2476✓1.662.7M2022-02-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.08341.9954-4.22%1.8634-10.56%0.1058✓1.1189k2022-02-15
XMRMoneroMonero224.12214.9946-4.07%182.65-18.50%0.1964✓0.993.1M2022-02-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.42991.3724-4.02%0.9706-32.12%0.3860✓1.1730.5M2022-02-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.05431.0125-3.97%0.6605-37.35%0.4745✓1.401.5M2022-02-15
BANDBandEthereum5.685.4549-3.96%4.65-18.13%0.1969✓1.102.2M2022-02-15
MOVRMoonriverBase149.9189144.0656-3.90%98.6528-34.20%0.4165✓1.12489k2022-02-15
ZENHorizenBase55.1353.0091-3.85%43.12-21.78%0.2569✓1.49642k2022-02-15
FTTFTXEthereum46.4344.6549-3.82%47.17+1.59%0.0174✓1.1122.3M2022-02-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0484-3.82%1.11+1.83%0.0073✓1.911.5M2022-02-15
RADRadworksEthereum8.27.8888-3.80%5.66-30.98%0.3618✓0.881.1M2022-02-15
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8317.1627-3.74%11.48-35.61%0.4462✓1.3112.6M2022-02-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.3488.917-3.71%93.07+0.79%0.0058✓1.18106.0M2022-02-15
AAVEAaveEthereum242.5233.5236-3.70%172.28-28.96%0.3441✓1.1817.6M2022-02-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.512.4182-3.66%1.971-21.47%0.2422✓1.122.0M2022-02-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3033.1829-3.64%2.887-12.59%0.1562✓1.74980k2022-02-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.2977.4008-3.60%63.31-21.15%0.2373✓1.086.3M2022-02-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.57776.3414-3.59%4.9639-24.53%0.2860✓1.22457k2022-02-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32953.2106-3.57%4.0137+20.55%0.1830✗1.191.9M2022-02-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05581.0182-3.55%0.86024-18.52%0.2288✓1.78896k2022-02-15
GTGateEthereum7.06216.8124-3.54%6.9311-1.85%0.0118✓0.863.8M2022-02-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.34120.329167-3.53%0.2864-16.06%0.1903✓1.523.8M2022-02-15
KSMKusamaHydration277.6267.8297-3.52%176.23-36.52%0.4585✓1.181.4M2022-02-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.098-3.48%6.39-23.84%0.2696✓0.974.1M2022-02-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0576850.05571-3.42%0.054953-4.74%0.0541✓1.207.5M2022-02-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017450.016853-3.42%0.01398-19.89%0.2115✓0.7325k2022-02-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.13731.0985-3.42%0.8985-21.00%0.2346✓1.0023.2M2022-02-15
ZECZcashZcash141.5136.7212-3.38%126.04-10.93%0.1251✓1.3010.9M2022-02-15
SCSiacoinnative0.014130.013657-3.35%0.01107-21.66%0.2435✓0.99641k2022-02-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6597.4049-3.32%7.558-1.32%0.0235✓1.30260k2022-02-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0560.054159-3.29%0.0343-38.75%0.5032✓1.371.5M2022-02-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07060.068283-3.28%0.03447-51.18%0.7249✓1.2213.3M2022-02-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.2678-3.22%1.3318+1.66%0.0140✓1.042.8M2022-02-15
ADACardanoCardano1.41181.3673-3.15%1.1087-21.47%0.2486✓1.1695.6M2022-02-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110250.106778-3.15%0.09827-10.87%0.1215✓1.1425k2022-02-15
DASHDashDash137.39133.0728-3.14%109.33-20.42%0.2370✓1.202.8M2022-02-15
KCSKuCoinnative21.15620.5-3.10%20.577-2.74%0.0507✓1.6110.6M2022-02-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.356766-3.05%0.296-19.57%0.2125✓0.7644k2022-02-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32320.313378-3.04%0.2792-13.61%0.1587✓1.282.1M2022-02-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.8492.7627-3.03%2.475-13.13%0.1404✓0.9025k2022-02-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052060.050484-3.03%0.04542-12.75%0.1426✓1.0919k2022-02-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7140.692522-3.01%0.5812-18.60%0.2186✓1.283.5M2022-02-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.2063-2.98%11.15+5.99%0.0630✗0.75808k2022-02-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1614.0373-2.97%3.581-13.94%0.1469✓0.801.1M2022-02-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0288480.027991-2.97%0.022313-22.65%0.2614✓1.035.7M2022-02-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.067.8222-2.95%6.91-14.27%0.1499✓0.77682k2022-02-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.6526.836-2.94%18.44-33.31%0.4376✓1.853.9M2022-02-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.7767-2.91%3.286-15.53%0.1631✓0.71526k2022-02-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.8267.6025-2.86%6.115-21.86%0.2409✓0.69178k2022-02-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.395.2362-2.85%5.09-5.57%0.0683✓1.183.3M2022-02-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3461.3078-2.84%1.005-25.33%0.3091✓1.352.5M2022-02-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.090091-2.79%0.08132-12.26%0.1269✓0.7246k2022-02-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.6631.6166-2.79%1.2264-26.26%0.3060✓0.88462k2022-02-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.7220.1482-2.76%16.17-21.96%0.2554✓1.05841k2022-02-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13830.134496-2.75%0.1078-22.05%0.2645✓1.282.4M2022-02-15
XECeCashnative0.00010310.000100364-2.65%0.00008792-14.72%0.1667✓1.026.4M2022-02-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6826.9455-2.65%20.19-27.06%0.3340✓1.3460.5M2022-02-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.078382-2.63%0.0747-7.20%0.0855✓1.1119k2022-02-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78533.688-2.57%5.9474+57.12%0.4800✗-0.06371k2022-02-15
XVSVenusEthereum14.0513.691-2.56%9.87-29.75%0.3658✓1.142.9M2022-02-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9284.8021-2.55%4.772-3.17%0.0292✓0.68453k2022-02-15
QNTQuantEthereum167.7163.4339-2.54%132.67-20.89%0.2400✓0.936.4M2022-02-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11240.109555-2.53%0.0872-22.42%0.2660✓1.12269k2022-02-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.5118-2.52%5.72-14.37%0.1520✓0.66524k2022-02-15
XTZTezosTezos4.29144.1835-2.51%4.1483-3.33%0.0546✓1.373.4M2022-02-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,104.3442,033.93-2.48%44,583.52+3.43%0.0251✓1.00636.6M2022-02-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1814.8031-2.48%17.36+14.36%0.1362✗0.69916k2022-02-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2731.4708-2.48%33.49+3.78%0.0263✗1.062.9M2022-02-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.3796-2.47%1.8-26.23%0.3150✓1.062.7M2022-02-15
XEMNEMnative0.11980.116863-2.45%0.1143-4.59%0.0577✓1.0553k2022-02-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7664990.747791-2.44%0.642394-16.19%0.1905✓1.142.4M2022-02-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08570.083622-2.42%0.0929+8.40%0.0581✗1.40990k2022-02-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4531-2.41%1.33-10.68%0.1345✓1.364.1M2022-02-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1229-2.41%2.73-14.69%0.1678✓0.99918k2022-02-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.26980.263591-2.30%0.2217-17.83%0.2179✓1.333.9M2022-02-15
COMPCompoundEthereum192.07187.6886-2.28%136.04-29.17%0.3612✓1.17142k2022-02-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1767160.172699-2.27%0.151784-14.11%0.1661✓1.105.4M2022-02-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3489-2.26%1.21-12.32%0.1651✓1.67538k2022-02-15
XYMSymbolnative0.19510.190706-2.25%0.1761-9.74%0.1026✓0.68489k2022-02-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015060.014721-2.25%0.0136-9.69%0.1235✓1.312.2M2022-02-15
DODODODOEthereum0.8070.789454-2.17%0.54-33.09%0.4300✓1.498.0M2022-02-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2591240.253597-2.13%0.221086-14.68%0.1722✓1.0424.2M2022-02-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16840.164833-2.12%0.1628-3.33%0.0550✓1.264.2M2022-02-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,349.463,279.48-2.09%3,186.24-4.87%0.0650✓1.07481.6M2022-02-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030530.000029897-2.07%0.00003122+2.26%0.0022✓1.351.8M2022-02-15
XVGVergenative0.013960.013672-2.07%0.01191-14.68%0.1797✓1.242.0M2022-02-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.8730.2397-2.04%23.7-23.23%0.2958✓1.551.0M2022-02-15
QTUMQtumQtum8.03717.8751-2.02%7.5634-5.89%0.0888✓1.44263k2022-02-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0561.0352-1.97%0.826-21.78%0.2586✓0.972.2M2022-02-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64110.437-1.96%97.61-13.34%0.1557✓0.962.1M2022-02-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.49143.6489-1.94%131.74-10.07%0.1327✓1.3730.1M2022-02-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.8286-1.77%6.62-16.94%0.1890✓0.63680k2022-02-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,225.3042,462.62-1.76%44,051.40+1.91%0.0035✓0.9814k2022-02-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32164.2483-1.70%3.711-14.13%0.1778✓1.264.0M2022-02-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58920.579654-1.62%0.4932-16.29%0.2055✓1.3012.2M2022-02-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4327.985-1.57%29.09+2.32%0.0147✓0.71353k2022-02-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash388.33382.3864-1.53%343.69-11.50%0.1410✓1.026.6M2022-02-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8817-1.48%1.767-7.49%0.1018✓1.152.0M2022-02-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.72.6602-1.47%2.16-20.00%0.2529✓1.323.1M2022-02-15
NANOnanopayBase3.12013.0778-1.35%2.3357-25.14%0.3145✓1.14699k2022-02-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.36431.347-1.27%0.9859-27.74%0.3765✓1.911.3M2022-02-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0210660.020811-1.21%0.017306-17.85%0.2261✓1.232.6M2022-02-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18040.178446-1.08%0.1666-7.65%0.0995✓0.91410k2022-02-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.3930.1594-0.76%22.33-26.52%0.3372✓1.0915.1M2022-02-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.082840.082256-0.70%0.05586-32.57%0.4349✓1.422.4M2022-02-15
SOLSolanaSolana147.98147.1391-0.57%105.61-28.63%0.3697✓1.13152.8M2022-02-15
TRXTRONTron0.0698980.069727-0.24%0.066837-4.38%0.0748✓0.96525k2022-02-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.