2022-01-14 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0406

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-4.17%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.2%

in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-15.39%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.28	26.4223	+0.54%	17.88	-31.96%	0.0823	✗	1.84	4.1M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.72	29.7529	+0.11%	21.98	-26.04%	0.1231	✗	1.07	15.5M	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.757	7.7607	+0.05%	5.957	-23.20%	0.1450	✗	0.72	192k	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.17	146.1649	-0.00%	112.32	-23.16%	0.0903	✓	1.04	177.1M	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067658	0.067612	-0.07%	0.061109	-9.68%	0.0569	✗	0.95	552k	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14	13.9894	-0.08%	9.94	-29.00%	0.1523	✓	1.13	3.1M	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7677	-0.08%	2	-27.80%	0.1062	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,090.72	42,964.30	-0.29%	36,456.94	-15.39%	0.0029	✓	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9779	0.974811	-0.32%	0.5186	-46.97%	0.4577	✓	1.04	3.0M	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,310.45	3,299.01	-0.35%	2,569.01	-22.40%	0.0749	✓	1.05	556.2M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.308	1.3029	-0.39%	0.984	-24.77%	0.0562	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.29	20.1985	-0.45%	15.55	-23.36%	0.1372	✓	0.74	958k	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.38	2.3686	-0.48%	1.84	-22.69%	0.0819	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.8442	7.804	-0.51%	6.1225	-21.95%	0.0133	✓	1.37	263k	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	385.65	383.6259	-0.52%	315.04	-18.31%	0.0303	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.59	188.5908	-0.53%	139.37	-26.49%	0.1131	✓	1.13	149k	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.055	1.0494	-0.53%	0.764	-27.58%	0.1581	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.853	1.8429	-0.55%	1.445	-22.02%	0.0527	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1511	3.1337	-0.55%	2.3265	-26.17%	0.1102	✓	1.12	699k	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,294.10	43,045.09	-0.58%	36,607.80	-15.44%	0.0018	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.079	0.07854	-0.58%	0.0417	-47.22%	0.4659	✓	1.00	27.8M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.87	15.7759	-0.59%	12.63	-20.42%	0.0093	✓	1.27	12.4M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.92	7.8674	-0.66%	5.68	-28.28%	0.1788	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1392	0.13826	-0.67%	0.0939	-32.54%	0.1726	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.68	6.6345	-0.68%	5.64	-15.57%	0.0523	✓	0.66	602k	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.673	7.6188	-0.71%	8.351	+8.84%	0.3032	✗	1.26	271k	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7427	-0.72%	3.5345	-6.24%	0.0681	✓	-0.07	364k	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.39	164.1913	-0.72%	114.44	-30.81%	0.2085	✓	0.91	6.9M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.84	9.7659	-0.75%	6.72	-31.71%	0.3762	✓	-0.01	1.5M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1929	0.191435	-0.76%	0.1639	-15.03%	0.0412	✓	0.68	464k	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01434	0.014229	-0.77%	0.0092	-35.84%	0.0404	✓	2.37	26.1M	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.2003	-0.77%	23.31	-17.98%	0.0766	✓	0.68	360k	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.91	7.8444	-0.83%	6.31	-20.23%	0.1135	✓	0.62	680k	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.857	2.8326	-0.86%	2.197	-23.10%	0.1045	✓	0.89	26k	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.76	27.5222	-0.86%	19.67	-29.14%	0.1158	✓	1.32	64.3M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.509	1.4959	-0.87%	1.209	-19.88%	0.0128	✗	1.35	4.4M	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1798	0.178205	-0.89%	0.1474	-18.02%	0.0407	✓	0.89	432k	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4707	1.4576	-0.89%	0.8678	-40.99%	0.2030	✓	1.89	1.4M	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.5	9.4129	-0.92%	6.49	-31.68%	0.2551	✓	0.70	1.0M	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009702	0.000096116	-0.93%	0.00007968	-17.87%	0.0198	✓	1.00	6.5M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.866	10.7644	-0.93%	7.826	-27.98%	0.2956	✓	0.14	44k	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.265375	0.262881	-0.94%	0.202862	-23.56%	0.0869	✓	1.03	24.2M	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02049	0.020285	-1.00%	0.016171	-21.08%	0.0184	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3321	0.328751	-1.01%	0.2523	-24.03%	0.0506	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	7.9587	-1.01%	6.56	-18.41%	0.0700	✓	0.74	737k	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1574	-1.02%	2.46	-22.88%	0.0883	✓	0.96	918k	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.285	4.2401	-1.05%	3.3417	-22.01%	0.0125	✓	1.35	4.3M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		113.04	111.8394	-1.06%	95.68	-15.36%	0.0011	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.7	72.9111	-1.07%	58.39	-20.77%	0.0426	✓	1.07	6.2M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.117899	-1.09%	0.097	-18.62%	0.0250	✓	1.02	57k	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8128	6.7383	-1.09%	6.243	-8.36%	0.0583	✗	0.81	3.5M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0813	0.080405	-1.10%	0.0634	-22.02%	0.0582	✓	1.07	19k	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.113	0.111751	-1.11%	0.0834	-26.19%	0.1054	✓	1.12	303k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.98	31.6191	-1.13%	25.95	-18.86%	0.0265	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5792	0.57264	-1.13%	0.4366	-24.62%	0.0693	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01666	0.016465	-1.17%	0.01394	-16.33%	0.0567	✓	0.66	24k	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.748205	0.739249	-1.20%	0.55846	-25.36%	0.0972	✓	1.10	2.5M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0526	1.0399	-1.20%	0.81011	-23.04%	0.0417	✗	1.74	974k	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.867	4.808	-1.21%	4.12	-15.35%	0.0439	✓	0.66	469k	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04111	0.040585	-1.28%	0.0303	-26.30%	0.1435	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01389	0.013711	-1.29%	0.01002	-27.86%	0.1079	✓	1.23	2.0M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.92	2.8822	-1.29%	2.29	-21.58%	0.0195	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2931	1.2759	-1.33%	1.1211	-13.30%	0.0580	✗	1.12	95.6M	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0865	0.085341	-1.34%	0.0619	-28.44%	0.0865	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.8	53.0712	-1.35%	38.94	-27.62%	0.0745	✓	1.41	667k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10933	0.107814	-1.39%	0.08324	-23.86%	0.0716	✓	1.12	23k	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.802	0.790813	-1.39%	0.561	-30.05%	0.1008	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.366	0.360855	-1.41%	0.271	-25.96%	0.1606	✓	0.75	43k	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.96	14.7474	-1.42%	13.42	-10.29%	0.0186	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.335	0.330224	-1.43%	0.2921	-12.81%	0.1195	✗	1.45	3.8M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.08	19.7936	-1.43%	16.808	-16.29%	0.1026	✗	1.59	11.0M	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08072	0.079548	-1.45%	0.05388	-33.25%	0.1522	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.55	3.4984	-1.45%	2.71	-23.66%	0.0235	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.92	3.8625	-1.47%	4.65	+18.62%	0.3185	✗	0.80	471k	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.22	5.1433	-1.47%	4.17	-20.11%	0.0146	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0738	-1.49%	0.73	-33.03%	0.0669	✓	1.91	1.6M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2988	1.279	-1.52%	0.91734	-29.37%	0.1584	✓	1.04	3.0M	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	144.84	142.6397	-1.52%	114.51	-20.94%	0.0061	✓	1.35	32.2M	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003084	0.000030371	-1.52%	0.00002226	-27.82%	0.0848	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.845	3.7863	-1.53%	3.168	-17.61%	0.0602	✓	0.71	526k	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01386	0.013645	-1.55%	0.01044	-24.68%	0.1036	✓	0.98	656k	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.015	0.014766	-1.56%	0.01111	-25.93%	0.0692	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028431	0.027986	-1.56%	0.022082	-22.33%	0.0651	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.183317	0.180403	-1.59%	0.142057	-22.51%	0.0566	✓	1.09	5.4M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.7	5.6085	-1.61%	3.96	-30.53%	0.1689	✓	1.07	2.3M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.3466	-1.65%	9.4	-10.65%	0.0302	✗	0.75	955k	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0924	2.0579	-1.65%	1.6672	-20.32%	0.0377	✓	1.03	95k	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0557	0.054778	-1.66%	0.0363	-34.83%	0.1820	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6069	1.58	-1.67%	1.1848	-26.27%	0.1406	✓	0.88	502k	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	281.84	277.0838	-1.69%	213.87	-24.12%	0.0658	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0305	1.0129	-1.71%	0.6747	-34.53%	0.1720	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.7	29.1896	-1.72%	21.23	-28.52%	0.0711	✓	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1754	0.172327	-1.75%	0.1206	-31.24%	0.1514	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0707	0.069447	-1.77%	0.05552	-21.47%	0.0217	✓	1.21	16.4M	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09336	0.091677	-1.80%	0.07197	-22.91%	0.1205	✓	0.73	52k	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3822	1.3571	-1.81%	1.0303	-25.46%	0.0866	✓	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0352	5.9229	-1.86%	4.7186	-21.82%	0.0339	✓	1.16	457k	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	6.8984	-1.87%	4.96	-29.45%	0.1166	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7107	0.697376	-1.87%	0.5619	-20.94%	0.0053	✓	1.26	3.7M	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3463	4.2646	-1.88%	3.555	-18.21%	0.0289	✗	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.12	138.4592	-1.89%	105.73	-25.08%	0.0737	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.39	8.2315	-1.89%	6.6	-21.33%	0.0579	✓	0.97	4.3M	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.269	4.1883	-1.89%	3.392	-20.54%	0.0795	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	224.05	219.7457	-1.92%	171.09	-23.64%	0.0601	✓	1.14	17.6M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3534	-1.93%	0.97	-29.71%	0.0586	✓	1.64	569k	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.74	25.2358	-1.96%	17.44	-32.25%	0.1809	✓	1.13	74.2M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2668	0.261389	-2.03%	0.198	-25.79%	0.0587	✓	1.31	4.0M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.41	88.5169	-2.09%	66.07	-26.92%	0.1052	✓	1.12	108.4M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.521	0.509989	-2.11%	0.352	-32.44%	0.1573	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.31	1.2823	-2.12%	0.906	-30.84%	0.1178	✓	1.37	4.0M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.46	3.3863	-2.13%	2.9	-16.18%	0.0219	✗	1.06	808k	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3204	3.2494	-2.14%	3.11	-6.34%	0.1553	✗	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.54	31.843	-2.14%	24.19	-25.66%	0.0426	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.415	2.3613	-2.22%	1.738	-28.03%	0.1228	✓	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1223	1.0972	-2.24%	0.857	-23.64%	0.0847	✓	0.97	23.2M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	157.2002	153.6715	-2.24%	95	-39.57%	0.3155	✓	0.99	515k	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,239.49	31,513.65	-2.25%	25,741.64	-20.15%	0.0895	✓	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.955	2.886	-2.33%	2.2219	-24.81%	0.0921	✓	1.01	5.2M	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	229.78	224.328	-2.37%	172.82	-24.79%	0.1062	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4198	1.3861	-2.38%	1.4321	+0.87%	0.1763	✗	0.86	922k	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059654	0.058223	-2.40%	0.041641	-30.20%	0.1397	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	142.55	139.1162	-2.41%	102.35	-28.20%	0.1015	✓	1.23	10.9M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.98	10.7154	-2.41%	7.97	-27.41%	0.2616	✓	0.21	2.8M	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05342	0.052116	-2.44%	0.03977	-25.55%	0.0953	✓	1.05	19k	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.47	79.3065	-2.66%	64.94	-20.29%	0.0327	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.083638	0.081361	-2.72%	0.061424	-26.56%	0.1139	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.73	43.4601	-2.84%	38.52	-13.88%	0.0569	✗	1.06	21.6M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.62	3.515	-2.90%	2.45	-32.32%	0.1518	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.25	35.197	-2.90%	24.86	-31.42%	0.0712	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0647	1.0332	-2.96%	0.8913	-16.29%	0.0213	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7145	0.691682	-3.19%	0.4811	-32.67%	0.1331	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3291	0.318051	-3.36%	0.2396	-27.20%	0.1120	✓	1.02	397k	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.35	5.1497	-3.74%	3.31	-38.13%	0.2126	✓	1.37	32.4M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.372	3.2455	-3.75%	2.795	-17.11%	0.1406	✗	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1356	3.9727	-3.94%	3.2277	-21.95%	0.0912	✓	0.70	2,257	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.44	38.7758	-4.12%	34.64	-14.34%	0.0451	✗	0.94	86.7M	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6272	0.594715	-5.18%	0.5351	-14.68%	0.1256	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9605	0.903299	-5.96%	0.6365	-33.73%	0.0603	✓	1.73	38.7M	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22239	0.20898	-6.03%	0.16704	-24.89%	0.0391	✓	1.57	5,360	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.